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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: L Smith

Morecambe 1–3 Milton Keynes Dons

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.00 fair 2.20
Draw 3.50 fair 4.22
Away ✓ 2.30 fair 3.25
Under 2.5 2.03 fair 2.43
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Morecambe Milton Keynes Dons
9 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 7
4 Corners 5
12 Fouls 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (260 league matches this season so far).
Result Morecambe to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.70 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
MorecambeDrawMilton Keynes Dons
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Morecambe before this match, all matches
1.55points / match
1.60scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 32:29
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.65scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 33:27
Morecambe all matches all matches Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.65
1.45 Goals conceded 1.35
3.05 Total goals 3.00
10.90 Shots 14.20
4.25 Shots on target 4.60
14.05 Shots faced 12.70
5.35 Corners 4.45
5.45 Corners against 5.30
10.95 Fouls 10.35
2.10 Yellow cards 2.15
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.85
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

45% Wins 40%
20% Draws 30%
35% Losses 30%
95% Over 0.5 goals 90%
80% Over 1.5 goals 75%
65% Over 2.5 goals 55%
35% Over 3.5 goals 35%
25% Over 4.5 goals 25%
5% Over 5.5 goals 10%
55% Both teams scored 70%
25% Clean sheets 20%
25% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 40%
40% Draws 20%
25% Losses 40%
75% Over 0.5 goals 85%
35% Over 1.5 goals 45%
15% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Morecambe all matches
Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Morecambe before this match, at home
1.90points / match
1.60scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:8
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, away
1.20points / match
1.60scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:16
Morecambe at home away Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.60
0.80 Goals conceded 1.60
2.40 Total goals 3.20
11.50 Shots 14.00
4.10 Shots on target 4.40
12.80 Shots faced 14.00
6.00 Corners 4.40
5.20 Corners against 5.10
10.90 Fouls 9.70
2.00 Yellow cards 2.20
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.90

How often Full Time

50% Wins 30%
40% Draws 30%
10% Losses 40%
90% Over 0.5 goals 80%
70% Over 1.5 goals 70%
50% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Over 3.5 goals 40%
10% Over 4.5 goals 30%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 70%
40% Clean sheets 20%
10% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%
80% Draws 30%
0% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 80%
30% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Morecambe at home
Milton Keynes Dons away

Last 10 matches before this match

Morecambe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.23 Doncaster – Morecambe 0–5 (0–2) 2.103.503.50 1.90 1.95
09.12.23 Morecambe – Stockport 1–1 (0–0) 5.253.601.73 1.93 1.93
28.11.23 Morecambe – Newport County 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 1.85 1.95
25.11.23 Wrexham – Morecambe 6–0 (3–0) 1.404.758.00 1.53 2.40
11.11.23 Grimsby – Morecambe 3–2 (0–1) 2.153.503.25 1.93 1.93
31.10.23 Barrow – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.93 1.93
28.10.23 Morecambe – AFC Wimbledon 4–1 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 1.95 1.90
24.10.23 Morecambe – Tranmere 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.60 1.88 1.98
21.10.23 Sutton – Morecambe 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.80 1.88 1.98
07.10.23 Colchester – Morecambe 1–3 (0–1) 1.913.753.80 1.75 2.05

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Forest Green 2–0 (2–0) 1.654.005.25 1.67 2.15
28.11.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Grimsby 1–1 (0–1) 1.733.904.75 1.75 2.05
25.11.23 Salford – Milton Keynes Dons 2–4 (2–1) 2.703.402.50 1.62 2.25
11.11.23 Newport County – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.25 1.73 2.08
28.10.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–2 (1–0) 2.453.752.70 1.60 2.30
24.10.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Bradford 4–1 (2–1) 2.403.303.00 2.05 1.75
21.10.23 Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.402.55 1.73 2.08
14.10.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Barrow 2–2 (2–0) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
07.10.23 Gillingham – Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.08 1.73
03.10.23 Walsall – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.60 1.90 1.95

