Birmingham 1–0 Lincoln – England League One, 8 Mar 2025

Match facts

Birmingham Lincoln

13 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 0

7 Corners 2

9 Fouls 12

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (413 league matches this season so far).

Result Birmingham to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.91

Expected goals 1.68 – 0.88

Home / Draw / Away

56% 24% 20%

BirminghamDrawLincoln

Under / Over 2.5 goals

53% 47%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 48%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 13% 1–1 11.4% 2–0 10.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches

2.30points / match

1.67scored / match

0.67conceded / match

23 7 3

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 55:22

Lincoln before this match, all matches

1.31points / match

1.37scored / match

1.26conceded / match

12 10 13

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 48:44

Birmingham all matches all matches Lincoln

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.37

0.67 Goals conceded 1.26

2.33 Total goals 2.63

13.24 Shots 10.66

4.61 Shots on target 3.89

7.58 Shots faced 9.40

5.88 Corners 5.11

3.70 Corners against 4.17

12.06 Fouls 13.31

1.70 Yellow cards 2.00

0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.63

0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

70% Wins 34%

21% Draws 29%

9% Losses 37%

94% Over 0.5 goals 89%

73% Over 1.5 goals 71%

36% Over 2.5 goals 49%

21% Over 3.5 goals 26%

9% Over 4.5 goals 20%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

45% Both teams scored 54%

52% Clean sheets 26%

9% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 26%

42% Draws 46%

12% Losses 29%

73% Over 0.5 goals 69%

39% Over 1.5 goals 34%

12% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches

1

W

1

D

1

W

2

1

W

4

W

1

W

D

2

W

1

W

1

3

L

Lincoln all matches

1

W

5

1

W

2

L

1

D

1

D

2

3

L

3

W

1

L

3

4

L

4

1

W

Birmingham before this match, at home

2.65points / match

1.76scored / match

0.41conceded / match

14 3

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 30:7

Lincoln before this match, away

1.17points / match

1.22scored / match

1.39conceded / match

5 6 7

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 22:25

Birmingham at home away Lincoln

Per match

1.76 Goals scored 1.22

0.41 Goals conceded 1.39

2.18 Total goals 2.61

16.06 Shots 9.67

5.59 Shots on target 3.39

6.00 Shots faced 9.89

6.65 Corners 4.61

2.71 Corners against 4.72

11.06 Fouls 13.67

1.65 Yellow cards 2.22

0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

82% Wins 28%

18% Draws 33%

0% Losses 39%

94% Over 0.5 goals 94%

71% Over 1.5 goals 72%

29% Over 2.5 goals 44%

18% Over 3.5 goals 22%

6% Over 4.5 goals 17%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

35% Both teams scored 50%

65% Clean sheets 28%

6% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 28%

29% Draws 33%

18% Losses 39%

76% Over 0.5 goals 72%

29% Over 1.5 goals 22%

12% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home

2

W

2

W

2

W

D

1

W

2

1

W

4

W

1

W

2

W

1

W

Lincoln away

1

L

1

2

L

2

D

1

L

3

L

1

W

1

D

2

3

L

3

W

3

4

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.25	Bolton – Birmingham	3–1 (1–1)	3.90	3.25	1.95	2.08	1.73
01.03.25	Birmingham – Wycombe	1–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.60	5.25	2.07	1.69
25.02.25	Birmingham – Leyton Orient	2–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.70	5.50	2.10	1.67
22.02.25	Reading – Birmingham	0–0 (0–0)	7.00	4.33	1.42	1.73	2.08
15.02.25	Birmingham – Charlton	1–0 (1–0)	1.60	4.00	5.00	2.10	1.70
11.02.25	Birmingham – Cambridge	4–0 (3–0)	1.29	5.50	9.00	1.70	2.10
01.02.25	Birmingham – Rotherham	2–1 (0–1)	1.53	4.10	6.00	2.03	1.83
28.01.25	Huddersfield – Birmingham	0–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.10	2.40	2.30	1.60
23.01.25	Wrexham – Birmingham	1–1 (1–1)	3.30	3.30	2.15	2.20	1.65
18.01.25	Birmingham – Exeter	1–0 (1–0)	1.30	5.00	9.50	1.67	2.15

