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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: C Breakspear

Sutton 2–1 Swindon

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.64
Draw 3.20 fair 3.55
Away 3.50 fair 2.95
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.70
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.43

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sutton Swindon
22 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
8 Corners 5
19 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (347 league matches this season so far).
Result Sutton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.20 – 1.12
Home / Draw / Away
SuttonDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.2% 1–0 11.7% 0–1 10.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Sutton before this match, all matches
1.37points / match
1.00scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 30:37
Swindon before this match, all matches
1.45points / match
1.28scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 37:32
Sutton all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.28
1.23 Goals conceded 1.10
2.23 Total goals 2.38
11.57 Shots 13.55
4.03 Shots on target 4.62
9.83 Shots faced 11.41
5.00 Corners 6.14
4.77 Corners against 4.62
12.27 Fouls 9.41
1.77 Yellow cards 1.83
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

37% Wins 38%
27% Draws 31%
37% Losses 31%
93% Over 0.5 goals 90%
70% Over 1.5 goals 69%
43% Over 2.5 goals 41%
13% Over 3.5 goals 14%
3% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
47% Both teams scored 48%
27% Clean sheets 31%
33% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 21%
53% Draws 59%
23% Losses 21%
70% Over 0.5 goals 62%
33% Over 1.5 goals 31%
7% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sutton all matches
Swindon all matches
Sutton before this match, at home
1.93points / match
1.14scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 16:12
Swindon before this match, away
1.36points / match
1.07scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:17
Sutton at home away Swindon

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.07
0.86 Goals conceded 1.21
2.00 Total goals 2.29
11.71 Shots 12.64
4.21 Shots on target 4.14
9.36 Shots faced 12.93
4.79 Corners 5.43
4.29 Corners against 5.00
11.21 Fouls 10.43
1.21 Yellow cards 1.71
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

57% Wins 36%
21% Draws 29%
21% Losses 36%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
71% Over 1.5 goals 71%
36% Over 2.5 goals 36%
0% Over 3.5 goals 7%
0% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
50% Both teams scored 50%
36% Clean sheets 21%
21% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 21%
57% Draws 50%
14% Losses 29%
64% Over 0.5 goals 64%
29% Over 1.5 goals 21%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sutton at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sutton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23 Hartlepool – Sutton 2–2 (2–2) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.70
04.02.23 Sutton – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.202.30 2.25 1.62
28.01.23 Harrogate – Sutton 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.402.40 2.05 1.80
14.01.23 Salford – Sutton 2–0 (2–0) 2.403.203.10 2.15 1.67
07.01.23 Tranmere – Sutton 2–2 (1–1) 2.203.203.50 2.25 1.62
01.01.23 Sutton – AFC Wimbledon 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.253.50 2.35 1.57
29.12.22 Sutton – Gillingham 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.104.75 2.70 1.44
26.12.22 Crawley Town – Sutton 1–2 (0–0) 3.103.202.40 2.10 1.70
17.12.22 Leyton Orient – Sutton 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.33 2.25 1.62
10.12.22 Sutton – Colchester 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 2.10 1.70

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23 Swindon – Doncaster 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.80
04.02.23 Newport County – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.00 1.80
28.01.23 Swindon – Gillingham 3–3 (1–3) 1.833.504.50 2.15 1.67
14.01.23 Swindon – Grimsby 5–0 (1–0) 2.553.103.00 2.08 1.73
01.01.23 Colchester – Swindon 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 2.08 1.73
29.12.22 Northampton – Swindon 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.403.60 2.00 1.85
26.12.22 Swindon – Walsall 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.103.50 2.20 1.65
17.12.22 Barrow – Swindon 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.602.75 2.02 1.83
10.12.22 Swindon – AFC Wimbledon 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.98 1.88
03.12.22 Crawley Town – Swindon 2–0 (0–0) 3.603.751.95 1.90 1.95

