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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Mather

Birmingham 2–0 Burton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.20 fair 1.67
Draw 6.50 fair 4.46
Away 11.00 fair 5.59
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.40 fair 2.07
Over 2.5 1.53 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Burton
12 Shots 2
2 Shots on target 0
8 Corners 0
4 Fouls 6
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (241 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 2.00
Expected goals 1.85 – 0.90
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.9% 2–0 11% 1–1 10.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
2.37points / match
1.84scored / match
0.84conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 35:16
Burton before this match, all matches
0.60points / match
0.85scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 17:32
Birmingham all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.84 Goals scored 0.85
0.84 Goals conceded 1.60
2.68 Total goals 2.45
13.84 Shots 9.75
4.58 Shots on target 3.20
7.32 Shots faced 13.70
5.84 Corners 4.25
3.63 Corners against 5.55
11.21 Fouls 10.55
1.79 Yellow cards 2.00
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

74% Wins 10%
16% Draws 30%
11% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
84% Over 1.5 goals 60%
42% Over 2.5 goals 55%
26% Over 3.5 goals 30%
16% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
58% Both teams scored 45%
37% Clean sheets 30%
5% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 10%
42% Draws 65%
16% Losses 25%
74% Over 0.5 goals 55%
47% Over 1.5 goals 35%
16% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Burton all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
2.56points / match
1.89scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:6
Burton before this match, away
0.78points / match
0.89scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 8:14
Birmingham at home away Burton

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 0.89
0.67 Goals conceded 1.56
2.56 Total goals 2.44
16.33 Shots 10.89
5.44 Shots on target 3.78
7.22 Shots faced 13.56
6.22 Corners 5.22
3.00 Corners against 6.67
10.56 Fouls 10.67
1.78 Yellow cards 2.00
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.22
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

78% Wins 11%
22% Draws 44%
0% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 78%
89% Over 1.5 goals 56%
33% Over 2.5 goals 56%
22% Over 3.5 goals 33%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
56% Both teams scored 44%
44% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 0%
33% Draws 67%
22% Losses 33%
78% Over 0.5 goals 44%
44% Over 1.5 goals 33%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.24 Crawley Town – Birmingham 0–1 (0–0) 7.504.501.40 1.62 2.25
14.12.24 Birmingham – Bristol Rvs 2–0 (2–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.53 2.40
07.12.24 Barnsley – Birmingham 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.502.05 1.73 2.08
04.12.24 Birmingham – Stockport 2–0 (2–0) 1.623.905.00 1.80 2.00
26.11.24 Exeter – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 4.753.901.62 1.73 2.08
23.11.24 Shrewsbury – Birmingham 3–2 (2–1) 7.504.751.38 1.67 2.15
09.11.24 Birmingham – Northampton 1–1 (0–0) 1.255.5011.00 1.53 2.40
26.10.24 Mansfield – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 4.333.701.73 1.73 2.08
22.10.24 Birmingham – Bolton 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.704.20 1.73 2.08
19.10.24 Lincoln – Birmingham 1–3 (1–1) 4.003.301.91 2.05 1.75

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24 Burton – Exeter 1–2 (1–1) 2.883.402.30 1.98 1.88
14.12.24 Leyton Orient – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.534.106.00 2.03 1.83
07.12.24 Burton – Wrexham 0–1 (0–0) 4.103.501.85 2.00 1.85
04.12.24 Peterboro – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.405.006.25 1.48 2.60
26.11.24 Burton – Charlton 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.402.00 1.95 1.90
23.11.24 Burton – Stockport 0–3 (0–2) 3.803.601.90 1.88 1.98
09.11.24 Burton – Shrewsbury 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.403.10 2.00 1.85
05.11.24 Burton – Crawley Town 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.80 2.00
26.10.24 Cambridge – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.75 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Burton – Wycombe 2–3 (1–1) 3.903.601.85 1.73 2.08

