Carlisle 2–3 Salford – England League Two, 29 Apr 2023

Match facts

Carlisle Salford

10 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 4

3 Corners 3

11 Fouls 11

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (527 league matches this season so far).

Result Carlisle to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.83

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.22

Home / Draw / Away

44% 25% 31%

CarlisleDrawSalford

Under / Over 2.5 goals

49% 51%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

45% 55%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

24% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.1% 1–0 9.9% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches

1.70points / match

1.43scored / match

0.89conceded / match

20 15 9

WonDrawnLost 44 played · 63:39

Salford before this match, all matches

1.64points / match

1.57scored / match

1.16conceded / match

21 9 14

WonDrawnLost 44 played · 69:51

Carlisle all matches all matches Salford

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 1.57

0.89 Goals conceded 1.16

2.32 Total goals 2.73

11.70 Shots 12.82

4.27 Shots on target 4.18

10.45 Shots faced 11.93

5.43 Corners 4.66

4.14 Corners against 4.68

9.93 Fouls 9.55

1.64 Yellow cards 1.64

0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.73

0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

45% Wins 48%

34% Draws 20%

20% Losses 32%

82% Over 0.5 goals 95%

61% Over 1.5 goals 73%

41% Over 2.5 goals 45%

23% Over 3.5 goals 30%

14% Over 4.5 goals 20%

9% Over 5.5 goals 5%

43% Both teams scored 55%

45% Clean sheets 27%

30% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 34%

43% Draws 39%

18% Losses 27%

68% Over 0.5 goals 75%

30% Over 1.5 goals 36%

11% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches

2

1

W

D

1

L

1

L

2

W

D

2

D

1

W

Salford all matches

3

1

W

3

4

L

3

1

W

3

1

W

1

D

2

L

3

2

W

1

L

2

W

3

2

W

Carlisle before this match, at home

1.86points / match

1.45scored / match

0.82conceded / match

11 8 3

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 32:18

Salford before this match, away

1.68points / match

1.86scored / match

1.32conceded / match

11 4 7

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 41:29

Carlisle at home away Salford

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.86

0.82 Goals conceded 1.32

2.27 Total goals 3.18

13.14 Shots 12.05

5.05 Shots on target 4.18

8.68 Shots faced 12.91

6.00 Corners 4.00

3.59 Corners against 4.91

8.82 Fouls 9.77

1.41 Yellow cards 1.55

0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.64

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%

36% Draws 18%

14% Losses 32%

82% Over 0.5 goals 95%

59% Over 1.5 goals 73%

36% Over 2.5 goals 55%

27% Over 3.5 goals 41%

14% Over 4.5 goals 36%

9% Over 5.5 goals 9%

36% Both teams scored 64%

55% Clean sheets 23%

27% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 27%

41% Draws 45%

14% Losses 27%

73% Over 0.5 goals 64%

36% Over 1.5 goals 27%

14% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home

3

1

W

5

1

W

1

L

4

L

1

W

2

W

D

2

W

D

2

D

Salford away

1

D

2

3

L

1

L

5

2

W

1

D

3

4

L

3

1

W

1

D

3

2

W

3

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.04.23	Barrow – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	2.90	3.10	2.63	2.50	1.50
18.04.23	Carlisle – Stockport	2–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.10	2.50	2.50	1.50
15.04.23	Carlisle – Northampton	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.20	3.60	2.50	1.50
10.04.23	Walsall – Carlisle	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.00	2.63	2.50	1.50
07.04.23	Carlisle – Tranmere	2–0 (2–0)	1.73	3.50	5.50	2.30	1.60
01.04.23	Leyton Orient – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.00	3.60	2.60	1.48
25.03.23	Gillingham – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.10	2.38	2.50	1.50
21.03.23	Bradford – Carlisle	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.10	3.20	2.25	1.62
18.03.23	Carlisle – Stevenage	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.20	3.10	2.25	1.62
11.03.23	Swindon – Carlisle	1–2 (0–0)	2.90	3.10	2.55	2.05	1.75

Salford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.04.23	Walsall – Salford	2–3 (0–1)	3.80	3.50	2.00	1.95	1.90
18.04.23	Salford – Hartlepool	2–0 (2–0)	1.53	4.33	6.50	1.67	2.15
15.04.23	Salford – Colchester	0–1 (0–1)	1.91	3.40	4.20	1.95	1.90
10.04.23	AFC Wimbledon – Salford	2–3 (1–0)	2.90	3.25	2.50	2.15	1.67
07.04.23	Salford – Leyton Orient	0–2 (0–2)	2.30	3.20	3.30	2.20	1.65
31.03.23	Stockport – Salford	1–1 (1–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.10	1.70
25.03.23	Stevenage – Salford	1–3 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.20	2.05	1.75
18.03.23	Salford – Doncaster	3–1 (2–1)	1.80	3.60	4.50	2.00	1.85
10.03.23	Crewe – Salford	4–3 (2–2)	4.20	3.60	1.91	2.05	1.80
04.03.23	Salford – Newport County	3–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.70