Lincoln all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.25	Lincoln – Crawley Town	4–1 (3–1)	1.71	3.40	4.75	2.05	1.75
01.03.25	Barnsley – Lincoln	4–3 (2–0)	2.00	3.40	3.60	2.00	1.85
22.02.25	Lincoln – Burton	0–1 (0–0)	1.83	3.40	4.33	2.15	1.67
18.02.25	Mansfield – Lincoln	0–3 (0–1)	2.45	3.25	2.80	2.35	1.57
15.02.25	Leyton Orient – Lincoln	3–2 (2–1)	1.83	3.60	4.00	2.30	1.60
08.02.25	Lincoln – Cambridge	1–1 (1–1)	1.75	3.40	5.00	2.10	1.70
01.02.25	Wigan – Lincoln	1–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.00	2.88	2.70	1.44
28.01.25	Lincoln – Blackpool	0–2 (0–1)	2.38	3.30	2.90	2.08	1.73
25.01.25	Lincoln – Peterboro	5–1 (2–0)	1.91	3.40	3.80	1.88	1.98
18.01.25	Northampton – Lincoln	0–1 (0–1)	4.00	3.25	1.95	2.20	1.65

Birmingham at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Birmingham – Wycombe	1–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.60	5.25	2.07	1.69
25.02.25	Birmingham – Leyton Orient	2–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.70	5.50	2.10	1.67
15.02.25	Birmingham – Charlton	1–0 (1–0)	1.60	4.00	5.00	2.10	1.70
11.02.25	Birmingham – Cambridge	4–0 (3–0)	1.29	5.50	9.00	1.70	2.10
01.02.25	Birmingham – Rotherham	2–1 (0–1)	1.53	4.10	6.00	2.03	1.83
18.01.25	Birmingham – Exeter	1–0 (1–0)	1.30	5.00	9.50	1.67	2.15
29.12.24	Birmingham – Blackpool	0–0 (0–0)	1.48	4.50	6.00	1.70	2.10
26.12.24	Birmingham – Burton	2–0 (1–0)	1.20	6.50	11.00	1.53	2.40
14.12.24	Birmingham – Bristol Rvs	2–0 (2–0)	1.25	6.00	10.00	1.53	2.40
04.12.24	Birmingham – Stockport	2–0 (2–0)	1.62	3.90	5.00	1.80	2.00

Lincoln away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Barnsley – Lincoln	4–3 (2–0)	2.00	3.40	3.60	2.00	1.85
18.02.25	Mansfield – Lincoln	0–3 (0–1)	2.45	3.25	2.80	2.35	1.57
15.02.25	Leyton Orient – Lincoln	3–2 (2–1)	1.83	3.60	4.00	2.30	1.60
01.02.25	Wigan – Lincoln	1–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.00	2.88	2.70	1.44
18.01.25	Northampton – Lincoln	0–1 (0–1)	4.00	3.25	1.95	2.20	1.65
29.12.24	Bolton – Lincoln	3–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.05	1.80
26.12.24	Shrewsbury – Lincoln	1–0 (1–0)	4.20	3.60	1.80	2.05	1.75
14.12.24	Huddersfield – Lincoln	2–2 (0–2)	1.80	3.60	4.10	2.08	1.73
03.12.24	Rotherham – Lincoln	2–1 (1–0)	2.45	3.20	2.88	2.35	1.57
26.11.24	Wrexham – Lincoln	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.20	3.75	2.15	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Birmingham winsDrawsLincoln wins

1matches

4.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.10.24E2	Lincoln – Birmingham	1–3 (1–1)	4.00	3.30	1.91	2.05	1.75

England League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	33	23	7	3	55	22	+33	76
2	Wycombe	34	19	10	5	60	32	+28	67
3	Wrexham	34	19	8	7	49	28	+21	65
4	Stockport	36	17	11	8	52	34	+18	62
5	Charlton	35	17	9	9	46	31	+15	60
6	Huddersfield	35	17	7	11	47	32	+15	58
7	Bolton	34	17	6	11	55	50	+5	57
8	Reading	35	15	10	10	49	45	+4	55
9	Leyton Orient	35	16	5	14	50	35	+15	53
10	Barnsley	35	15	7	13	50	48	+2	52
11	Stevenage	34	13	8	13	32	34	-2	47
12	Lincoln	35	12	10	13	48	44	+4	46
13	Blackpool	34	10	15	9	49	47	+2	45
14	Rotherham	34	12	8	14	39	40	-1	44
15	Wigan	34	10	10	14	31	34	-3	40
16	Mansfield	34	11	7	16	40	47	-7	40
17	Peterboro	34	10	8	16	51	59	-8	38
18	Northampton	35	9	11	15	34	52	-18	38
19	Exeter	33	10	7	16	35	50	-15	37
20	Bristol Rvs	34	10	6	18	35	53	-18	36
21	Burton	35	7	12	16	35	51	-16	33
22	Crawley Town	35	7	9	19	38	65	-27	30
23	Cambridge	34	7	8	19	34	57	-23	29
24	Shrewsbury	35	7	7	21	34	58	-24	28

