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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: S Oldham

Carlisle 0–1 Morecambe

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.85 fair 2.51
Draw 3.50 fair 3.77
Away ✓ 4.10 fair 2.97
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 1.89
Over 2.5 1.93 fair 2.12

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Carlisle Morecambe
8 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 6
9 Corners 7
9 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (243 league matches this season so far).
Result Carlisle to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.35 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
CarlisleDrawMorecambe
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 1–0 10.4% 0–1 9.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
0.75scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 15:32
Morecambe before this match, all matches
0.67points / match
0.90scored / match
1.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 19:38
Carlisle all matches all matches Morecambe

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 0.90
1.60 Goals conceded 1.81
2.35 Total goals 2.71
11.40 Shots 9.76
3.35 Shots on target 2.95
11.20 Shots faced 13.81
4.60 Corners 4.86
4.65 Corners against 5.00
11.35 Fouls 11.86
2.85 Yellow cards 1.90
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.90 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

15% Wins 14%
30% Draws 24%
55% Losses 62%
85% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 67%
40% Over 2.5 goals 48%
25% Over 3.5 goals 29%
15% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
45% Both teams scored 48%
30% Clean sheets 5%
40% Failed to score 48%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 24%
30% Draws 29%
50% Losses 48%
75% Over 0.5 goals 81%
35% Over 1.5 goals 33%
20% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches
Morecambe all matches
Carlisle before this match, at home
0.60points / match
0.80scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 8:15
Morecambe before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 11:17
Carlisle at home away Morecambe

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded 1.55
2.30 Total goals 2.55
12.50 Shots 8.00
3.90 Shots on target 2.55
9.40 Shots faced 14.09
5.10 Corners 4.45
3.70 Corners against 5.73
11.00 Fouls 12.82
2.90 Yellow cards 2.00
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.36
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

10% Wins 27%
30% Draws 18%
60% Losses 55%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 64%
30% Over 2.5 goals 55%
20% Over 3.5 goals 27%
20% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 45%
20% Clean sheets 9%
40% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 27%
20% Draws 18%
50% Losses 55%
90% Over 0.5 goals 82%
50% Over 1.5 goals 27%
30% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home
Morecambe away

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24 Port Vale – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.504.75 2.05 1.80
14.12.24 Carlisle – Chesterfield 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.25 1.93 1.93
30.11.24 Carlisle – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.50 2.15 1.67
23.11.24 Carlisle – Doncaster 0–0 (0–0) 4.003.401.91 1.88 1.98
16.11.24 Bromley – Carlisle 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.60 1.93 1.93
09.11.24 Salford – Carlisle 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.60 1.90 1.95
26.10.24 Carlisle – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.403.70 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Walsall – Carlisle 3–1 (1–0) 1.573.905.75 1.70 2.10
19.10.24 Carlisle – Harrogate 1–1 (1–1) 1.903.504.10 1.95 1.90
12.10.24 AFC Wimbledon – Carlisle 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.50 1.93 1.93

Morecambe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24 Morecambe – Bromley 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.502.05 1.80 2.00
14.12.24 Cheltenham – Morecambe 2–0 (1–0) 1.833.604.00 1.93 1.93
07.12.24 Morecambe – Grimsby 0–3 (0–2) 2.703.302.50 1.93 1.93
03.12.24 Tranmere – Morecambe 2–2 (0–1) 1.853.504.00 1.95 1.90
23.11.24 Swindon – Morecambe 2–3 (1–2) 1.803.504.33 1.85 2.00
16.11.24 Morecambe – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 4.503.501.75 1.95 1.90
09.11.24 Harrogate – Morecambe 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.502.90 1.98 1.88
26.10.24 Morecambe – Chesterfield 2–5 (1–1) 3.903.751.76 1.70 2.10
22.10.24 AFC Wimbledon – Morecambe 3–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.83 2.03
19.10.24 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (1–2) 3.703.601.91 1.75 2.05

