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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: J Miles

Milton Keynes Dons 3–2 Cheltenham

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.73 fair 2.11
Draw 3.75 fair 4.06
Away 4.33 fair 3.58
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.13
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.88

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milton Keynes Dons Cheltenham
7 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 8
9 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (175 league matches this season so far).
Result Milton Keynes Dons to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.80
Expected goals 1.62 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
Milton Keynes DonsDrawCheltenham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 1–0 9.8% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
1.60scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 24:17
Cheltenham before this match, all matches
1.20points / match
1.27scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:22
Milton Keynes Dons all matches all matches Cheltenham

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.27
1.13 Goals conceded 1.47
2.73 Total goals 2.73
12.07 Shots 9.93
5.13 Shots on target 3.67
11.40 Shots faced 12.80
4.13 Corners 3.47
3.87 Corners against 5.40
10.60 Fouls 11.80
1.67 Yellow cards 1.87
0.93 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

47% Wins 33%
20% Draws 20%
33% Losses 47%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
53% Over 2.5 goals 53%
27% Over 3.5 goals 20%
7% Over 4.5 goals 20%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 73%
13% Clean sheets 13%
27% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 20%
27% Draws 47%
27% Losses 33%
87% Over 0.5 goals 67%
40% Over 1.5 goals 27%
20% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Cheltenham all matches
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.50scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:7
Cheltenham before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.29scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:11
Milton Keynes Dons at home away Cheltenham

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.29
0.88 Goals conceded 1.57
2.38 Total goals 2.86
11.38 Shots 8.71
4.88 Shots on target 3.29
9.88 Shots faced 13.86
4.63 Corners 3.29
3.75 Corners against 5.00
9.88 Fouls 12.43
1.88 Yellow cards 2.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

50% Wins 29%
25% Draws 14%
25% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 86%
50% Over 2.5 goals 71%
13% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 86%
25% Clean sheets 14%
13% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

63% Wins 43%
25% Draws 29%
13% Losses 29%
88% Over 0.5 goals 71%
38% Over 1.5 goals 14%
13% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons at home
Cheltenham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–1 (1–1) 1.913.503.70 1.88 1.98
26.10.24 Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (1–0) 3.253.252.20 1.85 1.95
22.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.105.00 1.62 2.25
19.10.24 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (1–2) 3.703.601.91 1.75 2.05
12.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
05.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Tranmere 1–1 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.88 1.98
01.10.24 Harrogate – Milton Keynes Dons 1–5 (0–3) 3.603.701.91 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Bromley – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.502.15 1.70 2.10
21.09.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Doncaster 1–1 (1–0) 2.383.402.88 1.75 2.05
14.09.24 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.502.90 1.90 1.95

Cheltenham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Cheltenham – Bromley 1–1 (0–0) 2.553.402.55 1.98 1.88
26.10.24 Carlisle – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.403.70 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Cheltenham – Bradford 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.602.05 1.95 1.90
19.10.24 Colchester – Cheltenham 1–2 (1–2) 1.833.604.33 2.00 1.85
12.10.24 Cheltenham – Swindon 2–3 (0–2) 2.603.252.60 1.95 1.90
05.10.24 Barrow – Cheltenham 2–1 (0–1) 1.674.004.50 2.03 1.83
01.10.24 Cheltenham – Accrington 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.10 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town 0–2 (0–1) 2.803.402.38 1.85 2.00
21.09.24 Chesterfield – Cheltenham 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.106.50 1.65 2.20
14.09.24 Salford – Cheltenham 2–1 (0–0) 1.853.753.80 1.95 1.90

Milton Keynes Dons at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–1 (1–1) 1.913.503.70 1.88 1.98
22.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.105.00 1.62 2.25
12.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
05.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Tranmere 1–1 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.88 1.98
21.09.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Doncaster 1–1 (1–0) 2.383.402.88 1.75 2.05
07.09.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Walsall 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.10 1.83 2.03
24.08.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Carlisle 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.754.20 1.73 2.08
10.08.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Bradford 1–2 (1–2) 2.103.503.20 1.70 2.10
27.04.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Sutton 4–4 (2–0) 2.153.803.10 1.50 2.50
13.04.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Mansfield 1–4 (1–1) 2.503.402.80 1.67 2.15

