Luton 1–0 Portsmouth – England Championship, 1 Mar 2025

Match facts

Luton Portsmouth

10 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 1

2 Corners 7

10 Fouls 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (412 league matches this season so far).

Result Luton to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.78

Expected goals 1.60 – 1.21

Home / Draw / Away

46% 25% 29%

LutonDrawPortsmouth

Under / Over 2.5 goals

47% 53%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 56%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

15% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.7% 1–0 9.6% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches

0.82points / match

0.91scored / match

1.62conceded / match

7 7 20

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 31:55

Portsmouth before this match, all matches

1.15points / match

1.26scored / match

1.65conceded / match

10 9 15

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 43:56

Luton all matches all matches Portsmouth

Per match

0.91 Goals scored 1.26

1.62 Goals conceded 1.65

2.53 Total goals 2.91

11.18 Shots 11.24

3.41 Shots on target 3.68

12.65 Shots faced 13.88

6.03 Corners 5.82

4.85 Corners against 5.74

12.41 Fouls 12.32

1.88 Yellow cards 2.35

0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.68

0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

21% Wins 29%

21% Draws 26%

59% Losses 44%

94% Over 0.5 goals 88%

71% Over 1.5 goals 79%

47% Over 2.5 goals 68%

21% Over 3.5 goals 32%

15% Over 4.5 goals 12%

6% Over 5.5 goals 9%

53% Both teams scored 56%

18% Clean sheets 21%

35% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 35%

41% Draws 32%

32% Losses 32%

68% Over 0.5 goals 74%

35% Over 1.5 goals 44%

9% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches

1

L

1

2

L

D

2

3

L

1

L

1

D

2

L

1

L

1

D

2

L

Portsmouth all matches

3

L

2

1

W

3

1

W

1

5

L

1

L

D

1

2

L

2

1

W

2

W

2

1

W

Luton before this match, at home

1.35points / match

1.12scored / match

1.12conceded / match

6 5 6

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 19:19

Portsmouth before this match, away

0.59points / match

1.00scored / match

2.35conceded / match

2 4 11

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 17:40

Luton at home away Portsmouth

Per match

1.12 Goals scored 1.00

1.12 Goals conceded 2.35

2.24 Total goals 3.35

12.82 Shots 8.65

3.82 Shots on target 2.82

11.18 Shots faced 17.41

7.12 Corners 3.82

4.24 Corners against 7.18

11.94 Fouls 12.35

1.65 Yellow cards 2.71

0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.65

0.29 1st-half goals conceded 1.29

How often Full Time

35% Wins 12%

29% Draws 24%

35% Losses 65%

94% Over 0.5 goals 100%

65% Over 1.5 goals 88%

47% Over 2.5 goals 71%

12% Over 3.5 goals 35%

6% Over 4.5 goals 18%

0% Over 5.5 goals 18%

59% Both teams scored 59%

24% Clean sheets 6%

24% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 29%

59% Draws 29%

12% Losses 41%

47% Over 0.5 goals 82%

18% Over 1.5 goals 59%

6% Over 2.5 goals 41%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home

1

W

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

L

D

1

L

1

L

1

D

Portsmouth away

1

L

2

D

4

L

1

2

L

3

L

1

L

3

L

1

5

L

1

2

L

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.02.25	Watford – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.50	2.88	2.20	1.67
19.02.25	Luton – Plymouth	1–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	2.00	1.80
15.02.25	Luton – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.50	2.15	2.20	1.67
12.02.25	Sunderland – Luton	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.80	5.00	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Sheffield Weds – Luton	1–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.25	3.70	2.20	1.67
25.01.25	Luton – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.25	2.63	1.50
21.01.25	Oxford – Luton	3–2 (1–2)	2.90	3.20	2.50	2.30	1.62
18.01.25	Luton – Preston	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.50	2.20	1.67
06.01.25	QPR – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	2.40	3.25	2.90	2.20	1.67
01.01.25	Luton – Norwich	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.70	1.93	1.93

