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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: J Oldham

Stevenage 0–1 Cardiff

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.75 fair 2.36
Draw 3.20 fair 3.56
Away ✓ 2.40 fair 3.39
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.68
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.48

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stevenage Cardiff
2 Shots 11
0 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 6
18 Fouls 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (216 league matches this season so far).
Result Stevenage to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.28 – 1.02
Home / Draw / Away
StevenageDrawCardiff
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.1% 1–0 12.8% 0–1 10.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Stevenage before this match, all matches
1.94points / match
1.19scored / match
0.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 19:11
Cardiff before this match, all matches
2.06points / match
1.82scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 31:17
Stevenage all matches all matches Cardiff

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 1.82
0.69 Goals conceded 1.00
1.88 Total goals 2.82
9.13 Shots 14.35
3.50 Shots on target 5.24
9.88 Shots faced 14.12
4.38 Corners 4.76
3.75 Corners against 5.59
12.88 Fouls 10.41
2.19 Yellow cards 1.82
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.35

How often Full Time

56% Wins 65%
25% Draws 12%
19% Losses 24%
88% Over 0.5 goals 94%
50% Over 1.5 goals 71%
25% Over 2.5 goals 59%
13% Over 3.5 goals 35%
13% Over 4.5 goals 12%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
38% Both teams scored 47%
44% Clean sheets 41%
31% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 35%
63% Draws 41%
13% Losses 24%
56% Over 0.5 goals 65%
25% Over 1.5 goals 18%
6% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stevenage all matches
Cardiff all matches
Stevenage before this match, at home
2.43points / match
1.29scored / match
0.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:2
Cardiff before this match, away
1.75points / match
1.13scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:6
Stevenage at home away Cardiff

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.13
0.29 Goals conceded 0.75
1.57 Total goals 1.88
10.00 Shots 12.75
3.29 Shots on target 3.38
8.43 Shots faced 15.88
3.86 Corners 4.13
3.71 Corners against 5.88
11.43 Fouls 9.50
2.14 Yellow cards 1.38
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.13

How often Full Time

71% Wins 50%
29% Draws 25%
0% Losses 25%
86% Over 0.5 goals 88%
57% Over 1.5 goals 50%
14% Over 2.5 goals 25%
0% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
29% Both teams scored 38%
71% Clean sheets 50%
14% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 25%
71% Draws 63%
0% Losses 13%
57% Over 0.5 goals 38%
29% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stevenage at home
Cardiff away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stevenage all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Wigan – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.152.953.40 2.50 1.50
25.11.25 Peterboro – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.052.85 2.15 1.67
22.11.25 Stevenage – Doncaster 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.304.00 2.15 1.67
06.11.25 Reading – Stevenage 1–0 (1–0) 2.753.252.45 2.15 1.67
25.10.25 Stevenage – Bradford 1–1 (1–1) 2.323.252.85 2.10 1.70
18.10.25 Lincoln – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.252.95 2.30 1.60
04.10.25 Stevenage – Luton 2–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.50 2.15 1.67
27.09.25 Leyton Orient – Stevenage 2–3 (1–1) 2.503.202.65 2.20 1.65
20.09.25 Stevenage – Exeter 2–1 (1–1) 1.763.404.50 2.25 1.62
13.09.25 Mansfield – Stevenage 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.252.75 2.25 1.62

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Cardiff – Huddersfield 3–2 (1–0) 2.053.603.20 1.67 2.15
29.11.25 Cardiff – Mansfield 3–0 (1–0) 1.793.604.10 1.70 2.10
22.11.25 Northampton – Cardiff 1–3 (0–1) 3.403.502.01 2.03 1.83
08.11.25 Blackpool – Cardiff 3–1 (0–0) 3.503.401.96 1.93 1.93
25.10.25 Bolton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.863.603.60 1.67 2.15
18.10.25 Cardiff – Reading 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.005.25 1.70 2.10
04.10.25 Cardiff – Leyton Orient 4–3 (1–1) 1.623.904.75 1.70 2.10
30.09.25 Cardiff – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.374.337.00 1.70 2.10
27.09.25 Wigan – Cardiff 0–2 (0–1) 2.653.302.45 2.08 1.73
20.09.25 Cardiff – Bradford 1–3 (0–2) 1.793.504.20 1.85 2.00

