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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: M Corlett

Newport County 2–1 Swindon

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.00 fair 2.09
Draw 3.75 fair 4.64
Away 3.50 fair 3.27
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 3.26
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.44

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newport County Swindon
11 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 7
11 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (338 league matches this season so far).
Result Newport County to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.46
Expected goals 2.00 – 1.57
Home / Draw / Away
Newport CountyDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.8% 1–1 8.8% 2–2 6.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Newport County before this match, all matches
1.32points / match
1.43scored / match
1.61conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 40:45
Swindon before this match, all matches
1.28points / match
1.79scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 52:54
Newport County all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 1.79
1.61 Goals conceded 1.86
3.04 Total goals 3.66
12.18 Shots 13.07
3.79 Shots on target 4.66
13.29 Shots faced 14.24
4.79 Corners 5.66
5.14 Corners against 4.79
10.79 Fouls 9.97
1.68 Yellow cards 1.93
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.90
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

36% Wins 34%
25% Draws 24%
39% Losses 41%
96% Over 0.5 goals 97%
89% Over 1.5 goals 86%
61% Over 2.5 goals 72%
29% Over 3.5 goals 48%
18% Over 4.5 goals 21%
11% Over 5.5 goals 17%
61% Both teams scored 66%
21% Clean sheets 17%
21% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 52%
39% Draws 21%
32% Losses 28%
75% Over 0.5 goals 90%
46% Over 1.5 goals 34%
18% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newport County all matches
Swindon all matches
Newport County before this match, at home
1.71points / match
1.86scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 26:19
Swindon before this match, away
0.73points / match
1.53scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 23:35
Newport County at home away Swindon

Per match

1.86 Goals scored 1.53
1.36 Goals conceded 2.33
3.21 Total goals 3.87
12.79 Shots 12.67
4.00 Shots on target 4.33
12.71 Shots faced 15.07
5.07 Corners 5.40
5.29 Corners against 5.20
10.79 Fouls 11.07
1.86 Yellow cards 2.33
0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

43% Wins 13%
43% Draws 33%
14% Losses 53%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
86% Over 1.5 goals 87%
64% Over 2.5 goals 80%
43% Over 3.5 goals 60%
21% Over 4.5 goals 20%
14% Over 5.5 goals 13%
79% Both teams scored 80%
21% Clean sheets 7%
7% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 33%
36% Draws 33%
29% Losses 33%
71% Over 0.5 goals 87%
43% Over 1.5 goals 47%
29% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newport County at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newport County all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.24 Newport County – Wrexham 1–0 (1–0) 3.903.901.85 1.73 2.08
13.01.24 Doncaster – Newport County 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.603.10 1.75 2.05
01.01.24 Sutton – Newport County 1–1 (0–0) 2.383.502.90 1.93 1.93
29.12.23 Newport County – Crewe 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.753.00 1.67 2.15
26.12.23 Newport County – Forest Green 4–2 (0–2) 2.053.603.50 1.83 2.03
23.12.23 Wrexham – Newport County 2–0 (0–0) 1.454.337.50 1.57 2.35
16.12.23 Newport County – Grimsby 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 1.95 1.90
09.12.23 Tranmere – Newport County 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.602.80 1.73 2.08
28.11.23 Morecambe – Newport County 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 1.85 1.95
25.11.23 Newport County – Stockport 2–1 (1–0) 5.003.751.67 1.75 2.05

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24 Swindon – Bradford 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.802.05 1.75 2.05
13.01.24 Crewe – Swindon 2–1 (1–1) 1.914.003.50 1.50 2.50
06.01.24 Swindon – Colchester 2–2 (2–1) 2.054.003.20 1.50 2.50
01.01.24 Crawley Town – Swindon 3–1 (2–0) 2.303.602.90 1.62 2.25
29.12.23 Swindon – Forest Green 2–1 (0–0) 2.053.603.40 1.60 2.30
26.12.23 Swindon – Wrexham 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.751.83 1.53 2.40
23.12.23 Tranmere – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.67 2.15
16.12.23 Swindon – Barrow 0–3 (0–1) 2.603.602.60 1.83 2.03
09.12.23 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 4–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.60 1.65 2.20
28.11.23 Accrington – Swindon 3–4 (0–2) 2.203.503.25 1.57 2.35