Portsmouth all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.25	Portsmouth – QPR	2–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	2.90	2.10	1.73
15.02.25	Oxford – Portsmouth	0–2 (0–0)	2.35	3.20	3.10	2.20	1.67
11.02.25	Portsmouth – Cardiff	2–1 (2–1)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.20	1.67
08.02.25	Sheffield United – Portsmouth	2–1 (1–1)	1.50	4.50	5.75	1.88	1.98
01.02.25	Portsmouth – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	5.00	3.40	1.75	2.20	1.67
28.01.25	Portsmouth – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.00	3.10	2.63	1.50
25.01.25	West Brom – Portsmouth	5–1 (4–0)	1.62	3.90	5.00	1.98	1.88
22.01.25	Portsmouth – Stoke	3–1 (2–1)	2.45	3.25	2.88	2.00	1.85
18.01.25	Portsmouth – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	4.50	3.60	1.75	1.67	2.20
15.01.25	Blackburn – Portsmouth	3–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.80	4.75	1.98	1.88

Luton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.02.25	Luton – Plymouth	1–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	2.00	1.80
15.02.25	Luton – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.50	2.15	2.20	1.67
25.01.25	Luton – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.25	2.63	1.50
18.01.25	Luton – Preston	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.50	2.20	1.67
01.01.25	Luton – Norwich	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.70	1.93	1.93
20.12.24	Luton – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.20	3.50	2.30	1.62
10.12.24	Luton – Stoke	2–1 (1–1)	2.05	3.30	3.60	1.93	1.93
07.12.24	Luton – Swansea	1–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.25	3.25	2.03	1.83
23.11.24	Luton – Hull	1–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.50	3.75	1.90	1.95
06.11.24	Luton – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.20	1.83	2.03

Portsmouth away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.25	Oxford – Portsmouth	0–2 (0–0)	2.35	3.20	3.10	2.20	1.67
08.02.25	Sheffield United – Portsmouth	2–1 (1–1)	1.50	4.50	5.75	1.88	1.98
25.01.25	West Brom – Portsmouth	5–1 (4–0)	1.62	3.90	5.00	1.98	1.88
15.01.25	Blackburn – Portsmouth	3–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.80	4.75	1.98	1.88
05.01.25	Sunderland – Portsmouth	1–0 (1–0)	1.48	4.50	6.00	1.80	2.00
29.12.24	Bristol City – Portsmouth	3–0 (3–0)	1.67	3.75	4.75	1.95	1.90
26.12.24	Watford – Portsmouth	2–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.33	1.85	2.00
13.12.24	Derby – Portsmouth	4–0 (3–0)	2.05	3.20	3.75	2.30	1.62
30.11.24	Swansea – Portsmouth	2–2 (1–2)	1.70	4.10	4.33	1.85	2.00
05.11.24	Plymouth – Portsmouth	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.60	3.00	1.73	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Luton winsDrawsPortsmouth wins

1matches

0.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.08.24E1	Portsmouth – Luton	0–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.40	2.25	1.75	2.05

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	35	22	10	3	72	22	+50	76
2	Sheffield United	34	22	6	6	48	26	+22	72
3	Burnley	34	18	14	2	43	9	+34	68
4	Sunderland	35	18	11	6	52	32	+20	65
5	Coventry	35	15	8	12	49	44	+5	53
6	West Brom	35	12	16	7	45	32	+13	52
7	Blackburn	35	15	7	13	40	35	+5	52
8	Bristol City	34	12	13	9	43	38	+5	49
9	Norwich	35	12	12	11	56	48	+8	48
10	Watford	34	14	6	14	45	48	-3	48
11	Middlesbrough	34	13	8	13	54	46	+8	47
12	Millwall	34	11	12	11	34	34	0	45
13	Sheffield Weds	35	12	9	14	47	56	-9	45
14	QPR	34	11	11	12	40	43	-3	44
15	Preston	34	9	15	10	36	41	-5	42
16	Swansea	34	11	7	16	37	46	-9	40
17	Portsmouth	34	10	9	15	43	56	-13	39
18	Oxford	35	9	11	15	36	52	-16	38
19	Cardiff	34	8	12	14	37	55	-18	36
20	Stoke	34	8	11	15	34	47	-13	35
21	Hull	34	8	9	17	33	44	-11	33
22	Plymouth	34	6	12	16	36	68	-32	30
23	Derby	34	7	8	19	33	47	-14	29
24	Luton	34	7	7	20	31	55	-24	28