Stevenage at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25 Stevenage – Doncaster 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.304.00 2.15 1.67
25.10.25 Stevenage – Bradford 1–1 (1–1) 2.323.252.85 2.10 1.70
04.10.25 Stevenage – Luton 2–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.50 2.15 1.67
20.09.25 Stevenage – Exeter 2–1 (1–1) 1.763.404.50 2.25 1.62
30.08.25 Stevenage – Wycombe 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.00 2.35 1.57
16.08.25 Stevenage – Northampton 2–0 (0–0) 1.673.405.50 2.25 1.62
09.08.25 Stevenage – Rotherham 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 2.20 1.65
27.04.25 Stevenage – Rotherham 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.253.10 2.15 1.67
24.04.25 Stevenage – Birmingham 0–1 (0–0) 3.903.601.85 2.15 1.67
18.04.25 Stevenage – Blackpool 1–3 (0–0) 2.883.102.55 2.15 1.67

Cardiff away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25 Northampton – Cardiff 1–3 (0–1) 3.403.502.01 2.03 1.83
08.11.25 Blackpool – Cardiff 3–1 (0–0) 3.503.401.96 1.93 1.93
25.10.25 Bolton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.863.603.60 1.67 2.15
27.09.25 Wigan – Cardiff 0–2 (0–1) 2.653.302.45 2.08 1.73
13.09.25 Stockport – Cardiff 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.502.45 2.03 1.83
23.08.25 Luton – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.303.70 2.05 1.75
19.08.25 AFC Wimbledon – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.402.10 2.20 1.65
07.08.25 Port Vale – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.60 2.00 1.85
03.05.25E1 Norwich – Cardiff 4–2 (3–0) 1.584.334.75 1.57 2.38
18.04.25E1 Sheffield United – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 1.573.756.00 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 17 11 2 4 31 17 +14 35
2 Bradford 18 9 7 2 26 18 +8 34
3 Lincoln 19 10 4 5 26 19 +7 34
4 Stockport 18 9 5 4 25 21 +4 32
5 Bolton 18 8 7 3 25 16 +9 31
6 Stevenage 16 9 4 3 19 11 +8 31
7 Luton 19 8 4 7 22 23 -1 28
8 Huddersfield 19 8 3 8 31 29 +2 27
9 AFC Wimbledon 18 8 2 8 23 26 -3 26
10 Barnsley 16 7 4 5 27 22 +5 25
11 Wigan 18 6 7 5 21 20 +1 25
12 Leyton Orient 19 7 4 8 30 30 0 25
13 Wycombe 19 6 6 7 26 21 +5 24
14 Rotherham 18 6 6 6 20 20 0 24
15 Northampton 18 7 3 8 17 18 -1 24
16 Reading 17 5 7 5 20 20 0 22
17 Mansfield 18 6 4 8 23 24 -1 22
18 Burton 18 6 4 8 16 24 -8 22
19 Doncaster 19 6 4 9 17 26 -9 22
20 Exeter 18 6 2 10 17 18 -1 20
21 Plymouth 19 6 1 12 20 32 -12 19
22 Peterboro 17 5 1 11 19 25 -6 16
23 Blackpool 18 4 4 10 17 28 -11 16
24 Port Vale 18 3 5 10 11 21 -10 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 10 7 2 1 18 9 +9 23
2 Bolton 9 6 3 0 18 4 +14 21
3 Cardiff 9 7 0 2 22 11 +11 21
4 Bradford 9 6 2 1 15 9 +6 20
5 Wycombe 10 5 2 3 19 11 +8 17
6 Huddersfield 9 5 2 2 17 10 +7 17
7 Stevenage 7 5 2 0 9 2 +7 17
8 Wigan 9 5 2 2 11 5 +6 17
9 Leyton Orient 10 4 4 2 16 10 +6 16
10 Rotherham 9 4 4 1 14 9 +5 16
11 Stockport 9 4 3 2 10 9 +1 15
12 Reading 9 4 3 2 9 8 +1 15
13 Exeter 9 4 2 3 13 8 +5 14
14 Mansfield 9 4 2 3 14 10 +4 14
15 Northampton 10 4 2 4 10 9 +1 14
16 Doncaster 10 4 2 4 12 12 0 14
17 Luton 9 4 2 3 8 8 0 14
18 Barnsley 7 4 1 2 15 9 +6 13
19 AFC Wimbledon 8 4 1 3 10 7 +3 13
20 Blackpool 9 3 3 3 13 15 -2 12
21 Peterboro 9 3 1 5 12 11 +1 10
22 Burton 9 3 1 5 6 14 -8 10
23 Plymouth 9 2 1 6 8 14 -6 7
24 Port Vale 9 1 3 5 5 11 -6 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 9 5 2 2 15 12 +3 17
2 Cardiff 8 4 2 2 9 6 +3 14
3 Bradford 9 3 5 1 11 9 +2 14
4 Stevenage 9 4 2 3 10 9 +1 14
5 Luton 10 4 2 4 14 15 -1 14
6 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 1 5 13 19 -6 13
7 Burton 9 3 3 3 10 10 0 12
8 Barnsley 9 3 3 3 12 13 -1 12
9 Plymouth 10 4 0 6 12 18 -6 12
10 Lincoln 9 3 2 4 8 10 -2 11
11 Northampton 8 3 1 4 7 9 -2 10
12 Huddersfield 10 3 1 6 14 19 -5 10
13 Bolton 9 2 4 3 7 12 -5 10
14 Leyton Orient 9 3 0 6 14 20 -6 9
15 Port Vale 9 2 2 5 6 10 -4 8
16 Wigan 9 1 5 3 10 15 -5 8
17 Mansfield 9 2 2 5 9 14 -5 8
18 Rotherham 9 2 2 5 6 11 -5 8
19 Doncaster 9 2 2 5 5 14 -9 8
20 Reading 8 1 4 3 11 12 -1 7
21 Wycombe 9 1 4 4 7 10 -3 7
22 Exeter 9 2 0 7 4 10 -6 6
23 Peterboro 8 2 0 6 7 14 -7 6
24 Blackpool 9 1 1 7 4 13 -9 4

