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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: S Mather

Harrogate 1–0 Swindon

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.90 fair 2.88
Draw 3.25 fair 3.81
Away 2.38 fair 2.56
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.95
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.06

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Harrogate Swindon
15 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 8
7 Fouls 4
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (360 league matches this season so far).
Result Swindon to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
HarrogateDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 0–1 9.9% 1–0 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Harrogate before this match, all matches
0.97points / match
0.81scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 25:42
Swindon before this match, all matches
1.23points / match
1.48scored / match
1.52conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 46:47
Harrogate all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

0.81 Goals scored 1.48
1.35 Goals conceded 1.52
2.16 Total goals 3.00
9.23 Shots 12.06
2.97 Shots on target 3.16
15.06 Shots faced 11.42
4.35 Corners 5.00
6.29 Corners against 5.19
11.81 Fouls 10.13
1.61 Yellow cards 1.94
0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.68
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.84

How often Full Time

26% Wins 29%
19% Draws 35%
55% Losses 35%
94% Over 0.5 goals 90%
68% Over 1.5 goals 87%
35% Over 2.5 goals 58%
6% Over 3.5 goals 42%
6% Over 4.5 goals 16%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
39% Both teams scored 68%
23% Clean sheets 16%
45% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 23%
52% Draws 35%
29% Losses 42%
58% Over 0.5 goals 81%
29% Over 1.5 goals 45%
10% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Harrogate all matches
Swindon all matches
Harrogate before this match, at home
1.13points / match
0.80scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 12:21
Swindon before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.25scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 20:25
Harrogate at home away Swindon

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 1.25
1.40 Goals conceded 1.56
2.20 Total goals 2.81
9.40 Shots 11.13
2.87 Shots on target 2.81
13.93 Shots faced 13.31
4.87 Corners 4.31
6.33 Corners against 5.56
11.53 Fouls 10.63
1.53 Yellow cards 2.50
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

33% Wins 19%
13% Draws 44%
53% Losses 38%
93% Over 0.5 goals 94%
73% Over 1.5 goals 88%
33% Over 2.5 goals 50%
7% Over 3.5 goals 31%
7% Over 4.5 goals 13%
7% Over 5.5 goals 6%
33% Both teams scored 75%
27% Clean sheets 6%
47% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 19%
33% Draws 31%
33% Losses 50%
67% Over 0.5 goals 81%
27% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Harrogate at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Harrogate all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.25 Bradford – Harrogate 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.905.00 2.08 1.73
01.02.25 Harrogate – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.302.25 2.25 1.62
28.01.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Harrogate 2–1 (1–0) 1.733.804.20 1.88 1.98
25.01.25 Doncaster – Harrogate 1–0 (0–0) 1.384.757.50 1.75 2.05
21.01.25 Harrogate – Colchester 0–0 (0–0) 3.703.302.00 2.20 1.62
17.01.25 Harrogate – Cheltenham 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.302.30 2.05 1.75
04.01.25 Barrow – Harrogate 0–2 (0–0) 1.623.705.25 2.10 1.70
01.01.25 Harrogate – Salford 0–2 (0–1) 4.003.601.83 2.10 1.70
29.12.24 Fleetwood Town – Harrogate 1–1 (1–1) 1.503.906.00 1.88 1.98
26.12.24 Grimsby – Harrogate 2–1 (0–0) 1.673.804.75 1.90 1.95

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.25 Swindon – Port Vale 3–3 (2–2) 2.253.303.00 2.05 1.80
01.02.25 Carlisle – Swindon 1–5 (0–1) 2.553.252.70 2.05 1.75
28.01.25 Swindon – Tranmere 3–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.20 1.95 1.90
24.01.25 Newport County – Swindon 1–2 (1–1) 3.603.501.95 1.83 2.03
18.01.25 Swindon – Barrow 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.10 2.10 1.70
11.01.25 Swindon – Crewe 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.40 2.05 1.75
04.01.25 Notts County – Swindon 2–0 (2–0) 1.673.904.50 1.65 2.20
01.01.25 Swindon – Colchester 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.402.63 1.95 1.90
29.12.24 Bromley – Swindon 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.503.60 1.73 2.08
26.12.24 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 1–1 (0–1) 1.624.005.00 1.88 1.98

