Northampton 1–1 Birmingham – England League One, 15 Mar 2025

Match facts

Northampton Birmingham

14 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 3

1 Corners 4

11 Fouls 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (431 league matches this season so far).

Result Birmingham to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.95

Expected goals 0.96 – 1.56

Home / Draw / Away

23% 25% 51%

NorthamptonDrawBirmingham

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

51% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

26% 2

21% 3

14% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

0–1 12.6% 1–1 12% 0–2 9.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Northampton before this match, all matches

1.14points / match

1.00scored / match

1.47conceded / match

10 11 15

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 36:53

Birmingham before this match, all matches

2.34points / match

1.66scored / match

0.66conceded / match

25 7 3

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 58:23

Northampton all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.66

1.47 Goals conceded 0.66

2.47 Total goals 2.31

8.97 Shots 13.14

3.31 Shots on target 4.51

12.58 Shots faced 7.63

3.86 Corners 5.97

5.25 Corners against 3.66

11.06 Fouls 11.97

1.83 Yellow cards 1.80

0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.86

0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.34

How often Full Time

28% Wins 71%

31% Draws 20%

42% Losses 9%

86% Over 0.5 goals 94%

72% Over 1.5 goals 71%

50% Over 2.5 goals 37%

22% Over 3.5 goals 20%

14% Over 4.5 goals 9%

3% Over 5.5 goals 0%

56% Both teams scored 46%

25% Clean sheets 51%

33% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 46%

50% Draws 43%

33% Losses 11%

58% Over 0.5 goals 71%

42% Over 1.5 goals 37%

8% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Northampton all matches

D

1

3

L

3

2

W

1

W

2

L

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

D

1

D

2

1

W

Birmingham all matches

1

W

2

1

W

4

W

1

W

D

2

W

1

W

1

3

L

1

W

2

1

W

Northampton before this match, at home

1.29points / match

1.06scored / match

1.41conceded / match

6 4 7

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 18:24

Birmingham before this match, away

1.94points / match

1.56scored / match

0.94conceded / match

9 4 3

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 25:15

Northampton at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 1.56

1.41 Goals conceded 0.94

2.47 Total goals 2.50

9.18 Shots 10.25

3.53 Shots on target 3.56

11.12 Shots faced 9.25

4.65 Corners 5.06

4.65 Corners against 4.75

9.82 Fouls 13.13

1.76 Yellow cards 1.75

0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.88

0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

35% Wins 56%

24% Draws 25%

41% Losses 19%

82% Over 0.5 goals 94%

71% Over 1.5 goals 75%

53% Over 2.5 goals 44%

18% Over 3.5 goals 25%

18% Over 4.5 goals 13%

6% Over 5.5 goals 0%

47% Both teams scored 56%

29% Clean sheets 38%

41% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 38%

47% Draws 56%

35% Losses 6%

65% Over 0.5 goals 69%

41% Over 1.5 goals 50%

6% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Northampton at home

D

2

1

W

5

L

D

1

L

3

2

W

2

L

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

D

Birmingham away

2

3

L

2

W

2

1

W

1

W

1

D

3

W

1

D

1

W

D

1

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Northampton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Leyton Orient – Northampton	1–2 (0–2)	1.62	3.60	5.75	1.98	1.88
04.03.25	Northampton – Stockport	1–1 (1–0)	4.20	3.10	1.95	2.35	1.57
01.03.25	Exeter – Northampton	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.40	3.30	2.10	1.70
25.02.25	Northampton – Barnsley	1–2 (0–1)	3.40	3.50	2.00	1.95	1.90
22.02.25	Northampton – Bristol Rvs	2–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.70
15.02.25	Northampton – Wrexham	0–2 (0–2)	3.40	3.60	2.00	2.20	1.65
07.02.25	Mansfield – Northampton	0–1 (0–0)	1.75	3.50	4.33	2.05	1.80
01.02.25	Northampton – Huddersfield	3–2 (2–0)	4.75	3.50	1.70	1.93	1.93
28.01.25	Bolton – Northampton	3–1 (2–1)	1.38	4.75	7.00	1.73	2.08
25.01.25	Wycombe – Northampton	0–0 (0–0)	1.33	4.75	9.00	1.75	2.05

