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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: W Finnie

Morecambe 1–3 Milton Keynes Dons

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 3.70 fair 2.54
Draw 3.60 fair 3.77
Away ✓ 1.91 fair 2.93
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 1.90
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 2.12

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Morecambe Milton Keynes Dons
18 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 9
9 Corners 4
9 Fouls 13
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (128 league matches this season so far).
Result Morecambe to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
MorecambeDrawMilton Keynes Dons
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 1–0 10.3% 0–1 9.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Morecambe before this match, all matches
0.64points / match
0.82scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 9:14
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
1.18scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 13:13
Morecambe all matches all matches Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

0.82 Goals scored 1.18
1.27 Goals conceded 1.18
2.09 Total goals 2.36
9.64 Shots 11.73
3.27 Shots on target 4.55
13.27 Shots faced 10.27
4.82 Corners 4.45
4.64 Corners against 3.36
13.18 Fouls 9.82
2.09 Yellow cards 1.27
0.27 1st-half goals scored 0.91
0.82 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

9% Wins 27%
36% Draws 27%
55% Losses 45%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
45% Over 1.5 goals 73%
27% Over 2.5 goals 36%
18% Over 3.5 goals 9%
9% Over 4.5 goals 9%
9% Over 5.5 goals 9%
45% Both teams scored 45%
9% Clean sheets 18%
45% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 45%
27% Draws 27%
55% Losses 27%
82% Over 0.5 goals 82%
27% Over 1.5 goals 36%
0% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Morecambe all matches
Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Morecambe before this match, at home
0.60points / match
1.00scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:7
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, away
0.80points / match
1.20scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:8
Morecambe at home away Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.20
1.40 Goals conceded 1.60
2.40 Total goals 2.80
11.60 Shots 12.40
4.40 Shots on target 4.80
14.20 Shots faced 11.80
5.40 Corners 4.00
4.60 Corners against 3.40
12.60 Fouls 10.20
1.80 Yellow cards 0.80
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

0% Wins 20%
60% Draws 20%
40% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 80%
20% Over 2.5 goals 40%
20% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
20% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 40%
0% Clean sheets 0%
40% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 20%
40% Draws 40%
20% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
20% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Morecambe at home
Milton Keynes Dons away

Last 10 matches before this match

Morecambe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.10.24 Barrow – Morecambe 0–1 (0–0) 1.573.905.50 1.93 1.93
05.10.24 Accrington – Morecambe 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.503.50 1.83 2.03
01.10.24 Morecambe – Bradford 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.502.05 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Morecambe – Notts County 1–1 (1–0) 4.203.901.73 1.60 2.30
23.09.24 Fleetwood Town – Morecambe 2–2 (2–0) 1.573.756.00 1.88 1.98
14.09.24 Morecambe – Colchester 3–3 (1–1) 2.903.502.25 2.05 1.80
07.09.24 Crewe – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.503.80 2.05 1.75
31.08.24 Morecambe – Newport County 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.253.30 1.88 1.98
24.08.24 Doncaster – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.007.00 1.70 2.10
17.08.24 Morecambe – Gillingham 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.602.00 1.90 1.95

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
05.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Tranmere 1–1 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.88 1.98
01.10.24 Harrogate – Milton Keynes Dons 1–5 (0–3) 3.603.701.91 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Bromley – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.502.15 1.70 2.10
21.09.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Doncaster 1–1 (1–0) 2.383.402.88 1.75 2.05
14.09.24 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.502.90 1.90 1.95
07.09.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Walsall 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.10 1.83 2.03
02.09.24 Salford – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.20 1.70 2.10
24.08.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Carlisle 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.754.20 1.73 2.08
17.08.24 Colchester – Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.20 1.70 2.10

