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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Coy

Burton 1–3 Barnsley

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 4.33 fair 3.76
Draw 3.75 fair 3.96
Away ✓ 1.80 fair 2.08
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 1.98
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 2.02

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Barnsley
12 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 3
10 Fouls 7
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (477 league matches this season so far).
Result Barnsley to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.09 – 1.56
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawBarnsley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 0–1 11% 1–2 9.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.80scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 40 played · 32:52
Barnsley before this match, all matches
1.82points / match
1.79scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 39 played · 70:50
Burton all matches all matches Barnsley

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 1.79
1.30 Goals conceded 1.28
2.10 Total goals 3.08
10.33 Shots 14.03
2.95 Shots on target 4.69
14.00 Shots faced 12.87
3.50 Corners 5.21
4.95 Corners against 5.18
12.63 Fouls 9.92
2.50 Yellow cards 2.23
0.30 1st-half goals scored 0.72
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

25% Wins 51%
25% Draws 28%
50% Losses 21%
88% Over 0.5 goals 97%
65% Over 1.5 goals 87%
38% Over 2.5 goals 62%
13% Over 3.5 goals 36%
8% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
43% Both teams scored 67%
23% Clean sheets 26%
48% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 38%
43% Draws 28%
40% Losses 33%
65% Over 0.5 goals 87%
23% Over 1.5 goals 36%
3% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Barnsley all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.16points / match
0.89scored / match
1.16conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 17:22
Barnsley before this match, away
2.17points / match
1.94scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 35:20
Burton at home away Barnsley

Per match

0.89 Goals scored 1.94
1.16 Goals conceded 1.11
2.05 Total goals 3.06
11.89 Shots 14.17
3.47 Shots on target 4.50
12.74 Shots faced 13.94
4.05 Corners 5.06
5.11 Corners against 5.89
12.89 Fouls 10.72
2.26 Yellow cards 2.56
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

32% Wins 61%
21% Draws 33%
47% Losses 6%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 89%
32% Over 2.5 goals 56%
11% Over 3.5 goals 39%
5% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
42% Both teams scored 67%
21% Clean sheets 28%
42% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 44%
47% Draws 33%
26% Losses 22%
63% Over 0.5 goals 89%
26% Over 1.5 goals 39%
5% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Barnsley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Wigan – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 2.08 1.73
23.03.24 Burton – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.65
16.03.24 Exeter – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.254.00 2.15 1.67
12.03.24 Portsmouth – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.757.50 1.85 2.00
09.03.24 Burton – Peterboro 1–3 (0–0) 4.334.001.73 1.75 2.05
02.03.24 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.75 2.10 1.70
27.02.24 Burton – Carlisle 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.15 1.67
24.02.24 Burton – Northampton 0–2 (0–2) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
17.02.24 Leyton Orient – Burton 1–2 (1–0) 1.554.206.00 2.00 1.85
10.02.24 Bristol Rvs – Burton 1–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 1.85 2.00

Barnsley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Barnsley – Cambridge 0–2 (0–1) 1.554.336.00 1.70 2.10
16.03.24 Barnsley – Cheltenham 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 1.85 2.00
12.03.24 Carlisle – Barnsley 2–3 (1–1) 5.253.801.70 1.73 2.08
09.03.24 Barnsley – Lincoln 1–5 (0–1) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
05.03.24 Barnsley – Bolton 2–2 (1–0) 2.383.403.00 1.90 1.95
02.03.24 Wycombe – Barnsley 2–4 (1–1) 2.553.502.70 1.85 2.00
24.02.24 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.803.402.50 1.93 1.93
17.02.24 Fleetwood Town – Barnsley 1–2 (1–1) 3.603.602.00 1.73 2.08
13.02.24 Shrewsbury – Barnsley 1–1 (1–0) 3.603.502.00 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Barnsley – Leyton Orient 2–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.60 1.90 1.95

