Harrogate 1–0 Grimsby – England League Two, 9 Apr 2024

Match facts

Harrogate Grimsby

11 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 2

6 Corners 1

13 Fouls 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (502 league matches this season so far).

Result Harrogate to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.74

Expected goals 1.61 – 1.28

Home / Draw / Away

45% 25% 30%

HarrogateDrawGrimsby

Under / Over 2.5 goals

45% 55%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

42% 58%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

17% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.5% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Harrogate before this match, all matches

1.38points / match

1.24scored / match

1.43conceded / match

16 10 16

WonDrawnLost 42 played · 52:60

Grimsby before this match, all matches

1.05points / match

1.27scored / match

1.68conceded / match

9 16 16

WonDrawnLost 41 played · 52:69

Harrogate all matches all matches Grimsby

Per match

1.24 Goals scored 1.27

1.43 Goals conceded 1.68

2.67 Total goals 2.95

10.21 Shots 12.90

3.55 Shots on target 3.80

16.17 Shots faced 12.63

4.45 Corners 5.68

6.76 Corners against 5.59

8.55 Fouls 11.39

1.55 Yellow cards 1.76

0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.73

0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

38% Wins 22%

24% Draws 39%

38% Losses 39%

93% Over 0.5 goals 93%

71% Over 1.5 goals 83%

50% Over 2.5 goals 49%

24% Over 3.5 goals 32%

12% Over 4.5 goals 20%

5% Over 5.5 goals 7%

55% Both teams scored 68%

24% Clean sheets 22%

29% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 37%

45% Draws 32%

31% Losses 32%

62% Over 0.5 goals 80%

24% Over 1.5 goals 46%

10% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Harrogate all matches

2

L

1

4

L

1

D

1

2

L

D

3

W

1

D

5

1

W

3

L

Grimsby all matches

1

D

1

W

D

1

D

1

W

1

D

1

3

L

1

3

L

1

D

1

W

Harrogate before this match, at home

1.30points / match

1.45scored / match

1.50conceded / match

8 2 10

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 29:30

Grimsby before this match, away

0.74points / match

1.05scored / match

1.47conceded / match

1 11 7

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 20:28

Harrogate at home away Grimsby

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.05

1.50 Goals conceded 1.47

2.95 Total goals 2.53

11.80 Shots 13.00

4.40 Shots on target 3.63

15.85 Shots faced 13.79

4.65 Corners 5.26

6.10 Corners against 6.47

7.60 Fouls 11.16

1.35 Yellow cards 2.11

0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.58

0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

40% Wins 5%

10% Draws 58%

50% Losses 37%

100% Over 0.5 goals 89%

75% Over 1.5 goals 84%

55% Over 2.5 goals 42%

40% Over 3.5 goals 26%

20% Over 4.5 goals 11%

5% Over 5.5 goals 0%

55% Both teams scored 68%

15% Clean sheets 16%

30% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 37%

30% Draws 32%

45% Losses 32%

75% Over 0.5 goals 74%

30% Over 1.5 goals 42%

15% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Harrogate at home

3

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

3

1

W

1

W

2

L

1

4

L

1

2

L

3

W

5

1

W

Grimsby away

1

D

1

D

2

L

3

W

D

1

D

1

D

1

D

1

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Harrogate all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.04.24	Notts County – Harrogate	3–0 (1–0)	1.91	4.10	3.50	1.44	2.70
01.04.24	Harrogate – Gillingham	5–1 (0–1)	3.75	3.40	2.05	2.05	1.75
29.03.24	AFC Wimbledon – Harrogate	1–1 (0–1)	1.62	3.80	5.75	2.03	1.83
23.03.24	Harrogate – Bradford	3–0 (1–0)	4.00	3.50	1.95	1.98	1.88
16.03.24	Barrow – Harrogate	0–0 (0–0)	1.55	4.33	5.75	1.88	1.98
12.03.24	Wrexham – Harrogate	0–0 (0–0)	1.33	5.25	8.50	1.50	2.50
09.03.24	Harrogate – Crawley Town	1–2 (1–0)	2.60	3.50	2.60	1.73	2.08
02.03.24	Swindon – Harrogate	1–1 (0–0)	1.83	3.90	4.00	1.67	2.15
27.02.24	Harrogate – Newport County	1–4 (0–2)	2.55	3.30	2.80	1.98	1.88
24.02.24	Harrogate – Walsall	0–2 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.40	2.00	1.85

