AFC Wimbledon 1–2 Cheltenham – England League Two, 11 Mar 2025

Match facts

AFC Wimbledon Cheltenham

17 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 5

6 Corners 5

12 Fouls 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (424 league matches this season so far).

Result AFC Wimbledon to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.87

Expected goals 1.65 – 0.86

Home / Draw / Away

56% 24% 19%

AFC WimbledonDrawCheltenham

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

54% 47%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 13.4% 1–1 11.5% 2–0 11.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

AFC Wimbledon before this match, all matches

1.71points / match

1.31scored / match

0.66conceded / match

17 9 9

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 46:23

Cheltenham before this match, all matches

1.31points / match

1.31scored / match

1.43conceded / match

12 10 13

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 46:50

AFC Wimbledon all matches all matches Cheltenham

Per match

1.31 Goals scored 1.31

0.66 Goals conceded 1.43

1.97 Total goals 2.74

12.40 Shots 10.51

4.11 Shots on target 3.69

8.86 Shots faced 12.89

4.94 Corners 4.00

4.23 Corners against 5.46

13.69 Fouls 11.40

2.09 Yellow cards 1.51

0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.46

0.34 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

49% Wins 34%

26% Draws 29%

26% Losses 37%

89% Over 0.5 goals 94%

51% Over 1.5 goals 77%

31% Over 2.5 goals 51%

17% Over 3.5 goals 26%

6% Over 4.5 goals 17%

3% Over 5.5 goals 3%

26% Both teams scored 60%

51% Clean sheets 23%

34% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

34% Wins 26%

49% Draws 43%

17% Losses 31%

57% Over 0.5 goals 66%

26% Over 1.5 goals 20%

9% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AFC Wimbledon all matches

1

D

1

W

D

3

W

1

W

D

1

D

1

L

1

L

2

W

Cheltenham all matches

2

1

W

D

1

W

2

L

3

2

W

3

W

2

D

1

D

3

L

1

L

AFC Wimbledon before this match, at home

2.17points / match

1.72scored / match

0.56conceded / match

12 3 3

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 31:10

Cheltenham before this match, away

0.88points / match

1.13scored / match

1.56conceded / match

3 5 8

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 18:25

AFC Wimbledon at home away Cheltenham

Per match

1.72 Goals scored 1.13

0.56 Goals conceded 1.56

2.28 Total goals 2.69

13.28 Shots 8.88

4.78 Shots on target 2.88

7.39 Shots faced 13.81

4.94 Corners 4.38

3.44 Corners against 5.00

12.67 Fouls 11.56

2.00 Yellow cards 1.63

0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.56

0.28 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

67% Wins 19%

17% Draws 31%

17% Losses 50%

100% Over 0.5 goals 88%

56% Over 1.5 goals 81%

39% Over 2.5 goals 63%

22% Over 3.5 goals 25%

6% Over 4.5 goals 13%

6% Over 5.5 goals 0%

22% Both teams scored 56%

61% Clean sheets 25%

17% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 38%

39% Draws 31%

11% Losses 31%

61% Over 0.5 goals 75%

28% Over 1.5 goals 19%

17% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AFC Wimbledon at home

2

D

1

W

1

D

1

W

2

W

1

W

3

W

1

W

1

L

2

W

Cheltenham away

1

W

2

3

L

2

D

2

D

2

L

D

2

L

3

W

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

AFC Wimbledon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	AFC Wimbledon – Notts County	2–0 (2–0)	2.45	3.10	2.88	2.15	1.67
04.03.25	Morecambe – AFC Wimbledon	1–0 (1–0)	3.40	3.20	2.15	2.15	1.67
01.03.25	AFC Wimbledon – Bromley	0–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	2.25	1.62
22.02.25	Colchester – AFC Wimbledon	1–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.10	2.80	2.70	1.44
18.02.25	Fleetwood Town – AFC Wimbledon	0–0 (0–0)	3.20	3.10	2.30	2.50	1.50
15.02.25	AFC Wimbledon – Salford	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.30	4.10	2.35	1.57
11.02.25	AFC Wimbledon – Crewe	3–0 (2–0)	1.73	3.30	5.25	2.50	1.50
08.02.25	Accrington – AFC Wimbledon	0–0 (0–0)	3.40	3.20	2.10	2.40	1.53
01.02.25	AFC Wimbledon – Bradford	1–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.10	3.30	2.30	1.60
28.01.25	Crewe – AFC Wimbledon	1–1 (1–1)	2.75	2.80	2.88	2.88	1.40