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.03.25	Birmingham – Stevenage	2–1 (1–0)	1.53	3.80	6.25	2.20	1.65
08.03.25	Birmingham – Lincoln	1–0 (0–0)	1.50	3.80	6.50	2.08	1.73
04.03.25	Bolton – Birmingham	3–1 (1–1)	3.90	3.25	1.95	2.08	1.73
01.03.25	Birmingham – Wycombe	1–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.60	5.25	2.07	1.69
25.02.25	Birmingham – Leyton Orient	2–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.70	5.50	2.10	1.67
22.02.25	Reading – Birmingham	0–0 (0–0)	7.00	4.33	1.42	1.73	2.08
15.02.25	Birmingham – Charlton	1–0 (1–0)	1.60	4.00	5.00	2.10	1.70
11.02.25	Birmingham – Cambridge	4–0 (3–0)	1.29	5.50	9.00	1.70	2.10
01.02.25	Birmingham – Rotherham	2–1 (0–1)	1.53	4.10	6.00	2.03	1.83
28.01.25	Huddersfield – Birmingham	0–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.10	2.40	2.30	1.60

Northampton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.25	Northampton – Stockport	1–1 (1–0)	4.20	3.10	1.95	2.35	1.57
25.02.25	Northampton – Barnsley	1–2 (0–1)	3.40	3.50	2.00	1.95	1.90
22.02.25	Northampton – Bristol Rvs	2–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.70
15.02.25	Northampton – Wrexham	0–2 (0–2)	3.40	3.60	2.00	2.20	1.65
01.02.25	Northampton – Huddersfield	3–2 (2–0)	4.75	3.50	1.70	1.93	1.93
18.01.25	Northampton – Lincoln	0–1 (0–1)	4.00	3.25	1.95	2.20	1.65
01.01.25	Northampton – Stevenage	0–0 (0–0)	3.50	3.40	2.00	2.35	1.57
21.12.24	Northampton – Charlton	0–5 (0–3)	3.80	3.40	1.95	2.05	1.75
09.12.24	Northampton – Peterboro	2–1 (1–1)	3.60	3.60	1.95	1.57	2.35
23.11.24	Northampton – Cambridge	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	3.00	2.08	1.73

Birmingham away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.25	Bolton – Birmingham	3–1 (1–1)	3.90	3.25	1.95	2.08	1.73
22.02.25	Reading – Birmingham	0–0 (0–0)	7.00	4.33	1.42	1.73	2.08
28.01.25	Huddersfield – Birmingham	0–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.10	2.40	2.30	1.60
23.01.25	Wrexham – Birmingham	1–1 (1–1)	3.30	3.30	2.15	2.20	1.65
04.01.25	Wigan – Birmingham	0–3 (0–2)	4.75	3.40	1.75	2.10	1.70
01.01.25	Stockport – Birmingham	1–1 (0–1)	3.30	3.40	2.10	2.00	1.85
23.12.24	Crawley Town – Birmingham	0–1 (0–0)	7.50	4.50	1.40	1.62	2.25
07.12.24	Barnsley – Birmingham	1–2 (0–0)	3.40	3.50	2.05	1.73	2.08
26.11.24	Exeter – Birmingham	0–2 (0–1)	4.75	3.90	1.62	1.73	2.08
23.11.24	Shrewsbury – Birmingham	3–2 (2–1)	7.50	4.75	1.38	1.67	2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Northampton winsDrawsBirmingham wins

1matches

2.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.11.24E2	Birmingham – Northampton	1–1 (0–0)	1.25	5.50	11.00	1.53	2.40

England League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	35	25	7	3	58	23	+35	82
2	Wycombe	35	19	11	5	61	33	+28	68
3	Wrexham	36	20	8	8	50	30	+20	68
4	Stockport	37	18	11	8	53	34	+19	65
5	Charlton	36	18	9	9	47	31	+16	63
6	Bolton	37	18	6	13	59	55	+4	60
7	Huddersfield	36	17	7	12	47	33	+14	58
8	Reading	36	16	10	10	51	45	+6	58
9	Leyton Orient	36	16	5	15	51	37	+14	53
10	Barnsley	36	15	7	14	50	51	-1	52
11	Blackpool	36	12	15	9	54	48	+6	51
12	Stevenage	36	13	9	14	34	37	-3	48
13	Lincoln	36	12	10	14	48	45	+3	46
14	Rotherham	35	12	8	15	39	41	-2	44
15	Wigan	35	11	10	14	32	34	-2	43
16	Exeter	35	12	7	16	39	50	-11	43
17	Peterboro	36	11	9	16	53	60	-7	42
18	Bristol Rvs	36	12	6	18	39	55	-16	42
19	Mansfield	36	11	8	17	41	50	-9	41
20	Northampton	36	10	11	15	36	53	-17	41
21	Burton	36	7	12	17	36	53	-17	33
22	Crawley Town	36	7	9	20	38	66	-28	30
23	Cambridge	37	7	8	22	35	61	-26	29
24	Shrewsbury	36	7	7	22	34	60	-26	28

