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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: L Doughty

Crewe 2–1 Swindon

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 1.85
Draw 4.00 fair 4.98
Away 3.50 fair 3.87
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 3.70
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Crewe Swindon
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 8
7 Fouls 9
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (308 league matches this season so far).
Result Crewe to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.42
Expected goals 2.26 – 1.53
Home / Draw / Away
CreweDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.8% 1–1 7.8% 2–2 6.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Crewe before this match, all matches
1.69points / match
1.85scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 48:39
Swindon before this match, all matches
1.26points / match
1.81scored / match
1.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 49:52
Crewe all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.85 Goals scored 1.81
1.50 Goals conceded 1.93
3.35 Total goals 3.74
12.85 Shots 13.44
4.08 Shots on target 4.81
15.19 Shots faced 14.48
5.88 Corners 5.67
5.81 Corners against 4.89
10.04 Fouls 10.00
2.27 Yellow cards 1.89
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.85
0.85 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

46% Wins 33%
31% Draws 26%
23% Losses 41%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
81% Over 1.5 goals 85%
58% Over 2.5 goals 74%
50% Over 3.5 goals 52%
27% Over 4.5 goals 22%
19% Over 5.5 goals 19%
65% Both teams scored 67%
23% Clean sheets 15%
12% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 52%
23% Draws 19%
42% Losses 30%
88% Over 0.5 goals 89%
46% Over 1.5 goals 30%
19% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Crewe all matches
Swindon all matches
Crewe before this match, at home
2.08points / match
2.00scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 26:18
Swindon before this match, away
0.79points / match
1.57scored / match
2.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 22:33
Crewe at home away Swindon

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.57
1.38 Goals conceded 2.36
3.38 Total goals 3.93
11.31 Shots 12.79
3.85 Shots on target 4.43
15.38 Shots faced 15.36
6.00 Corners 5.21
5.15 Corners against 5.36
9.85 Fouls 11.21
2.15 Yellow cards 2.29
0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.79
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

62% Wins 14%
23% Draws 36%
15% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
85% Over 1.5 goals 86%
62% Over 2.5 goals 79%
54% Over 3.5 goals 64%
23% Over 4.5 goals 21%
15% Over 5.5 goals 14%
62% Both teams scored 79%
31% Clean sheets 7%
8% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 36%
23% Draws 29%
31% Losses 36%
85% Over 0.5 goals 86%
46% Over 1.5 goals 43%
23% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Crewe at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Crewe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.01.24 Mansfield – Crewe 0–1 (0–1) 1.445.007.00 1.53 2.40
01.01.24 Crewe – Bradford 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.502.30 1.70 2.10
29.12.23 Newport County – Crewe 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.753.00 1.67 2.15
26.12.23 Walsall – Crewe 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.08
22.12.23 Crewe – Barrow 1–3 (0–1) 2.503.402.75 2.00 1.85
16.12.23 Crewe – Accrington 3–3 (2–1) 2.603.502.63 1.70 2.10
09.12.23 Grimsby – Crewe 2–1 (2–0) 2.383.602.90 1.75 2.05
28.11.23 Sutton – Crewe 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.502.60 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Crewe – Doncaster 3–2 (2–1) 2.203.603.10 1.70 2.10
11.11.23 Crewe – Notts County 1–0 (0–0) 2.884.002.20 1.48 2.60

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.01.24 Swindon – Colchester 2–2 (2–1) 2.054.003.20 1.50 2.50
01.01.24 Crawley Town – Swindon 3–1 (2–0) 2.303.602.90 1.62 2.25
29.12.23 Swindon – Forest Green 2–1 (0–0) 2.053.603.40 1.60 2.30
26.12.23 Swindon – Wrexham 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.751.83 1.53 2.40
23.12.23 Tranmere – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.67 2.15
16.12.23 Swindon – Barrow 0–3 (0–1) 2.603.602.60 1.83 2.03
09.12.23 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 4–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.60 1.65 2.20
28.11.23 Accrington – Swindon 3–4 (0–2) 2.203.503.25 1.57 2.35
25.11.23 Swindon – Mansfield 2–1 (1–0) 3.254.002.00 1.60 2.30
18.11.23 Harrogate – Swindon 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.902.00 1.65 2.20