Morecambe at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.24 Morecambe – Bradford 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.502.05 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Morecambe – Notts County 1–1 (1–0) 4.203.901.73 1.60 2.30
14.09.24 Morecambe – Colchester 3–3 (1–1) 2.903.502.25 2.05 1.80
31.08.24 Morecambe – Newport County 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.253.30 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Morecambe – Gillingham 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.602.00 1.90 1.95
20.04.24 Morecambe – Forest Green 1–2 (1–2) 2.103.603.40 1.88 1.98
09.04.24 Morecambe – Crewe 0–1 (0–0) 2.633.502.55 1.85 2.00
06.04.24 Morecambe – Doncaster 0–3 (0–2) 2.703.752.40 1.75 2.05
01.04.24 Morecambe – Barrow 2–1 (2–0) 3.603.502.05 2.00 1.85
23.03.24 Morecambe – Gillingham 2–3 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.15 1.67

Milton Keynes Dons away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.24 Harrogate – Milton Keynes Dons 1–5 (0–3) 3.603.701.91 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Bromley – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.502.15 1.70 2.10
14.09.24 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.502.90 1.90 1.95
02.09.24 Salford – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.20 1.70 2.10
17.08.24 Colchester – Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.20 1.70 2.10
20.04.24 Harrogate – Milton Keynes Dons 3–5 (2–2) 3.253.602.10 1.67 2.15
06.04.24 Forest Green – Milton Keynes Dons 0–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.80 1.83 2.03
01.04.24 Notts County – Milton Keynes Dons 3–3 (1–1) 2.703.602.50 1.50 2.50
23.03.24 Stockport – Milton Keynes Dons 5–0 (3–0) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.00
12.03.24 Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.752.25 1.73 2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Morecambe winsDrawsMilton Keynes Dons wins
6matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.24E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe 1–2 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.60 2.30
23.12.23E3 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.83 2.03
25.03.23E2 Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.05 1.75
27.08.22E2 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 0–4 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.77
23.04.22E2 Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.95 1.90
27.11.21E2 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 0–4 (0–2) 3.603.602.00 1.85 2.00