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Birmingham – Bristol Rvs 2–0 (2–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.53 2.40
04.12.24 Birmingham – Stockport 2–0 (2–0) 1.623.905.00 1.80 2.00
09.11.24 Birmingham – Northampton 1–1 (0–0) 1.255.5011.00 1.53 2.40
22.10.24 Birmingham – Bolton 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.704.20 1.73 2.08
01.10.24 Birmingham – Huddersfield 1–0 (0–0) 1.653.805.25 1.75 2.05
28.09.24 Birmingham – Peterboro 3–2 (1–2) 1.574.005.50 1.53 2.40
16.09.24 Birmingham – Wrexham 3–1 (1–1) 1.833.604.10 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 Birmingham – Wigan 2–1 (1–0) 1.404.757.00 1.65 2.20
10.08.24 Birmingham – Reading 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.205.00 1.75 2.05
04.05.24E1 Birmingham – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.752.80 1.73 2.10

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Leyton Orient – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.534.106.00 2.03 1.83
04.12.24 Peterboro – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.405.006.25 1.48 2.60
26.10.24 Cambridge – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.75 1.93 1.93
19.10.24 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.404.507.50 1.57 2.35
01.10.24 Reading – Burton 3–1 (2–0) 1.704.004.33 1.65 2.20
28.09.24 Blackpool – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.504.006.50 1.65 2.20
14.09.24 Rotherham – Burton 2–2 (1–1) 1.574.504.75 1.70 2.10
31.08.24 Northampton – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.25 1.93 1.93
17.08.24 Mansfield – Burton 3–3 (2–1) 1.803.704.00 1.80 2.00
27.04.24 Fleetwood Town – Burton 3–0 (2–0) 2.903.802.20 1.63 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Birmingham 19 14 3 2 35 16 +19 45
2 Wycombe 20 13 5 2 43 22 +21 44
3 Wrexham 21 12 6 3 31 14 +17 42
4 Huddersfield 20 12 3 5 34 18 +16 39
5 Stockport 21 10 6 5 34 22 +12 36
6 Lincoln 21 8 7 6 28 25 +3 31
7 Reading 20 9 4 7 30 30 0 31
8 Bolton 19 9 4 6 28 29 -1 31
9 Barnsley 21 8 6 7 29 30 -1 30
10 Leyton Orient 21 8 4 9 26 20 +6 28
11 Mansfield 19 8 4 7 23 22 +1 28
12 Charlton 20 7 6 7 23 19 +4 27
13 Blackpool 20 7 6 7 29 31 -2 27
14 Exeter 20 8 3 9 19 22 -3 27
15 Stevenage 19 7 5 7 15 17 -2 26
16 Peterboro 20 7 3 10 38 37 +1 24
17 Wigan 20 6 6 8 19 18 +1 24
18 Rotherham 19 6 5 8 19 21 -2 23
19 Bristol Rvs 20 6 4 10 18 29 -11 22
20 Northampton 21 5 6 10 21 34 -13 21
21 Crawley Town 21 5 4 12 20 36 -16 19
22 Cambridge 20 4 5 11 20 35 -15 17
23 Burton 20 2 6 12 17 32 -15 12
24 Shrewsbury 20 3 3 14 21 41 -20 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wrexham 11 9 2 0 23 6 +17 29
2 Birmingham 9 7 2 0 17 6 +11 23
3 Stockport 11 7 2 2 20 12 +8 23
4 Huddersfield 10 7 1 2 16 10 +6 22
5 Reading 9 7 0 2 17 7 +10 21
6 Wycombe 9 6 2 1 15 6 +9 20
7 Stevenage 11 6 2 3 12 9 +3 20
8 Peterboro 11 5 2 4 25 19 +6 17
9 Rotherham 9 5 2 2 13 8 +5 17
10 Lincoln 10 5 2 3 16 12 +4 17
11 Bolton 10 5 2 3 15 15 0 17
12 Leyton Orient 11 4 3 4 14 9 +5 15
13 Mansfield 10 4 3 3 13 11 +2 15
14 Bristol Rvs 10 4 3 3 10 12 -2 15
15 Exeter 10 4 2 4 10 10 0 14
16 Northampton 10 4 2 4 11 15 -4 14
17 Charlton 9 3 4 2 10 8 +2 13
18 Wigan 10 3 3 4 9 9 0 12
19 Cambridge 10 3 3 4 13 15 -2 12
20 Blackpool 9 2 5 2 11 11 0 11
21 Barnsley 11 2 5 4 15 19 -4 11
22 Crawley Town 10 3 2 5 12 17 -5 11
23 Shrewsbury 10 2 1 7 10 20 -10 7
24 Burton 11 1 2 8 9 18 -9 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wycombe 11 7 3 1 28 16 +12 24
2 Birmingham 10 7 1 2 18 10 +8 22
3 Barnsley 10 6 1 3 14 11 +3 19
4 Huddersfield 10 5 2 3 18 8 +10 17
5 Blackpool 11 5 1 5 18 20 -2 16
6 Charlton 11 4 2 5 13 11 +2 14
7 Bolton 9 4 2 3 13 14 -1 14
8 Lincoln 11 3 5 3 12 13 -1 14
9 Stockport 10 3 4 3 14 10 +4 13
10 Leyton Orient 10 4 1 5 12 11 +1 13
11 Wrexham 10 3 4 3 8 8 0 13
12 Mansfield 9 4 1 4 10 11 -1 13
13 Exeter 10 4 1 5 9 12 -3 13
14 Wigan 10 3 3 4 10 9 +1 12
15 Reading 11 2 4 5 13 23 -10 10
16 Crawley Town 11 2 2 7 8 19 -11 8
17 Peterboro 9 2 1 6 13 18 -5 7
18 Burton 9 1 4 4 8 14 -6 7
19 Northampton 11 1 4 6 10 19 -9 7
20 Bristol Rvs 10 2 1 7 8 17 -9 7
21 Stevenage 8 1 3 4 3 8 -5 6
22 Rotherham 10 1 3 6 6 13 -7 6
23 Shrewsbury 10 1 2 7 11 21 -10 5
24 Cambridge 10 1 2 7 7 20 -13 5