Carlisle at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.04.23	Carlisle – Stockport	2–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.10	2.50	2.50	1.50
15.04.23	Carlisle – Northampton	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.20	3.60	2.50	1.50
07.04.23	Carlisle – Tranmere	2–0 (2–0)	1.73	3.50	5.50	2.30	1.60
18.03.23	Carlisle – Stevenage	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.20	3.10	2.25	1.62
04.03.23	Carlisle – Grimsby	2–0 (2–0)	1.73	3.75	5.00	2.20	1.65
18.02.23	Carlisle – Colchester	1–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.30	1.60
14.02.23	Carlisle – Mansfield	0–4 (0–4)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.20	1.65
04.02.23	Carlisle – Harrogate	0–1 (0–0)	1.62	4.00	5.25	1.90	1.95
31.01.23	Carlisle – Barrow	5–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.25	3.75	2.35	1.57
24.01.23	Carlisle – Hartlepool	3–1 (2–1)	1.60	3.60	6.50	1.98	1.88

Salford away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.04.23	Walsall – Salford	2–3 (0–1)	3.80	3.50	2.00	1.95	1.90
10.04.23	AFC Wimbledon – Salford	2–3 (1–0)	2.90	3.25	2.50	2.15	1.67
31.03.23	Stockport – Salford	1–1 (1–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.10	1.70
25.03.23	Stevenage – Salford	1–3 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.20	2.05	1.75
10.03.23	Crewe – Salford	4–3 (2–2)	4.20	3.60	1.91	2.05	1.80
28.02.23	Barrow – Salford	1–1 (0–1)	2.70	3.10	2.80	2.20	1.65
25.02.23	Mansfield – Salford	2–5 (1–2)	1.95	3.50	3.80	2.00	1.85
11.02.23	Tranmere – Salford	1–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.30	1.60
28.01.23	Crawley Town – Salford	3–2 (2–0)	3.40	3.30	2.20	2.05	1.75
24.01.23	Colchester – Salford	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.25	2.50	2.15	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Carlisle winsDrawsSalford wins

3matches

3.67goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.11.22E3	Salford – Carlisle	1–4 (0–1)	2.37	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.70
01.02.22E3	Salford – Carlisle	2–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.25	1.61
04.09.21E3	Carlisle – Salford	2–1 (1–1)	2.60	3.20	2.80	2.35	1.57

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	44	26	12	6	60	30	+30	90
2	Northampton	44	22	14	8	60	40	+20	80
3	Stevenage	44	22	13	9	58	39	+19	79
4	Stockport	44	21	12	11	61	36	+25	75
5	Carlisle	44	20	15	9	63	39	+24	75
6	Salford	44	21	9	14	69	51	+18	72
7	Bradford	43	19	15	9	56	38	+18	72
8	Mansfield	44	20	12	12	69	53	+16	72
9	Barrow	44	18	8	18	46	49	-3	62
10	Swindon	44	15	13	16	58	52	+6	58
11	Grimsby	44	15	13	16	48	54	-6	58
12	Tranmere	44	15	12	17	44	46	-2	57
13	Sutton	44	15	12	17	44	53	-9	57
14	Newport County	44	13	14	17	49	53	-4	53
15	Gillingham	44	13	13	18	34	47	-13	52
16	Doncaster	44	15	7	22	44	63	-19	52
17	Walsall	44	11	18	15	44	48	-4	51
18	Crewe	43	12	15	16	41	55	-14	51
19	Colchester	44	12	13	19	44	48	-4	49
20	Harrogate	44	11	15	18	56	66	-10	48
21	AFC Wimbledon	44	11	14	19	47	58	-11	47
22	Crawley Town	44	11	12	21	47	69	-22	45
23	Hartlepool	44	8	15	21	48	76	-28	39
24	Rochdale	44	8	10	26	41	68	-27	34