Morecambe at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Morecambe – Stockport 1–1 (0–0) 5.253.601.73 1.93 1.93
28.11.23 Morecambe – Newport County 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 1.85 1.95
28.10.23 Morecambe – AFC Wimbledon 4–1 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 1.95 1.90
24.10.23 Morecambe – Tranmere 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.60 1.88 1.98
03.10.23 Morecambe – Accrington 1–1 (0–0) 2.553.302.75 1.88 1.98
23.09.23 Morecambe – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.08
02.09.23 Morecambe – Salford 1–0 (1–0) 2.803.402.50 1.95 1.90
19.08.23 Morecambe – Bradford 3–0 (1–0) 3.503.202.15 1.93 1.93
15.08.23 Morecambe – Notts County 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.751.80 1.70 2.10
05.08.23 Morecambe – Walsall 2–1 (1–1) 2.603.202.80 2.15 1.67

Milton Keynes Dons away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Salford – Milton Keynes Dons 2–4 (2–1) 2.703.402.50 1.62 2.25
11.11.23 Newport County – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.25 1.73 2.08
21.10.23 Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.402.55 1.73 2.08
07.10.23 Gillingham – Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.08 1.73
03.10.23 Walsall – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.60 1.90 1.95
23.09.23 Sutton – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.402.60 1.83 2.03
02.09.23 Crewe – Milton Keynes Dons 3–1 (0–1) 3.103.402.30 1.75 2.05
19.08.23 Colchester – Milton Keynes Dons 2–3 (2–1) 2.753.302.60 2.05 1.75
15.08.23 Crawley Town – Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 (1–1) 3.003.302.38 2.03 1.83
05.08.23 Wrexham – Milton Keynes Dons 3–5 (1–2) 1.673.755.25 1.83 2.03

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Morecambe winsDrawsMilton Keynes Dons wins
4matches
2.75goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.03.23E2 Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.05 1.75
27.08.22E2 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 0–4 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.77
23.04.22E2 Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.95 1.90
27.11.21E2 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 0–4 (0–2) 3.603.602.00 1.85 2.00

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 23 15 4 4 51 22 +29 49
2 Barrow 22 12 7 3 33 17 +16 43
3 Wrexham 21 11 7 3 44 32 +12 40
4 Mansfield 20 10 9 1 37 18 +19 39