Crewe at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24 Crewe – Bradford 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.502.30 1.70 2.10
22.12.23 Crewe – Barrow 1–3 (0–1) 2.503.402.75 2.00 1.85
16.12.23 Crewe – Accrington 3–3 (2–1) 2.603.502.63 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Crewe – Doncaster 3–2 (2–1) 2.203.603.10 1.70 2.10
11.11.23 Crewe – Notts County 1–0 (0–0) 2.884.002.20 1.48 2.60
24.10.23 Crewe – Stockport 0–2 (0–0) 4.203.801.80 1.62 2.25
14.10.23 Crewe – Tranmere 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.753.75 1.73 2.08
03.10.23 Crewe – Gillingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.202.63 2.00 1.85
23.09.23 Crewe – Colchester 2–1 (2–0) 2.453.602.75 1.83 2.03
02.09.23 Crewe – Milton Keynes Dons 3–1 (0–1) 3.103.402.30 1.75 2.05

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24 Crawley Town – Swindon 3–1 (2–0) 2.303.602.90 1.62 2.25
23.12.23 Tranmere – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.67 2.15
09.12.23 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 4–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.60 1.65 2.20
28.11.23 Accrington – Swindon 3–4 (0–2) 2.203.503.25 1.57 2.35
18.11.23 Harrogate – Swindon 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.902.00 1.65 2.20
07.11.23 Colchester – Swindon 3–1 (0–1) 2.633.802.40 1.57 2.35
28.10.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–2 (1–0) 2.453.752.70 1.60 2.30
21.10.23 Salford – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.402.50 1.60 2.30
07.10.23 Bradford – Swindon 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Notts County – Swindon 3–1 (3–0) 1.834.203.75 1.40 2.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Crewe winsDrawsSwindon wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.08.23E3 Swindon – Crewe 2–2 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.95 1.90
29.04.23E3 Crewe – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.85
19.11.22E3 Swindon – Crewe 0–1 (0–1) 1.803.754.50 1.85 2.00

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 26 15 6 5 53 26 +27 51
2 Mansfield 25 13 10 2 44 20 +24 49
3 Wrexham 25 14 7 4 52 36 +16 49
4 Barrow 26 13 9 4 38 24 +14 48
5 Crewe 26 12 8 6 48 39 +9 44
6 Notts County 26 13 3 10 55 47 +8 42
7 AFC Wimbledon 25 10 9 6 41 28 +13 39