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	17	14	3	0	30	7	+23	45
2	Wrexham	18	12	4	2	32	14	+18	40
3	Charlton	18	11	5	2	25	11	+14	38
4	Stockport	18	11	4	3	29	17	+12	37
5	Reading	17	11	3	3	28	14	+14	36
6	Wycombe	17	10	5	2	24	10	+14	35
7	Bolton	18	10	3	5	34	27	+7	33
8	Leyton Orient	18	9	3	6	26	14	+12	30
9	Rotherham	17	9	3	5	25	17	+8	30
10	Huddersfield	18	8	4	6	18	15	+3	28
11	Stevenage	18	8	3	7	22	19	+3	27
12	Lincoln	17	7	4	6	26	19	+7	25
13	Peterboro	17	7	4	6	31	27	+4	25
14	Bristol Rvs	16	7	4	5	24	22	+2	25
15	Northampton	17	6	4	7	18	24	-6	22
16	Barnsley	17	5	6	6	25	26	-1	21
17	Blackpool	16	3	11	2	22	20	+2	20
18	Cambridge	17	5	4	8	20	24	-4	19
19	Mansfield	17	5	4	8	17	21	-4	19
20	Wigan	17	5	4	8	16	20	-4	19
21	Exeter	16	5	4	7	22	27	-5	19
22	Crawley Town	17	4	6	7	20	26	-6	18
23	Shrewsbury	18	5	3	10	18	28	-10	18
24	Burton	17	3	5	9	20	27	-7	14

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Wycombe	17	9	5	3	36	22	+14	32
2	Birmingham	16	9	4	3	25	15	+10	31
3	Barnsley	18	10	1	7	25	22	+3	31
4	Huddersfield	17	9	3	5	29	17	+12	30
5	Stockport	18	6	7	5	23	17	+6	25
6	Wrexham	16	7	4	5	17	14	+3	25
7	Blackpool	18	7	4	7	27	27	0	25
8	Bolton	16	7	3	6	21	23	-2	24
9	Leyton Orient	17	7	2	8	24	21	+3	23
10	Charlton	17	6	4	7	21	20	+1	22
11	Wigan	17	5	6	6	15	14	+1	21
12	Mansfield	17	6	3	8	23	26	-3	21
13	Lincoln	18	5	6	7	22	25	-3	21
14	Stevenage	16	5	5	6	10	15	-5	20
15	Burton	18	4	7	7	15	24	-9	19
16	Reading	18	4	7	7	21	31	-10	19
17	Exeter	17	5	3	9	13	23	-10	18
18	Northampton	18	3	7	8	16	28	-12	16
19	Rotherham	17	3	5	9	14	23	-9	14
20	Peterboro	17	3	4	10	20	32	-12	13
21	Crawley Town	18	3	3	12	18	39	-21	12
22	Bristol Rvs	18	3	2	13	11	31	-20	11
23	Shrewsbury	17	2	4	11	16	30	-14	10
24	Cambridge	17	2	4	11	14	33	-19	10

Birmingham Lincoln

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Barnsley	35	11	24	1.4	1.4	15	7	13	50	48	52
2	7	Bolton	34	12	22	1.6	1.5	17	6	11	55	50	57
3	17	Peterboro	34	12	22	1.5	1.7	10	8	16	51	59	38
4	13	Blackpool	34	13	21	1.4	1.4	10	15	9	49	47	45
5	2	Wycombe	34	15	19	1.8	0.9	19	10	5	60	32	67
6	8	Reading	35	16	19	1.4	1.3	15	10	10	49	45	55
7	16	Mansfield	34	15	19	1.2	1.4	11	7	16	40	47	40
8	9	Leyton Orient	35	17	18	1.4	1.0	16	5	14	50	35	53
9	22	Crawley Town	35	17	18	1.1	1.9	7	9	19	38	65	30
10	3	Wrexham	34	17	17	1.4	0.8	19	8	7	49	28	65
11	12	Lincoln	35	18	17	1.4	1.3	12	10	13	48	44	46
12	18	Northampton	35	18	17	1.0	1.5	9	11	15	34	52	38
13	6	Huddersfield	35	19	16	1.3	0.9	17	7	11	47	32	58
14	19	Exeter	33	17	16	1.1	1.5	10	7	16	35	50	37
15	20	Bristol Rvs	34	18	16	1.0	1.6	10	6	18	35	53	36
16	21	Burton	35	19	16	1.0	1.5	7	12	16	35	51	33
17	24	Shrewsbury	35	19	16	1.0	1.7	7	7	21	34	58	28
18	5	Charlton	35	20	15	1.3	0.9	17	9	9	46	31	60
19	14	Rotherham	34	20	14	1.1	1.2	12	8	14	39	40	44
20	23	Cambridge	34	20	14	1.0	1.7	7	8	19	34	57	29
21	4	Stockport	36	23	13	1.4	0.9	17	11	8	52	34	62
22	15	Wigan	34	21	13	0.9	1.0	10	10	14	31	34	40
23	1	Birmingham	33	21	12	1.7	0.7	23	7	3	55	22	76
24	11	Stevenage	34	22	12	0.9	1.0	13	8	13	32	34	47