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	18	14	3	1	45	9	+36	45
2	Sheffield United	17	12	2	3	25	13	+12	38
3	Sunderland	17	10	6	1	28	13	+15	36
4	Burnley	17	9	8	0	22	4	+18	35
5	Blackburn	18	10	3	5	25	15	+10	33
6	Bristol City	17	9	5	3	25	13	+12	32
7	Watford	17	10	2	5	22	17	+5	32
8	West Brom	17	8	7	2	23	11	+12	31
9	Norwich	17	8	6	3	41	23	+18	30
10	Coventry	17	9	3	5	28	20	+8	30
11	Portsmouth	17	8	5	4	26	16	+10	29
12	Oxford	18	8	5	5	26	25	+1	29
13	Preston	17	6	9	2	19	14	+5	27
14	Middlesbrough	17	7	5	5	24	19	+5	26
15	QPR	17	7	5	5	26	22	+4	26
16	Millwall	17	7	4	6	19	15	+4	25
17	Plymouth	17	6	7	4	30	28	+2	25
18	Cardiff	17	7	3	7	20	20	0	24
19	Swansea	17	6	5	6	24	19	+5	23
20	Luton	17	6	5	6	19	19	0	23
21	Stoke	17	5	7	5	22	21	+1	22
22	Sheffield Weds	18	5	7	6	27	27	0	22
23	Derby	17	6	3	8	19	16	+3	21
24	Hull	17	2	7	8	17	23	-6	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	17	10	4	3	23	13	+10	34
2	Burnley	17	9	6	2	21	5	+16	33
3	Leeds	17	8	7	2	27	13	+14	31
4	Sunderland	18	8	5	5	24	19	+5	29
5	Coventry	18	6	5	7	21	24	-3	23
6	Sheffield Weds	17	7	2	8	20	29	-9	23
7	Middlesbrough	17	6	3	8	30	27	+3	21
8	West Brom	18	4	9	5	22	21	+1	21
9	Millwall	17	4	8	5	15	19	-4	20
10	Hull	17	6	2	9	16	21	-5	20
11	Blackburn	17	5	4	8	15	20	-5	19
12	QPR	17	4	6	7	14	21	-7	18
13	Norwich	18	4	6	8	15	25	-10	18
14	Bristol City	17	3	8	6	18	25	-7	17
15	Swansea	17	5	2	10	13	27	-14	17
16	Watford	17	4	4	9	23	31	-8	16
17	Preston	17	3	6	8	17	27	-10	15
18	Stoke	17	3	4	10	12	26	-14	13
19	Cardiff	17	1	9	7	17	35	-18	12
20	Portsmouth	17	2	4	11	17	40	-23	10
21	Oxford	17	1	6	10	10	27	-17	9
22	Derby	17	1	5	11	14	31	-17	8
23	Luton	17	1	2	14	12	36	-24	5
24	Plymouth	17	0	5	12	6	40	-34	5

Luton Portsmouth

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	34	11	23	1.3	1.6	10	9	15	43	56	39
2	10	Watford	34	13	21	1.3	1.4	14	6	14	45	48	48
3	13	Sheffield Weds	35	15	20	1.3	1.6	12	9	14	47	56	45
4	5	Coventry	35	16	19	1.4	1.3	15	8	12	49	44	53
5	22	Plymouth	34	16	18	1.1	2.0	6	12	16	36	68	30
6	4	Sunderland	35	18	17	1.5	0.9	18	11	6	52	32	65
7	9	Norwich	35	18	17	1.6	1.4	12	12	11	56	48	48
8	11	Middlesbrough	34	17	17	1.6	1.4	13	8	13	54	46	47
9	16	Swansea	34	17	17	1.1	1.4	11	7	16	37	46	40
10	14	QPR	34	18	16	1.2	1.3	11	11	12	40	43	44
11	24	Luton	34	18	16	0.9	1.6	7	7	20	31	55	28
12	1	Leeds	35	20	15	2.1	0.6	22	10	3	72	22	76
13	15	Preston	34	19	15	1.1	1.2	9	15	10	36	41	42
14	8	Bristol City	34	20	14	1.3	1.1	12	13	9	43	38	49
15	19	Cardiff	34	20	14	1.1	1.6	8	12	14	37	55	36
16	20	Stoke	34	20	14	1.0	1.4	8	11	15	34	47	35
17	23	Derby	34	20	14	1.0	1.4	7	8	19	33	47	29
18	6	West Brom	35	22	13	1.3	0.9	12	16	7	45	32	52
19	7	Blackburn	35	22	13	1.1	1.0	15	7	13	40	35	52
20	18	Oxford	35	22	13	1.0	1.5	9	11	15	36	52	38
21	2	Sheffield United	34	22	12	1.4	0.8	22	6	6	48	26	72
22	21	Hull	34	22	12	1.0	1.3	8	9	17	33	44	33
23	12	Millwall	34	25	9	1.0	1.0	11	12	11	34	34	45
24	3	Burnley	34	27	7	1.3	0.3	18	14	2	43	9	68