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.03.24 Burton – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.65
09.03.24 Burton – Peterboro 1–3 (0–0) 4.334.001.73 1.75 2.05
27.02.24 Burton – Carlisle 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.15 1.67
24.02.24 Burton – Northampton 0–2 (0–2) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
03.02.24 Burton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.45 2.20 1.65
20.01.24 Burton – Charlton 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 2.00 1.85
06.01.24 Burton – Wycombe 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.302.38 2.10 1.70
29.12.23 Burton – Shrewsbury 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.003.80 2.30 1.60
26.12.23 Burton – Blackpool 1–0 (1–0) 4.004.001.80 1.93 1.93
09.12.23 Burton – Stevenage 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.402.25 2.03 1.83

Barnsley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.24 Carlisle – Barnsley 2–3 (1–1) 5.253.801.70 1.73 2.08
02.03.24 Wycombe – Barnsley 2–4 (1–1) 2.553.502.70 1.85 2.00
17.02.24 Fleetwood Town – Barnsley 1–2 (1–1) 3.603.602.00 1.73 2.08
13.02.24 Shrewsbury – Barnsley 1–1 (1–0) 3.603.502.00 2.05 1.75
03.02.24 Bolton – Barnsley 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 1.83 2.03
23.01.24 Oxford – Barnsley 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.603.20 1.73 2.08
29.12.23 Peterboro – Barnsley 2–2 (1–2) 1.624.205.00 1.57 2.35
26.12.23 Port Vale – Barnsley 2–3 (0–3) 2.753.502.50 1.98 1.88
09.12.23 Reading – Barnsley 1–3 (1–1) 2.803.402.50 1.75 2.05
25.11.23 Lincoln – Barnsley 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.402.30 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsBarnsley wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23E2 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.75 2.05
07.04.23E2 Burton – Barnsley 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.95 1.90
17.12.22E2 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.603.75 1.95 1.90

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 40 25 11 4 66 33 +33 86
2 Derby 41 25 6 10 70 35 +35 81
3 Bolton 40 22 9 9 71 43 +28 75
4 Peterboro 39 21 8 10 75 49 +26 71
5 Barnsley 39 20 11 8 70 50 +20 71
6 Lincoln 40 17 13 10 57 33 +24 64
7 Oxford 40 18 10 12 63 53 +10 64
8 Stevenage 40 17 12 11 51 40 +11 63
9 Blackpool 40 17 9 14 57 43 +14 60
10 Wigan 40 17 8 15 54 49 +5 59
11 Leyton Orient 40 16 10 14 44 45 -1 58
12 Northampton 41 15 8 18 51 61 -10 53
13 Reading 40 14 9 17 56 57 -1 51
14 Wycombe 39 13 11 15 51 52 -1 50
15 Bristol Rvs 39 14 8 17 48 59 -11 50
16 Exeter 40 13 9 18 34 53 -19 48
17 Charlton 40 10 16 14 58 59 -1 46
18 Shrewsbury 40 13 6 21 30 56 -26 45
19 Cambridge 39 11 9 19 34 55 -21 42
20 Burton 40 10 10 20 32 52 -20 40
21 Port Vale 39 10 9 20 38 61 -23 39
22 Cheltenham 38 10 8 20 32 51 -19 38
23 Fleetwood Town 40 7 13 20 42 63 -21 34
24 Carlisle 40 6 9 25 38 70 -32 27
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Derby 21 13 4 4 36 18 +18 43
2 Portsmouth 19 13 4 2 34 20 +14 43
3 Bolton 19 13 3 3 42 22 +20 42
4 Wigan 21 12 3 6 28 18 +10 39
5 Blackpool 19 11 5 3 38 17 +21 38
6 Lincoln 21 10 7 4 35 13 +22 37
7 Peterboro 20 11 4 5 45 24 +21 37
8 Reading 21 11 4 6 35 21 +14 37
9 Oxford 19 9 6 4 34 22 +12 33
10 Stevenage 20 8 8 4 22 15 +7 32
11 Barnsley 21 9 5 7 35 30 +5 32
12 Northampton 20 9 5 6 26 21 +5 32
13 Wycombe 21 8 6 7 30 28 +2 30
14 Leyton Orient 19 8 4 7 20 25 -5 28
15 Shrewsbury 21 8 3 10 18 26 -8 27
16 Charlton 19 7 5 7 32 27 +5 26
17 Bristol Rvs 18 7 5 6 26 23 +3 26
18 Cambridge 19 7 5 7 17 20 -3 26
19 Exeter 21 6 8 7 15 20 -5 26
20 Burton 19 6 4 9 17 22 -5 22
21 Cheltenham 18 6 4 8 19 26 -7 22
22 Port Vale 20 6 3 11 24 28 -4 21
23 Fleetwood Town 21 4 5 12 21 33 -12 17
24 Carlisle 20 3 6 11 19 35 -16 15
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 21 12 7 2 32 13 +19 43
2 Barnsley 18 11 6 1 35 20 +15 39
3 Derby 20 12 2 6 34 17 +17 38
4 Peterboro 19 10 4 5 30 25 +5 34
5 Bolton 21 9 6 6 29 21 +8 33
6 Stevenage 20 9 4 7 29 25 +4 31
7 Oxford 21 9 4 8 29 31 -2 31
8 Leyton Orient 21 8 6 7 24 20 +4 30
9 Lincoln 19 7 6 6 22 20 +2 27
10 Bristol Rvs 21 7 3 11 22 36 -14 24
11 Blackpool 21 6 4 11 19 26 -7 22
12 Exeter 19 7 1 11 19 33 -14 22
13 Northampton 21 6 3 12 25 40 -15 21
14 Wycombe 18 5 5 8 21 24 -3 20
15 Wigan 19 5 5 9 26 31 -5 20
16 Charlton 21 3 11 7 26 32 -6 20
17 Burton 21 4 6 11 15 30 -15 18
18 Shrewsbury 19 5 3 11 12 30 -18 18
19 Port Vale 19 4 6 9 14 33 -19 18
20 Fleetwood Town 19 3 8 8 21 30 -9 17
21 Cheltenham 20 4 4 12 13 25 -12 16
22 Cambridge 20 4 4 12 17 35 -18 16
23 Reading 19 3 5 11 21 36 -15 14
24 Carlisle 20 3 3 14 19 35 -16 12