Cheltenham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Cheltenham – Colchester	0–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.25	2.35	1.57
04.03.25	Bradford – Cheltenham	3–0 (1–0)	1.62	3.60	5.75	2.05	1.75
01.03.25	Cheltenham – Grimsby	1–1 (1–0)	2.35	3.30	2.90	2.03	1.83
25.02.25	Cheltenham – Walsall	2–2 (0–1)	3.30	3.10	2.20	2.05	1.72
22.02.25	Newport County – Cheltenham	0–3 (0–1)	3.00	3.20	2.35	1.98	1.88
15.02.25	Cheltenham – Barrow	3–2 (0–1)	2.40	3.10	3.00	2.25	1.62
08.02.25	Fleetwood Town – Cheltenham	2–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	3.70	2.08	1.73
01.02.25	Cheltenham – Chesterfield	1–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.25	2.25	1.95	1.90
28.01.25	Accrington – Cheltenham	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.67
25.01.25	Cheltenham – Salford	2–1 (1–0)	3.30	3.10	2.20	2.15	1.63

AFC Wimbledon at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	AFC Wimbledon – Notts County	2–0 (2–0)	2.45	3.10	2.88	2.15	1.67
01.03.25	AFC Wimbledon – Bromley	0–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	2.25	1.62
15.02.25	AFC Wimbledon – Salford	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.30	4.10	2.35	1.57
11.02.25	AFC Wimbledon – Crewe	3–0 (2–0)	1.73	3.30	5.25	2.50	1.50
01.02.25	AFC Wimbledon – Bradford	1–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.10	3.30	2.30	1.60
18.01.25	AFC Wimbledon – Tranmere	2–0 (0–0)	1.55	3.80	6.00	2.10	1.70
30.12.24	AFC Wimbledon – Gillingham	1–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.20	2.30	1.60
26.12.24	AFC Wimbledon – Swindon	1–1 (0–1)	1.62	4.00	5.00	1.88	1.98
14.12.24	AFC Wimbledon – Doncaster	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.00	2.05	1.75
03.12.24	AFC Wimbledon – Newport County	2–2 (2–1)	1.40	4.50	7.50	1.70	2.10

Cheltenham away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.25	Bradford – Cheltenham	3–0 (1–0)	1.62	3.60	5.75	2.05	1.75
22.02.25	Newport County – Cheltenham	0–3 (0–1)	3.00	3.20	2.35	1.98	1.88
08.02.25	Fleetwood Town – Cheltenham	2–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	3.70	2.08	1.73
28.01.25	Accrington – Cheltenham	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.67
17.01.25	Harrogate – Cheltenham	2–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.05	1.75
01.01.25	Port Vale – Cheltenham	0–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.60	4.10	2.08	1.73
20.12.24	Gillingham – Cheltenham	2–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.30	3.10	2.25	1.62
07.12.24	Doncaster – Cheltenham	2–2 (0–1)	1.48	4.33	6.00	1.75	2.05
16.11.24	Milton Keynes Dons – Cheltenham	3–2 (1–2)	1.73	3.75	4.33	1.80	2.00
26.10.24	Carlisle – Cheltenham	0–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.40	3.70	1.93	1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 1

AFC Wimbledon winsDrawsCheltenham wins

3matches

3.00goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.08.24E3	Cheltenham – AFC Wimbledon	0–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.25	2.70	2.00	1.85
19.03.22E2	Cheltenham – AFC Wimbledon	3–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.40	4.00	2.10	1.70
01.02.22E2	AFC Wimbledon – Cheltenham	2–2 (1–2)	2.50	3.20	2.90	2.10	1.70

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Walsall	36	20	8	8	65	41	+24	68
2	Bradford	36	19	9	8	48	30	+18	66
3	Doncaster	36	18	8	10	53	43	+10	62
4	AFC Wimbledon	35	17	9	9	46	23	+23	60
5	Notts County	35	16	10	9	53	37	+16	58
6	Port Vale	34	15	13	6	43	35	+8	58
7	Crewe	36	14	14	8	44	37	+7	56
8	Grimsby	35	17	5	13	51	51	0	56
9	Colchester	35	12	16	7	40	32	+8	52
10	Bromley	36	13	12	11	46	43	+3	51
11	Salford	35	13	11	11	43	37	+6	50
12	Fleetwood Town	36	12	13	11	49	43	+6	49
13	Swindon	36	11	13	12	52	52	0	46
14	Cheltenham	35	12	10	13	46	50	-4	46
15	Chesterfield	34	12	9	13	52	43	+9	45
16	Barrow	35	12	7	16	38	41	-3	43
17	Newport County	35	12	7	16	45	56	-11	43
18	Milton Keynes Dons	35	12	6	17	46	50	-4	42
19	Gillingham	35	11	8	16	30	38	-8	41
20	Harrogate	36	11	7	18	29	45	-16	40
21	Accrington	35	9	9	17	39	54	-15	36
22	Tranmere	36	7	12	17	27	55	-28	33
23	Morecambe	36	8	5	23	31	54	-23	29
24	Carlisle	35	6	9	20	25	51	-26	27