Cheltenham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Carlisle – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.403.70 1.93 1.93
19.10.24 Colchester – Cheltenham 1–2 (1–2) 1.833.604.33 2.00 1.85
05.10.24 Barrow – Cheltenham 2–1 (0–1) 1.674.004.50 2.03 1.83
21.09.24 Chesterfield – Cheltenham 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.106.50 1.65 2.20
14.09.24 Salford – Cheltenham 2–1 (0–0) 1.853.753.80 1.95 1.90
31.08.24 Walsall – Cheltenham 2–1 (0–0) 1.673.755.00 1.80 2.00
17.08.24 Grimsby – Cheltenham 3–2 (1–0) 2.403.302.80 1.98 1.88
27.04.24E2 Stevenage – Cheltenham 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.402.63 2.05 1.75
16.04.24E2 Burton – Cheltenham 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.203.20 2.40 1.53
06.04.24E2 Leyton Orient – Cheltenham 3–1 (2–0) 1.953.603.80 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milton Keynes Dons winsDrawsCheltenham wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23E2 Milton Keynes Dons – Cheltenham 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.204.00 2.30 1.60
29.10.22E2 Cheltenham – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.402.87 2.25 1.61
08.03.22E2 Milton Keynes Dons – Cheltenham 3–1 (2–0) 1.833.504.50 2.05 1.80
04.09.21E2 Cheltenham – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.07 1.72

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 15 9 3 3 23 16 +7 30
2 Walsall 14 8 3 3 27 15 +12 27
3 Notts County 15 7 6 2 23 13 +10 27
4 Doncaster 15 8 3 4 21 17 +4 27
5 Crewe 14 7 4 3 17 13 +4 25
6 Milton Keynes Dons 15 7 3 5 24 17 +7 24
7 Grimsby 15 8 0 7 19 25 -6 24
8 Gillingham 15 7 2 6 16 12 +4 23
9 Chesterfield 15 5 7 3 28 18 +10 22
10 Bradford 15 6 4 5 20 16 +4 22
11 Barrow 15 6 4 5 16 12 +4 22
12 Fleetwood Town 14 5 6 3 20 15 +5 21
13 Salford 15 5 5 5 14 17 -3 20
14 AFC Wimbledon 12 6 1 5 18 10 +8 19
15 Newport County 15 6 1 8 19 26 -7 19
16 Cheltenham 15 5 3 7 19 22 -3 18
17 Tranmere 14 4 5 5 10 17 -7 17
18 Accrington 14 4 4 6 18 22 -4 16
19 Bromley 14 3 6 5 16 18 -2 15
20 Harrogate 15 4 3 8 12 21 -9 15
21 Colchester 14 2 7 5 17 21 -4 13
22 Swindon 15 2 6 7 16 23 -7 12
23 Carlisle 15 3 2 10 13 28 -15 11
24 Morecambe 15 2 4 9 14 26 -12 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 7 5 1 1 15 10 +5 16
2 AFC Wimbledon 6 5 0 1 15 3 +12 15
3 Barrow 8 4 3 1 12 5 +7 15
4 Gillingham 8 5 0 3 12 6 +6 15
5 Milton Keynes Dons 8 4 2 2 12 7 +5 14
6 Bradford 7 4 2 1 11 6 +5 14
7 Port Vale 7 4 2 1 12 8 +4 14
8 Crewe 7 4 2 1 10 7 +3 14
9 Doncaster 8 4 2 2 9 7 +2 14
10 Notts County 7 4 1 2 10 5 +5 13
11 Newport County 7 4 1 2 12 11 +1 13
12 Salford 8 4 0 4 7 9 -2 12
13 Cheltenham 8 3 2 3 10 11 -1 11
14 Accrington 7 2 4 1 9 8 +1 10
15 Fleetwood Town 7 2 4 1 6 5 +1 10
16 Tranmere 7 2 3 2 4 5 -1 9
17 Chesterfield 8 1 6 1 10 12 -2 9
18 Harrogate 8 3 0 5 7 12 -5 9
19 Grimsby 7 3 0 4 9 15 -6 9
20 Colchester 7 2 2 3 8 6 +2 8
21 Bromley 7 1 3 3 10 12 -2 6
22 Swindon 7 1 2 4 7 11 -4 5
23 Carlisle 7 1 1 5 7 12 -5 4
24 Morecambe 7 0 3 4 8 15 -7 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 8 5 1 2 11 8 +3 16
2 Grimsby 8 5 0 3 10 10 0 15
3 Notts County 8 3 5 0 13 8 +5 14
4 Chesterfield 7 4 1 2 18 6 +12 13
5 Doncaster 7 4 1 2 12 10 +2 13
6 Walsall 7 3 2 2 12 5 +7 11
7 Fleetwood Town 7 3 2 2 14 10 +4 11
8 Crewe 7 3 2 2 7 6 +1 11
9 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 1 3 12 10 +2 10
10 Bromley 7 2 3 2 6 6 0 9
11 Bradford 8 2 2 4 9 10 -1 8
12 Salford 7 1 5 1 7 8 -1 8
13 Gillingham 7 2 2 3 4 6 -2 8
14 Tranmere 7 2 2 3 6 12 -6 8
15 Cheltenham 7 2 1 4 9 11 -2 7
16 Swindon 8 1 4 3 9 12 -3 7
17 Barrow 7 2 1 4 4 7 -3 7
18 Morecambe 8 2 1 5 6 11 -5 7
19 Carlisle 8 2 1 5 6 16 -10 7
20 Harrogate 7 1 3 3 5 9 -4 6
21 Accrington 7 2 0 5 9 14 -5 6
22 Newport County 8 2 0 6 7 15 -8 6
23 Colchester 7 0 5 2 9 15 -6 5
24 AFC Wimbledon 6 1 1 4 3 7 -4 4

