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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: T Nield

Swindon 2–3 Morecambe

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.80 fair 2.32
Draw 3.50 fair 3.87
Away ✓ 4.33 fair 3.22
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 1.97
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 2.03

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swindon Morecambe
9 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 8
7 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (189 league matches this season so far).
Result Swindon to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.45 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
SwindonDrawMorecambe
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 10.3% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches
0.81points / match
1.13scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 18:25
Morecambe before this match, all matches
0.63points / match
0.88scored / match
1.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 14:27
Swindon all matches all matches Morecambe

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 0.88
1.56 Goals conceded 1.69
2.69 Total goals 2.56
10.94 Shots 10.31
2.75 Shots on target 3.06
12.56 Shots faced 14.06
4.38 Corners 4.75
5.31 Corners against 4.81
9.69 Fouls 11.81
1.88 Yellow cards 1.81
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

13% Wins 13%
44% Draws 25%
44% Losses 63%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 56%
56% Over 2.5 goals 44%
31% Over 3.5 goals 25%
6% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
69% Both teams scored 50%
19% Clean sheets 6%
25% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 19%
38% Draws 38%
50% Losses 44%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
38% Over 1.5 goals 31%
13% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches
Morecambe all matches
Swindon before this match, at home
0.71points / match
1.00scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:11
Morecambe before this match, away
0.88points / match
0.75scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 6:11
Swindon at home away Morecambe

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.75
1.57 Goals conceded 1.38
2.57 Total goals 2.13
11.71 Shots 7.88
2.86 Shots on target 2.38
10.14 Shots faced 14.50
5.00 Corners 3.88
4.57 Corners against 5.25
8.86 Fouls 12.25
1.14 Yellow cards 2.00
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.13
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

14% Wins 25%
29% Draws 13%
57% Losses 63%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 50%
57% Over 2.5 goals 50%
29% Over 3.5 goals 13%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 38%
29% Clean sheets 13%
43% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 13%
43% Draws 25%
43% Losses 63%
71% Over 0.5 goals 75%
43% Over 1.5 goals 25%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home
Morecambe away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.11.24 Accrington – Swindon 2–2 (2–1) 2.303.602.80 1.93 1.93
09.11.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–1 (1–1) 1.913.503.70 1.88 1.98
26.10.24 Swindon – Gillingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
22.10.24 Salford – Swindon 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 2.05 1.75
19.10.24 Swindon – Doncaster 1–2 (0–0) 2.903.502.30 1.88 1.98
12.10.24 Cheltenham – Swindon 2–3 (0–2) 2.603.252.60 1.95 1.90
05.10.24 Swindon – Harrogate 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.704.50 1.75 2.05
01.10.24 Tranmere – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.303.20 2.10 1.70
28.09.24 Port Vale – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.75 1.90 1.95
21.09.24 Swindon – Carlisle 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.60 1.83 2.03

Morecambe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.11.24 Morecambe – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 4.503.501.75 1.95 1.90
09.11.24 Harrogate – Morecambe 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.502.90 1.98 1.88
26.10.24 Morecambe – Chesterfield 2–5 (1–1) 3.903.751.76 1.70 2.10
22.10.24 AFC Wimbledon – Morecambe 3–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.83 2.03
19.10.24 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (1–2) 3.703.601.91 1.75 2.05
12.10.24 Barrow – Morecambe 0–1 (0–0) 1.573.905.50 1.93 1.93
05.10.24 Accrington – Morecambe 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.503.50 1.83 2.03
01.10.24 Morecambe – Bradford 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.502.05 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Morecambe – Notts County 1–1 (1–0) 4.203.901.73 1.60 2.30
23.09.24 Fleetwood Town – Morecambe 2–2 (2–0) 1.573.756.00 1.88 1.98

