Swindon 1–1 Harrogate – England League Two, 2 Mar 2024

Match facts

Swindon Harrogate

15 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 1

11 Corners 5

7 Fouls 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (407 league matches this season so far).

Result Swindon to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.59

Expected goals 1.87 – 1.37

Home / Draw / Away

49% 23% 28%

SwindonDrawHarrogate

Under / Over 2.5 goals

37% 63%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

37% 63%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

13% 1

21% 2

22% 3

18% 4

23% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 7.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.23points / match

1.71scored / match

1.77conceded / match

11 10 14

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 60:62

Harrogate before this match, all matches

1.41points / match

1.21scored / match

1.53conceded / match

14 6 14

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 41:52

Swindon all matches all matches Harrogate

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.21

1.77 Goals conceded 1.53

3.49 Total goals 2.74

13.43 Shots 9.85

4.69 Shots on target 3.35

14.03 Shots faced 16.41

5.86 Corners 4.35

5.03 Corners against 6.76

10.26 Fouls 8.35

2.03 Yellow cards 1.59

0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

31% Wins 41%

29% Draws 18%

40% Losses 41%

94% Over 0.5 goals 97%

86% Over 1.5 goals 71%

71% Over 2.5 goals 50%

46% Over 3.5 goals 26%

17% Over 4.5 goals 12%

14% Over 5.5 goals 3%

69% Both teams scored 56%

17% Clean sheets 21%

20% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

49% Wins 21%

26% Draws 47%

26% Losses 32%

83% Over 0.5 goals 62%

34% Over 1.5 goals 29%

14% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches

1

3

L

2

D

1

2

L

2

W

1

2

L

1

D

2

D

1

2

L

D

3

1

W

Harrogate all matches

2

D

3

1

W

2

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

W

2

9

L

D

2

L

1

4

L

Swindon before this match, at home

1.76points / match

2.00scored / match

1.35conceded / match

9 3 5

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 34:23

Harrogate before this match, away

1.65points / match

1.24scored / match

1.47conceded / match

8 4 5

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 21:25

Swindon at home away Harrogate

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.24

1.35 Goals conceded 1.47

3.35 Total goals 2.71

14.18 Shots 8.59

5.12 Shots on target 2.88

12.82 Shots faced 16.47

6.29 Corners 4.06

4.35 Corners against 7.18

9.29 Fouls 9.24

1.65 Yellow cards 1.88

0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.35

0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

53% Wins 47%

18% Draws 24%

29% Losses 29%

100% Over 0.5 goals 94%

88% Over 1.5 goals 71%

65% Over 2.5 goals 53%

35% Over 3.5 goals 12%

18% Over 4.5 goals 6%

18% Over 5.5 goals 6%

59% Both teams scored 59%

24% Clean sheets 29%

18% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

65% Wins 24%

12% Draws 59%

24% Losses 18%

88% Over 0.5 goals 53%

29% Over 1.5 goals 24%

18% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home

2

4

L

2

1

W

3

L

1

L

2

1

W

2

D

2

W

1

D

1

2

L

3

1

W

Harrogate away

2

1

W

1

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

2

D

2

W

2

1

W

1

D

2

9

L

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.02.24	Swindon – Tranmere	3–1 (2–1)	2.38	3.50	2.88	1.75	2.05
24.02.24	Stockport – Swindon	0–0 (0–0)	1.45	5.00	6.00	1.57	2.35
17.02.24	Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons	1–2 (0–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.65	2.20
13.02.24	Gillingham – Swindon	2–2 (0–1)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.75	2.05
10.02.24	Swindon – Salford	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.75	2.30	1.65	2.20
03.02.24	Newport County – Swindon	2–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.65	2.20
27.01.24	Swindon – Bradford	2–0 (2–0)	3.30	3.80	2.05	1.75	2.05
13.01.24	Crewe – Swindon	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	4.00	3.50	1.50	2.50
06.01.24	Swindon – Colchester	2–2 (2–1)	2.05	4.00	3.20	1.50	2.50
01.01.24	Crawley Town – Swindon	3–1 (2–0)	2.30	3.60	2.90	1.62	2.25

Harrogate all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.02.24	Harrogate – Newport County	1–4 (0–2)	2.55	3.30	2.80	1.98	1.88
24.02.24	Harrogate – Walsall	0–2 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.40	2.00	1.85
17.02.24	Crewe – Harrogate	0–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.83	2.03
13.02.24	Mansfield – Harrogate	9–2 (5–0)	1.44	5.00	6.00	1.70	2.10
10.02.24	Harrogate – Colchester	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.50	3.30	1.83	2.03
03.02.24	Stockport – Harrogate	1–1 (1–1)	1.33	5.00	9.50	1.70	2.10
30.01.24	Sutton – Harrogate	1–2 (0–0)	2.55	3.60	2.63	1.83	2.03
13.01.24	Forest Green – Harrogate	0–2 (0–0)	2.05	3.60	3.50	1.90	1.95
06.01.24	Harrogate – Doncaster	3–1 (1–1)	2.50	3.40	2.80	2.03	1.83
01.01.24	Morecambe – Harrogate	2–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.60	3.00	1.67	2.15