Stevenage   Cardiff

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Huddersfield 19 6 13 1.6 1.5 8 3 8 31 29 27
2 12 Leyton Orient 19 8 11 1.6 1.6 7 4 8 30 30 25
3 1 Cardiff 17 7 10 1.8 1.0 11 2 4 31 17 35
4 2 Bradford 18 8 10 1.4 1.0 9 7 2 26 18 34
5 9 AFC Wimbledon 18 8 10 1.3 1.4 8 2 8 23 26 26
6 22 Peterboro 17 7 10 1.1 1.5 5 1 11 19 25 16
7 4 Stockport 18 9 9 1.4 1.2 9 5 4 25 21 32
8 10 Barnsley 16 7 9 1.7 1.4 7 4 5 27 22 25
9 13 Wycombe 19 10 9 1.4 1.1 6 6 7 26 21 24
10 14 Rotherham 18 9 9 1.1 1.1 6 6 6 20 20 24
11 17 Mansfield 18 9 9 1.3 1.3 6 4 8 23 24 22
12 18 Burton 18 9 9 0.9 1.3 6 4 8 16 24 22
13 19 Doncaster 19 10 9 0.9 1.4 6 4 9 17 26 22
14 21 Plymouth 19 10 9 1.1 1.7 6 1 12 20 32 19
15 3 Lincoln 19 11 8 1.4 1.0 10 4 5 26 19 34
16 7 Luton 19 11 8 1.2 1.2 8 4 7 22 23 28
17 23 Blackpool 18 11 7 0.9 1.6 4 4 10 17 28 16
18 5 Bolton 18 12 6 1.4 0.9 8 7 3 25 16 31
19 11 Wigan 18 12 6 1.2 1.1 6 7 5 21 20 25
20 15 Northampton 18 12 6 0.9 1.0 7 3 8 17 18 24
21 16 Reading 17 11 6 1.2 1.2 5 7 5 20 20 22
22 24 Port Vale 18 12 6 0.6 1.2 3 5 10 11 21 14
23 20 Exeter 18 13 5 0.9 1.0 6 2 10 17 18 20
24 6 Stevenage 16 12 4 1.2 0.7 9 4 3 19 11 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Cardiff 9 1 8 2.4 1.2 7 0 2 22 11 21
2 2 Bradford 9 3 6 1.7 1.0 6 2 1 15 9 20
3 8 Huddersfield 9 3 6 1.9 1.1 5 2 2 17 10 17
4 13 Wycombe 10 4 6 1.9 1.1 5 2 3 19 11 17
5 3 Lincoln 10 5 5 1.8 0.9 7 2 1 18 9 23
6 14 Rotherham 9 4 5 1.6 1.0 4 4 1 14 9 16
7 18 Burton 9 4 5 0.7 1.6 3 1 5 6 14 10
8 19 Doncaster 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 4 2 4 12 12 14
9 22 Peterboro 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 3 1 5 12 11 10
10 23 Blackpool 9 4 5 1.4 1.7 3 3 3 13 15 12
11 5 Bolton 9 5 4 2.0 0.4 6 3 0 18 4 21
12 10 Barnsley 7 3 4 2.1 1.3 4 1 2 15 9 13