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	18	14	3	1	31	10	+21	45
2	Walsall	19	12	4	3	41	25	+16	40
3	AFC Wimbledon	18	12	3	3	31	10	+21	39
4	Doncaster	18	9	5	4	27	19	+8	32
5	Cheltenham	19	9	5	5	28	25	+3	32
6	Notts County	17	9	4	4	24	12	+12	31
7	Barrow	18	9	4	5	28	17	+11	31
8	Port Vale	16	8	6	2	21	14	+7	30
9	Salford	18	9	3	6	24	18	+6	30
10	Newport County	17	9	3	5	27	23	+4	30
11	Crewe	17	8	5	4	25	20	+5	29
12	Chesterfield	17	7	7	3	28	21	+7	28
13	Milton Keynes Dons	19	8	4	7	23	18	+5	28
14	Fleetwood Town	19	6	10	3	22	17	+5	28
15	Colchester	17	7	6	4	21	12	+9	27
16	Grimsby	17	8	3	6	26	26	0	27
17	Swindon	17	7	5	5	29	24	+5	26
18	Gillingham	18	8	2	8	20	18	+2	26
19	Harrogate	18	8	2	8	16	22	-6	26
20	Bromley	18	6	6	6	23	21	+2	24
21	Tranmere	19	5	9	5	16	19	-3	24
22	Accrington	16	4	7	5	18	21	-3	19
23	Morecambe	17	4	3	10	17	27	-10	15
24	Carlisle	17	2	6	9	12	24	-12	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Doncaster	18	9	3	6	26	24	+2	30
2	Grimsby	18	9	2	7	25	25	0	29
3	Walsall	17	8	4	5	24	16	+8	28
4	Port Vale	18	7	7	4	22	21	+1	28
5	Notts County	18	7	6	5	29	25	+4	27
6	Crewe	19	6	9	4	19	17	+2	27
7	Bromley	18	7	6	5	23	22	+1	27
8	Colchester	18	5	10	3	19	20	-1	25
9	AFC Wimbledon	17	5	6	6	15	13	+2	21
10	Fleetwood Town	17	6	3	8	27	26	+1	21
11	Bradford	18	5	6	7	17	20	-3	21
12	Salford	17	4	8	5	19	19	0	20
13	Swindon	19	4	8	7	23	28	-5	20
14	Chesterfield	17	5	2	10	24	22	+2	17
15	Accrington	19	5	2	12	21	33	-12	17
16	Gillingham	17	3	6	8	10	20	-10	15
17	Carlisle	18	4	3	11	13	27	-14	15
18	Cheltenham	16	3	5	8	18	25	-7	14
19	Milton Keynes Dons	16	4	2	10	23	32	-9	14
20	Harrogate	18	3	5	10	13	23	-10	14
21	Morecambe	19	4	2	13	14	27	-13	14
22	Newport County	18	3	4	11	18	33	-15	13
23	Barrow	17	3	3	11	10	24	-14	12
24	Tranmere	17	2	3	12	11	36	-25	9

AFC Wimbledon Cheltenham

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Grimsby	35	13	22	1.5	1.5	17	5	13	51	51	56
2	17	Newport County	35	13	22	1.3	1.6	12	7	16	45	56	43
3	13	Swindon	36	16	20	1.4	1.4	11	13	12	52	52	46
4	1	Walsall	36	17	19	1.8	1.1	20	8	8	65	41	68
5	3	Doncaster	36	17	19	1.5	1.2	18	8	10	53	43	62
6	15	Chesterfield	34	15	19	1.5	1.3	12	9	13	52	43	45
7	21	Accrington	35	16	19	1.1	1.5	9	9	17	39	54	36
8	14	Cheltenham	35	17	18	1.3	1.4	12	10	13	46	50	46
9	18	Milton Keynes Dons	35	17	18	1.3	1.4	12	6	17	46	50	42
10	2	Bradford	36	19	17	1.3	0.8	19	9	8	48	30	66
11	12	Fleetwood Town	36	20	16	1.4	1.2	12	13	11	49	43	49
12	5	Notts County	35	20	15	1.5	1.1	16	10	9	53	37	58
13	22	Tranmere	36	21	15	0.8	1.5	7	12	17	27	55	33
14	6	Port Vale	34	20	14	1.3	1.0	15	13	6	43	35	58
15	10	Bromley	36	22	14	1.3	1.2	13	12	11	46	43	51
16	11	Salford	35	21	14	1.2	1.1	13	11	11	43	37	50
17	7	Crewe	36	23	13	1.2	1.0	14	14	8	44	37	56
18	16	Barrow	35	22	13	1.1	1.2	12	7	16	38	41	43
19	23	Morecambe	36	23	13	0.9	1.5	8	5	23	31	54	29
20	24	Carlisle	35	22	13	0.7	1.5	6	9	20	25	51	27
21	19	Gillingham	35	23	12	0.9	1.1	11	8	16	30	38	41
22	20	Harrogate	36	24	12	0.8	1.2	11	7	18	29	45	40
23	4	AFC Wimbledon	35	24	11	1.3	0.7	17	9	9	46	23	60
24	9	Colchester	35	25	10	1.1	0.9	12	16	7	40	32	52