Swindon at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.02.24	Swindon – Tranmere	3–1 (2–1)	2.38	3.50	2.88	1.75	2.05
17.02.24	Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons	1–2 (0–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.65	2.20
10.02.24	Swindon – Salford	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.75	2.30	1.65	2.20
27.01.24	Swindon – Bradford	2–0 (2–0)	3.30	3.80	2.05	1.75	2.05
06.01.24	Swindon – Colchester	2–2 (2–1)	2.05	4.00	3.20	1.50	2.50
29.12.23	Swindon – Forest Green	2–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.60	3.40	1.60	2.30
26.12.23	Swindon – Wrexham	0–1 (0–1)	4.20	3.75	1.83	1.53	2.40
16.12.23	Swindon – Barrow	0–3 (0–1)	2.60	3.60	2.60	1.83	2.03
25.11.23	Swindon – Mansfield	2–1 (1–0)	3.25	4.00	2.00	1.60	2.30
11.11.23	Swindon – Stockport	2–4 (1–0)	3.25	4.20	2.00	1.60	2.30

Harrogate away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.02.24	Crewe – Harrogate	0–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.83	2.03
13.02.24	Mansfield – Harrogate	9–2 (5–0)	1.44	5.00	6.00	1.70	2.10
03.02.24	Stockport – Harrogate	1–1 (1–1)	1.33	5.00	9.50	1.70	2.10
30.01.24	Sutton – Harrogate	1–2 (0–0)	2.55	3.60	2.63	1.83	2.03
13.01.24	Forest Green – Harrogate	0–2 (0–0)	2.05	3.60	3.50	1.90	1.95
01.01.24	Morecambe – Harrogate	2–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.60	3.00	1.67	2.15
23.12.23	Grimsby – Harrogate	1–2 (0–1)	1.83	3.75	4.20	1.98	1.88
25.11.23	Crawley Town – Harrogate	2–1 (1–1)	1.83	3.50	4.33	1.70	2.10
11.11.23	Walsall – Harrogate	0–1 (0–0)	1.80	3.60	4.75	1.75	2.05
21.10.23	Colchester – Harrogate	1–2 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	3.80	1.83	2.03

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 2 1

Swindon winsDrawsHarrogate wins

5matches

3.00goals / match

60%over 2.5

60%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.11.23E3	Harrogate – Swindon	1–1 (0–1)	3.40	3.90	2.00	1.65	2.20
25.02.23E3	Swindon – Harrogate	3–0 (2–0)	1.75	3.60	4.75	1.85	1.95
30.07.22E3	Harrogate – Swindon	3–0 (1–0)	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.65	2.20
15.04.22E3	Harrogate – Swindon	1–4 (0–2)	3.20	3.30	2.30	1.90	1.95
27.11.21E3	Swindon – Harrogate	1–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.50	3.50	1.83	2.02

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mansfield	33	17	12	4	67	29	+38	63
2	Stockport	34	18	9	7	66	37	+29	63
3	Crewe	34	17	10	7	62	46	+16	61
4	Wrexham	34	17	9	8	60	45	+15	60
5	Milton Keynes Dons	35	17	7	11	55	45	+10	58
6	Barrow	33	14	11	8	47	39	+8	53
7	Walsall	34	14	9	11	52	47	+5	51
8	Gillingham	34	15	6	13	32	39	-7	51
9	AFC Wimbledon	35	13	11	11	48	39	+9	50
10	Crawley Town	33	15	4	14	49	49	0	49
11	Newport County	34	14	7	13	51	53	-2	49
12	Morecambe	33	13	9	11	48	52	-4	48
13	Harrogate	34	14	6	14	41	52	-11	48
14	Notts County	34	14	5	15	69	66	+3	47
15	Accrington	34	13	7	14	47	44	+3	46
16	Bradford	33	12	10	11	41	39	+2	46
17	Swindon	35	11	10	14	60	62	-2	43
18	Tranmere	35	12	4	19	53	52	+1	40
19	Salford	35	10	10	15	52	64	-12	40
20	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	43	57	-14	39
21	Colchester	34	8	8	18	45	62	-17	32
22	Grimsby	32	6	12	14	44	60	-16	30
23	Forest Green	34	6	9	19	34	61	-27	27
24	Sutton	35	5	11	19	40	67	-27	26