Sutton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23 Sutton – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.202.30 2.25 1.62
01.01.23 Sutton – AFC Wimbledon 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.253.50 2.35 1.57
29.12.22 Sutton – Gillingham 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.104.75 2.70 1.44
10.12.22 Sutton – Colchester 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 2.10 1.70
19.11.22 Sutton – Rochdale 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.50 2.07 1.72
12.11.22 Sutton – Bradford 0–2 (0–1) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.70
22.10.22 Sutton – Walsall 1–1 (0–0) 2.373.253.10 2.35 1.57
08.10.22 Sutton – Tranmere 0–2 (0–2) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.70
24.09.22 Sutton – Salford 1–2 (0–0) 2.373.303.00 2.07 1.72
17.09.22 Sutton – Hartlepool 2–0 (0–0) 1.613.805.75 2.05 1.75

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23 Newport County – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.00 1.80
01.01.23 Colchester – Swindon 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 2.08 1.73
29.12.22 Northampton – Swindon 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.403.60 2.00 1.85
17.12.22 Barrow – Swindon 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.602.75 2.02 1.83
03.12.22 Crawley Town – Swindon 2–0 (0–0) 3.603.751.95 1.90 1.95
29.10.22 Mansfield – Swindon 2–5 (2–2) 1.903.604.00 2.00 1.85
25.10.22 Bradford – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 2.403.402.87 1.95 1.90
08.10.22 Stevenage – Swindon 2–0 (1–0) 1.833.305.00 2.02 1.83
24.09.22 Grimsby – Swindon 1–2 (1–2) 2.253.403.20 2.00 1.85
17.09.22 Doncaster – Swindon 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.252.75 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sutton winsDrawsSwindon wins
3matches
3.67goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.22E3 Swindon – Sutton 3–2 (2–2) 2.203.403.30 2.05 1.75
15.03.22E3 Swindon – Sutton 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 2.05 1.75
19.10.21E3 Sutton – Swindon 1–2 (1–2) 2.303.303.20 2.07 1.72

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 31 19 7 5 40 18 +22 64
2 Stevenage 28 16 8 4 41 21 +20 56
3 Carlisle 30 14 10 6 48 28 +20 52
4 Northampton 29 14 9 6 43 29 +14 51
5 Salford 30 14 6 10 40 30 +10 48
6 Mansfield 29 13 7 9 43 37 +6 46
