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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Dean

Man City 3–0 Brighton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.16 fair 1.61
Draw 7.00 fair 4.63
Away 17.00 fair 6.19
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.09
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.61 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Brighton
17 Shots 2
5 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 4
12 Fouls 7
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (319 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.91 – 0.85
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12% 2–0 11.5% 1–1 10.3%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
2.39points / match
2.32scored / match
0.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 72:20
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
0.91scored / match
1.16conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 29:37
Man City all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

2.32 Goals scored 0.91
0.65 Goals conceded 1.16
2.97 Total goals 2.06
18.26 Shots 12.88
6.71 Shots on target 3.69
6.42 Shots faced 12.16
8.42 Corners 5.50
2.71 Corners against 5.38
8.71 Fouls 10.63
1.16 Yellow cards 1.97
1.16 1st-half goals scored 0.34
0.19 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

74% Wins 28%
16% Draws 41%
10% Losses 31%
94% Over 0.5 goals 88%
71% Over 1.5 goals 78%
52% Over 2.5 goals 25%
39% Over 3.5 goals 9%
23% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
35% Both teams scored 47%
58% Clean sheets 28%
13% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

58% Wins 22%
32% Draws 31%
10% Losses 47%
71% Over 0.5 goals 69%
42% Over 1.5 goals 22%
19% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Brighton all matches
Man City before this match, at home
2.33points / match
2.80scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 42:12
Brighton before this match, away
1.56points / match
1.19scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 19:17
Man City at home away Brighton

Per match

2.80 Goals scored 1.19
0.80 Goals conceded 1.06
3.60 Total goals 2.25
18.53 Shots 10.94
7.07 Shots on target 4.31
5.67 Shots faced 12.56
8.73 Corners 4.75
1.93 Corners against 6.38
8.47 Fouls 10.38
0.93 Yellow cards 2.06
1.40 1st-half goals scored 0.31
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

73% Wins 38%
13% Draws 44%
13% Losses 19%
93% Over 0.5 goals 94%
80% Over 1.5 goals 81%
60% Over 2.5 goals 31%
47% Over 3.5 goals 13%
40% Over 4.5 goals 6%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 63%
60% Clean sheets 25%
13% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 19%
27% Draws 38%
7% Losses 44%
80% Over 0.5 goals 63%
47% Over 1.5 goals 19%
33% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.04.22 Man City – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 2.003.753.50 1.72 2.10
02.04.22 Burnley – Man City 0–2 (0–2) 15.006.501.20 1.57 2.37
14.03.22 Crystal Palace – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 10.005.001.33 1.72 2.10
06.03.22 Man City – Man United 4–1 (2–1) 1.404.757.50 1.61 2.30
26.02.22 Everton – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 10.005.751.28 1.57 2.37
19.02.22 Man City – Tottenham 2–3 (1–1) 1.286.0010.00 1.57 2.37
12.02.22 Norwich – Man City 0–4 (0–1) 15.008.001.16 1.44 2.75
09.02.22 Man City – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.109.5023.00 1.36 3.20
22.01.22 Southampton – Man City 1–1 (1–0) 10.006.501.25 1.44 2.75
15.01.22 Man City – Chelsea 1–0 (0–0) 1.654.005.00 1.85 2.05

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.04.22 Tottenham – Brighton 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.006.50 1.90 2.00
09.04.22 Arsenal – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 1.613.805.75 2.04 1.86
02.04.22 Brighton – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.007.00 2.00 1.80
16.03.22 Brighton – Tottenham 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.80
12.03.22 Brighton – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.331.50 1.72 2.10
05.03.22 Newcastle – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 2.753.202.62 2.30 1.61
26.02.22 Brighton – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.50 2.10 1.72
19.02.22 Brighton – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 1.663.506.00 2.20 1.66
15.02.22 Man United – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 1.723.754.75 1.92 1.98
12.02.22 Watford – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.302.05 2.30 1.61

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.04.22 Man City – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 2.003.753.50 1.72 2.10
06.03.22 Man City – Man United 4–1 (2–1) 1.404.757.50 1.61 2.30
19.02.22 Man City – Tottenham 2–3 (1–1) 1.286.0010.00 1.57 2.37
09.02.22 Man City – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.109.5023.00 1.36 3.20
15.01.22 Man City – Chelsea 1–0 (0–0) 1.654.005.00 1.85 2.05
26.12.21 Man City – Leicester 6–3 (4–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.36 3.20
14.12.21 Man City – Leeds 7–0 (3–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.36 3.20
11.12.21 Man City – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 1.148.0019.00 1.53 2.50
28.11.21 Man City – West Ham 2–1 (1–0) 1.285.7510.00 1.50 2.62
21.11.21 Man City – Everton 3–0 (1–0) 1.148.0019.00 1.50 2.62