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 11 6 3 2 16 12 +4 21
2 Doncaster 11 6 2 3 16 13 +3 20
3 Notts County 11 5 4 2 19 11 +8 19
4 Walsall 10 6 1 3 19 12 +7 19
5 Gillingham 11 6 1 4 13 7 +6 19
6 Barrow 12 6 1 5 13 9 +4 19
7 Chesterfield 12 4 6 2 22 12 +10 18
8 Bradford 11 5 3 3 16 11 +5 18
9 Grimsby 11 6 0 5 15 18 -3 18
10 Crewe 10 5 2 3 11 10 +1 17
11 AFC Wimbledon 8 5 1 2 13 5 +8 16
12 Fleetwood Town 9 4 4 1 16 9 +7 16
13 Newport County 12 5 0 7 16 24 -8 15
14 Harrogate 11 4 2 5 10 16 -6 14
15 Milton Keynes Dons 11 3 3 5 13 13 0 12
16 Salford 10 3 3 4 7 11 -4 12
17 Accrington 11 3 3 5 14 20 -6 12
18 Colchester 10 2 5 3 13 15 -2 11
19 Swindon 11 2 5 4 12 15 -3 11
20 Tranmere 10 2 5 3 5 11 -6 11
21 Bromley 10 2 4 4 12 14 -2 10
22 Cheltenham 11 3 1 7 14 19 -5 10
23 Morecambe 11 1 4 6 9 14 -5 7
24 Carlisle 11 2 1 8 10 23 -13 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barrow 6 4 1 1 10 3 +7 13
2 Doncaster 6 4 1 1 8 5 +3 13
3 AFC Wimbledon 4 4 0 0 12 2 +10 12
4 Gillingham 6 4 0 2 11 4 +7 12
5 Walsall 5 4 0 1 11 8 +3 12
6 Newport County 6 4 0 2 12 11 +1 12
7 Bradford 5 3 2 0 8 3 +5 11
8 Crewe 5 3 1 1 6 5 +1 10
9 Accrington 6 2 3 1 9 8 +1 9
10 Cheltenham 6 3 0 3 8 9 -1 9
11 Grimsby 5 3 0 2 7 8 -1 9
12 Salford 6 3 0 3 5 7 -2 9
13 Harrogate 6 3 0 3 6 9 -3 9
14 Colchester 5 2 2 1 6 2 +4 8
15 Milton Keynes Dons 6 2 2 2 7 5 +2 8
16 Chesterfield 6 1 5 0 9 8 +1 8
17 Port Vale 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
18 Notts County 5 2 1 2 8 5 +3 7
19 Fleetwood Town 4 1 3 0 3 2 +1 6
20 Tranmere 5 1 3 1 2 3 -1 6
21 Bromley 5 1 2 2 8 9 -1 5
22 Swindon 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
23 Morecambe 5 0 3 2 5 7 -2 3
24 Carlisle 5 1 0 4 6 10 -4 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 6 4 1 1 10 7 +3 13
2 Notts County 6 3 3 0 11 6 +5 12
3 Chesterfield 6 3 1 2 13 4 +9 10
4 Fleetwood Town 5 3 1 1 13 7 +6 10
5 Grimsby 6 3 0 3 8 10 -2 9
6 Walsall 5 2 1 2 8 4 +4 7
7 Bradford 6 2 1 3 8 8 0 7
8 Doncaster 5 2 1 2 8 8 0 7
9 Swindon 6 1 4 1 7 7 0 7
10 Crewe 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
11 Gillingham 5 2 1 2 2 3 -1 7
12 Barrow 6 2 0 4 3 6 -3 6
13 Bromley 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
14 Harrogate 5 1 2 2 4 7 -3 5
15 Tranmere 5 1 2 2 3 8 -5 5
16 Milton Keynes Dons 5 1 1 3 6 8 -2 4
17 AFC Wimbledon 4 1 1 2 1 3 -2 4
18 Morecambe 6 1 1 4 4 7 -3 4
19 Carlisle 6 1 1 4 4 13 -9 4
20 Salford 4 0 3 1 2 4 -2 3
21 Colchester 5 0 3 2 7 13 -6 3
22 Accrington 5 1 0 4 5 12 -7 3
23 Newport County 6 1 0 5 4 13 -9 3
24 Cheltenham 5 0 1 4 6 10 -4 1