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Coventry	17	5	12	1.6	1.2	9	3	5	28	20	30
2	9	Norwich	17	6	11	2.4	1.4	8	6	3	41	23	30
3	17	Portsmouth	17	6	11	1.5	0.9	8	5	4	26	16	29
4	22	Plymouth	17	6	11	1.8	1.6	6	7	4	30	28	25
5	1	Leeds	18	8	10	2.5	0.5	14	3	1	45	9	45
6	10	Watford	17	7	10	1.3	1.0	10	2	5	22	17	32
7	14	QPR	17	7	10	1.5	1.3	7	5	5	26	22	26
8	4	Sunderland	17	9	8	1.6	0.8	10	6	1	28	13	36
9	13	Sheffield Weds	18	10	8	1.5	1.5	5	7	6	27	27	22
10	16	Swansea	17	9	8	1.4	1.1	6	5	6	24	19	23
11	20	Stoke	17	9	8	1.3	1.2	5	7	5	22	21	22
12	24	Luton	17	9	8	1.1	1.1	6	5	6	19	19	23
13	8	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.5	0.8	9	5	3	25	13	32
14	18	Oxford	18	11	7	1.4	1.4	8	5	5	26	25	29
15	2	Sheffield United	17	11	6	1.5	0.8	12	2	3	25	13	38
16	7	Blackburn	18	12	6	1.4	0.8	10	3	5	25	15	33
17	11	Middlesbrough	17	11	6	1.4	1.1	7	5	5	24	19	26
18	21	Hull	17	11	6	1.0	1.4	2	7	8	17	23	13
19	23	Derby	17	11	6	1.1	0.9	6	3	8	19	16	21
20	6	West Brom	17	12	5	1.4	0.6	8	7	2	23	11	31
21	12	Millwall	17	12	5	1.1	0.9	7	4	6	19	15	25
22	15	Preston	17	12	5	1.1	0.8	6	9	2	19	14	27
23	19	Cardiff	17	12	5	1.2	1.2	7	3	7	20	20	24
24	3	Burnley	17	13	4	1.3	0.2	9	8	0	22	4	35

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Sheffield Weds	17	5	12	1.2	1.7	7	2	8	20	29	23
2	17	Portsmouth	17	5	12	1.0	2.4	2	4	11	17	40	10
3	10	Watford	17	6	11	1.4	1.8	4	4	9	23	31	16
4	11	Middlesbrough	17	6	11	1.8	1.6	6	3	8	30	27	21
5	15	Preston	17	7	10	1.0	1.6	3	6	8	17	27	15
6	4	Sunderland	18	9	9	1.3	1.1	8	5	5	24	19	29
7	16	Swansea	17	8	9	0.8	1.6	5	2	10	13	27	17
8	19	Cardiff	17	8	9	1.0	2.1	1	9	7	17	35	12
9	6	West Brom	18	10	8	1.2	1.2	4	9	5	22	21	21
10	23	Derby	17	9	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	11	14	31	8
11	24	Luton	17	9	8	0.7	2.1	1	2	14	12	36	5
12	5	Coventry	18	11	7	1.2	1.3	6	5	7	21	24	23
13	7	Blackburn	17	10	7	0.9	1.2	5	4	8	15	20	19
14	8	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.1	1.5	3	8	6	18	25	17
15	22	Plymouth	17	10	7	0.4	2.4	0	5	12	6	40	5
16	2	Sheffield United	17	11	6	1.4	0.8	10	4	3	23	13	34
17	9	Norwich	18	12	6	0.8	1.4	4	6	8	15	25	18
18	14	QPR	17	11	6	0.8	1.2	4	6	7	14	21	18
19	18	Oxford	17	11	6	0.6	1.6	1	6	10	10	27	9
20	20	Stoke	17	11	6	0.7	1.5	3	4	10	12	26	13
21	21	Hull	17	11	6	0.9	1.2	6	2	9	16	21	20
22	1	Leeds	17	12	5	1.6	0.8	8	7	2	27	13	31
23	12	Millwall	17	13	4	0.9	1.1	4	8	5	15	19	20
24	3	Burnley	17	14	3	1.2	0.3	9	6	2	21	5	33

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.