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.04.22 Tottenham – Brighton 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.006.50 1.90 2.00
09.04.22 Arsenal – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 1.613.805.75 2.04 1.86
05.03.22 Newcastle – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 2.753.202.62 2.30 1.61
15.02.22 Man United – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 1.723.754.75 1.92 1.98
12.02.22 Watford – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.302.05 2.30 1.61
23.01.22 Leicester – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.90 1.98 1.92
02.01.22 Everton – Brighton 2–3 (0–2) 2.753.202.62 2.20 1.66
29.12.21 Chelsea – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.404.507.50 1.93 1.97
04.12.21 Southampton – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66
01.12.21 West Ham – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 2.06 1.84

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsBrighton wins
1matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.10.21E0 Brighton – Man City 1–4 (0–3) 8.004.751.40 1.80 2.00

England Premier League table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 32 23 7 2 83 22 +61 76
2 Man City 31 23 5 3 72 20 +52 74
3 Chelsea 31 18 8 5 66 27 +39 62
4 Tottenham 32 18 3 11 56 38 +18 57
5 Arsenal 32 18 3 11 49 39 +10 57
6 Man United 33 15 9 9 52 48 +4 54
7 West Ham 33 15 7 11 52 43 +9 52
8 Wolves 32 15 4 13 33 28 +5 49
9 Leicester 31 11 8 12 47 51 -4 41
10 Brighton 32 9 13 10 29 37 -8 40
11 Newcastle 33 10 10 13 37 55 -18 40
12 Brentford 33 11 6 16 41 49 -8 39
13 Southampton 32 9 12 11 38 52 -14 39
14 Crystal Palace 32 8 13 11 43 41 +2 37
15 Aston Villa 31 11 3 17 42 46 -4 36
16 Leeds 32 8 9 15 38 68 -30 33
17 Everton 31 8 5 18 34 53 -19 29
18 Burnley 31 4 13 14 26 45 -19 25
19 Watford 32 6 4 22 30 62 -32 22
20 Norwich 32 5 6 21 22 66 -44 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 16 13 3 0 43 7 +36 42
2 Man City 15 11 2 2 42 12 +30 35
3 Arsenal 16 10 2 4 25 14 +11 32
4 Tottenham 16 10 1 5 31 18 +13 31
5 West Ham 17 9 4 4 30 22 +8 31
6 Man United 17 9 4 4 28 21 +7 31
7 Leicester 15 8 3 4 26 20 +6 27
8 Newcastle 17 7 6 4 24 26 -2 27
9 Chelsea 15 7 5 3 31 18 +13 26
10 Southampton 17 6 7 4 21 20 +1 25
11 Wolves 16 7 2 7 18 16 +2 23
12 Everton 16 7 2 7 21 20 +1 23
13 Crystal Palace 16 5 7 4 25 17 +8 22
14 Brentford 16 6 2 8 18 19 -1 20
15 Aston Villa 15 5 3 7 24 25 -1 18
16 Leeds 16 4 5 7 18 30 -12 17
17 Burnley 15 3 6 6 13 20 -7 15
18 Brighton 16 3 6 7 10 20 -10 15
19 Norwich 16 3 3 10 12 31 -19 12
20 Watford 16 2 1 13 15 39 -24 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 16 12 3 1 30 8 +22 39
2 Chelsea 16 11 3 2 35 9 +26 36
3 Liverpool 16 10 4 2 40 15 +25 34
4 Tottenham 16 8 2 6 25 20 +5 26
5 Wolves 16 8 2 6 15 12 +3 26
6 Brighton 16 6 7 3 19 17 +2 25
7 Arsenal 16 8 1 7 24 25 -1 25
8 Man United 16 6 5 5 24 27 -3 23
9 West Ham 16 6 3 7 22 21 +1 21
10 Brentford 17 5 4 8 23 30 -7 19
11 Aston Villa 16 6 0 10 18 21 -3 18
12 Leeds 16 4 4 8 20 38 -18 16
13 Crystal Palace 16 3 6 7 18 24 -6 15
14 Watford 16 4 3 9 15 23 -8 15
15 Leicester 16 3 5 8 21 31 -10 14
16 Southampton 15 3 5 7 17 32 -15 14
17 Newcastle 16 3 4 9 13 29 -16 13
18 Burnley 16 1 7 8 13 25 -12 10
19 Norwich 16 2 3 11 10 35 -25 9
20 Everton 15 1 3 11 13 33 -20 6