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	19	16	3	0	33	8	+25	51
2	Wrexham	19	13	4	2	33	14	+19	43
3	Reading	18	12	3	3	30	14	+16	39
4	Charlton	18	11	5	2	25	11	+14	38
5	Stockport	18	11	4	3	29	17	+12	37
6	Wycombe	17	10	5	2	24	10	+14	35
7	Bolton	19	10	3	6	34	28	+6	33
8	Bristol Rvs	18	9	4	5	28	24	+4	31
9	Leyton Orient	19	9	3	7	27	16	+11	30
10	Rotherham	17	9	3	5	25	17	+8	30
11	Stevenage	19	8	4	7	23	20	+3	28
12	Huddersfield	18	8	4	6	18	15	+3	28
13	Peterboro	18	7	5	6	32	28	+4	26
14	Lincoln	17	7	4	6	26	19	+7	25
15	Exeter	18	7	4	7	26	27	-1	25
16	Blackpool	17	4	11	2	24	21	+3	23
17	Wigan	18	6	4	8	17	20	-3	22
18	Northampton	17	6	4	7	18	24	-6	22
19	Barnsley	18	5	6	7	25	29	-4	21
20	Mansfield	17	5	4	8	17	21	-4	19
21	Cambridge	18	5	4	9	20	25	-5	19
22	Crawley Town	18	4	6	8	20	27	-7	18
23	Shrewsbury	18	5	3	10	18	28	-10	18
24	Burton	18	3	5	10	21	29	-8	14

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Wycombe	18	9	6	3	37	23	+14	33
2	Birmingham	16	9	4	3	25	15	+10	31
3	Barnsley	18	10	1	7	25	22	+3	31
4	Huddersfield	18	9	3	6	29	18	+11	30
5	Stockport	19	7	7	5	24	17	+7	28
6	Blackpool	19	8	4	7	30	27	+3	28
7	Bolton	18	8	3	7	25	27	-2	27
8	Charlton	18	7	4	7	22	20	+2	25
9	Wrexham	17	7	4	6	17	16	+1	25
10	Leyton Orient	17	7	2	8	24	21	+3	23
11	Mansfield	19	6	4	9	24	29	-5	22
12	Wigan	17	5	6	6	15	14	+1	21
13	Lincoln	19	5	6	8	22	26	-4	21
14	Stevenage	17	5	5	7	11	17	-6	20
15	Burton	18	4	7	7	15	24	-9	19
16	Reading	18	4	7	7	21	31	-10	19
17	Northampton	19	4	7	8	18	29	-11	19
18	Exeter	17	5	3	9	13	23	-10	18
19	Peterboro	18	4	4	10	21	32	-11	16
20	Rotherham	18	3	5	10	14	24	-10	14
21	Crawley Town	18	3	3	12	18	39	-21	12
22	Bristol Rvs	18	3	2	13	11	31	-20	11
23	Shrewsbury	18	2	4	12	16	32	-16	10
24	Cambridge	19	2	4	13	15	36	-21	10

Northampton Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Barnsley	36	11	25	1.4	1.4	15	7	14	50	51	52
2	6	Bolton	37	13	24	1.6	1.5	18	6	13	59	55	60
3	11	Blackpool	36	13	23	1.5	1.3	12	15	9	54	48	51
4	17	Peterboro	36	14	22	1.5	1.7	11	9	16	53	60	42
5	2	Wycombe	35	16	19	1.7	0.9	19	11	5	61	33	68
6	8	Reading	36	17	19	1.4	1.2	16	10	10	51	45	58
7	9	Leyton Orient	36	17	19	1.4	1.0	16	5	15	51	37	53
8	19	Mansfield	36	17	19	1.1	1.4	11	8	17	41	50	41
9	20	Northampton	36	18	18	1.0	1.5	10	11	15	36	53	41
10	22	Crawley Town	36	18	18	1.1	1.8	7	9	20	38	66	30
11	3	Wrexham	36	19	17	1.4	0.8	20	8	8	50	30	68
12	13	Lincoln	36	19	17	1.3	1.2	12	10	14	48	45	46
13	18	Bristol Rvs	36	19	17	1.1	1.5	12	6	18	39	55	42
14	21	Burton	36	19	17	1.0	1.5	7	12	17	36	53	33
15	7	Huddersfield	36	20	16	1.3	0.9	17	7	12	47	33	58
16	16	Exeter	35	19	16	1.1	1.4	12	7	16	39	50	43
17	24	Shrewsbury	36	20	16	0.9	1.7	7	7	22	34	60	28
18	5	Charlton	36	21	15	1.3	0.9	18	9	9	47	31	63
19	23	Cambridge	37	22	15	0.9	1.6	7	8	22	35	61	29
20	14	Rotherham	35	21	14	1.1	1.2	12	8	15	39	41	44
21	1	Birmingham	35	22	13	1.7	0.7	25	7	3	58	23	82
22	4	Stockport	37	24	13	1.4	0.9	18	11	8	53	34	65
23	12	Stevenage	36	23	13	0.9	1.0	13	9	14	34	37	48
24	15	Wigan	35	22	13	0.9	1.0	11	10	14	32	34	43

