Swindon 3–1 Tranmere – England League Two, 27 Feb 2024

Match facts

Swindon Tranmere

15 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 3

9 Corners 5

12 Fouls 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (400 league matches this season so far).

Result Swindon to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.56

Expected goals 1.82 – 1.45

Home / Draw / Away

46% 23% 31%

SwindonDrawTranmere

Under / Over 2.5 goals

36% 64%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

36% 64%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

12% 1

20% 2

22% 3

18% 4

23% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10% 2–1 9.1% 1–2 7.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.18points / match

1.68scored / match

1.79conceded / match

10 10 14

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 57:61

Tranmere before this match, all matches

1.18points / match

1.53scored / match

1.44conceded / match

12 4 18

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 52:49

Swindon all matches all matches Tranmere

Per match

1.68 Goals scored 1.53

1.79 Goals conceded 1.44

3.47 Total goals 2.97

13.38 Shots 12.03

4.62 Shots on target 4.32

14.18 Shots faced 13.68

5.76 Corners 4.88

5.03 Corners against 6.41

10.21 Fouls 9.56

2.03 Yellow cards 1.91

0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.65

0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

29% Wins 35%

29% Draws 12%

41% Losses 53%

94% Over 0.5 goals 97%

85% Over 1.5 goals 79%

71% Over 2.5 goals 62%

44% Over 3.5 goals 29%

18% Over 4.5 goals 18%

15% Over 5.5 goals 9%

68% Both teams scored 56%

18% Clean sheets 18%

21% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 32%

26% Draws 29%

26% Losses 38%

82% Over 0.5 goals 82%

32% Over 1.5 goals 29%

12% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches

2

1

W

1

3

L

2

D

1

2

L

2

W

1

2

L

1

D

2

D

1

2

L

D

Tranmere all matches

2

W

4

2

W

1

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

D

1

2

L

2

3

L

4

W

1

L

Swindon before this match, at home

1.69points / match

1.94scored / match

1.38conceded / match

8 3 5

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 31:22

Tranmere before this match, away

0.65points / match

1.00scored / match

1.59conceded / match

3 2 12

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 17:27

Swindon at home away Tranmere

Per match

1.94 Goals scored 1.00

1.38 Goals conceded 1.59

3.31 Total goals 2.59

14.13 Shots 11.82

5.00 Shots on target 4.00

13.06 Shots faced 14.53

6.13 Corners 4.35

4.31 Corners against 6.35

9.13 Fouls 9.65

1.63 Yellow cards 2.00

0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.41

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

50% Wins 18%

19% Draws 12%

31% Losses 71%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

88% Over 1.5 goals 71%

63% Over 2.5 goals 41%

31% Over 3.5 goals 24%

19% Over 4.5 goals 18%

19% Over 5.5 goals 6%

56% Both teams scored 47%

25% Clean sheets 6%

19% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

63% Wins 18%

13% Draws 35%

25% Losses 47%

88% Over 0.5 goals 76%

25% Over 1.5 goals 24%

13% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home

1

L

2

4

L

2

1

W

3

L

1

L

2

1

W

2

D

2

W

1

D

1

2

L

Tranmere away

2

L

1

D

2

D

1

L

5

1

W

2

W

1

L

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.24	Stockport – Swindon	0–0 (0–0)	1.45	5.00	6.00	1.57	2.35
17.02.24	Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons	1–2 (0–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.65	2.20
13.02.24	Gillingham – Swindon	2–2 (0–1)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.75	2.05
10.02.24	Swindon – Salford	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.75	2.30	1.65	2.20
03.02.24	Newport County – Swindon	2–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.65	2.20
27.01.24	Swindon – Bradford	2–0 (2–0)	3.30	3.80	2.05	1.75	2.05
13.01.24	Crewe – Swindon	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	4.00	3.50	1.50	2.50
06.01.24	Swindon – Colchester	2–2 (2–1)	2.05	4.00	3.20	1.50	2.50
01.01.24	Crawley Town – Swindon	3–1 (2–0)	2.30	3.60	2.90	1.62	2.25
29.12.23	Swindon – Forest Green	2–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.60	3.40	1.60	2.30

Tranmere all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.24	Forest Green – Tranmere	1–0 (1–0)	2.50	3.40	2.80	1.95	1.90
17.02.24	Tranmere – Stockport	4–0 (1–0)	4.50	4.00	1.75	1.90	1.95
13.02.24	Tranmere – Morecambe	2–3 (2–1)	1.95	3.60	3.75	1.83	2.03
10.02.24	Doncaster – Tranmere	2–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.95	1.90
03.02.24	Tranmere – Crewe	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.80	3.00	1.62	2.25
27.01.24	Grimsby – Tranmere	1–2 (1–1)	2.15	3.50	3.30	1.85	2.00
13.01.24	Tranmere – Milton Keynes Dons	1–2 (1–1)	2.63	3.60	2.45	1.65	2.20
06.01.24	Barrow – Tranmere	1–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.60	4.20	2.05	1.75
01.01.24	Tranmere – Notts County	4–2 (2–2)	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.62	2.25
29.12.23	Harrogate – Tranmere	0–2 (0–0)	2.70	3.30	2.70	2.03	1.83