Grimsby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.04.24	Grimsby – Newport County	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.75	4.33	1.90	1.95
01.04.24	Grimsby – Bradford	1–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.50	2.63	1.95	1.90
29.03.24	Barrow – Grimsby	3–1 (2–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.10	1.70
23.03.24	Grimsby – Wrexham	1–3 (0–3)	4.00	3.75	1.91	1.83	2.03
16.03.24	Gillingham – Grimsby	1–1 (1–1)	2.00	3.25	4.00	2.10	1.70
12.03.24	Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons	1–0 (1–0)	2.90	3.75	2.25	1.73	2.08
09.03.24	Sutton – Grimsby	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.60	3.00	1.85	2.00
05.03.24	AFC Wimbledon – Grimsby	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.33	1.90	1.95
02.03.24	Grimsby – Forest Green	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.50	3.80	1.83	2.03
24.02.24	Morecambe – Grimsby	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.40	3.10	1.80	2.00

Harrogate at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.04.24	Harrogate – Gillingham	5–1 (0–1)	3.75	3.40	2.05	2.05	1.75
23.03.24	Harrogate – Bradford	3–0 (1–0)	4.00	3.50	1.95	1.98	1.88
09.03.24	Harrogate – Crawley Town	1–2 (1–0)	2.60	3.50	2.60	1.73	2.08
27.02.24	Harrogate – Newport County	1–4 (0–2)	2.55	3.30	2.80	1.98	1.88
24.02.24	Harrogate – Walsall	0–2 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.40	2.00	1.85
10.02.24	Harrogate – Colchester	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.50	3.30	1.83	2.03
06.01.24	Harrogate – Doncaster	3–1 (1–1)	2.50	3.40	2.80	2.03	1.83
29.12.23	Harrogate – Tranmere	0–2 (0–0)	2.70	3.30	2.70	2.03	1.83
26.12.23	Harrogate – Accrington	2–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.30	1.85	2.00
16.12.23	Harrogate – Notts County	3–1 (2–0)	4.33	3.75	1.80	1.60	2.30

Grimsby away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.03.24	Barrow – Grimsby	3–1 (2–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.10	1.70
16.03.24	Gillingham – Grimsby	1–1 (1–1)	2.00	3.25	4.00	2.10	1.70
09.03.24	Sutton – Grimsby	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.60	3.00	1.85	2.00
05.03.24	AFC Wimbledon – Grimsby	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.33	1.90	1.95
24.02.24	Morecambe – Grimsby	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.40	3.10	1.80	2.00
03.02.24	Accrington – Grimsby	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.80	3.40	1.67	2.15
29.12.23	Salford – Grimsby	0–3 (0–1)	2.55	3.60	2.63	1.73	2.08
26.12.23	Mansfield – Grimsby	2–0 (2–0)	1.53	4.20	6.25	1.70	2.10
16.12.23	Newport County – Grimsby	1–1 (0–0)	2.63	3.40	2.63	1.95	1.90
28.11.23	Milton Keynes Dons – Grimsby	1–1 (0–1)	1.73	3.90	4.75	1.75	2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Harrogate winsDrawsGrimsby wins

3matches

2.67goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.12.23E3	Grimsby – Harrogate	1–2 (0–1)	1.83	3.75	4.20	1.98	1.88
21.02.23E3	Grimsby – Harrogate	0–0 (0–0)	1.75	3.80	4.75	1.93	1.93
26.12.22E3	Harrogate – Grimsby	3–2 (1–1)	2.88	3.30	2.50	2.02	1.83

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stockport	41	23	11	7	82	41	+41	80
2	Wrexham	42	22	10	10	74	50	+24	76
3	Milton Keynes Dons	43	22	8	13	73	57	+16	74
4	Mansfield	41	20	13	8	80	43	+37	73
5	Barrow	41	18	13	10	57	45	+12	67
6	Crewe	42	18	13	11	67	58	+9	67
7	Crawley Town	41	20	5	16	65	57	+8	65
8	AFC Wimbledon	43	16	14	13	55	44	+11	62
9	Walsall	41	17	11	13	62	59	+3	62
10	Morecambe	42	17	9	16	63	73	-10	60
11	Gillingham	43	17	9	17	40	53	-13	60
12	Doncaster	41	17	7	17	57	62	-5	58
13	Harrogate	42	16	10	16	52	60	-8	58
14	Bradford	42	15	12	15	50	54	-4	57
15	Notts County	42	16	7	19	83	79	+4	55
16	Newport County	42	16	7	19	59	66	-7	55
17	Tranmere	43	15	6	22	61	63	-2	51
18	Accrington	41	14	9	18	53	59	-6	51
19	Swindon	42	13	11	18	70	74	-4	50
20	Salford	43	12	11	20	62	78	-16	47
21	Grimsby	41	9	16	16	52	69	-17	43
22	Sutton	43	9	12	22	51	76	-25	39
23	Colchester	40	9	11	20	51	70	-19	38
24	Forest Green	42	9	9	24	41	70	-29	36