Harrogate at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Harrogate – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.302.25 2.25 1.62
21.01.25 Harrogate – Colchester 0–0 (0–0) 3.703.302.00 2.20 1.62
17.01.25 Harrogate – Cheltenham 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.302.30 2.05 1.75
01.01.25 Harrogate – Salford 0–2 (0–1) 4.003.601.83 2.10 1.70
21.12.24 Harrogate – Walsall 0–2 (0–1) 4.334.001.70 1.98 1.88
07.12.24 Harrogate – AFC Wimbledon 0–3 (0–2) 4.753.601.73 2.05 1.75
16.11.24 Harrogate – Chesterfield 2–1 (0–0) 4.333.801.73 1.73 2.08
09.11.24 Harrogate – Morecambe 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.502.90 1.98 1.88
22.10.24 Harrogate – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.601.85 1.98 1.88
12.10.24 Harrogate – Newport County 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.40 1.88 1.98

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Carlisle – Swindon 1–5 (0–1) 2.553.252.70 2.05 1.75
24.01.25 Newport County – Swindon 1–2 (1–1) 3.603.501.95 1.83 2.03
04.01.25 Notts County – Swindon 2–0 (2–0) 1.673.904.50 1.65 2.20
29.12.24 Bromley – Swindon 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.503.60 1.73 2.08
26.12.24 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 1–1 (0–1) 1.624.005.00 1.88 1.98
14.12.24 Bradford – Swindon 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.804.75 1.83 2.03
03.12.24 Colchester – Swindon 4–0 (4–0) 1.913.403.90 1.98 1.88
16.11.24 Accrington – Swindon 2–2 (2–1) 2.303.602.80 1.93 1.93
09.11.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–1 (1–1) 1.913.503.70 1.88 1.98
22.10.24 Salford – Swindon 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Harrogate winsDrawsSwindon wins
7matches
2.43goals / match
43%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24E3 Swindon – Harrogate 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.704.50 1.75 2.05
02.03.24E3 Swindon – Harrogate 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.15
18.11.23E3 Harrogate – Swindon 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.902.00 1.65 2.20
25.02.23E3 Swindon – Harrogate 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.604.75 1.85 1.95
30.07.22E3 Harrogate – Swindon 3–0 (1–0) 3.403.502.10 1.65 2.20
15.04.22E3 Harrogate – Swindon 1–4 (0–2) 3.203.302.30 1.90 1.95
27.11.21E3 Swindon – Harrogate 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 1.83 2.02