Swindon at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.02.24	Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons	1–2 (0–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.65	2.20
10.02.24	Swindon – Salford	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.75	2.30	1.65	2.20
27.01.24	Swindon – Bradford	2–0 (2–0)	3.30	3.80	2.05	1.75	2.05
06.01.24	Swindon – Colchester	2–2 (2–1)	2.05	4.00	3.20	1.50	2.50
29.12.23	Swindon – Forest Green	2–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.60	3.40	1.60	2.30
26.12.23	Swindon – Wrexham	0–1 (0–1)	4.20	3.75	1.83	1.53	2.40
16.12.23	Swindon – Barrow	0–3 (0–1)	2.60	3.60	2.60	1.83	2.03
25.11.23	Swindon – Mansfield	2–1 (1–0)	3.25	4.00	2.00	1.60	2.30
11.11.23	Swindon – Stockport	2–4 (1–0)	3.25	4.20	2.00	1.60	2.30
24.10.23	Swindon – Gillingham	0–1 (0–1)	1.83	3.60	4.50	1.73	2.08

Tranmere away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.24	Forest Green – Tranmere	1–0 (1–0)	2.50	3.40	2.80	1.95	1.90
10.02.24	Doncaster – Tranmere	2–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.95	1.90
27.01.24	Grimsby – Tranmere	1–2 (1–1)	2.15	3.50	3.30	1.85	2.00
06.01.24	Barrow – Tranmere	1–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.60	4.20	2.05	1.75
29.12.23	Harrogate – Tranmere	0–2 (0–0)	2.70	3.30	2.70	2.03	1.83
26.12.23	Salford – Tranmere	1–5 (0–2)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.75	2.05
16.12.23	Walsall – Tranmere	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.60	3.80	1.98	1.88
28.11.23	Mansfield – Tranmere	2–2 (1–1)	1.36	5.00	8.00	1.62	2.25
18.11.23	Sutton – Tranmere	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.50	3.30	1.80	2.00
28.10.23	Stockport – Tranmere	2–0 (1–0)	1.33	5.00	10.00	1.73	2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 3

Swindon winsDrawsTranmere wins

5matches

1.80goals / match

40%over 2.5

40%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.12.23E3	Tranmere – Swindon	2–1 (0–1)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.67	2.15
10.04.23E3	Tranmere – Swindon	1–0 (1–0)	2.50	3.25	2.90	2.15	1.67
12.11.22E3	Swindon – Tranmere	1–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.20	2.02	1.83
08.02.22E3	Tranmere – Swindon	3–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.07	1.72
17.08.21E3	Swindon – Tranmere	0–0 (0–0)	2.60	3.40	2.70	2.05	1.75

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mansfield	33	17	12	4	67	29	+38	63
2	Stockport	34	18	9	7	66	37	+29	63
3	Crewe	34	17	10	7	62	46	+16	61
4	Wrexham	33	17	8	8	59	44	+15	59
5	Milton Keynes Dons	34	17	7	10	55	44	+11	58
6	Barrow	33	14	11	8	47	39	+8	53
7	Gillingham	34	15	6	13	32	39	-7	51
8	Crawley Town	33	15	4	14	49	49	0	49
9	Walsall	33	13	9	11	50	46	+4	48
10	Morecambe	33	13	9	11	48	52	-4	48
11	Harrogate	33	14	6	13	40	48	-8	48
12	AFC Wimbledon	34	12	11	11	47	39	+8	47
13	Notts County	33	14	5	14	66	62	+4	47
14	Accrington	33	13	7	13	46	42	+4	46
15	Bradford	33	12	10	11	41	39	+2	46
16	Newport County	33	13	7	13	47	52	-5	46
17	Tranmere	34	12	4	18	52	49	+3	40
18	Swindon	34	10	10	14	57	61	-4	40
19	Salford	34	10	9	15	51	63	-12	39
20	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	43	57	-14	39
21	Colchester	33	8	7	18	44	61	-17	31
22	Grimsby	32	6	12	14	44	60	-16	30
23	Forest Green	33	6	8	19	33	60	-27	26
24	Sutton	34	4	11	19	36	64	-28	23