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Milton Keynes Dons	21	14	4	3	43	19	+24	46
2	Wrexham	20	14	3	3	50	23	+27	45
3	Stockport	21	13	5	3	42	15	+27	44
4	Barrow	21	11	7	3	26	16	+10	40
5	Walsall	20	11	6	3	30	18	+12	39
6	Crewe	21	11	5	5	35	29	+6	38
7	Mansfield	20	10	7	3	38	20	+18	37
8	AFC Wimbledon	22	10	6	6	36	24	+12	36
9	Tranmere	22	11	3	8	41	30	+11	36
10	Notts County	21	11	2	8	48	37	+11	35
11	Doncaster	20	11	2	7	28	27	+1	35
12	Swindon	21	10	4	7	39	29	+10	34
13	Newport County	20	9	6	5	35	31	+4	33
14	Crawley Town	20	10	2	8	32	26	+6	32
15	Accrington	22	9	5	8	30	26	+4	32
16	Gillingham	21	8	8	5	20	21	-1	32
17	Bradford	22	8	8	6	25	27	-2	32
18	Morecambe	21	8	7	6	28	26	+2	31
19	Grimsby	22	8	5	9	32	41	-9	29
20	Harrogate	20	8	2	10	29	30	-1	26
21	Sutton	22	5	8	9	31	32	-1	23
22	Salford	21	5	7	9	34	42	-8	22
23	Colchester	19	5	6	8	29	34	-5	21
24	Forest Green	22	4	4	14	18	38	-20	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mansfield	21	10	6	5	42	23	+19	36
2	Stockport	20	10	6	4	40	26	+14	36
3	Crawley Town	21	10	3	8	33	31	+2	33
4	Harrogate	22	8	8	6	23	30	-7	32
5	Wrexham	22	8	7	7	24	27	-3	31
6	Crewe	21	7	8	6	32	29	+3	29
7	Morecambe	21	9	2	10	35	47	-12	29
8	Milton Keynes Dons	22	8	4	10	30	38	-8	28
9	Gillingham	22	9	1	12	20	32	-12	28
10	Barrow	20	7	6	7	31	29	+2	27
11	AFC Wimbledon	21	6	8	7	19	20	-1	26
12	Bradford	20	7	4	9	25	27	-2	25
13	Salford	22	7	4	11	28	36	-8	25
14	Doncaster	21	6	5	10	29	35	-6	23
15	Walsall	21	6	5	10	32	41	-9	23
16	Newport County	22	7	1	14	24	35	-11	22
17	Notts County	21	5	5	11	35	42	-7	20
18	Forest Green	20	5	5	10	23	32	-9	20
19	Accrington	19	5	4	10	23	33	-10	19
20	Colchester	21	4	5	12	22	36	-14	17
21	Swindon	21	3	7	11	31	45	-14	16
22	Sutton	21	4	4	13	20	44	-24	16
23	Tranmere	21	4	3	14	20	33	-13	15
24	Grimsby	19	1	11	7	20	28	-8	14

Harrogate Grimsby

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Notts County	42	10	32	2.0	1.9	16	7	19	83	79	55
2	19	Swindon	42	12	30	1.7	1.8	13	11	18	70	74	50
3	10	Morecambe	42	13	29	1.5	1.7	17	9	16	63	73	60
4	20	Salford	43	15	28	1.4	1.8	12	11	20	62	78	47
5	3	Milton Keynes Dons	43	16	27	1.7	1.3	22	8	13	73	57	74
6	12	Doncaster	41	16	25	1.4	1.5	17	7	17	57	62	58
7	16	Newport County	42	17	25	1.4	1.6	16	7	19	59	66	55
8	17	Tranmere	43	18	25	1.4	1.5	15	6	22	61	63	51
9	9	Walsall	41	17	24	1.5	1.4	17	11	13	62	59	62
10	18	Accrington	41	17	24	1.3	1.4	14	9	18	53	59	51
11	1	Stockport	41	18	23	2.0	1.0	23	11	7	82	41	80
12	6	Crewe	42	19	23	1.6	1.4	18	13	11	67	58	67
13	7	Crawley Town	41	18	23	1.6	1.4	20	5	16	65	57	65
14	4	Mansfield	41	19	22	2.0	1.0	20	13	8	80	43	73
15	13	Harrogate	42	21	21	1.2	1.4	16	10	16	52	60	58
16	22	Sutton	43	22	21	1.2	1.8	9	12	22	51	76	39
17	23	Colchester	40	19	21	1.3	1.8	9	11	20	51	70	38
18	2	Wrexham	42	22	20	1.8	1.2	22	10	10	74	50	76
19	21	Grimsby	41	21	20	1.3	1.7	9	16	16	52	69	43
20	24	Forest Green	42	22	20	1.0	1.7	9	9	24	41	70	36
21	14	Bradford	42	24	18	1.2	1.3	15	12	15	50	54	57
22	5	Barrow	41	24	17	1.4	1.1	18	13	10	57	45	67
23	8	AFC Wimbledon	43	29	14	1.3	1.0	16	14	13	55	44	62
24	11	Gillingham	43	29	14	0.9	1.2	17	9	17	40	53	60