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 30 18 6 6 56 33 +23 60
2 AFC Wimbledon 30 16 7 7 43 20 +23 55
3 Notts County 30 15 8 7 47 29 +18 53
4 Bradford 30 15 8 7 40 28 +12 53
5 Port Vale 30 14 10 6 39 32 +7 52
6 Doncaster 31 15 7 9 45 39 +6 52
7 Salford 31 13 9 9 38 30 +8 48
8 Crewe 31 12 12 7 36 31 +5 48
9 Grimsby 31 15 3 13 44 47 -3 48
10 Chesterfield 29 11 9 9 48 34 +14 42
11 Colchester 29 9 13 7 35 30 +5 40
12 Fleetwood Town 29 10 10 9 39 35 +4 40
13 Bromley 30 9 12 9 40 40 0 39
14 Newport County 30 11 6 13 41 47 -6 39
15 Milton Keynes Dons 30 11 5 14 43 43 0 38
16 Swindon 31 9 11 11 46 47 -1 38
17 Cheltenham 29 10 8 11 37 41 -4 38
18 Barrow 30 10 7 13 32 33 -1 37
19 Gillingham 29 9 6 14 26 33 -7 33
20 Accrington 29 7 9 13 34 46 -12 30
21 Harrogate 31 8 6 17 25 42 -17 30
22 Tranmere 30 6 9 15 21 48 -27 27
23 Morecambe 30 6 5 19 27 48 -21 23
24 Carlisle 30 5 6 19 23 49 -26 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bradford 16 12 3 1 26 10 +16 39
2 Walsall 16 11 4 1 37 20 +17 37
3 AFC Wimbledon 16 11 3 2 29 9 +20 36
4 Salford 16 9 2 5 22 15 +7 29
5 Barrow 16 8 4 4 26 16 +10 28
6 Doncaster 16 8 4 4 22 17 +5 28
7 Notts County 14 8 3 3 20 8 +12 27
8 Cheltenham 15 8 3 4 22 19 +3 27
9 Port Vale 14 7 5 2 19 13 +6 26
10 Newport County 14 8 2 4 24 19 +5 26
11 Crewe 15 7 5 3 21 16 +5 26
12 Chesterfield 15 6 7 2 25 17 +8 25
13 Milton Keynes Dons 17 7 4 6 21 16 +5 25
14 Fleetwood Town 16 6 7 3 19 14 +5 25
15 Colchester 15 6 5 4 19 11 +8 23
16 Grimsby 15 7 2 6 23 24 -1 23
17 Swindon 15 6 4 5 26 22 +4 22
18 Gillingham 14 6 1 7 17 16 +1 19
19 Tranmere 15 4 7 4 12 15 -3 19
20 Harrogate 15 5 2 8 12 21 -9 17
21 Accrington 14 3 7 4 15 19 -4 16
22 Bromley 14 3 6 5 19 20 -1 15
23 Morecambe 13 2 3 8 14 24 -10 9
24 Carlisle 14 2 3 9 11 23 -12 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 16 7 5 4 27 21 +6 26
2 Port Vale 16 7 5 4 20 19 +1 26
3 Grimsby 16 8 1 7 21 23 -2 25
4 Doncaster 15 7 3 5 23 22 +1 24
5 Bromley 16 6 6 4 21 20 +1 24
6 Walsall 14 7 2 5 19 13 +6 23
7 Crewe 16 5 7 4 15 15 0 22
8 AFC Wimbledon 14 5 4 5 14 11 +3 19
9 Salford 15 4 7 4 16 15 +1 19
10 Chesterfield 14 5 2 7 23 17 +6 17
11 Colchester 14 3 8 3 16 19 -3 17
12 Swindon 16 3 7 6 20 25 -5 16
13 Fleetwood Town 13 4 3 6 20 21 -1 15
14 Bradford 14 3 5 6 14 18 -4 14
15 Accrington 15 4 2 9 19 27 -8 14
16 Gillingham 15 3 5 7 9 17 -8 14
17 Morecambe 17 4 2 11 13 24 -11 14
18 Milton Keynes Dons 13 4 1 8 22 27 -5 13
19 Harrogate 16 3 4 9 13 21 -8 13
20 Newport County 16 3 4 9 17 28 -11 13
21 Carlisle 16 3 3 10 12 26 -14 12
22 Cheltenham 14 2 5 7 15 22 -7 11
23 Barrow 14 2 3 9 6 17 -11 9
24 Tranmere 15 2 2 11 9 33 -24 8