7 Stockport 29 13 6 10 42 28 +14 45
8 Bradford 28 12 9 7 35 28 +7 45
9 Doncaster 29 13 4 12 35 40 -5 43
10 Swindon 29 11 9 9 37 32 +5 42
11 Tranmere 30 11 8 11 32 28 +4 41
12 Barrow 30 12 5 13 34 39 -5 41
13 Sutton 30 11 8 11 30 37 -7 41
14 AFC Wimbledon 29 10 10 9 30 29 +1 40
15 Walsall 27 10 9 8 31 24 +7 39
16 Colchester 31 9 7 15 31 38 -7 34
17 Grimsby 26 9 6 11 29 33 -4 33
18 Newport County 28 8 8 12 27 31 -4 32
19 Crewe 28 7 11 10 23 36 -13 32
20 Harrogate 28 7 6 15 34 44 -10 27
21 Crawley Town 27 6 8 13 31 44 -13 26
22 Hartlepool 30 6 8 16 31 54 -23 26
23 Gillingham 28 5 9 14 15 33 -18 24
24 Rochdale 30 5 6 19 24 45 -21 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stevenage 15 12 1 2 29 9 +20 37
2 Leyton Orient 15 11 3 1 21 4 +17 36
3 Carlisle 15 8 5 2 25 12 +13 29
4 Sutton 14 8 3 3 16 12 +4 27
5 Mansfield 15 7 5 3 27 20 +7 26
6 Stockport 14 7 4 3 20 12 +8 25
7 Tranmere 15 7 4 4 20 12 +8 25
8 Northampton 14 7 4 3 20 13 +7 25
9 Barrow 15 8 1 6 19 14 +5 25
10 Doncaster 14 8 1 5 21 17 +4 25
11 Salford 15 7 4 4 18 14 +4 25
12 Walsall 13 7 3 3 20 12 +8 24
13 Swindon 15 6 5 4 22 15 +7 23
14 AFC Wimbledon 14 6 5 3 15 11 +4 23
15 Bradford 14 5 6 3 18 14 +4 21
16 Crawley Town 14 6 2 6 20 21 -1 20
17 Crewe 16 5 5 6 15 19 -4 20
18 Colchester 15 4 6 5 16 17 -1 18
19 Harrogate 15 4 4 7 19 24 -5 16
20 Gillingham 13 4 4 5 7 12 -5 16
21 Newport County 14 4 3 7 13 17 -4 15
22 Hartlepool 15 3 6 6 16 25 -9 15
23 Grimsby 13 3 5 5 13 16 -3 14
24 Rochdale 15 2 3 10 12 22 -10 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 16 8 4 4 19 14 +5 28
2 Northampton 15 7 5 3 23 16 +7 26
3 Bradford 14 7 3 4 17 14 +3 24
4 Carlisle 15 6 5 4 23 16 +7 23
5 Salford 15 7 2 6 22 16 +6 23
6 Stockport 15 6 2 7 22 16 +6 20
7 Mansfield 14 6 2 6 16 17 -1 20
8 Stevenage 13 4 7 2 12 12 0 19
9 Grimsby 13 6 1 6 16 17 -1 19
10 Swindon 14 5 4 5 15 17 -2 19
11 Doncaster 15 5 3 7 14 23 -9 18
12 Newport County 14 4 5 5 14 14 0 17
13 AFC Wimbledon 15 4 5 6 15 18 -3 17
14 Tranmere 15 4 4 7 12 16 -4 16
15 Colchester 16 5 1 10 15 21 -6 16
16 Barrow 15 4 4 7 15 25 -10 16
17 Walsall 14 3 6 5 11 12 -1 15
18 Sutton 16 3 5 8 14 25 -11 14
19 Crewe 12 2 6 4 8 17 -9 12
20 Rochdale 15 3 3 9 12 23 -11 12
21 Harrogate 13 3 2 8 15 20 -5 11
22 Hartlepool 15 3 2 10 15 29 -14 11
23 Gillingham 15 1 5 9 8 21 -13 8
24 Crawley Town 13 0 6 7 11 23 -12 6

