Luton 1–1 Leeds – England Championship, 5 Apr 2025 | BetGPS

Match facts

Luton Leeds

8 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 5

0 Corners 5

15 Fouls 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (469 league matches this season so far).

Result Leeds to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.93

Expected goals 0.94 – 1.56

Home / Draw / Away

23% 25% 52%

LutonDrawLeeds

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 48%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

0–1 12.8% 1–1 12% 0–2 10%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches

0.97points / match

0.90scored / match

1.54conceded / match

10 8 21

WonDrawnLost 39 played · 35:60

Leeds before this match, all matches

2.08points / match

2.00scored / match

0.69conceded / match

23 12 4

WonDrawnLost 39 played · 78:27

Luton all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

0.90 Goals scored 2.00

1.54 Goals conceded 0.69

2.44 Total goals 2.69

11.00 Shots 16.67

3.36 Shots on target 5.59

12.46 Shots faced 6.62

5.82 Corners 7.31

5.00 Corners against 3.13

12.49 Fouls 10.69

1.82 Yellow cards 1.51

0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.82

0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

26% Wins 59%

21% Draws 31%

54% Losses 10%

92% Over 0.5 goals 92%

67% Over 1.5 goals 79%

46% Over 2.5 goals 44%

21% Over 3.5 goals 28%

13% Over 4.5 goals 10%

5% Over 5.5 goals 10%

49% Both teams scored 36%

23% Clean sheets 54%

36% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 46%

44% Draws 26%

31% Losses 28%

64% Over 0.5 goals 79%

33% Over 1.5 goals 31%

8% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches

1

D

2

L

1

L

1

D

2

L

1

W

4

L

2

1

W

D

1

W

Leeds all matches

7

W

2

W

4

W

2

1

W

3

1

W

1

D

1

L

2

W

2

D

2

D

Luton before this match, at home

1.42points / match

1.05scored / match

1.00conceded / match

7 6 6

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 20:19

Leeds before this match, away

1.68points / match

1.53scored / match

0.84conceded / match

8 8 3

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 29:16

Luton at home away Leeds

Per match

1.05 Goals scored 1.53

1.00 Goals conceded 0.84

2.05 Total goals 2.37

13.00 Shots 14.89

3.79 Shots on target 4.89

10.74 Shots faced 7.79

6.95 Corners 6.11

4.32 Corners against 3.68

12.16 Fouls 10.74

1.68 Yellow cards 1.68

0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.58

0.26 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

37% Wins 42%

32% Draws 42%

32% Losses 16%

89% Over 0.5 goals 84%

58% Over 1.5 goals 63%

42% Over 2.5 goals 32%

11% Over 3.5 goals 32%

5% Over 4.5 goals 11%

0% Over 5.5 goals 11%

53% Both teams scored 37%

32% Clean sheets 47%

26% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 26%

58% Draws 32%

11% Losses 42%

47% Over 0.5 goals 74%

16% Over 1.5 goals 26%

5% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home

1

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

L

D

1

L

1

L

1

D

1

W

D

Leeds away

1

D

2

W

1

W

3

D

2

W

4

W

3

1

W

1

L

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.03.25	Hull – Luton	0–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.25	2.30	1.62
15.03.25	Luton – Middlesbrough	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.95	1.90
11.03.25	Cardiff – Luton	1–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.25	1.57
08.03.25	Burnley – Luton	4–0 (2–0)	1.62	3.60	6.00	2.38	1.57
01.03.25	Luton – Portsmouth	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.05	1.80
23.02.25	Watford – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.50	2.88	2.20	1.67
19.02.25	Luton – Plymouth	1–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	2.00	1.80
15.02.25	Luton – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.50	2.15	2.20	1.67
12.02.25	Sunderland – Luton	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.80	5.00	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Sheffield Weds – Luton	1–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.25	3.70	2.20	1.67

Leeds all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.03.25	Leeds – Swansea	2–2 (1–0)	1.22	6.00	12.00	1.73	2.10
15.03.25	QPR – Leeds	2–2 (2–1)	6.00	4.33	1.50	2.00	1.85
12.03.25	Leeds – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	1.29	5.25	10.00	1.98	1.88
09.03.25	Portsmouth – Leeds	1–0 (0–0)	7.50	4.50	1.40	1.73	2.10
01.03.25	Leeds – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	1.36	4.50	9.00	1.80	2.00
24.02.25	Sheffield United – Leeds	1–3 (1–0)	3.90	3.70	1.85	2.05	1.80
17.02.25	Leeds – Sunderland	2–1 (0–1)	1.53	4.00	6.00	1.93	1.93
11.02.25	Watford – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.73	2.10
05.02.25	Coventry – Leeds	0–2 (0–2)	4.00	3.60	1.85	1.93	1.93
01.02.25	Leeds – Cardiff	7–0 (2–0)	1.29	5.50	9.00	1.73	2.10

