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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: A Chilowicz

Reading 3–1 Burton

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.70 fair 2.25
Draw 4.00 fair 4.02
Away 4.33 fair 3.25
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.15
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.87

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Reading Burton
15 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 5
15 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (101 league matches this season so far).
Result Reading to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
ReadingDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 9.3% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Reading before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.29scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:11
Burton before this match, all matches
0.57points / match
1.14scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:13
Reading all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.14
1.57 Goals conceded 1.86
2.86 Total goals 3.00
13.14 Shots 11.14
4.00 Shots on target 3.43
12.57 Shots faced 12.71
4.29 Corners 5.14
5.57 Corners against 5.00
11.71 Fouls 10.14
1.43 Yellow cards 2.00
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.57
1.14 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

43% Wins 0%
14% Draws 57%
43% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 71%
86% Over 1.5 goals 71%
43% Over 2.5 goals 71%
14% Over 3.5 goals 43%
14% Over 4.5 goals 29%
14% Over 5.5 goals 14%
43% Both teams scored 57%
29% Clean sheets 29%
29% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 0%
29% Draws 57%
43% Losses 43%
86% Over 0.5 goals 71%
43% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Reading all matches
Burton all matches
Reading before this match, at home
2.25points / match
1.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:2
Burton before this match, away
0.75points / match
1.25scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:8
Reading at home away Burton

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.25
0.50 Goals conceded 2.00
2.00 Total goals 3.25
13.00 Shots 13.50
4.25 Shots on target 4.00
11.25 Shots faced 14.50
3.50 Corners 6.50
7.00 Corners against 5.50
11.00 Fouls 10.00
1.25 Yellow cards 2.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

75% Wins 0%
0% Draws 75%
25% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
25% Over 2.5 goals 75%
0% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
25% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
25% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Reading at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Reading all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24 Reading – Huddersfield 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.402.30 1.73 2.08
21.09.24 Bolton – Reading 5–2 (4–1) 1.753.504.50 1.75 2.05
14.09.24 Reading – Leyton Orient 0–1 (0–1) 1.803.754.00 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 Reading – Charlton 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.88 1.98
24.08.24 Wrexham – Reading 3–0 (2–0) 2.053.503.40 1.67 2.15
17.08.24 Reading – Wigan 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.40 2.03 1.83
10.08.24 Birmingham – Reading 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.205.00 1.75 2.05
27.04.24 Reading – Blackpool 3–2 (1–1) 3.603.801.95 1.69 2.07
20.04.24 Burton – Reading 3–2 (3–1) 3.003.402.30 1.88 1.98
13.04.24 Barnsley – Reading 2–2 (1–1) 1.803.754.20 1.65 2.20

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24 Blackpool – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.504.006.50 1.65 2.20
21.09.24 Burton – Barnsley 1–2 (0–1) 3.903.501.91 1.67 2.15
14.09.24 Rotherham – Burton 2–2 (1–1) 1.574.504.75 1.70 2.10
31.08.24 Northampton – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.25 1.93 1.93
24.08.24 Burton – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.302.38 2.05 1.75
17.08.24 Mansfield – Burton 3–3 (2–1) 1.803.704.00 1.80 2.00
10.08.24 Burton – Lincoln 2–3 (2–2) 2.903.402.30 2.10 1.70
27.04.24 Fleetwood Town – Burton 3–0 (2–0) 2.903.802.20 1.63 2.15
20.04.24 Burton – Reading 3–2 (3–1) 3.003.402.30 1.88 1.98
16.04.24 Burton – Cheltenham 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.203.20 2.40 1.53

Reading at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24 Reading – Huddersfield 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.402.30 1.73 2.08
14.09.24 Reading – Leyton Orient 0–1 (0–1) 1.803.754.00 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 Reading – Charlton 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Reading – Wigan 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.40 2.03 1.83
27.04.24 Reading – Blackpool 3–2 (1–1) 3.603.801.95 1.69 2.07
06.04.24 Reading – Lincoln 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.98 1.88
29.03.24 Reading – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.88 1.98
16.03.24 Reading – Cambridge 4–0 (2–0) 1.803.604.75 1.93 1.93
09.03.24 Reading – Wycombe 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.503.20 1.95 1.90
24.02.24 Reading – Shrewsbury 2–3 (2–3) 1.853.604.33 2.00 1.85

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24 Blackpool – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.504.006.50 1.65 2.20
14.09.24 Rotherham – Burton 2–2 (1–1) 1.574.504.75 1.70 2.10
31.08.24 Northampton – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.25 1.93 1.93
17.08.24 Mansfield – Burton 3–3 (2–1) 1.803.704.00 1.80 2.00
27.04.24 Fleetwood Town – Burton 3–0 (2–0) 2.903.802.20 1.63 2.15
13.04.24 Stevenage – Burton 1–2 (0–1) 1.534.206.00 2.10 1.70
29.03.24 Wigan – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 2.08 1.73
16.03.24 Exeter – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.254.00 2.15 1.67
12.03.24 Portsmouth – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.757.50 1.85 2.00
02.03.24 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.75 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Reading winsDrawsBurton wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24E2 Burton – Reading 3–2 (3–1) 3.003.402.30 1.88 1.98
30.09.23E2 Reading – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.75 2.00 1.85