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	22	15	6	1	32	10	+22	51
2	Stevenage	22	16	2	4	38	16	+22	50
3	Northampton	22	12	6	4	30	18	+12	42
4	Stockport	22	11	8	3	31	15	+16	41
5	Carlisle	22	11	8	3	32	18	+14	41
6	Barrow	22	12	3	7	29	18	+11	39
7	Gillingham	22	11	5	6	20	18	+2	38
8	Sutton	22	11	4	7	25	20	+5	37
9	Bradford	22	9	9	4	32	22	+10	36
10	Tranmere	22	10	6	6	27	19	+8	36
11	Mansfield	22	9	8	5	36	29	+7	35
12	Salford	22	10	5	7	28	22	+6	35
13	Walsall	22	8	9	5	26	18	+8	33
14	Crewe	21	9	6	6	27	23	+4	33
15	Crawley Town	22	9	6	7	31	30	+1	33
16	Doncaster	22	10	1	11	26	30	-4	31
17	Swindon	22	8	6	8	29	23	+6	30
18	Grimsby	22	6	10	6	23	25	-2	28
19	Colchester	22	6	9	7	25	21	+4	27
20	Harrogate	22	6	9	7	30	31	-1	27
21	AFC Wimbledon	22	7	6	9	25	29	-4	27
22	Newport County	22	6	6	10	25	28	-3	24
23	Hartlepool	22	4	10	8	24	35	-11	22
24	Rochdale	22	4	5	13	25	37	-12	17

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	22	11	6	5	28	20	+8	39
2	Northampton	22	10	8	4	30	22	+8	38
3	Salford	22	11	4	7	41	29	+12	37
4	Mansfield	22	11	4	7	33	24	+9	37
5	Bradford	21	10	6	5	24	16	+8	36
6	Carlisle	22	9	7	6	31	21	+10	34
7	Stockport	22	10	4	8	30	21	+9	34
8	Grimsby	22	9	3	10	25	29	-4	30
9	Newport County	22	7	8	7	24	25	-1	29
10	Stevenage	22	6	11	5	20	23	-3	29
11	Swindon	22	7	7	8	29	29	0	28
12	Barrow	22	6	5	11	17	31	-14	23
13	Colchester	22	6	4	12	19	27	-8	22
14	Harrogate	22	5	6	11	26	35	-9	21
15	Tranmere	22	5	6	11	17	27	-10	21
16	Doncaster	22	5	6	11	18	33	-15	21
17	AFC Wimbledon	22	4	8	10	22	29	-7	20
18	Sutton	22	4	8	10	19	33	-14	20
19	Walsall	22	3	9	10	18	30	-12	18
20	Crewe	22	3	9	10	14	32	-18	18
21	Rochdale	22	4	5	13	16	31	-15	17
22	Hartlepool	22	4	5	13	24	41	-17	17
23	Gillingham	22	2	8	12	14	29	-15	14
24	Crawley Town	22	2	6	14	16	39	-23	12

Carlisle Salford

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	20	Harrogate	44	19	25	1.3	1.5	11	15	18	56	66	48
2	8	Mansfield	44	21	23	1.6	1.2	20	12	12	69	53	72
3	23	Hartlepool	44	21	23	1.1	1.7	8	15	21	48	76	39
4	22	Crawley Town	44	22	22	1.1	1.6	11	12	21	47	69	45
5	6	Salford	44	24	20	1.6	1.2	21	9	14	69	51	72
6	10	Swindon	44	24	20	1.3	1.2	15	13	16	58	52	58
7	16	Doncaster	44	24	20	1.0	1.4	15	7	22	44	63	52
8	21	AFC Wimbledon	44	24	20	1.1	1.3	11	14	19	47	58	47
9	2	Northampton	44	25	19	1.4	0.9	22	14	8	60	40	80
10	24	Rochdale	44	25	19	0.9	1.5	8	10	26	41	68	34
11	5	Carlisle	44	26	18	1.4	0.9	20	15	9	63	39	75
12	7	Bradford	43	25	18	1.3	0.9	19	15	9	56	38	72
13	11	Grimsby	44	26	18	1.1	1.2	15	13	16	48	54	58
14	13	Sutton	44	26	18	1.0	1.2	15	12	17	44	53	57
15	3	Stevenage	44	27	17	1.3	0.9	22	13	9	58	39	79
16	4	Stockport	44	27	17	1.4	0.8	21	12	11	61	36	75
17	14	Newport County	44	27	17	1.1	1.2	13	14	17	49	53	53
18	18	Crewe	43	26	17	1.0	1.3	12	15	16	41	55	51
19	9	Barrow	44	28	16	1.0	1.1	18	8	18	46	49	62
20	17	Walsall	44	29	15	1.0	1.1	11	18	15	44	48	51
21	19	Colchester	44	29	15	1.0	1.1	12	13	19	44	48	49
22	12	Tranmere	44	31	13	1.0	1.0	15	12	17	44	46	57
23	1	Leyton Orient	44	32	12	1.4	0.7	26	12	6	60	30	90
24	15	Gillingham	44	34	10	0.8	1.1	13	13	18	34	47	52