5 Crewe 22 10 7 5 45 36 +9 37
6 Notts County 23 11 3 9 45 43 +2 36
7 AFC Wimbledon 22 9 8 5 35 23 +12 35
8 Bradford 22 9 5 8 29 28 +1 32
9 Gillingham 22 10 2 10 19 28 -9 32
10 Morecambe 20 9 4 7 32 29 +3 31
11 Accrington 22 9 4 9 33 32 +1 31
12 Milton Keynes Dons 20 8 6 6 33 27 +6 30
13 Swindon 22 8 6 8 43 43 0 30
14 Crawley Town 22 9 3 10 34 39 -5 30
15 Walsall 21 7 6 8 27 32 -5 27
16 Harrogate 21 8 3 10 23 28 -5 27
17 Newport County 22 7 5 10 32 39 -7 26
18 Grimsby 22 5 9 8 30 34 -4 24
19 Doncaster 22 7 3 12 26 39 -13 24
20 Salford 22 6 5 11 31 35 -4 23
21 Colchester 23 7 2 14 32 45 -13 23
22 Tranmere 22 6 3 13 29 35 -6 21
23 Forest Green 21 4 4 13 20 37 -17 16
24 Sutton 21 3 5 13 26 48 -22 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 13 9 3 1 30 8 +22 30
2 Wrexham 11 8 2 1 35 20 +15 26
3 Notts County 11 8 0 3 27 19 +8 24
4 Crewe 12 7 3 2 25 18 +7 24
5 Crawley Town 12 7 0 5 22 17 +5 21
6 Accrington 12 6 2 4 19 15 +4 20
7 Swindon 10 6 1 3 23 15 +8 19
8 Tranmere 11 6 1 4 22 14 +8 19
9 Morecambe 10 5 4 1 16 8 +8 19
10 Mansfield 9 5 4 0 13 5 +8 19
11 Barrow 9 5 4 0 11 5 +6 19
12 Gillingham 11 6 1 4 12 13 -1 19
13 Milton Keynes Dons 10 5 3 2 17 11 +6 18
14 Grimsby 11 5 3 3 17 14 +3 18
15 Newport County 11 4 5 2 20 16 +4 17
16 Doncaster 12 5 2 5 16 20 -4 17
17 Walsall 10 4 4 2 11 8 +3 16
18 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 3 3 21 14 +7 15
19 Bradford 9 4 3 2 10 9 +1 15
20 Colchester 12 4 2 6 20 24 -4 14
21 Sutton 11 3 3 5 16 15 +1 12
22 Harrogate 11 3 2 6 13 17 -4 11
23 Salford 10 2 3 5 14 18 -4 9
24 Forest Green 12 2 2 8 13 23 -10 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barrow 13 7 3 3 22 12 +10 24
2 Mansfield 11 5 5 1 24 13 +11 20
3 AFC Wimbledon 12 5 5 2 14 9 +5 20
4 Stockport 10 6 1 3 21 14 +7 19
5 Bradford 13 5 2 6 19 19 0 17
6 Harrogate 10 5 1 4 10 11 -1 16
7 Salford 12 4 2 6 17 17 0 14
8 Wrexham 10 3 5 2 9 12 -3 14
9 Crewe 10 3 4 3 20 18 +2 13
10 Gillingham 11 4 1 6 7 15 -8 13
11 Milton Keynes Dons 10 3 3 4 16 16 0 12
12 Morecambe 10 4 0 6 16 21 -5 12
13 Notts County 12 3 3 6 18 24 -6 12
14 Accrington 10 3 2 5 14 17 -3 11
15 Swindon 12 2 5 5 20 28 -8 11
16 Walsall 11 3 2 6 16 24 -8 11
17 Colchester 11 3 0 8 12 21 -9 9
18 Crawley Town 10 2 3 5 12 22 -10 9
19 Newport County 11 3 0 8 12 23 -11 9
20 Forest Green 9 2 2 5 7 14 -7 8
21 Doncaster 10 2 1 7 10 19 -9 7
22 Grimsby 11 0 6 5 13 20 -7 6
23 Tranmere 11 0 2 9 7 21 -14 2
24 Sutton 10 0 2 8 10 33 -23 2