Newport County at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.24 Newport County – Wrexham 1–0 (1–0) 3.903.901.85 1.73 2.08
29.12.23 Newport County – Crewe 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.753.00 1.67 2.15
26.12.23 Newport County – Forest Green 4–2 (0–2) 2.053.603.50 1.83 2.03
16.12.23 Newport County – Grimsby 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 1.95 1.90
25.11.23 Newport County – Stockport 2–1 (1–0) 5.003.751.67 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 Newport County – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.25 1.73 2.08
20.10.23 Newport County – Walsall 3–3 (2–1) 2.383.302.90 1.85 1.95
07.10.23 Newport County – Harrogate 1–2 (0–1) 1.953.504.00 1.93 1.93
03.10.23 Newport County – Colchester 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.603.00 1.80 2.00
23.09.23 Newport County – Bradford 1–4 (1–3) 2.253.403.20 2.00 1.85

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.24 Crewe – Swindon 2–1 (1–1) 1.914.003.50 1.50 2.50
01.01.24 Crawley Town – Swindon 3–1 (2–0) 2.303.602.90 1.62 2.25
23.12.23 Tranmere – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.67 2.15
09.12.23 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 4–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.60 1.65 2.20
28.11.23 Accrington – Swindon 3–4 (0–2) 2.203.503.25 1.57 2.35
18.11.23 Harrogate – Swindon 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.902.00 1.65 2.20
07.11.23 Colchester – Swindon 3–1 (0–1) 2.633.802.40 1.57 2.35
28.10.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–2 (1–0) 2.453.752.70 1.60 2.30
21.10.23 Salford – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.402.50 1.60 2.30
07.10.23 Bradford – Swindon 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newport County winsDrawsSwindon wins
5matches
2.00goals / match
40%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.10.23E3 Swindon – Newport County 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.75 1.62 2.25
04.02.23E3 Newport County – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.00 1.80
04.10.22E3 Swindon – Newport County 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.90 1.95
09.04.22E3 Swindon – Newport County 0–1 (0–0) 2.373.303.10 2.07 1.72
20.11.21E3 Newport County – Swindon 1–2 (0–0) 2.253.253.40 2.10 1.77