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Bolton	18	4	14	1.9	1.5	10	3	5	34	27	33
2	10	Barnsley	17	5	12	1.5	1.5	5	6	6	25	26	21
3	3	Wrexham	18	7	11	1.8	0.8	12	4	2	32	14	40
4	13	Blackpool	16	6	10	1.4	1.2	3	11	2	22	20	20
5	17	Peterboro	17	7	10	1.8	1.6	7	4	6	31	27	25
6	8	Reading	17	8	9	1.6	0.8	11	3	3	28	14	36
7	9	Leyton Orient	18	9	9	1.4	0.8	9	3	6	26	14	30
8	12	Lincoln	17	8	9	1.5	1.1	7	4	6	26	19	25
9	14	Rotherham	17	8	9	1.5	1.0	9	3	5	25	17	30
10	18	Northampton	17	8	9	1.1	1.4	6	4	7	18	24	22
11	19	Exeter	16	7	9	1.4	1.7	5	4	7	22	27	19
12	21	Burton	17	8	9	1.2	1.6	3	5	9	20	27	14
13	4	Stockport	18	10	8	1.6	0.9	11	4	3	29	17	37
14	11	Stevenage	18	10	8	1.2	1.1	8	3	7	22	19	27
15	15	Wigan	17	9	8	0.9	1.2	5	4	8	16	20	19
16	16	Mansfield	17	9	8	1.0	1.2	5	4	8	17	21	19
17	20	Bristol Rvs	16	8	8	1.5	1.4	7	4	5	24	22	25
18	24	Shrewsbury	18	10	8	1.0	1.6	5	3	10	18	28	18
19	5	Charlton	18	11	7	1.4	0.6	11	5	2	25	11	38
20	22	Crawley Town	17	10	7	1.2	1.5	4	6	7	20	26	18
21	2	Wycombe	17	11	6	1.4	0.6	10	5	2	24	10	35
22	1	Birmingham	17	12	5	1.8	0.4	14	3	0	30	7	45
23	6	Huddersfield	18	13	5	1.0	0.8	8	4	6	18	15	28
24	23	Cambridge	17	12	5	1.2	1.4	5	4	8	20	24	19

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Wycombe	17	4	13	2.1	1.3	9	5	3	36	22	32
2	10	Barnsley	18	6	12	1.4	1.2	10	1	7	25	22	31
3	17	Peterboro	17	5	12	1.2	1.9	3	4	10	20	32	13
4	6	Huddersfield	17	6	11	1.7	1.0	9	3	5	29	17	30
5	13	Blackpool	18	7	11	1.5	1.5	7	4	7	27	27	25
6	16	Mansfield	17	6	11	1.4	1.5	6	3	8	23	26	21
7	22	Crawley Town	18	7	11	1.0	2.2	3	3	12	18	39	12
8	8	Reading	18	8	10	1.2	1.7	4	7	7	21	31	19
9	9	Leyton Orient	17	8	9	1.4	1.2	7	2	8	24	21	23
10	23	Cambridge	17	8	9	0.8	1.9	2	4	11	14	33	10
11	5	Charlton	17	9	8	1.2	1.2	6	4	7	21	20	22
12	7	Bolton	16	8	8	1.3	1.4	7	3	6	21	23	24
13	12	Lincoln	18	10	8	1.2	1.4	5	6	7	22	25	21
14	18	Northampton	18	10	8	0.9	1.6	3	7	8	16	28	16
15	20	Bristol Rvs	18	10	8	0.6	1.7	3	2	13	11	31	11
16	24	Shrewsbury	17	9	8	0.9	1.8	2	4	11	16	30	10
17	1	Birmingham	16	9	7	1.6	0.9	9	4	3	25	15	31
18	19	Exeter	17	10	7	0.8	1.4	5	3	9	13	23	18
19	21	Burton	18	11	7	0.8	1.3	4	7	7	15	24	19
20	3	Wrexham	16	10	6	1.1	0.9	7	4	5	17	14	25
21	4	Stockport	18	13	5	1.3	0.9	6	7	5	23	17	25
22	14	Rotherham	17	12	5	0.8	1.4	3	5	9	14	23	14
23	15	Wigan	17	12	5	0.9	0.8	5	6	6	15	14	21
24	11	Stevenage	16	12	4	0.6	0.9	5	5	6	10	15	20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.