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Wrexham	16	12	2	2	44	22	+22	38
2	Milton Keynes Dons	18	11	4	3	32	17	+15	37
3	Stockport	18	10	5	3	35	15	+20	35
4	Crewe	17	10	4	3	31	22	+9	34
5	Mansfield	16	9	6	1	32	11	+21	33
6	Notts County	16	10	1	5	38	26	+12	31
7	Accrington	18	9	3	6	27	19	+8	30
8	Newport County	17	8	6	3	30	23	+7	30
9	Tranmere	17	9	2	6	35	22	+13	29
10	Walsall	16	8	5	3	22	14	+8	29
11	Gillingham	18	8	5	5	18	19	-1	29
12	Crawley Town	17	9	1	7	29	22	+7	28
13	Swindon	16	8	3	5	31	22	+9	27
14	Barrow	15	7	6	2	18	13	+5	27
15	Doncaster	17	8	2	7	23	27	-4	26
16	AFC Wimbledon	16	7	4	5	31	21	+10	25
17	Morecambe	16	6	7	3	22	16	+6	25
18	Bradford	16	6	7	3	20	16	+4	25
19	Harrogate	16	6	2	8	19	23	-4	20
20	Grimsby	17	5	4	8	27	37	-10	19
21	Colchester	16	4	5	7	25	30	-5	17
22	Salford	16	4	5	7	27	34	-7	17
23	Sutton	18	3	7	8	23	26	-3	16
24	Forest Green	17	3	3	11	15	31	-16	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mansfield	17	8	6	3	35	18	+17	30
2	Stockport	16	8	4	4	31	22	+9	28
3	Harrogate	17	8	4	5	21	25	-4	28
4	Crewe	17	7	6	4	31	24	+7	27
5	Barrow	18	7	5	6	29	26	+3	26
6	Morecambe	17	7	2	8	26	36	-10	23
7	AFC Wimbledon	18	5	7	6	16	18	-2	22
8	Salford	18	6	4	8	24	29	-5	22
9	Gillingham	16	7	1	8	14	20	-6	22
10	Bradford	17	6	3	8	21	23	-2	21
11	Milton Keynes Dons	16	6	3	7	23	27	-4	21
12	Crawley Town	16	6	3	7	20	27	-7	21
13	Wrexham	17	5	6	6	15	22	-7	21
14	Walsall	17	5	4	8	28	32	-4	19
15	Accrington	15	4	4	7	19	23	-4	16
16	Notts County	17	4	4	9	28	36	-8	16
17	Newport County	16	5	1	10	17	29	-12	16
18	Forest Green	16	3	5	8	18	29	-11	14
19	Colchester	17	4	2	11	19	31	-12	14
20	Doncaster	16	3	4	9	20	30	-10	13
21	Swindon	18	2	7	9	26	39	-13	13
22	Grimsby	15	1	8	6	17	23	-6	11
23	Tranmere	17	3	2	12	17	27	-10	11
24	Sutton	16	1	4	11	13	38	-25	7

Swindon Tranmere

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Notts County	33	9	24	2.0	1.9	14	5	14	66	62	47
2	18	Swindon	34	10	24	1.7	1.8	10	10	14	57	61	40
3	19	Salford	34	12	22	1.5	1.9	10	9	15	51	63	39
4	20	Doncaster	33	11	22	1.3	1.7	11	6	16	43	57	39
5	5	Milton Keynes Dons	34	13	21	1.6	1.3	17	7	10	55	44	58
6	10	Morecambe	33	12	21	1.5	1.6	13	9	11	48	52	48
7	16	Newport County	33	12	21	1.4	1.6	13	7	13	47	52	46
8	17	Tranmere	34	13	21	1.5	1.4	12	4	18	52	49	40
9	3	Crewe	34	14	20	1.8	1.4	17	10	7	62	46	61
10	2	Stockport	34	15	19	1.9	1.1	18	9	7	66	37	63
11	9	Walsall	33	14	19	1.5	1.4	13	9	11	50	46	48
12	21	Colchester	33	14	19	1.3	1.8	8	7	18	44	61	31
13	8	Crawley Town	33	15	18	1.5	1.5	15	4	14	49	49	49
14	22	Grimsby	32	14	18	1.4	1.9	6	12	14	44	60	30
15	23	Forest Green	33	15	18	1.0	1.8	6	8	19	33	60	26
16	1	Mansfield	33	16	17	2.0	0.9	17	12	4	67	29	63
17	14	Accrington	33	16	17	1.4	1.3	13	7	13	46	42	46
18	4	Wrexham	33	17	16	1.8	1.3	17	8	8	59	44	59
19	11	Harrogate	33	17	16	1.2	1.5	14	6	13	40	48	48
20	24	Sutton	34	18	16	1.1	1.9	4	11	19	36	64	23
21	6	Barrow	33	18	15	1.4	1.2	14	11	8	47	39	53
22	12	AFC Wimbledon	34	20	14	1.4	1.1	12	11	11	47	39	47
23	15	Bradford	33	19	14	1.2	1.2	12	10	11	41	39	46
24	7	Gillingham	34	22	12	0.9	1.1	15	6	13	32	39	51