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 28 17 6 5 61 28 +33 57
2 Wrexham 27 15 7 5 54 37 +17 52
3 Mansfield 28 13 12 3 47 24 +23 51
4 Barrow 29 13 11 5 42 30 +12 50
5 Crewe 29 14 8 7 55 44 +11 50
6 Milton Keynes Dons 28 14 6 8 47 36 +11 48
7 Notts County 28 13 5 10 61 53 +8 44
8 Harrogate 28 13 4 11 36 36 0 43
9 AFC Wimbledon 28 11 9 8 44 34 +10 42
10 Gillingham 28 13 3 12 25 34 -9 42
11 Accrington 28 12 5 11 42 38 +4 41
12 Crawley Town 27 12 3 12 43 45 -2 39
13 Walsall 27 10 7 10 41 40 +1 37
14 Swindon 29 10 7 12 52 54 -2 37
15 Morecambe 27 10 7 10 40 44 -4 37
16 Newport County 28 10 7 11 40 45 -5 37
17 Tranmere 29 11 3 15 45 43 +2 36
18 Bradford 29 9 9 11 35 39 -4 36
19 Salford 29 8 7 14 39 51 -12 31
20 Grimsby 28 6 10 12 41 51 -10 28
21 Colchester 29 8 4 17 39 55 -16 28
22 Doncaster 28 8 4 16 32 52 -20 28
23 Sutton 29 4 9 16 33 58 -25 21
24 Forest Green 28 4 7 17 27 50 -23 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wrexham 14 11 2 1 43 21 +22 35
2 Stockport 15 10 3 2 33 11 +22 33
3 Notts County 14 10 1 3 36 20 +16 31
4 Milton Keynes Dons 15 9 3 3 26 15 +11 30
5 Crewe 15 9 3 3 30 22 +8 30
6 Swindon 14 8 2 4 29 19 +10 26
7 Accrington 15 8 2 5 25 18 +7 26
8 Tranmere 14 8 1 5 29 19 +10 25
9 Mansfield 13 6 6 1 17 8 +9 24
10 Newport County 14 6 6 2 26 19 +7 24
11 Crawley Town 14 8 0 6 25 19 +6 24
12 Barrow 13 6 6 1 16 11 +5 24
13 Walsall 13 6 5 2 17 10 +7 23
14 Gillingham 14 7 2 5 14 16 -2 23
15 AFC Wimbledon 13 6 3 4 28 19 +9 21
16 Morecambe 14 5 6 3 20 15 +5 21
17 Doncaster 15 6 2 7 20 26 -6 20
18 Grimsby 15 5 4 6 25 29 -4 19
19 Bradford 13 4 6 3 15 16 -1 18
20 Harrogate 14 5 2 7 18 21 -3 17
21 Colchester 14 4 3 7 21 26 -5 15
22 Sutton 15 3 5 7 20 22 -2 14
23 Salford 13 2 4 7 17 28 -11 10
24 Forest Green 15 2 3 10 14 27 -13 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Mansfield 15 7 6 2 30 16 +14 27
2 Barrow 16 7 5 4 26 19 +7 26
3 Harrogate 14 8 2 4 18 15 +3 26
4 Stockport 13 7 3 3 28 17 +11 24
5 AFC Wimbledon 15 5 6 4 16 15 +1 21
6 Salford 16 6 3 7 22 23 -1 21
7 Crewe 14 5 5 4 25 22 +3 20
8 Gillingham 14 6 1 7 11 18 -7 19
9 Milton Keynes Dons 13 5 3 5 21 21 0 18
10 Bradford 16 5 3 8 20 23 -3 18
11 Wrexham 13 4 5 4 11 16 -5 17
12 Morecambe 13 5 1 7 20 29 -9 16
13 Accrington 13 4 3 6 17 20 -3 15
14 Crawley Town 13 4 3 6 18 26 -8 15
15 Walsall 14 4 2 8 24 30 -6 14
16 Notts County 14 3 4 7 25 33 -8 13
17 Colchester 15 4 1 10 18 29 -11 13
18 Newport County 14 4 1 9 14 26 -12 13
19 Tranmere 15 3 2 10 16 24 -8 11
20 Swindon 15 2 5 8 23 35 -12 11
21 Forest Green 13 2 4 7 13 23 -10 10
22 Grimsby 13 1 6 6 16 22 -6 9
23 Doncaster 13 2 2 9 12 26 -14 8
24 Sutton 14 1 4 9 13 36 -23 7