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Walsall	19	7	12	2.2	1.3	12	4	3	41	25	40
2	17	Newport County	17	5	12	1.6	1.4	9	3	5	27	23	30
3	8	Grimsby	17	6	11	1.5	1.5	8	3	6	26	26	27
4	13	Swindon	17	6	11	1.7	1.4	7	5	5	29	24	26
5	2	Bradford	18	8	10	1.7	0.6	14	3	1	31	10	45
6	3	Doncaster	18	8	10	1.5	1.1	9	5	4	27	19	32
7	15	Chesterfield	17	7	10	1.6	1.2	7	7	3	28	21	28
8	7	Crewe	17	9	8	1.5	1.2	8	5	4	25	20	29
9	14	Cheltenham	19	11	8	1.5	1.3	9	5	5	28	25	32
10	16	Barrow	18	10	8	1.6	0.9	9	4	5	28	17	31
11	18	Milton Keynes Dons	19	11	8	1.2	0.9	8	4	7	23	18	28
12	19	Gillingham	18	10	8	1.1	1.0	8	2	8	20	18	26
13	21	Accrington	16	8	8	1.1	1.3	4	7	5	18	21	19
14	4	AFC Wimbledon	18	11	7	1.7	0.6	12	3	3	31	10	39
15	6	Port Vale	16	9	7	1.3	0.9	8	6	2	21	14	30
16	11	Salford	18	11	7	1.3	1.0	9	3	6	24	18	30
17	5	Notts County	17	11	6	1.4	0.7	9	4	4	24	12	31
18	10	Bromley	18	12	6	1.3	1.2	6	6	6	23	21	24
19	12	Fleetwood Town	19	13	6	1.2	0.9	6	10	3	22	17	28
20	20	Harrogate	18	12	6	0.9	1.2	8	2	8	16	22	26
21	9	Colchester	17	12	5	1.2	0.7	7	6	4	21	12	27
22	22	Tranmere	19	14	5	0.8	1.0	5	9	5	16	19	24
23	23	Morecambe	17	12	5	1.0	1.6	4	3	10	17	27	15
24	24	Carlisle	17	12	5	0.7	1.4	2	6	9	12	24	12

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Grimsby	18	7	11	1.4	1.4	9	2	7	25	25	29
2	21	Accrington	19	8	11	1.1	1.7	5	2	12	21	33	17
3	12	Fleetwood Town	17	7	10	1.6	1.5	6	3	8	27	26	21
4	14	Cheltenham	16	6	10	1.1	1.6	3	5	8	18	25	14
5	17	Newport County	18	8	10	1.0	1.8	3	4	11	18	33	13
6	18	Milton Keynes Dons	16	6	10	1.4	2.0	4	2	10	23	32	14
7	22	Tranmere	17	7	10	0.6	2.1	2	3	12	11	36	9
8	3	Doncaster	18	9	9	1.4	1.3	9	3	6	26	24	30
9	5	Notts County	18	9	9	1.6	1.4	7	6	5	29	25	27
10	13	Swindon	19	10	9	1.2	1.5	4	8	7	23	28	20
11	15	Chesterfield	17	8	9	1.4	1.3	5	2	10	24	22	17
12	10	Bromley	18	10	8	1.3	1.2	7	6	5	23	22	27
13	23	Morecambe	19	11	8	0.7	1.4	4	2	13	14	27	14
14	24	Carlisle	18	10	8	0.7	1.5	4	3	11	13	27	15
15	1	Walsall	17	10	7	1.4	0.9	8	4	5	24	16	28
16	2	Bradford	18	11	7	0.9	1.1	5	6	7	17	20	21
17	6	Port Vale	18	11	7	1.2	1.2	7	7	4	22	21	28
18	11	Salford	17	10	7	1.1	1.1	4	8	5	19	19	20
19	20	Harrogate	18	12	6	0.7	1.3	3	5	10	13	23	14
20	7	Crewe	19	14	5	1.0	0.9	6	9	4	19	17	27
21	9	Colchester	18	13	5	1.1	1.1	5	10	3	19	20	25
22	16	Barrow	17	12	5	0.6	1.4	3	3	11	10	24	12
23	4	AFC Wimbledon	17	13	4	0.9	0.8	5	6	6	15	13	21
24	19	Gillingham	17	13	4	0.6	1.2	3	6	8	10	20	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.