Swindon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Swindon – Gillingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
19.10.24 Swindon – Doncaster 1–2 (0–0) 2.903.502.30 1.88 1.98
05.10.24 Swindon – Harrogate 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.704.50 1.75 2.05
21.09.24 Swindon – Carlisle 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.60 1.83 2.03
14.09.24 Swindon – Newport County 4–0 (4–0) 1.733.804.33 1.65 2.20
31.08.24 Swindon – Notts County 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.602.25 1.53 2.40
17.08.24 Swindon – Walsall 0–4 (0–2) 2.403.602.70 1.62 2.25
27.04.24 Swindon – Morecambe 3–3 (2–2) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.50
13.04.24 Swindon – AFC Wimbledon 3–2 (0–1) 2.883.602.38 1.80 2.00
29.03.24 Swindon – Notts County 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.40 2.88

Morecambe away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Harrogate – Morecambe 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.502.90 1.98 1.88
22.10.24 AFC Wimbledon – Morecambe 3–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.83 2.03
12.10.24 Barrow – Morecambe 0–1 (0–0) 1.573.905.50 1.93 1.93
05.10.24 Accrington – Morecambe 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.503.50 1.83 2.03
23.09.24 Fleetwood Town – Morecambe 2–2 (2–0) 1.573.756.00 1.88 1.98
07.09.24 Crewe – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.503.80 2.05 1.75
24.08.24 Doncaster – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.007.00 1.70 2.10
10.08.24 Walsall – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.623.905.00 1.70 2.10
27.04.24 Swindon – Morecambe 3–3 (2–2) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.50
13.04.24 Stockport – Morecambe 2–0 (2–0) 1.305.509.50 1.62 2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swindon winsDrawsMorecambe wins
2matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.24E3 Swindon – Morecambe 3–3 (2–2) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.50
23.09.23E3 Morecambe – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.08

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 16 10 3 3 24 16 +8 33
2 Notts County 17 7 7 3 23 15 +8 28
3 Crewe 15 8 4 3 19 13 +6 28
4 Doncaster 16 8 4 4 22 18 +4 28
5 Walsall 14 8 3 3 27 15 +12 27