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Notts County	16	2	14	2.4	1.6	10	1	5	38	26	31
2	17	Tranmere	17	3	14	2.1	1.3	9	2	6	35	22	29
3	19	Salford	16	3	13	1.7	2.1	4	5	7	27	34	17
4	4	Wrexham	16	5	11	2.8	1.4	12	2	2	44	22	38
5	8	Crawley Town	17	6	11	1.7	1.3	9	1	7	29	22	28
6	16	Newport County	17	6	11	1.8	1.4	8	6	3	30	23	30
7	20	Doncaster	17	6	11	1.4	1.6	8	2	7	23	27	26
8	22	Grimsby	17	6	11	1.6	2.2	5	4	8	27	37	19
9	3	Crewe	17	7	10	1.8	1.3	10	4	3	31	22	34
10	5	Milton Keynes Dons	18	8	10	1.8	0.9	11	4	3	32	17	37
11	14	Accrington	18	8	10	1.5	1.1	9	3	6	27	19	30
12	18	Swindon	16	6	10	1.9	1.4	8	3	5	31	22	27
13	23	Forest Green	17	7	10	0.9	1.8	3	3	11	15	31	12
14	21	Colchester	16	7	9	1.6	1.9	4	5	7	25	30	17
15	12	AFC Wimbledon	16	8	8	1.9	1.3	7	4	5	31	21	25
16	24	Sutton	18	10	8	1.3	1.4	3	7	8	23	26	16
17	2	Stockport	18	11	7	1.9	0.8	10	5	3	35	15	35
18	9	Walsall	16	9	7	1.4	0.9	8	5	3	22	14	29
19	10	Morecambe	16	9	7	1.4	1.0	6	7	3	22	16	25
20	11	Harrogate	16	9	7	1.2	1.4	6	2	8	19	23	20
21	1	Mansfield	16	10	6	2.0	0.7	9	6	1	32	11	33
22	7	Gillingham	18	12	6	1.0	1.1	8	5	5	18	19	29
23	15	Bradford	16	10	6	1.2	1.0	6	7	3	20	16	25
24	6	Barrow	15	10	5	1.2	0.9	7	6	2	18	13	27

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Morecambe	17	3	14	1.5	2.1	7	2	8	26	36	23
2	18	Swindon	18	4	14	1.4	2.2	2	7	9	26	39	13
3	2	Stockport	16	4	12	1.9	1.4	8	4	4	31	22	28
4	9	Walsall	17	5	12	1.6	1.9	5	4	8	28	32	19
5	1	Mansfield	17	6	11	2.1	1.1	8	6	3	35	18	30
6	5	Milton Keynes Dons	16	5	11	1.4	1.7	6	3	7	23	27	21
7	20	Doncaster	16	5	11	1.2	1.9	3	4	9	20	30	13
8	3	Crewe	17	7	10	1.8	1.4	7	6	4	31	24	27
9	6	Barrow	18	8	10	1.6	1.4	7	5	6	29	26	26
10	13	Notts County	17	7	10	1.6	2.1	4	4	9	28	36	16
11	16	Newport County	16	6	10	1.1	1.8	5	1	10	17	29	16
12	21	Colchester	17	7	10	1.1	1.8	4	2	11	19	31	14
13	11	Harrogate	17	8	9	1.2	1.5	8	4	5	21	25	28
14	19	Salford	18	9	9	1.3	1.6	6	4	8	24	29	22
15	15	Bradford	17	9	8	1.2	1.4	6	3	8	21	23	21
16	23	Forest Green	16	8	8	1.1	1.8	3	5	8	18	29	14
17	24	Sutton	16	8	8	0.8	2.4	1	4	11	13	38	7
18	8	Crawley Town	16	9	7	1.2	1.7	6	3	7	20	27	21
19	14	Accrington	15	8	7	1.3	1.5	4	4	7	19	23	16
20	17	Tranmere	17	10	7	1.0	1.6	3	2	12	17	27	11
21	22	Grimsby	15	8	7	1.1	1.5	1	8	6	17	23	11
22	7	Gillingham	16	10	6	0.9	1.2	7	1	8	14	20	22
23	12	AFC Wimbledon	18	12	6	0.9	1.0	5	7	6	16	18	22
24	4	Wrexham	17	12	5	0.9	1.3	5	6	6	15	22	21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.