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Bolton	19	5	14	1.8	1.5	10	3	6	34	28	33
2	10	Barnsley	18	5	13	1.4	1.6	5	6	7	25	29	21
3	3	Wrexham	19	8	11	1.7	0.7	13	4	2	33	14	43
4	11	Blackpool	17	6	11	1.4	1.2	4	11	2	24	21	23
5	9	Leyton Orient	19	9	10	1.4	0.8	9	3	7	27	16	30
6	17	Peterboro	18	8	10	1.8	1.6	7	5	6	32	28	26
7	21	Burton	18	8	10	1.2	1.6	3	5	10	21	29	14
8	8	Reading	18	9	9	1.7	0.8	12	3	3	30	14	39
9	13	Lincoln	17	8	9	1.5	1.1	7	4	6	26	19	25
10	14	Rotherham	17	8	9	1.5	1.0	9	3	5	25	17	30
11	16	Exeter	18	9	9	1.4	1.5	7	4	7	26	27	25
12	18	Bristol Rvs	18	9	9	1.6	1.3	9	4	5	28	24	31
13	20	Northampton	17	8	9	1.1	1.4	6	4	7	18	24	22
14	4	Stockport	18	10	8	1.6	0.9	11	4	3	29	17	37
15	12	Stevenage	19	11	8	1.2	1.1	8	4	7	23	20	28
16	15	Wigan	18	10	8	0.9	1.1	6	4	8	17	20	22
17	19	Mansfield	17	9	8	1.0	1.2	5	4	8	17	21	19
18	24	Shrewsbury	18	10	8	1.0	1.6	5	3	10	18	28	18
19	5	Charlton	18	11	7	1.4	0.6	11	5	2	25	11	38
20	22	Crawley Town	18	11	7	1.1	1.5	4	6	8	20	27	18
21	1	Birmingham	19	13	6	1.7	0.4	16	3	0	33	8	51
22	2	Wycombe	17	11	6	1.4	0.6	10	5	2	24	10	35
23	7	Huddersfield	18	13	5	1.0	0.8	8	4	6	18	15	28
24	23	Cambridge	18	13	5	1.1	1.4	5	4	9	20	25	19

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Wycombe	18	5	13	2.1	1.3	9	6	3	37	23	33
2	10	Barnsley	18	6	12	1.4	1.2	10	1	7	25	22	31
3	11	Blackpool	19	7	12	1.6	1.4	8	4	7	30	27	28
4	17	Peterboro	18	6	12	1.2	1.8	4	4	10	21	32	16
5	7	Huddersfield	18	7	11	1.6	1.0	9	3	6	29	18	30
6	19	Mansfield	19	8	11	1.3	1.5	6	4	9	24	29	22
7	22	Crawley Town	18	7	11	1.0	2.2	3	3	12	18	39	12
8	6	Bolton	18	8	10	1.4	1.5	8	3	7	25	27	27
9	8	Reading	18	8	10	1.2	1.7	4	7	7	21	31	19
10	23	Cambridge	19	9	10	0.8	1.9	2	4	13	15	36	10
11	9	Leyton Orient	17	8	9	1.4	1.2	7	2	8	24	21	23
12	20	Northampton	19	10	9	0.9	1.5	4	7	8	18	29	19
13	5	Charlton	18	10	8	1.2	1.1	7	4	7	22	20	25
14	13	Lincoln	19	11	8	1.2	1.4	5	6	8	22	26	21
15	18	Bristol Rvs	18	10	8	0.6	1.7	3	2	13	11	31	11
16	24	Shrewsbury	18	10	8	0.9	1.8	2	4	12	16	32	10
17	1	Birmingham	16	9	7	1.6	0.9	9	4	3	25	15	31
18	16	Exeter	17	10	7	0.8	1.4	5	3	9	13	23	18
19	21	Burton	18	11	7	0.8	1.3	4	7	7	15	24	19
20	3	Wrexham	17	11	6	1.0	0.9	7	4	6	17	16	25
21	4	Stockport	19	14	5	1.3	0.9	7	7	5	24	17	28
22	12	Stevenage	17	12	5	0.6	1.0	5	5	7	11	17	20
23	14	Rotherham	18	13	5	0.8	1.3	3	5	10	14	24	14
24	15	Wigan	17	12	5	0.9	0.8	5	6	6	15	14	21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.