6 Milton Keynes Dons 16 8 3 5 27 19 +8 27
7 Grimsby 17 8 1 8 19 26 -7 25
8 AFC Wimbledon 14 7 2 5 23 13 +10 23
9 Bradford 16 6 5 5 21 17 +4 23
10 Gillingham 15 7 2 6 16 12 +4 23
11 Chesterfield 16 5 7 4 29 20 +9 22
12 Barrow 16 6 4 6 17 15 +2 22
13 Fleetwood Town 14 5 6 3 20 15 +5 21
14 Cheltenham 17 6 3 8 22 25 -3 21
15 Salford 16 5 6 5 15 18 -3 21
16 Newport County 17 6 3 8 19 26 -7 21
17 Accrington 16 4 6 6 22 26 -4 18
18 Harrogate 16 5 3 8 14 22 -8 18
19 Colchester 16 3 8 5 19 22 -3 17
20 Tranmere 15 4 5 6 10 18 -8 17
21 Bromley 15 3 7 5 17 19 -2 16
22 Swindon 16 2 7 7 18 25 -7 13
23 Carlisle 16 3 3 10 14 29 -15 12
24 Morecambe 16 2 4 10 14 27 -13 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 9 5 2 2 15 9 +6 17
2 Crewe 8 5 2 1 12 7 +5 17
3 AFC Wimbledon 7 5 1 1 17 5 +12 16
4 Walsall 7 5 1 1 15 10 +5 16
5 Gillingham 8 5 0 3 12 6 +6 15
6 Barrow 9 4 3 2 13 8 +5 15
7 Doncaster 9 4 3 2 10 8 +2 15
8 Bradford 7 4 2 1 11 6 +5 14
9 Notts County 8 4 2 2 10 5 +5 14
10 Port Vale 7 4 2 1 12 8 +4 14
11 Newport County 8 4 2 2 12 11 +1 14
12 Cheltenham 9 4 2 3 11 11 0 14
13 Salford 8 4 0 4 7 9 -2 12
14 Harrogate 9 4 0 5 9 13 -4 12
15 Accrington 8 2 5 1 11 10 +1 11
16 Fleetwood Town 7 2 4 1 6 5 +1 10
17 Colchester 8 2 3 3 9 7 +2 9
18 Tranmere 7 2 3 2 4 5 -1 9
19 Chesterfield 8 1 6 1 10 12 -2 9
20 Grimsby 8 3 0 5 9 16 -7 9
21 Bromley 8 1 4 3 11 13 -2 7
22 Swindon 7 1 2 4 7 11 -4 5
23 Carlisle 7 1 1 5 7 12 -5 4
24 Morecambe 8 0 3 5 8 16 -8 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 9 6 1 2 12 8 +4 19
2 Grimsby 9 5 1 3 10 10 0 16
3 Notts County 9 3 5 1 13 10 +3 14
4 Chesterfield 8 4 1 3 19 8 +11 13
5 Doncaster 7 4 1 2 12 10 +2 13
6 Walsall 7 3 2 2 12 5 +7 11
7 Fleetwood Town 7 3 2 2 14 10 +4 11
8 Crewe 7 3 2 2 7 6 +1 11
9 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 1 3 12 10 +2 10
10 Bromley 7 2 3 2 6 6 0 9
11 Bradford 9 2 3 4 10 11 -1 9
12 Salford 8 1 6 1 8 9 -1 9
13 Gillingham 7 2 2 3 4 6 -2 8
14 Swindon 9 1 5 3 11 14 -3 8
15 Colchester 8 1 5 2 10 15 -5 8
16 Tranmere 8 2 2 4 6 13 -7 8
17 Carlisle 9 2 2 5 7 17 -10 8
18 AFC Wimbledon 7 2 1 4 6 8 -2 7
19 Cheltenham 8 2 1 5 11 14 -3 7
20 Barrow 7 2 1 4 4 7 -3 7
21 Accrington 8 2 1 5 11 16 -5 7
22 Morecambe 8 2 1 5 6 11 -5 7
23 Newport County 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7
24 Harrogate 7 1 3 3 5 9 -4 6