Luton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Luton – Middlesbrough	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.95	1.90
01.03.25	Luton – Portsmouth	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.05	1.80
19.02.25	Luton – Plymouth	1–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	2.00	1.80
15.02.25	Luton – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.50	2.15	2.20	1.67
25.01.25	Luton – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.25	2.63	1.50
18.01.25	Luton – Preston	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.50	2.20	1.67
01.01.25	Luton – Norwich	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.70	1.93	1.93
20.12.24	Luton – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.20	3.50	2.30	1.62
10.12.24	Luton – Stoke	2–1 (1–1)	2.05	3.30	3.60	1.93	1.93
07.12.24	Luton – Swansea	1–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.25	3.25	2.03	1.83

Leeds away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	QPR – Leeds	2–2 (2–1)	6.00	4.33	1.50	2.00	1.85
09.03.25	Portsmouth – Leeds	1–0 (0–0)	7.50	4.50	1.40	1.73	2.10
24.02.25	Sheffield United – Leeds	1–3 (1–0)	3.90	3.70	1.85	2.05	1.80
11.02.25	Watford – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.73	2.10
05.02.25	Coventry – Leeds	0–2 (0–2)	4.00	3.60	1.85	1.93	1.93
27.01.25	Burnley – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.50	1.53
04.01.25	Hull – Leeds	3–3 (1–0)	5.50	4.20	1.55	1.93	1.93
29.12.24	Derby – Leeds	0–1 (0–0)	5.00	4.20	1.60	2.10	1.73
26.12.24	Stoke – Leeds	0–2 (0–1)	6.25	4.20	1.50	1.90	1.95
14.12.24	Preston – Leeds	1–1 (1–0)	4.75	4.00	1.67	2.10	1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Luton winsDrawsLeeds wins

1matches

3.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.11.24E1	Leeds – Luton	3–0 (2–0)	1.42	4.20	8.00	1.80	2.00

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	39	26	7	6	56	29	+27	85
2	Leeds	39	23	12	4	78	27	+51	81
3	Burnley	39	22	15	2	53	11	+42	81
4	Sunderland	39	20	12	7	56	37	+19	72
5	Middlesbrough	40	17	9	14	61	49	+12	60
6	Coventry	39	17	8	14	56	51	+5	59
7	West Brom	39	13	18	8	48	35	+13	57
8	Bristol City	39	14	15	10	49	42	+7	57
9	Watford	39	15	8	16	47	51	-4	53
10	Norwich	39	13	13	13	61	54	+7	52
11	Blackburn	40	15	7	18	42	43	-1	52
12	Sheffield Weds	39	14	10	15	54	60	-6	52
13	Millwall	39	13	12	14	37	40	-3	51
14	Preston	39	10	17	12	39	46	-7	47
15	QPR	39	11	12	16	45	53	-8	45
16	Swansea	39	12	9	18	40	51	-11	45
17	Portsmouth	39	12	9	18	47	61	-14	45
18	Stoke	39	10	12	17	40	52	-12	42
19	Oxford	39	10	12	17	40	57	-17	42
20	Derby	39	11	8	20	42	51	-9	41
21	Hull	39	10	11	18	39	48	-9	41
22	Cardiff	39	9	13	17	43	63	-20	40
23	Luton	39	10	8	21	35	60	-25	38
24	Plymouth	39	7	13	19	40	77	-37	34