Newport County   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Notts County 28 7 21 2.2 1.9 13 5 10 61 53 44
2 14 Swindon 29 8 21 1.8 1.9 10 7 12 52 54 37
3 22 Doncaster 28 9 19 1.1 1.9 8 4 16 32 52 28
4 5 Crewe 29 11 18 1.9 1.5 14 8 7 55 44 50
5 15 Morecambe 27 9 18 1.5 1.6 10 7 10 40 44 37
6 17 Tranmere 29 11 18 1.6 1.5 11 3 15 45 43 36
7 19 Salford 29 11 18 1.3 1.8 8 7 14 39 51 31
8 21 Colchester 29 11 18 1.3 1.9 8 4 17 39 55 28
9 6 Milton Keynes Dons 28 11 17 1.7 1.3 14 6 8 47 36 48
10 12 Crawley Town 27 10 17 1.6 1.7 12 3 12 43 45 39
11 16 Newport County 28 11 17 1.4 1.6 10 7 11 40 45 37
12 1 Stockport 28 12 16 2.2 1.0 17 6 5 61 28 57
13 11 Accrington 28 12 16 1.5 1.4 12 5 11 42 38 41
14 13 Walsall 27 11 16 1.5 1.5 10 7 10 41 40 37
15 20 Grimsby 28 12 16 1.5 1.8 6 10 12 41 51 28
16 8 Harrogate 28 13 15 1.3 1.3 13 4 11 36 36 43
17 23 Sutton 29 14 15 1.1 2.0 4 9 16 33 58 21
18 24 Forest Green 28 13 15 1.0 1.8 4 7 17 27 50 19
19 2 Wrexham 27 13 14 2.0 1.4 15 7 5 54 37 52
20 9 AFC Wimbledon 28 14 14 1.6 1.2 11 9 8 44 34 42
21 3 Mansfield 28 15 13 1.7 0.9 13 12 3 47 24 51
22 4 Barrow 29 16 13 1.4 1.0 13 11 5 42 30 50
23 18 Bradford 29 16 13 1.2 1.3 9 9 11 35 39 36
24 10 Gillingham 28 18 10 0.9 1.2 13 3 12 25 34 42
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Notts County 14 2 12 2.6 1.4 10 1 3 36 20 31
2 17 Tranmere 14 2 12 2.1 1.4 8 1 5 29 19 25
3 2 Wrexham 14 3 11 3.1 1.5 11 2 1 43 21 35
4 5 Crewe 15 5 10 2.0 1.5 9 3 3 30 22 30
5 11 Accrington 15 5 10 1.7 1.2 8 2 5 25 18 26
6 12 Crawley Town 14 4 10 1.8 1.4 8 0 6 25 19 24
7 19 Salford 13 3 10 1.3 2.2 2 4 7 17 28 10
8 22 Doncaster 15 5 10 1.3 1.7 6 2 7 20 26 20
9 14 Swindon 14 5 9 2.1 1.4 8 2 4 29 19 26
10 16 Newport County 14 5 9 1.9 1.4 6 6 2 26 19 24
11 20 Grimsby 15 6 9 1.7 1.9 5 4 6 25 29 19
12 24 Forest Green 15 6 9 0.9 1.8 2 3 10 14 27 9
13 6 Milton Keynes Dons 15 7 8 1.7 1.0 9 3 3 26 15 30
14 9 AFC Wimbledon 13 5 8 2.2 1.5 6 3 4 28 19 21
15 21 Colchester 14 6 8 1.5 1.9 4 3 7 21 26 15
16 8 Harrogate 14 7 7 1.3 1.5 5 2 7 18 21 17
17 15 Morecambe 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 5 6 3 20 15 21
18 23 Sutton 15 8 7 1.3 1.5 3 5 7 20 22 14
19 1 Stockport 15 9 6 2.2 0.7 10 3 2 33 11 33
20 10 Gillingham 14 9 5 1.0 1.1 7 2 5 14 16 23
21 18 Bradford 13 8 5 1.2 1.2 4 6 3 15 16 18
22 3 Mansfield 13 9 4 1.3 0.6 6 6 1 17 8 24
23 4 Barrow 13 9 4 1.2 0.8 6 6 1 16 11 24
24 13 Walsall 13 9 4 1.3 0.8 6 5 2 17 10 23
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Walsall 14 2 12 1.7 2.1 4 2 8 24 30 14
2 14 Swindon 15 3 12 1.5 2.3 2 5 8 23 35 11
3 15 Morecambe 13 2 11 1.5 2.2 5 1 7 20 29 16
4 1 Stockport 13 3 10 2.2 1.3 7 3 3 28 17 24
5 21 Colchester 15 5 10 1.2 1.9 4 1 10 18 29 13
6 3 Mansfield 15 6 9 2.0 1.1 7 6 2 30 16 27
7 4 Barrow 16 7 9 1.6 1.2 7 5 4 26 19 26
8 6 Milton Keynes Dons 13 4 9 1.6 1.6 5 3 5 21 21 18
9 7 Notts County 14 5 9 1.8 2.4 3 4 7 25 33 13
10 22 Doncaster 13 4 9 0.9 2.0 2 2 9 12 26 8
11 5 Crewe 14 6 8 1.8 1.6 5 5 4 25 22 20
12 8 Harrogate 14 6 8 1.3 1.1 8 2 4 18 15 26
13 16 Newport County 14 6 8 1.0 1.9 4 1 9 14 26 13
14 18 Bradford 16 8 8 1.2 1.4 5 3 8 20 23 18
15 19 Salford 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 6 3 7 22 23 21
16 23 Sutton 14 6 8 0.9 2.6 1 4 9 13 36 7
17 12 Crawley Town 13 6 7 1.4 2.0 4 3 6 18 26 15
18 20 Grimsby 13 6 7 1.2 1.7 1 6 6 16 22 9
19 9 AFC Wimbledon 15 9 6 1.1 1.0 5 6 4 16 15 21
20 11 Accrington 13 7 6 1.3 1.5 4 3 6 17 20 15
21 17 Tranmere 15 9 6 1.1 1.6 3 2 10 16 24 11
22 24 Forest Green 13 7 6 1.0 1.8 2 4 7 13 23 10
23 10 Gillingham 14 9 5 0.8 1.3 6 1 7 11 18 19
24 2 Wrexham 13 10 3 0.8 1.2 4 5 4 11 16 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51