Burton   Barnsley

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Peterboro 39 13 26 1.9 1.3 21 8 10 75 49 71
2 7 Oxford 40 14 26 1.6 1.3 18 10 12 63 53 64
3 5 Barnsley 39 15 24 1.8 1.3 20 11 8 70 50 71
4 2 Derby 41 18 23 1.7 0.9 25 6 10 70 35 81
5 1 Portsmouth 40 18 22 1.6 0.8 25 11 4 66 33 86
6 12 Northampton 41 19 22 1.2 1.5 15 8 18 51 61 53
7 15 Bristol Rvs 39 17 22 1.2 1.5 14 8 17 48 59 50
8 17 Charlton 40 18 22 1.4 1.5 10 16 14 58 59 46
9 3 Bolton 40 19 21 1.8 1.1 22 9 9 71 43 75
10 13 Reading 40 19 21 1.4 1.4 14 9 17 56 57 51
11 23 Fleetwood Town 40 19 21 1.1 1.6 7 13 20 42 63 34
12 8 Stevenage 40 21 19 1.3 1.0 17 12 11 51 40 63
13 9 Blackpool 40 21 19 1.4 1.1 17 9 14 57 43 60
14 14 Wycombe 39 20 19 1.3 1.3 13 11 15 51 52 50
15 24 Carlisle 40 21 19 0.9 1.8 6 9 25 38 70 27
16 21 Port Vale 39 21 18 1.0 1.6 10 9 20 38 61 39
17 10 Wigan 40 23 17 1.4 1.2 17 8 15 54 49 59
18 19 Cambridge 39 22 17 0.9 1.4 11 9 19 34 55 42
19 11 Leyton Orient 40 24 16 1.1 1.1 16 10 14 44 45 58
20 16 Exeter 40 24 16 0.8 1.3 13 9 18 34 53 48
21 6 Lincoln 40 25 15 1.4 0.8 17 13 10 57 33 64
22 18 Shrewsbury 40 25 15 0.8 1.4 13 6 21 30 56 45
23 20 Burton 40 25 15 0.8 1.3 10 10 20 32 52 40
24 22 Cheltenham 38 23 15 0.8 1.3 10 8 20 32 51 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Peterboro 20 5 15 2.2 1.2 11 4 5 45 24 37
2 5 Barnsley 21 7 14 1.7 1.4 9 5 7 35 30 32
3 7 Oxford 19 5 14 1.8 1.2 9 6 4 34 22 33
4 3 Bolton 19 6 13 2.2 1.2 13 3 3 42 22 42
5 17 Charlton 19 6 13 1.7 1.4 7 5 7 32 27 26
6 1 Portsmouth 19 7 12 1.8 1.1 13 4 2 34 20 43
7 2 Derby 21 9 12 1.7 0.9 13 4 4 36 18 43
8 9 Blackpool 19 8 11 2.0 0.9 11 5 3 38 17 38
9 15 Bristol Rvs 18 7 11 1.4 1.3 7 5 6 26 23 26
10 23 Fleetwood Town 21 11 10 1.0 1.6 4 5 12 21 33 17
11 6 Lincoln 21 12 9 1.7 0.6 10 7 4 35 13 37
12 12 Northampton 20 11 9 1.3 1.1 9 5 6 26 21 32