England League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Birmingham 8 7 1 0 17 8 +9 22
2 Wrexham 9 5 2 2 14 7 +7 17
3 Mansfield 8 5 2 1 15 11 +4 17
4 Lincoln 8 4 3 1 13 7 +6 15
5 Stockport 8 4 3 1 13 7 +6 15
6 Blackpool 9 4 3 2 17 14 +3 15
7 Barnsley 9 4 3 2 15 13 +2 15
8 Wycombe 8 4 2 2 16 13 +3 14
9 Stevenage 9 4 2 3 7 5 +2 14
10 Exeter 8 4 1 3 9 6 +3 13
11 Bolton 8 4 1 3 13 13 0 13
12 Charlton 9 4 1 4 9 9 0 13
13 Wigan 9 3 3 3 9 5 +4 12
14 Huddersfield 9 4 0 5 12 11 +1 12
15 Peterboro 9 3 2 4 14 17 -3 11
16 Reading 7 3 1 3 9 11 -2 10
17 Rotherham 9 2 4 3 7 10 -3 10
18 Bristol Rvs 9 3 1 5 10 15 -5 10
19 Northampton 8 2 2 4 10 13 -3 8
20 Leyton Orient 9 2 2 5 9 12 -3 8
21 Crawley Town 8 2 1 5 5 12 -7 7
22 Burton 7 0 4 3 8 13 -5 4
23 Shrewsbury 9 1 1 7 6 15 -9 4
24 Cambridge 8 0 1 7 6 16 -10 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Birmingham 5 4 1 0 10 5 +5 13
2 Wrexham 4 4 0 0 11 3 +8 12
3 Stevenage 5 4 0 1 6 1 +5 12
4 Reading 4 3 0 1 6 2 +4 9
5 Bristol Rvs 5 3 0 2 7 8 -1 9
6 Wigan 5 2 2 1 4 1 +3 8
7 Mansfield 4 2 2 0 8 6 +2 8
8 Blackpool 5 2 2 1 8 7 +1 8
9 Charlton 4 2 1 1 5 3 +2 7
10 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 6 4 +2 6
11 Exeter 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6
12 Stockport 3 2 0 1 5 4 +1 6
13 Barnsley 5 1 3 1 8 8 0 6
14 Huddersfield 4 2 0 2 4 6 -2 6
15 Rotherham 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 5
16 Lincoln 3 1 1 1 5 3 +2 4
17 Bolton 4 1 1 2 5 8 -3 4
18 Shrewsbury 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
19 Peterboro 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
20 Northampton 5 1 1 3 5 9 -4 4
21 Crawley Town 5 1 1 3 3 9 -6 4
22 Leyton Orient 5 0 2 3 4 7 -3 2
23 Burton 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1
24 Cambridge 4 0 1 3 4 8 -4 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 5 3 2 0 8 4 +4 11
2 Stockport 5 2 3 0 8 3 +5 9
3 Birmingham 3 3 0 0 7 3 +4 9
4 Bolton 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9
5 Barnsley 4 3 0 1 7 5 +2 9
6 Mansfield 4 3 0 1 7 5 +2 9
7 Wycombe 5 2 2 1 10 9 +1 8
8 Blackpool 4 2 1 1 9 7 +2 7
9 Exeter 5 2 1 2 5 4 +1 7
10 Peterboro 5 2 1 2 10 10 0 7
11 Huddersfield 5 2 0 3 8 5 +3 6
12 Leyton Orient 4 2 0 2 5 5 0 6
13 Charlton 5 2 0 3 4 6 -2 6
14 Wrexham 5 1 2 2 3 4 -1 5
15 Rotherham 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5
16 Northampton 3 1 1 1 5 4 +1 4
17 Wigan 4 1 1 2 5 4 +1 4
18 Crawley Town 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3
19 Burton 4 0 3 1 5 8 -3 3
20 Stevenage 4 0 2 2 1 4 -3 2
21 Bristol Rvs 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
22 Reading 3 0 1 2 3 9 -6 1
23 Cambridge 4 0 0 4 2 8 -6 0
24 Shrewsbury 4 0 0 4 1 7 -6 0