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Wrexham	16	12	2	2	44	22	+22	38
2	Milton Keynes Dons	18	11	4	3	32	17	+15	37
3	Stockport	18	10	5	3	35	15	+20	35
4	Crewe	17	10	4	3	31	22	+9	34
5	Mansfield	16	9	6	1	32	11	+21	33
6	Walsall	17	9	5	3	24	15	+9	32
7	Notts County	17	10	1	6	41	30	+11	31
8	Swindon	17	9	3	5	34	23	+11	30
9	Accrington	18	9	3	6	27	19	+8	30
10	Newport County	17	8	6	3	30	23	+7	30
11	Tranmere	17	9	2	6	35	22	+13	29
12	Gillingham	18	8	5	5	18	19	-1	29
13	AFC Wimbledon	17	8	4	5	32	21	+11	28
14	Crawley Town	17	9	1	7	29	22	+7	28
15	Barrow	15	7	6	2	18	13	+5	27
16	Doncaster	17	8	2	7	23	27	-4	26
17	Morecambe	16	6	7	3	22	16	+6	25
18	Bradford	16	6	7	3	20	16	+4	25
19	Harrogate	17	6	2	9	20	27	-7	20
20	Grimsby	17	5	4	8	27	37	-10	19
21	Salford	17	4	6	7	28	35	-7	18
22	Colchester	16	4	5	7	25	30	-5	17
23	Sutton	18	3	7	8	23	26	-3	16
24	Forest Green	18	3	4	11	16	32	-16	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mansfield	17	8	6	3	35	18	+17	30
2	Stockport	16	8	4	4	31	22	+9	28
3	Harrogate	17	8	4	5	21	25	-4	28
4	Crewe	17	7	6	4	31	24	+7	27
5	Barrow	18	7	5	6	29	26	+3	26
6	Morecambe	17	7	2	8	26	36	-10	23
7	AFC Wimbledon	18	5	7	6	16	18	-2	22
8	Salford	18	6	4	8	24	29	-5	22
9	Gillingham	16	7	1	8	14	20	-6	22
10	Wrexham	18	5	7	6	16	23	-7	22
11	Bradford	17	6	3	8	21	23	-2	21
12	Milton Keynes Dons	17	6	3	8	23	28	-5	21
13	Crawley Town	16	6	3	7	20	27	-7	21
14	Walsall	17	5	4	8	28	32	-4	19
15	Newport County	17	6	1	10	21	30	-9	19
16	Accrington	16	4	4	8	20	25	-5	16
17	Notts County	17	4	4	9	28	36	-8	16
18	Colchester	18	4	3	11	20	32	-12	15
19	Forest Green	16	3	5	8	18	29	-11	14
20	Doncaster	16	3	4	9	20	30	-10	13
21	Swindon	18	2	7	9	26	39	-13	13
22	Grimsby	15	1	8	6	17	23	-6	11
23	Tranmere	18	3	2	13	18	30	-12	11
24	Sutton	17	2	4	11	17	41	-24	10

Swindon Harrogate

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Notts County	34	9	25	2.0	1.9	14	5	15	69	66	47
2	17	Swindon	35	10	25	1.7	1.8	11	10	14	60	62	43
3	11	Newport County	34	12	22	1.5	1.6	14	7	13	51	53	49
4	18	Tranmere	35	13	22	1.5	1.5	12	4	19	53	52	40
5	19	Salford	35	13	22	1.5	1.8	10	10	15	52	64	40
6	20	Doncaster	33	11	22	1.3	1.7	11	6	16	43	57	39
7	5	Milton Keynes Dons	35	14	21	1.6	1.3	17	7	11	55	45	58
8	12	Morecambe	33	12	21	1.5	1.6	13	9	11	48	52	48
9	3	Crewe	34	14	20	1.8	1.4	17	10	7	62	46	61
10	7	Walsall	34	14	20	1.5	1.4	14	9	11	52	47	51
11	2	Stockport	34	15	19	1.9	1.1	18	9	7	66	37	63
12	21	Colchester	34	15	19	1.3	1.8	8	8	18	45	62	32
13	10	Crawley Town	33	15	18	1.5	1.5	15	4	14	49	49	49
14	15	Accrington	34	16	18	1.4	1.3	13	7	14	47	44	46
15	22	Grimsby	32	14	18	1.4	1.9	6	12	14	44	60	30
16	23	Forest Green	34	16	18	1.0	1.8	6	9	19	34	61	27
17	1	Mansfield	33	16	17	2.0	0.9	17	12	4	67	29	63
18	13	Harrogate	34	17	17	1.2	1.5	14	6	14	41	52	48
19	24	Sutton	35	18	17	1.1	1.9	5	11	19	40	67	26
20	4	Wrexham	34	18	16	1.8	1.3	17	9	8	60	45	60
21	6	Barrow	33	18	15	1.4	1.2	14	11	8	47	39	53
22	9	AFC Wimbledon	35	21	14	1.4	1.1	13	11	11	48	39	50
23	16	Bradford	33	19	14	1.2	1.2	12	10	11	41	39	46
24	8	Gillingham	34	22	12	0.9	1.1	15	6	13	32	39	51