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	20	15	4	1	49	11	+38	49
2	Sheffield United	20	14	3	3	30	15	+15	45
3	Sunderland	20	12	7	1	32	15	+17	43
4	Burnley	20	11	9	0	28	5	+23	42
5	Bristol City	19	10	6	3	28	15	+13	36
6	Coventry	19	11	3	5	34	22	+12	36
7	Watford	20	11	3	6	24	19	+5	36
8	West Brom	19	9	8	2	25	12	+13	35
9	Portsmouth	20	10	5	5	29	18	+11	35
10	Middlesbrough	20	10	5	5	29	21	+8	35
11	Norwich	20	9	7	4	45	27	+18	34
12	Blackburn	20	10	3	7	26	19	+7	33
13	Oxford	19	9	5	5	27	25	+2	32
14	Preston	19	7	10	2	21	15	+6	31
15	Derby	20	9	3	8	25	17	+8	30
16	Stoke	20	7	8	5	26	22	+4	29
17	Millwall	19	8	4	7	20	17	+3	28
18	QPR	19	7	6	6	29	26	+3	27
19	Luton	19	7	6	6	20	19	+1	27
20	Swansea	19	7	5	7	25	21	+4	26
21	Plymouth	19	6	7	6	32	34	-2	25
22	Cardiff	20	7	4	9	23	25	-2	25
23	Sheffield Weds	19	5	7	7	27	28	-1	22
24	Hull	20	4	7	9	21	25	-4	19

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	19	12	4	3	26	14	+12	40
2	Burnley	19	11	6	2	25	6	+19	39
3	Leeds	19	8	8	3	29	16	+13	32
4	Sheffield Weds	20	9	3	8	27	32	-5	30
5	Sunderland	19	8	5	6	24	22	+2	29
6	Middlesbrough	20	7	4	9	32	28	+4	25
7	Millwall	20	5	8	7	17	23	-6	23
8	Coventry	20	6	5	9	22	29	-7	23
9	West Brom	20	4	10	6	23	23	0	22
10	Hull	19	6	4	9	18	23	-5	22
11	Bristol City	20	4	9	7	21	27	-6	21
12	Blackburn	20	5	4	11	16	24	-8	19
13	Swansea	20	5	4	11	15	30	-15	19
14	Norwich	19	4	6	9	16	27	-11	18
15	QPR	20	4	6	10	16	27	-11	18
16	Watford	19	4	5	10	23	32	-9	17
17	Preston	20	3	7	10	18	31	-13	16
18	Cardiff	19	2	9	8	20	38	-18	15
19	Stoke	19	3	4	12	14	30	-16	13
20	Derby	19	2	5	12	17	34	-17	11
21	Luton	20	3	2	15	15	41	-26	11
22	Oxford	20	1	7	12	13	32	-19	10
23	Portsmouth	19	2	4	13	18	43	-25	10
24	Plymouth	20	1	6	13	8	43	-35	9

Luton Leeds

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	39	14	25	1.2	1.6	12	9	18	47	61	45
2	6	Coventry	39	17	22	1.4	1.3	17	8	14	56	51	59
3	9	Watford	39	17	22	1.2	1.3	15	8	16	47	51	53
4	12	Sheffield Weds	39	17	22	1.4	1.5	14	10	15	54	60	52
5	24	Plymouth	39	18	21	1.0	2.0	7	13	19	40	77	34
6	15	QPR	39	19	20	1.2	1.4	11	12	16	45	53	45
7	4	Sunderland	39	20	19	1.4	0.9	20	12	7	56	37	72
8	5	Middlesbrough	40	21	19	1.5	1.2	17	9	14	61	49	60
9	10	Norwich	39	20	19	1.6	1.4	13	13	13	61	54	52
10	16	Swansea	39	21	18	1.0	1.3	12	9	18	40	51	45
11	22	Cardiff	39	21	18	1.1	1.6	9	13	17	43	63	40
12	23	Luton	39	21	18	0.9	1.5	10	8	21	35	60	38
13	2	Leeds	39	22	17	2.0	0.7	23	12	4	78	27	81
14	14	Preston	39	23	16	1.0	1.2	10	17	12	39	46	47
15	18	Stoke	39	23	16	1.0	1.3	10	12	17	40	52	42
16	20	Derby	39	23	16	1.1	1.3	11	8	20	42	51	41
17	8	Bristol City	39	24	15	1.3	1.1	14	15	10	49	42	57
18	11	Blackburn	40	25	15	1.1	1.1	15	7	18	42	43	52
19	19	Oxford	39	24	15	1.0	1.5	10	12	17	40	57	42
20	1	Sheffield United	39	25	14	1.4	0.7	26	7	6	56	29	85
21	7	West Brom	39	26	13	1.2	0.9	13	18	8	48	35	57
22	21	Hull	39	26	13	1.0	1.2	10	11	18	39	48	41
23	13	Millwall	39	29	10	0.9	1.0	13	12	14	37	40	51
24	3	Burnley	39	30	9	1.4	0.3	22	15	2	53	11	81