Morecambe   Milton Keynes Dons

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Notts County 23 6 17 2.0 1.9 11 3 9 45 43 36
2 13 Swindon 22 6 16 2.0 2.0 8 6 8 43 43 30
3 17 Newport County 22 6 16 1.5 1.8 7 5 10 32 39 26
4 21 Colchester 23 7 16 1.4 2.0 7 2 14 32 45 23
5 5 Crewe 22 7 15 2.0 1.6 10 7 5 45 36 37
6 14 Crawley Town 22 7 15 1.5 1.8 9 3 10 34 39 30
7 19 Doncaster 22 7 15 1.2 1.8 7 3 12 26 39 24
8 1 Stockport 23 10 13 2.2 1.0 15 4 4 51 22 49
9 10 Morecambe 20 7 13 1.6 1.4 9 4 7 32 29 31
10 20 Salford 22 9 13 1.4 1.6 6 5 11 31 35 23
11 22 Tranmere 22 9 13 1.3 1.6 6 3 13 29 35 21
12 24 Sutton 21 8 13 1.2 2.3 3 5 13 26 48 14
13 3 Wrexham 21 9 12 2.1 1.5 11 7 3 44 32 40
14 4 Mansfield 20 8 12 1.9 0.9 10 9 1 37 18 39
15 11 Accrington 22 10 12 1.5 1.5 9 4 9 33 32 31
16 15 Walsall 21 9 12 1.3 1.5 7 6 8 27 32 27
17 23 Forest Green 21 9 12 1.0 1.8 4 4 13 20 37 16
18 7 AFC Wimbledon 22 11 11 1.6 1.0 9 8 5 35 23 35
19 8 Bradford 22 11 11 1.3 1.3 9 5 8 29 28 32
20 12 Milton Keynes Dons 20 9 11 1.6 1.4 8 6 6 33 27 30
21 18 Grimsby 22 11 11 1.4 1.5 5 9 8 30 34 24
22 16 Harrogate 21 11 10 1.1 1.3 8 3 10 23 28 27
23 2 Barrow 22 13 9 1.5 0.8 12 7 3 33 17 43
24 9 Gillingham 22 14 8 0.9 1.3 10 2 10 19 28 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Wrexham 11 1 10 3.2 1.8 8 2 1 35 20 26
2 6 Notts County 11 1 10 2.5 1.7 8 0 3 27 19 24
3 14 Crawley Town 12 3 9 1.8 1.4 7 0 5 22 17 21
4 22 Tranmere 11 2 9 2.0 1.3 6 1 4 22 14 19
5 23 Forest Green 12 3 9 1.1 1.9 2 2 8 13 23 8
6 5 Crewe 12 4 8 2.1 1.5 7 3 2 25 18 24
7 17 Newport County 11 3 8 1.8 1.5 4 5 2 20 16 17
8 19 Doncaster 12 4 8 1.3 1.7 5 2 5 16 20 17
9 21 Colchester 12 4 8 1.7 2.0 4 2 6 20 24 14
10 11 Accrington 12 5 7 1.6 1.2 6 2 4 19 15 20
11 13 Swindon 10 3 7 2.3 1.5 6 1 3 23 15 19
12 20 Salford 10 3 7 1.4 1.8 2 3 5 14 18 9
13 7 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 6 2.1 1.4 4 3 3 21 14 15
14 1 Stockport 13 8 5 2.3 0.6 9 3 1 30 8 30
15 9 Gillingham 11 6 5 1.1 1.2 6 1 4 12 13 19
16 10 Morecambe 10 5 5 1.6 0.8 5 4 1 16 8 19
17 12 Milton Keynes Dons 10 5 5 1.7 1.1 5 3 2 17 11 18
18 16 Harrogate 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 3 2 6 13 17 11
19 18 Grimsby 11 6 5 1.5 1.3 5 3 3 17 14 18
20 24 Sutton 11 6 5 1.5 1.4 3 3 5 16 15 12
21 4 Mansfield 9 5 4 1.4 0.6 5 4 0 13 5 19
22 8 Bradford 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 4 3 2 10 9 15
23 15 Walsall 10 7 3 1.1 0.8 4 4 2 11 8 16
24 2 Barrow 9 7 2 1.2 0.6 5 4 0 11 5 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Swindon 12 3 9 1.7 2.3 2 5 5 20 28 11
2 15 Walsall 11 2 9 1.5 2.2 3 2 6 16 24 11
3 1 Stockport 10 2 8 2.1 1.4 6 1 3 21 14 19
4 4 Mansfield 11 3 8 2.2 1.2 5 5 1 24 13 20
5 8 Bradford 13 5 8 1.5 1.5 5 2 6 19 19 17
6 10 Morecambe 10 2 8 1.6 2.1 4 0 6 16 21 12
7 17 Newport County 11 3 8 1.1 2.1 3 0 8 12 23 9
8 21 Colchester 11 3 8 1.1 1.9 3 0 8 12 21 9
9 24 Sutton 10 2 8 1.0 3.3 0 2 8 10 33 2
10 2 Barrow 13 6 7 1.7 0.9 7 3 3 22 12 24
11 5 Crewe 10 3 7 2.0 1.8 3 4 3 20 18 13
12 6 Notts County 12 5 7 1.5 2.0 3 3 6 18 24 12
13 19 Doncaster 10 3 7 1.0 1.9 2 1 7 10 19 7
14 12 Milton Keynes Dons 10 4 6 1.6 1.6 3 3 4 16 16 12
15 14 Crawley Town 10 4 6 1.2 2.2 2 3 5 12 22 9
16 18 Grimsby 11 5 6 1.2 1.8 0 6 5 13 20 6
17 20 Salford 12 6 6 1.4 1.4 4 2 6 17 17 14
18 7 AFC Wimbledon 12 7 5 1.2 0.8 5 5 2 14 9 20
19 11 Accrington 10 5 5 1.4 1.7 3 2 5 14 17 11
20 16 Harrogate 10 5 5 1.0 1.1 5 1 4 10 11 16
21 22 Tranmere 11 7 4 0.6 1.9 0 2 9 7 21 2
22 9 Gillingham 11 8 3 0.6 1.4 4 1 6 7 15 13
23 23 Forest Green 9 6 3 0.8 1.6 2 2 5 7 14 8
24 3 Wrexham 10 8 2 0.9 1.2 3 5 2 9 12 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51