Reading   Burton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Barnsley 9 1 8 1.7 1.4 4 3 2 15 13 15
2 6 Blackpool 9 2 7 1.9 1.6 4 3 2 17 14 15
3 8 Wycombe 8 1 7 2.0 1.6 4 2 2 16 13 14
4 15 Peterboro 9 3 6 1.6 1.9 3 2 4 14 17 11
5 1 Birmingham 8 3 5 2.1 1.0 7 1 0 17 8 22
6 2 Wrexham 9 4 5 1.6 0.8 5 2 2 14 7 17
7 3 Mansfield 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 5 2 1 15 11 17
8 14 Huddersfield 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 4 0 5 12 11 12
9 18 Bristol Rvs 9 4 5 1.1 1.7 3 1 5 10 15 10
10 19 Northampton 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 2 2 4 10 13 8
11 20 Leyton Orient 9 4 5 1.0 1.3 2 2 5 9 12 8
12 22 Burton 7 2 5 1.1 1.9 0 4 3 8 13 4
13 11 Bolton 8 4 4 1.6 1.6 4 1 3 13 13 13
14 23 Shrewsbury 9 5 4 0.7 1.7 1 1 7 6 15 4
15 4 Lincoln 8 5 3 1.6 0.9 4 3 1 13 7 15
16 10 Exeter 8 5 3 1.1 0.8 4 1 3 9 6 13
17 13 Wigan 9 6 3 1.0 0.6 3 3 3 9 5 12
18 16 Reading 7 4 3 1.3 1.6 3 1 3 9 11 10
19 21 Crawley Town 8 5 3 0.6 1.5 2 1 5 5 12 7
20 24 Cambridge 8 5 3 0.8 2.0 0 1 7 6 16 1
21 5 Stockport 8 6 2 1.6 0.9 4 3 1 13 7 15
22 9 Stevenage 9 7 2 0.8 0.6 4 2 3 7 5 14
23 12 Charlton 9 7 2 1.0 1.0 4 1 4 9 9 13
24 17 Rotherham 9 7 2 0.8 1.1 2 4 3 7 10 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Wrexham 4 0 4 2.8 0.8 4 0 0 11 3 12
2 6 Blackpool 5 1 4 1.6 1.4 2 2 1 8 7 8
3 7 Barnsley 5 1 4 1.6 1.6 1 3 1 8 8 6
4 1 Birmingham 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 4 1 0 10 5 13
5 3 Mansfield 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 2 0 8 6 8
6 18 Bristol Rvs 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 3 0 2 7 8 9
7 19 Northampton 5 2 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 3 5 9 4
8 20 Leyton Orient 5 2 3 0.8 1.4 0 2 3 4 7 2
9 4 Lincoln 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 1 1 1 5 3 4
10 8 Wycombe 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 2 0 1 6 4 6
11 11 Bolton 4 2 2 1.2 2.0 1 1 2 5 8 4
12 14 Huddersfield 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 2 0 2 4 6 6
13 17 Rotherham 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 1 4 5 5
14 21 Crawley Town 5 3 2 0.6 1.8 1 1 3 3 9 4
15 22 Burton 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 0 1 2 3 5 1
16 23 Shrewsbury 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
17 5 Stockport 3 2 1 1.7 1.3 2 0 1 5 4 6
18 9 Stevenage 5 4 1 1.2 0.2 4 0 1 6 1 12
19 10 Exeter 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 0 1 4 2 6
20 12 Charlton 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 1 1 5 3 7
21 13 Wigan 5 4 1 0.8 0.2 2 2 1 4 1 8
22 15 Peterboro 4 3 1 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
23 16 Reading 4 3 1 1.5 0.5 3 0 1 6 2 9
24 24 Cambridge 4 3 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 3 4 8 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Wycombe 5 0 5 2.0 1.8 2 2 1 10 9 8
2 15 Peterboro 5 0 5 2.0 2.0 2 1 2 10 10 7
3 7 Barnsley 4 0 4 1.8 1.2 3 0 1 7 5 9
4 6 Blackpool 4 1 3 2.2 1.8 2 1 1 9 7 7
5 14 Huddersfield 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 0 3 8 5 6
6 22 Burton 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 0 3 1 5 8 3
7 1 Birmingham 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 3 0 0 7 3 9
8 3 Mansfield 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 3 0 1 7 5 9
9 10 Exeter 5 3 2 1.0 0.8 2 1 2 5 4 7
10 11 Bolton 4 2 2 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9
11 13 Wigan 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 1 1 2 5 4 4
12 16 Reading 3 1 2 1.0 3.0 0 1 2 3 9 1
13 18 Bristol Rvs 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
14 19 Northampton 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 1 1 5 4 4
15 20 Leyton Orient 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 0 2 5 5 6
16 23 Shrewsbury 4 2 2 0.2 1.8 0 0 4 1 7 0
17 24 Cambridge 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 0 0 4 2 8 0
18 2 Wrexham 5 4 1 0.6 0.8 1 2 2 3 4 5
19 4 Lincoln 5 4 1 1.6 0.8 3 2 0 8 4 11
20 5 Stockport 5 4 1 1.6 0.6 2 3 0 8 3 9
21 9 Stevenage 4 3 1 0.2 1.0 0 2 2 1 4 2
22 12 Charlton 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 2 0 3 4 6 6
23 21 Crawley Town 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 1 0 2 2 3 3
24 17 Rotherham 5 5 0 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40