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	20	Harrogate	22	9	13	1.4	1.4	6	9	7	30	31	27
2	8	Mansfield	22	10	12	1.6	1.3	9	8	5	36	29	35
3	24	Rochdale	22	10	12	1.1	1.7	4	5	13	25	37	17
4	2	Northampton	22	11	11	1.4	0.8	12	6	4	30	18	42
5	3	Stevenage	22	11	11	1.7	0.7	16	2	4	38	16	50
6	22	Crawley Town	22	11	11	1.4	1.4	9	6	7	31	30	33
7	23	Hartlepool	22	11	11	1.1	1.6	4	10	8	24	35	22
8	7	Bradford	22	12	10	1.5	1.0	9	9	4	32	22	36
9	10	Swindon	22	12	10	1.3	1.0	8	6	8	29	23	30
10	16	Doncaster	22	12	10	1.2	1.4	10	1	11	26	30	31
11	9	Barrow	22	13	9	1.3	0.8	12	3	7	29	18	39
12	14	Newport County	22	13	9	1.1	1.3	6	6	10	25	28	24
13	18	Crewe	21	12	9	1.3	1.1	9	6	6	27	23	33
14	5	Carlisle	22	14	8	1.5	0.8	11	8	3	32	18	41
15	6	Salford	22	14	8	1.3	1.0	10	5	7	28	22	35
16	11	Grimsby	22	14	8	1.0	1.1	6	10	6	23	25	28
17	13	Sutton	22	14	8	1.1	0.9	11	4	7	25	20	37
18	21	AFC Wimbledon	22	14	8	1.1	1.3	7	6	9	25	29	27
19	4	Stockport	22	15	7	1.4	0.7	11	8	3	31	15	41
20	12	Tranmere	22	15	7	1.2	0.9	10	6	6	27	19	36
21	17	Walsall	22	15	7	1.2	0.8	8	9	5	26	18	33
22	19	Colchester	22	15	7	1.1	1.0	6	9	7	25	21	27
23	1	Leyton Orient	22	16	6	1.5	0.5	15	6	1	32	10	51
24	15	Gillingham	22	18	4	0.9	0.8	11	5	6	20	18	38

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Salford	22	10	12	1.9	1.3	11	4	7	41	29	37
2	20	Harrogate	22	10	12	1.2	1.6	5	6	11	26	35	21
3	21	AFC Wimbledon	22	10	12	1.0	1.3	4	8	10	22	29	20
4	23	Hartlepool	22	10	12	1.1	1.9	4	5	13	24	41	17
5	8	Mansfield	22	11	11	1.5	1.1	11	4	7	33	24	37
6	22	Crawley Town	22	11	11	0.7	1.8	2	6	14	16	39	12
7	4	Stockport	22	12	10	1.4	1.0	10	4	8	30	21	34
8	5	Carlisle	22	12	10	1.4	1.0	9	7	6	31	21	34
9	10	Swindon	22	12	10	1.3	1.3	7	7	8	29	29	28
10	11	Grimsby	22	12	10	1.1	1.3	9	3	10	25	29	30
11	13	Sutton	22	12	10	0.9	1.5	4	8	10	19	33	20
12	16	Doncaster	22	12	10	0.8	1.5	5	6	11	18	33	21
13	2	Northampton	22	14	8	1.4	1.0	10	8	4	30	22	38
14	7	Bradford	21	13	8	1.1	0.8	10	6	5	24	16	36
15	14	Newport County	22	14	8	1.1	1.1	7	8	7	24	25	29
16	17	Walsall	22	14	8	0.8	1.4	3	9	10	18	30	18
17	18	Crewe	22	14	8	0.6	1.5	3	9	10	14	32	18
18	19	Colchester	22	14	8	0.9	1.2	6	4	12	19	27	22
19	9	Barrow	22	15	7	0.8	1.4	6	5	11	17	31	23
20	24	Rochdale	22	15	7	0.7	1.4	4	5	13	16	31	17
21	1	Leyton Orient	22	16	6	1.3	0.9	11	6	5	28	20	39
22	3	Stevenage	22	16	6	0.9	1.0	6	11	5	20	23	29
23	12	Tranmere	22	16	6	0.8	1.2	5	6	11	17	27	21
24	15	Gillingham	22	16	6	0.6	1.3	2	8	12	14	29	14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.