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Notts County	17	2	15	2.4	1.8	10	1	6	41	30	31
2	18	Tranmere	17	3	14	2.1	1.3	9	2	6	35	22	29
3	19	Salford	17	4	13	1.6	2.1	4	6	7	28	35	18
4	4	Wrexham	16	5	11	2.8	1.4	12	2	2	44	22	38
5	10	Crawley Town	17	6	11	1.7	1.3	9	1	7	29	22	28
6	11	Newport County	17	6	11	1.8	1.4	8	6	3	30	23	30
7	17	Swindon	17	6	11	2.0	1.4	9	3	5	34	23	30
8	20	Doncaster	17	6	11	1.4	1.6	8	2	7	23	27	26
9	22	Grimsby	17	6	11	1.6	2.2	5	4	8	27	37	19
10	3	Crewe	17	7	10	1.8	1.3	10	4	3	31	22	34
11	5	Milton Keynes Dons	18	8	10	1.8	0.9	11	4	3	32	17	37
12	15	Accrington	18	8	10	1.5	1.1	9	3	6	27	19	30
13	23	Forest Green	18	8	10	0.9	1.8	3	4	11	16	32	13
14	21	Colchester	16	7	9	1.6	1.9	4	5	7	25	30	17
15	7	Walsall	17	9	8	1.4	0.9	9	5	3	24	15	32
16	9	AFC Wimbledon	17	9	8	1.9	1.2	8	4	5	32	21	28
17	13	Harrogate	17	9	8	1.2	1.6	6	2	9	20	27	20
18	24	Sutton	18	10	8	1.3	1.4	3	7	8	23	26	16
19	2	Stockport	18	11	7	1.9	0.8	10	5	3	35	15	35
20	12	Morecambe	16	9	7	1.4	1.0	6	7	3	22	16	25
21	1	Mansfield	16	10	6	2.0	0.7	9	6	1	32	11	33
22	8	Gillingham	18	12	6	1.0	1.1	8	5	5	18	19	29
23	16	Bradford	16	10	6	1.2	1.0	6	7	3	20	16	25
24	6	Barrow	15	10	5	1.2	0.9	7	6	2	18	13	27

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Morecambe	17	3	14	1.5	2.1	7	2	8	26	36	23
2	17	Swindon	18	4	14	1.4	2.2	2	7	9	26	39	13
3	2	Stockport	16	4	12	1.9	1.4	8	4	4	31	22	28
4	7	Walsall	17	5	12	1.6	1.9	5	4	8	28	32	19
5	1	Mansfield	17	6	11	2.1	1.1	8	6	3	35	18	30
6	5	Milton Keynes Dons	17	6	11	1.4	1.6	6	3	8	23	28	21
7	11	Newport County	17	6	11	1.2	1.8	6	1	10	21	30	19
8	20	Doncaster	16	5	11	1.2	1.9	3	4	9	20	30	13
9	3	Crewe	17	7	10	1.8	1.4	7	6	4	31	24	27
10	6	Barrow	18	8	10	1.6	1.4	7	5	6	29	26	26
11	14	Notts County	17	7	10	1.6	2.1	4	4	9	28	36	16
12	21	Colchester	18	8	10	1.1	1.8	4	3	11	20	32	15
13	13	Harrogate	17	8	9	1.2	1.5	8	4	5	21	25	28
14	19	Salford	18	9	9	1.3	1.6	6	4	8	24	29	22
15	24	Sutton	17	8	9	1.0	2.4	2	4	11	17	41	10
16	15	Accrington	16	8	8	1.2	1.6	4	4	8	20	25	16
17	16	Bradford	17	9	8	1.2	1.4	6	3	8	21	23	21
18	18	Tranmere	18	10	8	1.0	1.7	3	2	13	18	30	11
19	23	Forest Green	16	8	8	1.1	1.8	3	5	8	18	29	14
20	10	Crawley Town	16	9	7	1.2	1.7	6	3	7	20	27	21
21	22	Grimsby	15	8	7	1.1	1.5	1	8	6	17	23	11
22	8	Gillingham	16	10	6	0.9	1.2	7	1	8	14	20	22
23	9	AFC Wimbledon	18	12	6	0.9	1.0	5	7	6	16	18	22
24	4	Wrexham	18	13	5	0.9	1.3	5	7	6	16	23	22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.