Milton Keynes Dons   Cheltenham

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Grimsby 15 5 10 1.3 1.7 8 0 7 19 25 24
2 15 Newport County 15 5 10 1.3 1.7 6 1 8 19 26 19
3 9 Chesterfield 15 6 9 1.9 1.2 5 7 3 28 18 22
4 10 Bradford 15 6 9 1.3 1.1 6 4 5 20 16 22
5 18 Accrington 14 5 9 1.3 1.6 4 4 6 18 22 16
6 2 Walsall 14 6 8 1.9 1.1 8 3 3 27 15 27
7 6 Milton Keynes Dons 15 7 8 1.6 1.1 7 3 5 24 17 24
8 16 Cheltenham 15 7 8 1.3 1.5 5 3 7 19 22 18
9 22 Swindon 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 2 6 7 16 23 12
10 23 Carlisle 15 7 8 0.9 1.9 3 2 10 13 28 11
11 1 Port Vale 15 8 7 1.5 1.1 9 3 3 23 16 30
12 4 Doncaster 15 8 7 1.4 1.1 8 3 4 21 17 27
13 24 Morecambe 15 8 7 0.9 1.7 2 4 9 14 26 10
14 12 Fleetwood Town 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 5 6 3 20 15 21
15 13 Salford 15 9 6 0.9 1.1 5 5 5 14 17 20
16 17 Tranmere 14 8 6 0.7 1.2 4 5 5 10 17 17
17 21 Colchester 14 8 6 1.2 1.5 2 7 5 17 21 13
18 3 Notts County 15 10 5 1.5 0.9 7 6 2 23 13 27
19 5 Crewe 14 9 5 1.2 0.9 7 4 3 17 13 25
20 14 AFC Wimbledon 12 7 5 1.5 0.8 6 1 5 18 10 19
21 19 Bromley 14 9 5 1.1 1.3 3 6 5 16 18 15
22 20 Harrogate 15 10 5 0.8 1.4 4 3 8 12 21 15
23 8 Gillingham 15 11 4 1.1 0.8 7 2 6 16 12 23
24 11 Barrow 15 12 3 1.1 0.8 6 4 5 16 12 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Grimsby 7 1 6 1.3 2.1 3 0 4 9 15 9
2 15 Newport County 7 1 6 1.7 1.6 4 1 2 12 11 13
3 2 Walsall 7 2 5 2.1 1.4 5 1 1 15 10 16
4 10 Bradford 7 2 5 1.6 0.9 4 2 1 11 6 14
5 1 Port Vale 7 3 4 1.7 1.1 4 2 1 12 8 14
6 6 Milton Keynes Dons 8 4 4 1.5 0.9 4 2 2 12 7 14
7 9 Chesterfield 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 1 6 1 10 12 9
8 14 AFC Wimbledon 6 2 4 2.5 0.5 5 0 1 15 3 15
9 19 Bromley 7 3 4 1.4 1.7 1 3 3 10 12 6
10 22 Swindon 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 1 2 4 7 11 5
11 5 Crewe 7 4 3 1.4 1.0 4 2 1 10 7 14
12 8 Gillingham 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 5 0 3 12 6 15