Carlisle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Carlisle – Chesterfield 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.25 1.93 1.93
30.11.24 Carlisle – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.50 2.15 1.67
23.11.24 Carlisle – Doncaster 0–0 (0–0) 4.003.401.91 1.88 1.98
26.10.24 Carlisle – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.403.70 1.93 1.93
19.10.24 Carlisle – Harrogate 1–1 (1–1) 1.903.504.10 1.95 1.90
01.10.24 Carlisle – Notts County 0–2 (0–2) 2.703.602.38 1.60 2.30
28.09.24 Carlisle – Grimsby 2–3 (2–1) 2.053.503.25 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Carlisle – Fleetwood Town 2–3 (1–2) 2.303.402.90 1.93 1.93
31.08.24 Carlisle – Tranmere 1–2 (1–2) 2.103.203.60 2.00 1.85
17.08.24 Carlisle – Barrow 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.402.90 1.98 1.88

Morecambe away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Cheltenham – Morecambe 2–0 (1–0) 1.833.604.00 1.93 1.93
03.12.24 Tranmere – Morecambe 2–2 (0–1) 1.853.504.00 1.95 1.90
23.11.24 Swindon – Morecambe 2–3 (1–2) 1.803.504.33 1.85 2.00
09.11.24 Harrogate – Morecambe 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.502.90 1.98 1.88
22.10.24 AFC Wimbledon – Morecambe 3–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.83 2.03
12.10.24 Barrow – Morecambe 0–1 (0–0) 1.573.905.50 1.93 1.93
05.10.24 Accrington – Morecambe 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.503.50 1.83 2.03
23.09.24 Fleetwood Town – Morecambe 2–2 (2–0) 1.573.756.00 1.88 1.98
07.09.24 Crewe – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.503.80 2.05 1.75
24.08.24 Doncaster – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.007.00 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 20 13 4 3 37 19 +18 43
2 Port Vale 21 10 7 4 26 19 +7 37
3 Doncaster 21 10 6 5 31 24 +7 36
4 Crewe 20 9 8 3 24 16 +8 35
5 Chesterfield 21 9 7 5 36 23 +13 34
6 AFC Wimbledon 20 10 3 7 31 17 +14 33
7 Notts County 20 8 7 5 28 21 +7 31
8 Grimsby 21 10 1 10 28 33 -5 31
9 Milton Keynes Dons 19 9 3 7 33 26 +7 30
10 Gillingham 20 9 3 8 22 18 +4 30
11 Salford 20 8 6 6 22 19 +3 30
12 Bradford 20 7 7 6 24 22 +2 28
13 Bromley 20 6 9 5 25 23 +2 27
14 Cheltenham 21 7 6 8 29 30 -1 27
15 Barrow 20 7 5 8 20 18 +2 26
16 Newport County 20 7 5 8 27 31 -4 26
17 Colchester 20 4 11 5 23 22 +1 23
18 Fleetwood Town 19 5 8 6 24 25 -1 23
19 Tranmere 20 5 6 9 15 29 -14 21
20 Harrogate 21 6 3 12 17 32 -15 21
21 Swindon 21 4 7 10 26 35 -9 19
22 Accrington 20 4 7 9 26 36 -10 19
23 Carlisle 20 3 6 11 15 32 -17 15
24 Morecambe 21 3 5 13 19 38 -19 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 10 7 2 1 21 14 +7 23
2 AFC Wimbledon 10 6 2 2 20 8 +12 20
3 Milton Keynes Dons 11 6 2 3 18 10 +8 20
4 Gillingham 11 6 1 4 16 10 +6 19
5 Crewe 10 5 4 1 13 8 +5 19
6 Doncaster 11 5 4 2 15 11 +4 19
7 Barrow 10 5 3 2 15 8 +7 18
8 Bradford 9 5 3 1 13 7 +6 18
9 Chesterfield 11 4 6 1 15 12 +3 18
10 Salford 10 6 0 4 12 9 +3 18
11 Cheltenham 11 5 3 3 14 12 +2 18
12 Notts County 9 5 2 2 13 5 +8 17
13 Newport County 9 5 2 2 18 14 +4 17
14 Port Vale 10 4 4 2 13 10 +3 16
15 Colchester 10 3 4 3 13 7 +6 13
16 Tranmere 10 3 4 3 8 10 -2 13
17 Fleetwood Town 10 2 6 2 9 10 -1 12
18 Grimsby 10 4 0 6 14 20 -6 12
19 Harrogate 11 4 0 7 9 18 -9 12
20 Swindon 10 3 2 5 15 16 -1 11
21 Bromley 10 2 5 3 13 14 -1 11
22 Accrington 10 2 5 3 12 14 -2 11
23 Carlisle 10 1 3 6 8 15 -7 6
24 Morecambe 10 0 3 7 8 21 -13 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 11 6 3 2 13 9 +4 21
2 Walsall 10 6 2 2 16 5 +11 20
3 Grimsby 11 6 1 4 14 13 +1 19
4 Doncaster 10 5 2 3 16 13 +3 17
5 Chesterfield 10 5 1 4 21 11 +10 16
6 Bromley 10 4 4 2 12 9 +3 16
7 Crewe 10 4 4 2 11 8 +3 16
8 Notts County 11 3 5 3 15 16 -1 14
9 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 1 5 11 9 +2 13
10 Salford 10 2 6 2 10 10 0 12
11 Fleetwood Town 9 3 2 4 15 15 0 11
12 Gillingham 9 3 2 4 6 8 -2 11
13 Morecambe 11 3 2 6 11 17 -6 11
14 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 1 4 15 16 -1 10
15 Bradford 11 2 4 5 11 15 -4 10
16 Colchester 10 1 7 2 10 15 -5 10
17 Cheltenham 10 2 3 5 15 18 -3 9
18 Harrogate 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
19 Newport County 11 2 3 6 9 17 -8 9
20 Carlisle 10 2 3 5 7 17 -10 9
21 Barrow 10 2 2 6 5 10 -5 8
22 Accrington 10 2 2 6 14 22 -8 8
23 Swindon 11 1 5 5 11 19 -8 8
24 Tranmere 10 2 2 6 7 19 -12 8