Sutton   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 22 Hartlepool 30 12 18 1.0 1.8 6 8 16 31 54 26
2 6 Mansfield 29 13 16 1.5 1.3 13 7 9 43 37 46
3 20 Harrogate 28 12 16 1.2 1.6 7 6 15 34 44 27
4 9 Doncaster 29 14 15 1.2 1.4 13 4 12 35 40 43
5 21 Crawley Town 27 12 15 1.1 1.6 6 8 13 31 44 26
6 3 Carlisle 30 16 14 1.6 0.9 14 10 6 48 28 52
7 4 Northampton 29 15 14 1.5 1.0 14 9 6 43 29 51
8 7 Stockport 29 16 13 1.4 1.0 13 6 10 42 28 45
9 8 Bradford 28 15 13 1.2 1.0 12 9 7 35 28 45
10 13 Sutton 30 17 13 1.0 1.2 11 8 11 30 37 41
11 24 Rochdale 30 17 13 0.8 1.5 5 6 19 24 45 21
12 2 Stevenage 28 16 12 1.5 0.8 16 8 4 41 21 56
13 5 Salford 30 18 12 1.3 1.0 14 6 10 40 30 48
14 10 Swindon 29 17 12 1.3 1.1 11 9 9 37 32 42
15 12 Barrow 30 18 12 1.1 1.3 12 5 13 34 39 41
16 16 Colchester 31 19 12 1.0 1.2 9 7 15 31 38 34
17 17 Grimsby 26 14 12 1.1 1.3 9 6 11 29 33 33
18 19 Crewe 28 16 12 0.8 1.3 7 11 10 23 36 32
19 11 Tranmere 30 20 10 1.1 0.9 11 8 11 32 28 41
20 14 AFC Wimbledon 29 19 10 1.0 1.0 10 10 9 30 29 40
21 15 Walsall 27 17 10 1.1 0.9 10 9 8 31 24 39
22 18 Newport County 28 19 9 1.0 1.1 8 8 12 27 31 32
23 1 Leyton Orient 31 24 7 1.3 0.6 19 7 5 40 18 64
24 23 Gillingham 28 24 4 0.5 1.2 5 9 14 15 33 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Mansfield 15 6 9 1.8 1.3 7 5 3 27 20 26
2 20 Harrogate 15 6 9 1.3 1.6 4 4 7 19 24 16
3 22 Hartlepool 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 3 6 6 16 25 15
4 2 Stevenage 15 7 8 1.9 0.6 12 1 2 29 9 37
5 4 Northampton 14 6 8 1.4 0.9 7 4 3 20 13 25
6 21 Crawley Town 14 6 8 1.4 1.5 6 2 6 20 21 20
7 9 Doncaster 14 7 7 1.5 1.2 8 1 5 21 17 25
8 10 Swindon 15 8 7 1.5 1.0 6 5 4 22 15 23
9 19 Crewe 16 9 7 0.9 1.2 5 5 6 15 19 20
10 24 Rochdale 15 8 7 0.8 1.5 2 3 10 12 22 9
11 3 Carlisle 15 9 6 1.7 0.8 8 5 2 25 12 29
12 8 Bradford 14 8 6 1.3 1.0 5 6 3 18 14 21
13 11 Tranmere 15 9 6 1.3 0.8 7 4 4 20 12 25
14 12 Barrow 15 9 6 1.3 0.9 8 1 6 19 14 25
15 15 Walsall 13 7 6 1.5 0.9 7 3 3 20 12 24
16 17 Grimsby 13 7 6 1.0 1.2 3 5 5 13 16 14
17 5 Salford 15 10 5 1.2 0.9 7 4 4 18 14 25
18 7 Stockport 14 9 5 1.4 0.9 7 4 3 20 12 25
19 13 Sutton 14 9 5 1.1 0.9 8 3 3 16 12 27
20 16 Colchester 15 10 5 1.1 1.1 4 6 5 16 17 18
21 18 Newport County 14 9 5 0.9 1.2 4 3 7 13 17 15
22 1 Leyton Orient 15 12 3 1.4 0.3 11 3 1 21 4 36
23 14 AFC Wimbledon 14 11 3 1.1 0.8 6 5 3 15 11 23
24 23 Gillingham 13 12 1 0.5 0.9 4 4 5 7 12 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 22 Hartlepool 15 6 9 1.0 1.9 3 2 10 15 29 11
2 3 Carlisle 15 7 8 1.5 1.1 6 5 4 23 16 23
3 7 Stockport 15 7 8 1.5 1.1 6 2 7 22 16 20
4 9 Doncaster 15 7 8 0.9 1.5 5 3 7 14 23 18
5 13 Sutton 16 8 8 0.9 1.6 3 5 8 14 25 14
6 5 Salford 15 8 7 1.5 1.1 7 2 6 22 16 23
7 6 Mansfield 14 7 7 1.1 1.2 6 2 6 16 17 20
8 8 Bradford 14 7 7 1.2 1.0 7 3 4 17 14 24
9 14 AFC Wimbledon 15 8 7 1.0 1.2 4 5 6 15 18 17
10 16 Colchester 16 9 7 0.9 1.3 5 1 10 15 21 16
11 20 Harrogate 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 3 2 8 15 20 11
12 21 Crawley Town 13 6 7 0.8 1.8 0 6 7 11 23 6
13 4 Northampton 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 7 5 3 23 16 26
14 12 Barrow 15 9 6 1.0 1.7 4 4 7 15 25 16
15 17 Grimsby 13 7 6 1.2 1.3 6 1 6 16 17 19
16 24 Rochdale 15 9 6 0.8 1.5 3 3 9 12 23 12
17 10 Swindon 14 9 5 1.1 1.2 5 4 5 15 17 19
18 19 Crewe 12 7 5 0.7 1.4 2 6 4 8 17 12
19 1 Leyton Orient 16 12 4 1.2 0.9 8 4 4 19 14 28
20 2 Stevenage 13 9 4 0.9 0.9 4 7 2 12 12 19
21 11 Tranmere 15 11 4 0.8 1.1 4 4 7 12 16 16
22 15 Walsall 14 10 4 0.8 0.9 3 6 5 11 12 15
23 18 Newport County 14 10 4 1.0 1.0 4 5 5 14 14 17
24 23 Gillingham 15 12 3 0.5 1.4 1 5 9 8 21 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51