Swindon   Morecambe

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Accrington 16 5 11 1.4 1.6 4 6 6 22 26 18
2 7 Grimsby 17 7 10 1.1 1.5 8 1 8 19 26 25
3 11 Chesterfield 16 6 10 1.8 1.2 5 7 4 29 20 22
4 16 Newport County 17 7 10 1.1 1.5 6 3 8 19 26 21
5 6 Milton Keynes Dons 16 7 9 1.7 1.2 8 3 5 27 19 27
6 9 Bradford 16 7 9 1.3 1.1 6 5 5 21 17 23
7 14 Cheltenham 17 8 9 1.3 1.5 6 3 8 22 25 21
8 22 Swindon 16 7 9 1.1 1.6 2 7 7 18 25 13
9 5 Walsall 14 6 8 1.9 1.1 8 3 3 27 15 27
10 23 Carlisle 16 8 8 0.9 1.8 3 3 10 14 29 12
11 1 Port Vale 16 9 7 1.5 1.0 10 3 3 24 16 33
12 4 Doncaster 16 9 7 1.4 1.1 8 4 4 22 18 28
13 8 AFC Wimbledon 14 7 7 1.6 0.9 7 2 5 23 13 23
14 24 Morecambe 16 9 7 0.9 1.7 2 4 10 14 27 10
15 13 Fleetwood Town 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 5 6 3 20 15 21
16 15 Salford 16 10 6 0.9 1.1 5 6 5 15 18 21
17 18 Harrogate 16 10 6 0.9 1.4 5 3 8 14 22 18
18 19 Colchester 16 10 6 1.2 1.4 3 8 5 19 22 17
19 20 Tranmere 15 9 6 0.7 1.2 4 5 6 10 18 17
20 2 Notts County 17 12 5 1.4 0.9 7 7 3 23 15 28
21 3 Crewe 15 10 5 1.3 0.9 8 4 3 19 13 28
22 21 Bromley 15 10 5 1.1 1.3 3 7 5 17 19 16
23 10 Gillingham 15 11 4 1.1 0.8 7 2 6 16 12 23
24 12 Barrow 16 12 4 1.1 0.9 6 4 6 17 15 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Grimsby 8 2 6 1.1 2.0 3 0 5 9 16 9
2 16 Newport County 8 2 6 1.5 1.4 4 2 2 12 11 14
3 5 Walsall 7 2 5 2.1 1.4 5 1 1 15 10 16
4 6 Milton Keynes Dons 9 4 5 1.7 1.0 5 2 2 15 9 17
5 8 AFC Wimbledon 7 2 5 2.4 0.7 5 1 1 17 5 16
6 9 Bradford 7 2 5 1.6 0.9 4 2 1 11 6 14
7 1 Port Vale 7 3 4 1.7 1.1 4 2 1 12 8 14
8 11 Chesterfield 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 1 6 1 10 12 9
9 17 Accrington 8 4 4 1.4 1.2 2 5 1 11 10 11
10 18 Harrogate 9 5 4 1.0 1.4 4 0 5 9 13 12
11 21 Bromley 8 4 4 1.4 1.6 1 4 3 11 13 7
12 22 Swindon 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 1 2 4 7 11 5
13 3 Crewe 8 5 3 1.5 0.9 5 2 1 12 7 17
14 10 Gillingham 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 5 0 3 12 6 15
15 12 Barrow 9 6 3 1.4 0.9 4 3 2 13 8 15
16 14 Cheltenham 9 6 3 1.2 1.2 4 2 3 11 11 14
17 15 Salford 8 5 3 0.9 1.1 4 0 4 7 9 12
18 19 Colchester 8 5 3 1.1 0.9 2 3 3 9 7 9
19 23 Carlisle 7 4 3 1.0 1.7 1 1 5 7 12 4
20 24 Morecambe 8 5 3 1.0 2.0 0 3 5 8 16 3
21 2 Notts County 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 4 2 2 10 5 14
22 4 Doncaster 9 7 2 1.1 0.9 4 3 2 10 8 15
23 13 Fleetwood Town 7 5 2 0.9 0.7 2 4 1 6 5 10
24 20 Tranmere 7 6 1 0.6 0.7 2 3 2 4 5 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Accrington 8 1 7 1.4 2.0 2 1 5 11 16 7
2 11 Chesterfield 8 2 6 2.4 1.0 4 1 3 19 8 13
3 14 Cheltenham 8 2 6 1.4 1.8 2 1 5 11 14 7
4 4 Doncaster 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 4 1 2 12 10 13
5 20 Tranmere 8 3 5 0.8 1.6 2 2 4 6 13 8
6 22 Swindon 9 4 5 1.2 1.6 1 5 3 11 14 8
7 23 Carlisle 9 4 5 0.8 1.9 2 2 5 7 17 8
8 6 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 1 3 12 10 10
9 7 Grimsby 9 5 4 1.1 1.1 5 1 3 10 10 16
10 9 Bradford 9 5 4 1.1 1.2 2 3 4 10 11 9
11 13 Fleetwood Town 7 3 4 2.0 1.4 3 2 2 14 10 11
12 16 Newport County 9 5 4 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7
13 24 Morecambe 8 4 4 0.8 1.4 2 1 5 6 11 7
14 1 Port Vale 9 6 3 1.3 0.9 6 1 2 12 8 19
15 2 Notts County 9 6 3 1.4 1.1 3 5 1 13 10 14
16 5 Walsall 7 4 3 1.7 0.7 3 2 2 12 5 11
17 15 Salford 8 5 3 1.0 1.1 1 6 1 8 9 9
18 19 Colchester 8 5 3 1.2 1.9 1 5 2 10 15 8
19 3 Crewe 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 3 2 2 7 6 11
20 8 AFC Wimbledon 7 5 2 0.9 1.1 2 1 4 6 8 7
21 18 Harrogate 7 5 2 0.7 1.3 1 3 3 5 9 6
22 10 Gillingham 7 6 1 0.6 0.9 2 2 3 4 6 8
23 12 Barrow 7 6 1 0.6 1.0 2 1 4 4 7 7
24 21 Bromley 7 6 1 0.9 0.9 2 3 2 6 6 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51