Birmingham   Burton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Peterboro 20 5 15 1.9 1.9 7 3 10 38 37 24
2 2 Wycombe 20 6 14 2.1 1.1 13 5 2 43 22 44
3 9 Barnsley 21 7 14 1.4 1.4 8 6 7 29 30 30
4 13 Blackpool 20 6 14 1.4 1.6 7 6 7 29 31 27
5 7 Reading 20 8 12 1.5 1.5 9 4 7 30 30 31
6 20 Northampton 21 9 12 1.0 1.6 5 6 10 21 34 21
7 4 Huddersfield 20 9 11 1.7 0.9 12 3 5 34 18 39
8 6 Lincoln 21 10 11 1.3 1.2 8 7 6 28 25 31
9 10 Leyton Orient 21 10 11 1.2 1.0 8 4 9 26 20 28
10 21 Crawley Town 21 10 11 1.0 1.7 5 4 12 20 36 19
11 23 Burton 20 9 11 0.8 1.6 2 6 12 17 32 12
12 24 Shrewsbury 20 9 11 1.1 2.0 3 3 14 21 41 12
13 8 Bolton 19 9 10 1.5 1.5 9 4 6 28 29 31
14 3 Wrexham 21 12 9 1.5 0.7 12 6 3 31 14 42
15 5 Stockport 21 12 9 1.6 1.0 10 6 5 34 22 36
16 1 Birmingham 19 11 8 1.8 0.8 14 3 2 35 16 45
17 11 Mansfield 19 11 8 1.2 1.2 8 4 7 23 22 28
18 14 Exeter 20 12 8 0.9 1.1 8 3 9 19 22 27
19 19 Bristol Rvs 20 12 8 0.9 1.4 6 4 10 18 29 22
20 22 Cambridge 20 12 8 1.0 1.8 4 5 11 20 35 17
21 12 Charlton 20 13 7 1.1 0.9 7 6 7 23 19 27
22 17 Wigan 20 13 7 0.9 0.9 6 6 8 19 18 24
23 18 Rotherham 19 13 6 1.0 1.1 6 5 8 19 21 23
24 15 Stevenage 19 14 5 0.8 0.9 7 5 7 15 17 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Barnsley 11 3 8 1.4 1.7 2 5 4 15 19 11
2 3 Wrexham 11 4 7 2.1 0.5 9 2 0 23 6 29
3 6 Lincoln 10 3 7 1.6 1.2 5 2 3 16 12 17
4 16 Peterboro 11 4 7 2.3 1.7 5 2 4 25 19 17
5 8 Bolton 10 4 6 1.5 1.5 5 2 3 15 15 17
6 10 Leyton Orient 11 5 6 1.3 0.8 4 3 4 14 9 15
7 13 Blackpool 9 3 6 1.2 1.2 2 5 2 11 11 11
8 20 Northampton 10 4 6 1.1 1.5 4 2 4 11 15 14
9 23 Burton 11 5 6 0.8 1.6 1 2 8 9 18 5
10 4 Huddersfield 10 5 5 1.6 1.0 7 1 2 16 10 22
11 5 Stockport 11 6 5 1.8 1.1 7 2 2 20 12 23
12 7 Reading 9 4 5 1.9 0.8 7 0 2 17 7 21