8 Milton Keynes Dons 24 11 6 7 39 31 +8 39
9 Crawley Town 26 12 3 11 43 44 -1 39
10 Accrington 26 11 5 10 40 36 +4 38
11 Gillingham 25 12 2 11 21 30 -9 38
12 Harrogate 26 11 4 11 32 35 -3 37
13 Walsall 25 10 6 9 39 36 +3 36
14 Bradford 26 9 7 10 33 35 -2 34
15 Swindon 27 9 7 11 49 52 -3 34
16 Tranmere 27 10 3 14 42 40 +2 33
17 Morecambe 24 9 6 9 37 41 -4 33
18 Newport County 26 8 7 11 38 45 -7 31
19 Doncaster 26 8 4 14 31 46 -15 28
20 Grimsby 26 6 9 11 35 44 -9 27
21 Salford 26 6 6 14 34 48 -14 24
22 Colchester 27 7 3 17 37 54 -17 24
23 Forest Green 25 4 6 15 26 46 -20 18
24 Sutton 25 4 6 15 28 52 -24 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wrexham 13 10 2 1 41 21 +20 32
2 Stockport 14 9 3 2 30 10 +20 30
3 Notts County 13 10 0 3 35 19 +16 30
4 Crewe 13 8 3 2 26 18 +8 27
5 Accrington 14 8 2 4 24 16 +8 26
6 Tranmere 13 8 1 4 28 17 +11 25
7 Milton Keynes Dons 12 7 3 2 20 11 +9 24
8 Crawley Town 13 8 0 5 25 18 +7 24
9 Barrow 12 6 6 0 15 8 +7 24
10 Mansfield 12 6 5 1 16 7 +9 23
11 Swindon 13 7 2 4 27 19 +8 23
12 Walsall 12 6 4 2 16 9 +7 22
13 Gillingham 13 7 1 5 13 15 -2 22
14 Newport County 13 5 6 2 25 19 +6 21
15 Morecambe 12 5 5 2 19 13 +6 20
16 Doncaster 13 6 2 5 19 20 -1 20
17 AFC Wimbledon 12 5 3 4 26 18 +8 18
18 Grimsby 13 5 3 5 19 22 -3 18
19 Bradford 12 4 5 3 14 15 -1 17
20 Harrogate 14 5 2 7 18 21 -3 17
21 Colchester 13 4 2 7 20 25 -5 14
22 Sutton 13 3 4 6 17 18 -1 13
23 Salford 13 2 4 7 17 28 -11 10
24 Forest Green 13 2 3 8 14 24 -10 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Mansfield 13 7 5 1 28 13 +15 26
2 Barrow 14 7 3 4 23 16 +7 24
3 Stockport 12 6 3 3 23 16 +7 21
4 AFC Wimbledon 13 5 6 2 15 10 +5 21
5 Harrogate 12 6 2 4 14 14 0 20
6 Crewe 13 4 5 4 22 21 +1 17
7 Bradford 14 5 2 7 19 20 -1 17
8 Wrexham 12 4 5 3 11 15 -4 17
9 Gillingham 12 5 1 6 8 15 -7 16
10 Milton Keynes Dons 12 4 3 5 19 20 -1 15
11 Crawley Town 13 4 3 6 18 26 -8 15
12 Salford 13 4 2 7 17 20 -3 14
13 Walsall 13 4 2 7 23 27 -4 14
14 Morecambe 12 4 1 7 18 28 -10 13
15 Accrington 12 3 3 6 16 20 -4 12
16 Notts County 13 3 3 7 20 28 -8 12
17 Swindon 14 2 5 7 22 33 -11 11
18 Colchester 14 3 1 10 17 29 -12 10
19 Newport County 13 3 1 9 13 26 -13 10
20 Grimsby 13 1 6 6 16 22 -6 9
21 Forest Green 12 2 3 7 12 22 -10 9
22 Tranmere 14 2 2 10 14 23 -9 8
23 Doncaster 13 2 2 9 12 26 -14 8
24 Sutton 12 1 2 9 11 34 -23 5