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Notts County	21	3	18	2.3	1.8	11	2	8	48	37	35
2	17	Tranmere	22	5	17	1.9	1.4	11	3	8	41	30	36
3	20	Salford	21	5	16	1.6	2.0	5	7	9	34	42	22
4	19	Swindon	21	7	14	1.9	1.4	10	4	7	39	29	34
5	3	Milton Keynes Dons	21	8	13	2.0	0.9	14	4	3	43	19	46
6	16	Newport County	20	7	13	1.8	1.6	9	6	5	35	31	33
7	18	Accrington	22	9	13	1.4	1.2	9	5	8	30	26	32
8	2	Wrexham	20	8	12	2.5	1.1	14	3	3	50	23	45
9	6	Crewe	21	9	12	1.7	1.4	11	5	5	35	29	38
10	7	Crawley Town	20	8	12	1.6	1.3	10	2	8	32	26	32
11	21	Grimsby	22	10	12	1.5	1.9	8	5	9	32	41	29
12	10	Morecambe	21	10	11	1.3	1.2	8	7	6	28	26	31
13	12	Doncaster	20	9	11	1.4	1.4	11	2	7	28	27	35
14	13	Harrogate	20	9	11	1.4	1.5	8	2	10	29	30	26
15	22	Sutton	22	11	11	1.4	1.5	5	8	9	31	32	23
16	23	Colchester	19	8	11	1.5	1.8	5	6	8	29	34	21
17	24	Forest Green	22	11	11	0.8	1.7	4	4	14	18	38	16
18	9	Walsall	20	10	10	1.5	0.9	11	6	3	30	18	39
19	4	Mansfield	20	11	9	1.9	1.0	10	7	3	38	20	37
20	1	Stockport	21	13	8	2.0	0.7	13	5	3	42	15	44
21	8	AFC Wimbledon	22	14	8	1.6	1.1	10	6	6	36	24	36
22	14	Bradford	22	14	8	1.1	1.2	8	8	6	25	27	32
23	5	Barrow	21	15	6	1.2	0.8	11	7	3	26	16	40
24	11	Gillingham	21	15	6	1.0	1.0	8	8	5	20	21	32

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Morecambe	21	3	18	1.7	2.2	9	2	10	35	47	29
2	19	Swindon	21	5	16	1.5	2.1	3	7	11	31	45	16
3	1	Stockport	20	5	15	2.0	1.3	10	6	4	40	26	36
4	3	Milton Keynes Dons	22	8	14	1.4	1.7	8	4	10	30	38	28
5	9	Walsall	21	7	14	1.5	2.0	6	5	10	32	41	23
6	12	Doncaster	21	7	14	1.4	1.7	6	5	10	29	35	23
7	15	Notts County	21	7	14	1.7	2.0	5	5	11	35	42	20
8	4	Mansfield	21	8	13	2.0	1.1	10	6	5	42	23	36
9	16	Newport County	22	10	12	1.1	1.6	7	1	14	24	35	22
10	20	Salford	22	10	12	1.3	1.6	7	4	11	28	36	25
11	5	Barrow	20	9	11	1.6	1.4	7	6	7	31	29	27
12	6	Crewe	21	10	11	1.5	1.4	7	8	6	32	29	29
13	7	Crawley Town	21	10	11	1.6	1.5	10	3	8	33	31	33
14	18	Accrington	19	8	11	1.2	1.7	5	4	10	23	33	19
15	13	Harrogate	22	12	10	1.0	1.4	8	8	6	23	30	32
16	14	Bradford	20	10	10	1.2	1.4	7	4	9	25	27	25
17	22	Sutton	21	11	10	1.0	2.1	4	4	13	20	44	16
18	23	Colchester	21	11	10	1.0	1.7	4	5	12	22	36	17
19	24	Forest Green	20	11	9	1.1	1.6	5	5	10	23	32	20
20	2	Wrexham	22	14	8	1.1	1.2	8	7	7	24	27	31
21	11	Gillingham	22	14	8	0.9	1.5	9	1	12	20	32	28
22	17	Tranmere	21	13	8	1.0	1.6	4	3	14	20	33	15
23	21	Grimsby	19	11	8	1.1	1.5	1	11	7	20	28	14
24	8	AFC Wimbledon	21	15	6	0.9	1.0	6	8	7	19	20	26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.