Carlisle   Morecambe

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Grimsby 21 8 13 1.3 1.6 10 1 10 28 33 31
2 21 Swindon 21 8 13 1.2 1.7 4 7 10 26 35 19
3 22 Accrington 20 7 13 1.3 1.8 4 7 9 26 36 19
4 5 Chesterfield 21 9 12 1.7 1.1 9 7 5 36 23 34
5 16 Newport County 20 8 12 1.4 1.6 7 5 8 27 31 26
6 9 Milton Keynes Dons 19 8 11 1.7 1.4 9 3 7 33 26 30
7 14 Cheltenham 21 10 11 1.4 1.4 7 6 8 29 30 27
8 1 Walsall 20 10 10 1.9 0.9 13 4 3 37 19 43
9 3 Doncaster 21 11 10 1.5 1.1 10 6 5 31 24 36
10 12 Bradford 20 10 10 1.2 1.1 7 7 6 24 22 28
11 19 Tranmere 20 10 10 0.8 1.4 5 6 9 15 29 21
12 24 Morecambe 21 11 10 0.9 1.8 3 5 13 19 38 14
13 6 AFC Wimbledon 20 11 9 1.6 0.8 10 3 7 31 17 33
14 20 Harrogate 21 12 9 0.8 1.5 6 3 12 17 32 21
15 7 Notts County 20 12 8 1.4 1.1 8 7 5 28 21 31
16 13 Bromley 20 12 8 1.2 1.1 6 9 5 25 23 27
17 18 Fleetwood Town 19 11 8 1.3 1.3 5 8 6 24 25 23
18 23 Carlisle 20 12 8 0.8 1.6 3 6 11 15 32 15
19 2 Port Vale 21 14 7 1.2 0.9 10 7 4 26 19 37
20 10 Gillingham 20 13 7 1.1 0.9 9 3 8 22 18 30
21 11 Salford 20 13 7 1.1 0.9 8 6 6 22 19 30
22 17 Colchester 20 13 7 1.1 1.1 4 11 5 23 22 23
23 4 Crewe 20 15 5 1.2 0.8 9 8 3 24 16 35
24 15 Barrow 20 16 4 1.0 0.9 7 5 8 20 18 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Walsall 10 3 7 2.1 1.4 7 2 1 21 14 23
2 8 Grimsby 10 3 7 1.4 2.0 4 0 6 14 20 12
3 16 Newport County 9 2 7 2.0 1.6 5 2 2 18 14 17
4 21 Swindon 10 3 7 1.5 1.6 3 2 5 15 16 11
5 6 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 6 2.0 0.8 6 2 2 20 8 20
6 9 Milton Keynes Dons 11 5 6 1.6 0.9 6 2 3 18 10 20
7 5 Chesterfield 11 6 5 1.4 1.1 4 6 1 15 12 18
8 10 Gillingham 11 6 5 1.5 0.9 6 1 4 16 10 19
9 12 Bradford 9 4 5 1.4 0.8 5 3 1 13 7 18
10 13 Bromley 10 5 5 1.3 1.4 2 5 3 13 14 11
11 20 Harrogate 11 6 5 0.8 1.6 4 0 7 9 18 12
12 22 Accrington 10 5 5 1.2 1.4 2 5 3 12 14 11
13 2 Port Vale 10 6 4 1.3 1.0 4 4 2 13 10 16