Harrogate   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Grimsby 31 11 20 1.4 1.5 15 3 13 44 47 48
2 14 Newport County 30 12 18 1.4 1.6 11 6 13 41 47 39
3 16 Swindon 31 13 18 1.5 1.5 9 11 11 46 47 38
4 15 Milton Keynes Dons 30 13 17 1.4 1.4 11 5 14 43 43 38
5 20 Accrington 29 12 17 1.2 1.6 7 9 13 34 46 30
6 1 Walsall 30 14 16 1.9 1.1 18 6 6 56 33 60
7 6 Doncaster 31 15 16 1.5 1.3 15 7 9 45 39 52
8 10 Chesterfield 29 13 16 1.7 1.2 11 9 9 48 34 42
9 4 Bradford 30 15 15 1.3 0.9 15 8 7 40 28 53
10 17 Cheltenham 29 15 14 1.3 1.4 10 8 11 37 41 38
11 5 Port Vale 30 17 13 1.3 1.1 14 10 6 39 32 52
12 13 Bromley 30 17 13 1.3 1.3 9 12 9 40 40 39
13 22 Tranmere 30 17 13 0.7 1.6 6 9 15 21 48 27
14 24 Carlisle 30 17 13 0.8 1.6 5 6 19 23 49 21
15 3 Notts County 30 18 12 1.6 1.0 15 8 7 47 29 53
16 12 Fleetwood Town 29 17 12 1.3 1.2 10 10 9 39 35 40
17 23 Morecambe 30 18 12 0.9 1.6 6 5 19 27 48 23
18 2 AFC Wimbledon 30 19 11 1.4 0.7 16 7 7 43 20 55
19 7 Salford 31 20 11 1.2 1.0 13 9 9 38 30 48
20 21 Harrogate 31 20 11 0.8 1.4 8 6 17 25 42 30
21 8 Crewe 31 21 10 1.2 1.0 12 12 7 36 31 48
22 11 Colchester 29 19 10 1.2 1.0 9 13 7 35 30 40
23 18 Barrow 30 20 10 1.1 1.1 10 7 13 32 33 37
24 19 Gillingham 29 19 10 0.9 1.1 9 6 14 26 33 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Walsall 16 6 10 2.3 1.2 11 4 1 37 20 37
2 9 Grimsby 15 5 10 1.5 1.6 7 2 6 23 24 23
3 14 Newport County 14 4 10 1.7 1.4 8 2 4 24 19 26
4 16 Swindon 15 5 10 1.7 1.5 6 4 5 26 22 22
5 4 Bradford 16 7 9 1.6 0.6 12 3 1 26 10 39
6 6 Doncaster 16 8 8 1.4 1.1 8 4 4 22 17 28
7 10 Chesterfield 15 7 8 1.7 1.1 6 7 2 25 17 25
8 18 Barrow 16 8 8 1.6 1.0 8 4 4 26 16 28
9 2 AFC Wimbledon 16 9 7 1.8 0.6 11 3 2 29 9 36
10 15 Milton Keynes Dons 17 10 7 1.2 0.9 7 4 6 21 16 25
11 19 Gillingham 14 7 7 1.2 1.1 6 1 7 17 16 19
12 20 Accrington 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 3 7 4 15 19 16
13 5 Port Vale 14 8 6 1.4 0.9 7 5 2 19 13 26
14 7 Salford 16 10 6 1.4 0.9 9 2 5 22 15 29
15 8 Crewe 15 9 6 1.4 1.1 7 5 3 21 16 26
16 13 Bromley 14 8 6 1.4 1.4 3 6 5 19 20 15
17 17 Cheltenham 15 9 6 1.5 1.3 8 3 4 22 19 27
18 11 Colchester 15 10 5 1.3 0.7 6 5 4 19 11 23
19 12 Fleetwood Town 16 11 5 1.2 0.9 6 7 3 19 14 25
20 21 Harrogate 15 10 5 0.8 1.4 5 2 8 12 21 17
21 23 Morecambe 13 8 5 1.1 1.8 2 3 8 14 24 9
22 24 Carlisle 14 9 5 0.8 1.6 2 3 9 11 23 9
23 3 Notts County 14 10 4 1.4 0.6 8 3 3 20 8 27
24 22 Tranmere 15 11 4 0.8 1.0 4 7 4 12 15 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Grimsby 16 6 10 1.3 1.4 8 1 7 21 23 25
2 15 Milton Keynes Dons 13 3 10 1.7 2.1 4 1 8 22 27 13
3 20 Accrington 15 5 10 1.3 1.8 4 2 9 19 27 14
4 22 Tranmere 15 6 9 0.6 2.2 2 2 11 9 33 8
5 3 Notts County 16 8 8 1.7 1.3 7 5 4 27 21 26
6 6 Doncaster 15 7 8 1.5 1.5 7 3 5 23 22 24
7 10 Chesterfield 14 6 8 1.6 1.2 5 2 7 23 17 17
8 14 Newport County 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 3 4 9 17 28 13
9 16 Swindon 16 8 8 1.2 1.6 3 7 6 20 25 16
10 17 Cheltenham 14 6 8 1.1 1.6 2 5 7 15 22 11
11 24 Carlisle 16 8 8 0.8 1.6 3 3 10 12 26 12
12 5 Port Vale 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 7 5 4 20 19 26
13 12 Fleetwood Town 13 6 7 1.5 1.6 4 3 6 20 21 15
14 13 Bromley 16 9 7 1.3 1.2 6 6 4 21 20 24
15 23 Morecambe 17 10 7 0.8 1.4 4 2 11 13 24 14
16 1 Walsall 14 8 6 1.4 0.9 7 2 5 19 13 23
17 4 Bradford 14 8 6 1.0 1.3 3 5 6 14 18 14
18 21 Harrogate 16 10 6 0.8 1.3 3 4 9 13 21 13
19 7 Salford 15 10 5 1.1 1.0 4 7 4 16 15 19
20 11 Colchester 14 9 5 1.1 1.4 3 8 3 16 19 17
21 2 AFC Wimbledon 14 10 4 1.0 0.8 5 4 5 14 11 19
22 8 Crewe 16 12 4 0.9 0.9 5 7 4 15 15 22
23 19 Gillingham 15 12 3 0.6 1.1 3 5 7 9 17 14
24 18 Barrow 14 12 2 0.4 1.2 2 3 9 6 17 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51