13 18 Rotherham 9 4 5 1.4 0.9 5 2 2 13 8 17
14 21 Crawley Town 10 5 5 1.2 1.7 3 2 5 12 17 11
15 24 Shrewsbury 10 5 5 1.0 2.0 2 1 7 10 20 7
16 2 Wycombe 9 5 4 1.7 0.7 6 2 1 15 6 20
17 11 Mansfield 10 6 4 1.3 1.1 4 3 3 13 11 15
18 14 Exeter 10 6 4 1.0 1.0 4 2 4 10 10 14
19 17 Wigan 10 6 4 0.9 0.9 3 3 4 9 9 12
20 1 Birmingham 9 6 3 1.9 0.7 7 2 0 17 6 23
21 12 Charlton 9 6 3 1.1 0.9 3 4 2 10 8 13
22 15 Stevenage 11 8 3 1.1 0.8 6 2 3 12 9 20
23 19 Bristol Rvs 10 7 3 1.0 1.2 4 3 3 10 12 15
24 22 Cambridge 10 7 3 1.3 1.5 3 3 4 13 15 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Wycombe 11 1 10 2.5 1.5 7 3 1 28 16 24
2 13 Blackpool 11 3 8 1.6 1.8 5 1 5 18 20 16
3 16 Peterboro 9 1 8 1.4 2.0 2 1 6 13 18 7
4 7 Reading 11 4 7 1.2 2.1 2 4 5 13 23 10
5 4 Huddersfield 10 4 6 1.8 0.8 5 2 3 18 8 17
6 9 Barnsley 10 4 6 1.4 1.1 6 1 3 14 11 19
7 20 Northampton 11 5 6 0.9 1.7 1 4 6 10 19 7
8 21 Crawley Town 11 5 6 0.7 1.7 2 2 7 8 19 8
9 24 Shrewsbury 10 4 6 1.1 2.1 1 2 7 11 21 5
10 1 Birmingham 10 5 5 1.8 1.0 7 1 2 18 10 22
11 10 Leyton Orient 10 5 5 1.2 1.1 4 1 5 12 11 13
12 19 Bristol Rvs 10 5 5 0.8 1.7 2 1 7 8 17 7
13 22 Cambridge 10 5 5 0.7 2.0 1 2 7 7 20 5
14 23 Burton 9 4 5 0.9 1.6 1 4 4 8 14 7
15 5 Stockport 10 6 4 1.4 1.0 3 4 3 14 10 13
16 6 Lincoln 11 7 4 1.1 1.2 3 5 3 12 13 14
17 8 Bolton 9 5 4 1.4 1.6 4 2 3 13 14 14
18 11 Mansfield 9 5 4 1.1 1.2 4 1 4 10 11 13
19 12 Charlton 11 7 4 1.2 1.0 4 2 5 13 11 14
20 14 Exeter 10 6 4 0.9 1.2 4 1 5 9 12 13
21 17 Wigan 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 3 3 4 10 9 12
22 3 Wrexham 10 8 2 0.8 0.8 3 4 3 8 8 13
23 15 Stevenage 8 6 2 0.4 1.0 1 3 4 3 8 6
24 18 Rotherham 10 9 1 0.6 1.3 1 3 6 6 13 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38