13 13 Salford 8 5 3 0.9 1.1 4 0 4 7 9 12
14 16 Cheltenham 8 5 3 1.2 1.4 3 2 3 10 11 11
15 18 Accrington 7 4 3 1.3 1.1 2 4 1 9 8 10
16 20 Harrogate 8 5 3 0.9 1.5 3 0 5 7 12 9
17 21 Colchester 7 4 3 1.1 0.9 2 2 3 8 6 8
18 23 Carlisle 7 4 3 1.0 1.7 1 1 5 7 12 4
19 24 Morecambe 7 4 3 1.1 2.1 0 3 4 8 15 3
20 3 Notts County 7 5 2 1.4 0.7 4 1 2 10 5 13
21 4 Doncaster 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 4 2 2 9 7 14
22 11 Barrow 8 6 2 1.5 0.6 4 3 1 12 5 15
23 12 Fleetwood Town 7 5 2 0.9 0.7 2 4 1 6 5 10
24 17 Tranmere 7 6 1 0.6 0.7 2 3 2 4 5 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Accrington 7 1 6 1.3 2.0 2 0 5 9 14 6
2 4 Doncaster 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 4 1 2 12 10 13
3 9 Chesterfield 7 2 5 2.6 0.9 4 1 2 18 6 13
4 16 Cheltenham 7 2 5 1.3 1.6 2 1 4 9 11 7
5 17 Tranmere 7 2 5 0.9 1.7 2 2 3 6 12 8
6 23 Carlisle 8 3 5 0.8 2.0 2 1 5 6 16 7
7 6 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 1 3 12 10 10
8 7 Grimsby 8 4 4 1.2 1.2 5 0 3 10 10 15
9 10 Bradford 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 2 2 4 9 10 8
10 12 Fleetwood Town 7 3 4 2.0 1.4 3 2 2 14 10 11
11 15 Newport County 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 2 0 6 7 15 6
12 22 Swindon 8 4 4 1.1 1.5 1 4 3 9 12 7
13 24 Morecambe 8 4 4 0.8 1.4 2 1 5 6 11 7
14 1 Port Vale 8 5 3 1.4 1.0 5 1 2 11 8 16
15 2 Walsall 7 4 3 1.7 0.7 3 2 2 12 5 11
16 3 Notts County 8 5 3 1.6 1.0 3 5 0 13 8 14
17 13 Salford 7 4 3 1.0 1.1 1 5 1 7 8 8
18 21 Colchester 7 4 3 1.3 2.1 0 5 2 9 15 5
19 5 Crewe 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 3 2 2 7 6 11
20 20 Harrogate 7 5 2 0.7 1.3 1 3 3 5 9 6
21 8 Gillingham 7 6 1 0.6 0.9 2 2 3 4 6 8
22 11 Barrow 7 6 1 0.6 1.0 2 1 4 4 7 7
23 14 AFC Wimbledon 6 5 1 0.5 1.2 1 1 4 3 7 4
24 19 Bromley 7 6 1 0.9 0.9 2 3 2 6 6 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51