13 12 Leyton Orient 10 6 4 1.6 1.0 4 4 2 16 10 16
14 17 Mansfield 9 5 4 1.6 1.1 4 2 3 14 10 14
15 21 Plymouth 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 2 1 6 8 14 7
16 24 Port Vale 9 5 4 0.6 1.2 1 3 5 5 11 6
17 4 Stockport 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 4 3 2 10 9 15
18 9 AFC Wimbledon 8 5 3 1.2 0.9 4 1 3 10 7 13
19 15 Northampton 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 4 2 4 10 9 14
20 20 Exeter 9 6 3 1.4 0.9 4 2 3 13 8 14
21 7 Luton 9 7 2 0.9 0.9 4 2 3 8 8 14
22 11 Wigan 9 7 2 1.2 0.6 5 2 2 11 5 17
23 16 Reading 9 7 2 1.0 0.9 4 3 2 9 8 15
24 6 Stevenage 7 6 1 1.3 0.3 5 2 0 9 2 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Huddersfield 10 3 7 1.4 1.9 3 1 6 14 19 10
2 9 AFC Wimbledon 10 3 7 1.3 1.9 4 1 5 13 19 13
3 12 Leyton Orient 9 2 7 1.6 2.2 3 0 6 14 20 9
4 4 Stockport 9 3 6 1.7 1.3 5 2 2 15 12 17
5 7 Luton 10 4 6 1.4 1.5 4 2 4 14 15 14
6 10 Barnsley 9 4 5 1.3 1.4 3 3 3 12 13 12
7 17 Mansfield 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 2 2 5 9 14 8
8 21 Plymouth 10 5 5 1.2 1.8 4 0 6 12 18 12
9 22 Peterboro 8 3 5 0.9 1.8 2 0 6 7 14 6
10 2 Bradford 9 5 4 1.2 1.0 3 5 1 11 9 14
11 11 Wigan 9 5 4 1.1 1.7 1 5 3 10 15 8
12 14 Rotherham 9 5 4 0.7 1.2 2 2 5 6 11 8
13 16 Reading 8 4 4 1.4 1.5 1 4 3 11 12 7
14 18 Burton 9 5 4 1.1 1.1 3 3 3 10 10 12
15 19 Doncaster 9 5 4 0.6 1.6 2 2 5 5 14 8
16 3 Lincoln 9 6 3 0.9 1.1 3 2 4 8 10 11
17 6 Stevenage 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 4 2 3 10 9 14
18 13 Wycombe 9 6 3 0.8 1.1 1 4 4 7 10 7
19 15 Northampton 8 5 3 0.9 1.1 3 1 4 7 9 10
20 1 Cardiff 8 6 2 1.1 0.8 4 2 2 9 6 14
21 5 Bolton 9 7 2 0.8 1.3 2 4 3 7 12 10
22 20 Exeter 9 7 2 0.4 1.1 2 0 7 4 10 6
23 23 Blackpool 9 7 2 0.4 1.4 1 1 7 4 13 4
24 24 Port Vale 9 7 2 0.7 1.1 2 2 5 6 10 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51