13 13 Reading 21 12 9 1.7 1.0 11 4 6 35 21 37
14 14 Wycombe 21 12 9 1.4 1.3 8 6 7 30 28 30
15 21 Port Vale 20 11 9 1.2 1.4 6 3 11 24 28 21
16 24 Carlisle 20 11 9 0.9 1.8 3 6 11 19 35 15
17 10 Wigan 21 13 8 1.3 0.9 12 3 6 28 18 39
18 11 Leyton Orient 19 11 8 1.1 1.3 8 4 7 20 25 28
19 18 Shrewsbury 21 13 8 0.9 1.2 8 3 10 18 26 27
20 22 Cheltenham 18 10 8 1.1 1.4 6 4 8 19 26 22
21 8 Stevenage 20 14 6 1.1 0.8 8 8 4 22 15 32
22 16 Exeter 21 15 6 0.7 1.0 6 8 7 15 20 26
23 19 Cambridge 19 13 6 0.9 1.1 7 5 7 17 20 26
24 20 Burton 19 13 6 0.9 1.2 6 4 9 17 22 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Stevenage 20 7 13 1.4 1.2 9 4 7 29 25 31
2 12 Northampton 21 8 13 1.2 1.9 6 3 12 25 40 21
3 7 Oxford 21 9 12 1.4 1.5 9 4 8 29 31 31
4 13 Reading 19 7 12 1.1 1.9 3 5 11 21 36 14
5 2 Derby 20 9 11 1.7 0.8 12 2 6 34 17 38
6 4 Peterboro 19 8 11 1.6 1.3 10 4 5 30 25 34
7 15 Bristol Rvs 21 10 11 1.0 1.7 7 3 11 22 36 24
8 19 Cambridge 20 9 11 0.8 1.8 4 4 12 17 35 16
9 23 Fleetwood Town 19 8 11 1.1 1.6 3 8 8 21 30 17
10 1 Portsmouth 21 11 10 1.5 0.6 12 7 2 32 13 43
11 5 Barnsley 18 8 10 1.9 1.1 11 6 1 35 20 39
12 14 Wycombe 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 5 5 8 21 24 20
13 16 Exeter 19 9 10 1.0 1.7 7 1 11 19 33 22
14 24 Carlisle 20 10 10 0.9 1.8 3 3 14 19 35 12
15 10 Wigan 19 10 9 1.4 1.6 5 5 9 26 31 20
16 17 Charlton 21 12 9 1.2 1.5 3 11 7 26 32 20
17 20 Burton 21 12 9 0.7 1.4 4 6 11 15 30 18
18 21 Port Vale 19 10 9 0.7 1.7 4 6 9 14 33 18
19 3 Bolton 21 13 8 1.4 1.0 9 6 6 29 21 33
20 9 Blackpool 21 13 8 0.9 1.2 6 4 11 19 26 22
21 11 Leyton Orient 21 13 8 1.1 1.0 8 6 7 24 20 30
22 18 Shrewsbury 19 12 7 0.6 1.6 5 3 11 12 30 18
23 22 Cheltenham 20 13 7 0.7 1.2 4 4 12 13 25 16
24 6 Lincoln 19 13 6 1.2 1.1 7 6 6 22 20 27

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51