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Coventry	19	5	14	1.8	1.2	11	3	5	34	22	36
2	24	Plymouth	19	6	13	1.7	1.8	6	7	6	32	34	25
3	10	Norwich	20	8	12	2.2	1.4	9	7	4	45	27	34
4	15	QPR	19	7	12	1.5	1.4	7	6	6	29	26	27
5	17	Portsmouth	20	8	12	1.4	0.9	10	5	5	29	18	35
6	2	Leeds	20	9	11	2.5	0.6	15	4	1	49	11	49
7	9	Watford	20	9	11	1.2	0.9	11	3	6	24	19	36
8	4	Sunderland	20	11	9	1.6	0.8	12	7	1	32	15	43
9	18	Stoke	20	11	9	1.3	1.1	7	8	5	26	22	29
10	5	Middlesbrough	20	12	8	1.4	1.1	10	5	5	29	21	35
11	8	Bristol City	19	11	8	1.5	0.8	10	6	3	28	15	36
12	12	Sheffield Weds	19	11	8	1.4	1.5	5	7	7	27	28	22
13	16	Swansea	19	11	8	1.3	1.1	7	5	7	25	21	26
14	23	Luton	19	11	8	1.1	1.0	7	6	6	20	19	27
15	1	Sheffield United	20	13	7	1.5	0.8	14	3	3	30	15	45
16	11	Blackburn	20	13	7	1.3	0.9	10	3	7	26	19	33
17	19	Oxford	19	12	7	1.4	1.3	9	5	5	27	25	32
18	20	Derby	20	13	7	1.2	0.8	9	3	8	25	17	30
19	21	Hull	20	13	7	1.1	1.2	4	7	9	21	25	19
20	22	Cardiff	20	13	7	1.1	1.2	7	4	9	23	25	25
21	14	Preston	19	13	6	1.1	0.8	7	10	2	21	15	31
22	3	Burnley	20	15	5	1.4	0.2	11	9	0	28	5	42
23	7	West Brom	19	14	5	1.3	0.6	9	8	2	25	12	35
24	13	Millwall	19	14	5	1.1	0.9	8	4	7	20	17	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Sheffield Weds	20	6	14	1.4	1.6	9	3	8	27	32	30
2	17	Portsmouth	19	6	13	0.9	2.3	2	4	13	18	43	10
3	5	Middlesbrough	20	9	11	1.6	1.4	7	4	9	32	28	25
4	9	Watford	19	8	11	1.2	1.7	4	5	10	23	32	17
5	22	Cardiff	19	8	11	1.1	2.0	2	9	8	20	38	15
6	4	Sunderland	19	9	10	1.3	1.2	8	5	6	24	22	29
7	14	Preston	20	10	10	0.9	1.6	3	7	10	18	31	16
8	16	Swansea	20	10	10	0.8	1.5	5	4	11	15	30	19
9	23	Luton	20	10	10	0.8	2.0	3	2	15	15	41	11
10	20	Derby	19	10	9	0.9	1.8	2	5	12	17	34	11
11	6	Coventry	20	12	8	1.1	1.4	6	5	9	22	29	23
12	7	West Brom	20	12	8	1.1	1.1	4	10	6	23	23	22
13	11	Blackburn	20	12	8	0.8	1.2	5	4	11	16	24	19
14	15	QPR	20	12	8	0.8	1.4	4	6	10	16	27	18
15	19	Oxford	20	12	8	0.7	1.6	1	7	12	13	32	10
16	24	Plymouth	20	12	8	0.4	2.1	1	6	13	8	43	9
17	1	Sheffield United	19	12	7	1.4	0.7	12	4	3	26	14	40
18	8	Bristol City	20	13	7	1.1	1.4	4	9	7	21	27	21
19	10	Norwich	19	12	7	0.8	1.4	4	6	9	16	27	18
20	18	Stoke	19	12	7	0.7	1.6	3	4	12	14	30	13
21	2	Leeds	19	13	6	1.5	0.8	8	8	3	29	16	32
22	21	Hull	19	13	6	0.9	1.2	6	4	9	18	23	22
23	13	Millwall	20	15	5	0.8	1.1	5	8	7	17	23	23
24	3	Burnley	19	15	4	1.3	0.3	11	6	2	25	6	39

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.