Crewe   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Notts County 26 6 20 2.1 1.8 13 3 10 55 47 42
2 15 Swindon 27 7 20 1.8 1.9 9 7 11 49 52 34
3 19 Doncaster 26 8 18 1.2 1.8 8 4 14 31 46 28
4 22 Colchester 27 9 18 1.4 2.0 7 3 17 37 54 24
5 9 Crawley Town 26 9 17 1.7 1.7 12 3 11 43 44 39
6 17 Morecambe 24 7 17 1.5 1.7 9 6 9 37 41 33
7 18 Newport County 26 9 17 1.5 1.7 8 7 11 38 45 31
8 21 Salford 26 9 17 1.3 1.8 6 6 14 34 48 24
9 16 Tranmere 27 11 16 1.6 1.5 10 3 14 42 40 33
10 5 Crewe 26 11 15 1.8 1.5 12 8 6 48 39 44
11 10 Accrington 26 11 15 1.5 1.4 11 5 10 40 36 38
12 13 Walsall 25 10 15 1.6 1.4 10 6 9 39 36 36
13 23 Forest Green 25 10 15 1.0 1.8 4 6 15 26 46 18
14 1 Stockport 26 12 14 2.0 1.0 15 6 5 53 26 51
15 3 Wrexham 25 11 14 2.1 1.4 14 7 4 52 36 49
16 12 Harrogate 26 12 14 1.2 1.3 11 4 11 32 35 37
17 20 Grimsby 26 12 14 1.3 1.7 6 9 11 35 44 27
18 8 Milton Keynes Dons 24 11 13 1.6 1.3 11 6 7 39 31 39
19 14 Bradford 26 13 13 1.3 1.3 9 7 10 33 35 34
20 24 Sutton 25 12 13 1.1 2.1 4 6 15 28 52 18
21 2 Mansfield 25 13 12 1.8 0.8 13 10 2 44 20 49
22 7 AFC Wimbledon 25 13 12 1.6 1.1 10 9 6 41 28 39
23 4 Barrow 26 15 11 1.5 0.9 13 9 4 38 24 48
24 11 Gillingham 25 17 8 0.8 1.2 12 2 11 21 30 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Notts County 13 1 12 2.7 1.5 10 0 3 35 19 30
2 3 Wrexham 13 2 11 3.2 1.6 10 2 1 41 21 32
3 16 Tranmere 13 2 11 2.2 1.3 8 1 4 28 17 25
4 9 Crawley Town 13 3 10 1.9 1.4 8 0 5 25 18 24
5 21 Salford 13 3 10 1.3 2.2 2 4 7 17 28 10
6 10 Accrington 14 5 9 1.7 1.1 8 2 4 24 16 26
7 15 Swindon 13 4 9 2.1 1.5 7 2 4 27 19 23
8 18 Newport County 13 4 9 1.9 1.5 5 6 2 25 19 21
9 19 Doncaster 13 4 9 1.5 1.5 6 2 5 19 20 20
10 23 Forest Green 13 4 9 1.1 1.8 2 3 8 14 24 9
11 5 Crewe 13 5 8 2.0 1.4 8 3 2 26 18 27
12 22 Colchester 13 5 8 1.5 1.9 4 2 7 20 25 14
13 7 AFC Wimbledon 12 5 7 2.2 1.5 5 3 4 26 18 18
14 12 Harrogate 14 7 7 1.3 1.5 5 2 7 18 21 17
15 17 Morecambe 12 5 7 1.6 1.1 5 5 2 19 13 20
16 20 Grimsby 13 6 7 1.5 1.7 5 3 5 19 22 18
17 1 Stockport 14 9 5 2.1 0.7 9 3 2 30 10 30
18 8 Milton Keynes Dons 12 7 5 1.7 0.9 7 3 2 20 11 24
19 11 Gillingham 13 8 5 1.0 1.2 7 1 5 13 15 22
20 14 Bradford 12 7 5 1.2 1.2 4 5 3 14 15 17
21 24 Sutton 13 8 5 1.3 1.4 3 4 6 17 18 13
22 2 Mansfield 12 8 4 1.3 0.6 6 5 1 16 7 23
23 13 Walsall 12 8 4 1.3 0.8 6 4 2 16 9 22
24 4 Barrow 12 9 3 1.2 0.7 6 6 0 15 8 24
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Walsall 13 2 11 1.8 2.1 4 2 7 23 27 14
2 15 Swindon 14 3 11 1.6 2.4 2 5 7 22 33 11
3 17 Morecambe 12 2 10 1.5 2.3 4 1 7 18 28 13
4 22 Colchester 14 4 10 1.2 2.1 3 1 10 17 29 10
5 1 Stockport 12 3 9 1.9 1.3 6 3 3 23 16 21
6 19 Doncaster 13 4 9 0.9 2.0 2 2 9 12 26 8
7 2 Mansfield 13 5 8 2.2 1.0 7 5 1 28 13 26
8 4 Barrow 14 6 8 1.6 1.1 7 3 4 23 16 24
9 6 Notts County 13 5 8 1.5 2.2 3 3 7 20 28 12
10 8 Milton Keynes Dons 12 4 8 1.6 1.7 4 3 5 19 20 15
11 14 Bradford 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 5 2 7 19 20 17
12 18 Newport County 13 5 8 1.0 2.0 3 1 9 13 26 10
13 24 Sutton 12 4 8 0.9 2.8 1 2 9 11 34 5
14 5 Crewe 13 6 7 1.7 1.6 4 5 4 22 21 17
15 9 Crawley Town 13 6 7 1.4 2.0 4 3 6 18 26 15
16 12 Harrogate 12 5 7 1.2 1.2 6 2 4 14 14 20
17 20 Grimsby 13 6 7 1.2 1.7 1 6 6 16 22 9
18 21 Salford 13 6 7 1.3 1.5 4 2 7 17 20 14
19 10 Accrington 12 6 6 1.3 1.7 3 3 6 16 20 12
20 23 Forest Green 12 6 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 7 12 22 9
21 7 AFC Wimbledon 13 8 5 1.2 0.8 5 6 2 15 10 21
22 16 Tranmere 14 9 5 1.0 1.6 2 2 10 14 23 8
23 3 Wrexham 12 9 3 0.9 1.2 4 5 3 11 15 17
24 11 Gillingham 12 9 3 0.7 1.2 5 1 6 8 15 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51