14 3 Doncaster 11 7 4 1.4 1.0 5 4 2 15 11 19
15 11 Salford 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 6 0 4 12 9 18
16 17 Colchester 10 6 4 1.3 0.7 3 4 3 13 7 13
17 24 Morecambe 10 6 4 0.8 2.1 0 3 7 8 21 3
18 4 Crewe 10 7 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 1 13 8 19
19 7 Notts County 9 6 3 1.4 0.6 5 2 2 13 5 17
20 14 Cheltenham 11 8 3 1.3 1.1 5 3 3 14 12 18
21 15 Barrow 10 7 3 1.5 0.8 5 3 2 15 8 18
22 18 Fleetwood Town 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 2 6 2 9 10 12
23 19 Tranmere 10 7 3 0.8 1.0 3 4 3 8 10 13
24 23 Carlisle 10 7 3 0.8 1.5 1 3 6 8 15 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Cheltenham 10 2 8 1.5 1.8 2 3 5 15 18 9
2 22 Accrington 10 2 8 1.4 2.2 2 2 6 14 22 8
3 5 Chesterfield 10 3 7 2.1 1.1 5 1 4 21 11 16
4 19 Tranmere 10 3 7 0.7 1.9 2 2 6 7 19 8
5 3 Doncaster 10 4 6 1.6 1.3 5 2 3 16 13 17
6 8 Grimsby 11 5 6 1.3 1.2 6 1 4 14 13 19
7 21 Swindon 11 5 6 1.0 1.7 1 5 5 11 19 8
8 24 Morecambe 11 5 6 1.0 1.5 3 2 6 11 17 11
9 7 Notts County 11 6 5 1.4 1.5 3 5 3 15 16 14
10 9 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 5 1.9 2.0 3 1 4 15 16 10
11 12 Bradford 11 6 5 1.0 1.4 2 4 5 11 15 10
12 16 Newport County 11 6 5 0.8 1.5 2 3 6 9 17 9
13 18 Fleetwood Town 9 4 5 1.7 1.7 3 2 4 15 15 11
14 23 Carlisle 10 5 5 0.7 1.7 2 3 5 7 17 9
15 20 Harrogate 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9
16 1 Walsall 10 7 3 1.6 0.5 6 2 2 16 5 20
17 2 Port Vale 11 8 3 1.2 0.8 6 3 2 13 9 21
18 6 AFC Wimbledon 10 7 3 1.1 0.9 4 1 5 11 9 13
19 11 Salford 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 2 6 2 10 10 12
20 13 Bromley 10 7 3 1.2 0.9 4 4 2 12 9 16
21 17 Colchester 10 7 3 1.0 1.5 1 7 2 10 15 10
22 4 Crewe 10 8 2 1.1 0.8 4 4 2 11 8 16
23 10 Gillingham 9 7 2 0.7 0.9 3 2 4 6 8 11
24 15 Barrow 10 9 1 0.5 1.0 2 2 6 5 10 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51