Morecambe   Milton Keynes Dons

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Newport County 12 3 9 1.3 2.0 5 0 7 16 24 15
2 9 Grimsby 11 3 8 1.4 1.6 6 0 5 15 18 18
3 7 Chesterfield 12 5 7 1.8 1.0 4 6 2 22 12 18
4 8 Bradford 11 4 7 1.5 1.0 5 3 3 16 11 18
5 17 Accrington 11 4 7 1.3 1.8 3 3 5 14 20 12
6 22 Cheltenham 11 4 7 1.3 1.7 3 1 7 14 19 10
7 24 Carlisle 11 4 7 0.9 2.1 2 1 8 10 23 7
8 4 Walsall 10 4 6 1.9 1.2 6 1 3 19 12 19
9 1 Port Vale 11 6 5 1.5 1.1 6 3 2 16 12 21
10 2 Doncaster 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 6 2 3 16 13 20
11 3 Notts County 11 6 5 1.7 1.0 5 4 2 19 11 19
12 19 Swindon 11 6 5 1.1 1.4 2 5 4 12 15 11
13 10 Crewe 10 6 4 1.1 1.0 5 2 3 11 10 17
14 12 Fleetwood Town 9 5 4 1.8 1.0 4 4 1 16 9 16
15 14 Harrogate 11 7 4 0.9 1.5 4 2 5 10 16 14
16 15 Milton Keynes Dons 11 7 4 1.2 1.2 3 3 5 13 13 12
17 18 Colchester 10 6 4 1.3 1.5 2 5 3 13 15 11
18 21 Bromley 10 6 4 1.2 1.4 2 4 4 12 14 10
19 5 Gillingham 11 8 3 1.2 0.6 6 1 4 13 7 19
20 6 Barrow 12 9 3 1.1 0.8 6 1 5 13 9 19
21 11 AFC Wimbledon 8 5 3 1.6 0.6 5 1 2 13 5 16
22 16 Salford 10 7 3 0.7 1.1 3 3 4 7 11 12
23 20 Tranmere 10 7 3 0.5 1.1 2 5 3 5 11 11
24 23 Morecambe 11 8 3 0.8 1.3 1 4 6 9 14 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Newport County 6 0 6 2.0 1.8 4 0 2 12 11 12
2 4 Walsall 5 1 4 2.2 1.6 4 0 1 11 8 12
3 9 Grimsby 5 1 4 1.4 1.6 3 0 2 7 8 9
4 5 Gillingham 6 3 3 1.8 0.7 4 0 2 11 4 12
5 7 Chesterfield 6 3 3 1.5 1.3 1 5 0 9 8 8
6 8 Bradford 5 2 3 1.6 0.6 3 2 0 8 3 11
7 11 AFC Wimbledon 4 1 3 3.0 0.5 4 0 0 12 2 12
8 17 Accrington 6 3 3 1.5 1.3 2 3 1 9 8 9
9 19 Swindon 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
10 21 Bromley 5 2 3 1.6 1.8 1 2 2 8 9 5
11 22 Cheltenham 6 3 3 1.3 1.5 3 0 3 8 9 9
12 24 Carlisle 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 4 6 10 3
13 1 Port Vale 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
14 2 Doncaster 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 4 1 1 8 5 13
15 3 Notts County 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 2 1 2 8 5 7
16 6 Barrow 6 4 2 1.7 0.5 4 1 1 10 3 13
17 10 Crewe 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 3 1 1 6 5 10
18 14 Harrogate 6 4 2 1.0 1.5 3 0 3 6 9 9
19 15 Milton Keynes Dons 6 4 2 1.2 0.8 2 2 2 7 5 8
20 16 Salford 6 4 2 0.8 1.2 3 0 3 5 7 9
21 12 Fleetwood Town 4 3 1 0.8 0.5 1 3 0 3 2 6
22 18 Colchester 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 2 2 1 6 2 8
23 23 Morecambe 5 4 1 1.0 1.4 0 3 2 5 7 3
24 20 Tranmere 5 5 0 0.4 0.6 1 3 1 2 3 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Chesterfield 6 2 4 2.2 0.7 3 1 2 13 4 10
2 8 Bradford 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 2 1 3 8 8 7
3 9 Grimsby 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 3 0 3 8 10 9
4 17 Accrington 5 1 4 1.0 2.4 1 0 4 5 12 3
5 22 Cheltenham 5 1 4 1.2 2.0 0 1 4 6 10 1
6 24 Carlisle 6 2 4 0.7 2.2 1 1 4 4 13 4
7 1 Port Vale 6 3 3 1.7 1.2 4 1 1 10 7 13
8 2 Doncaster 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 2 1 2 8 8 7
9 3 Notts County 6 3 3 1.8 1.0 3 3 0 11 6 12
10 12 Fleetwood Town 5 2 3 2.6 1.4 3 1 1 13 7 10
11 13 Newport County 6 3 3 0.7 2.2 1 0 5 4 13 3
12 18 Colchester 5 2 3 1.4 2.6 0 3 2 7 13 3
13 20 Tranmere 5 2 3 0.6 1.6 1 2 2 3 8 5
14 4 Walsall 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 2 1 2 8 4 7
15 10 Crewe 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7
16 14 Harrogate 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 1 2 2 4 7 5
17 15 Milton Keynes Dons 5 3 2 1.2 1.6 1 1 3 6 8 4
18 19 Swindon 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 1 4 1 7 7 7
19 23 Morecambe 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 1 1 4 4 7 4
20 6 Barrow 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 2 0 4 3 6 6
21 16 Salford 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 0 3 1 2 4 3
22 21 Bromley 5 4 1 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
23 5 Gillingham 5 5 0 0.4 0.6 2 1 2 2 3 7
24 11 AFC Wimbledon 4 4 0 0.2 0.8 1 1 2 1 3 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51