Man City   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Liverpool 32 11 21 2.6 0.7 23 7 2 83 22 76
2 16 Leeds 32 11 21 1.2 2.1 8 9 15 38 68 33
3 4 Tottenham 32 13 19 1.8 1.2 18 3 11 56 38 57
4 9 Leicester 31 12 19 1.5 1.6 11 8 12 47 51 41
5 15 Aston Villa 31 12 19 1.4 1.5 11 3 17 42 46 36
6 20 Norwich 32 13 19 0.7 2.1 5 6 21 22 66 21
7 7 West Ham 33 15 18 1.6 1.3 15 7 11 52 43 52
8 12 Brentford 33 15 18 1.2 1.5 11 6 16 41 49 39
9 3 Chelsea 31 14 17 2.1 0.9 18 8 5 66 27 62
10 5 Arsenal 32 15 17 1.5 1.2 18 3 11 49 39 57
11 13 Southampton 32 15 17 1.2 1.6 9 12 11 38 52 39
12 14 Crystal Palace 32 15 17 1.3 1.3 8 13 11 43 41 37
13 17 Everton 31 14 17 1.1 1.7 8 5 18 34 53 29
14 19 Watford 32 15 17 0.9 1.9 6 4 22 30 62 22
15 2 Man City 31 15 16 2.3 0.6 23 5 3 72 20 74
16 6 Man United 33 17 16 1.6 1.5 15 9 9 52 48 54
17 11 Newcastle 33 18 15 1.1 1.7 10 10 13 37 55 40
18 18 Burnley 31 20 11 0.8 1.5 4 13 14 26 45 25
19 8 Wolves 32 22 10 1.0 0.9 15 4 13 33 28 49
20 10 Brighton 32 24 8 0.9 1.2 9 13 10 29 37 40
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Tottenham 16 5 11 1.9 1.1 10 1 5 31 18 31
2 19 Watford 16 5 11 0.9 2.4 2 1 13 15 39 7
3 1 Liverpool 16 6 10 2.7 0.4 13 3 0 43 7 42
4 7 West Ham 17 7 10 1.8 1.3 9 4 4 30 22 31
5 15 Aston Villa 15 5 10 1.6 1.7 5 3 7 24 25 18
6 16 Leeds 16 6 10 1.1 1.9 4 5 7 18 30 17
7 20 Norwich 16 6 10 0.8 1.9 3 3 10 12 31 12
8 2 Man City 15 6 9 2.8 0.8 11 2 2 42 12 35
9 9 Leicester 15 6 9 1.7 1.3 8 3 4 26 20 27
10 11 Newcastle 17 8 9 1.4 1.5 7 6 4 24 26 27
11 14 Crystal Palace 16 7 9 1.6 1.1 5 7 4 25 17 22
12 3 Chelsea 15 7 8 2.1 1.2 7 5 3 31 18 26
13 5 Arsenal 16 8 8 1.6 0.9 10 2 4 25 14 32
14 6 Man United 17 10 7 1.6 1.2 9 4 4 28 21 31
15 8 Wolves 16 9 7 1.1 1.0 7 2 7 18 16 23
16 12 Brentford 16 9 7 1.1 1.2 6 2 8 18 19 20
17 17 Everton 16 9 7 1.3 1.2 7 2 7 21 20 23
18 13 Southampton 17 11 6 1.2 1.2 6 7 4 21 20 25
19 18 Burnley 15 10 5 0.9 1.3 3 6 6 13 20 15
20 10 Brighton 16 13 3 0.6 1.2 3 6 7 10 20 15
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Liverpool 16 5 11 2.5 0.9 10 4 2 40 15 34
2 12 Brentford 17 6 11 1.4 1.8 5 4 8 23 30 19
3 13 Southampton 15 4 11 1.1 2.1 3 5 7 17 32 14
4 16 Leeds 16 5 11 1.2 2.4 4 4 8 20 38 16
5 9 Leicester 16 6 10 1.3 1.9 3 5 8 21 31 14
6 17 Everton 15 5 10 0.9 2.2 1 3 11 13 33 6
7 3 Chelsea 16 7 9 2.2 0.6 11 3 2 35 9 36
8 5 Arsenal 16 7 9 1.5 1.6 8 1 7 24 25 25
9 6 Man United 16 7 9 1.5 1.7 6 5 5 24 27 23
10 15 Aston Villa 16 7 9 1.1 1.3 6 0 10 18 21 18
11 20 Norwich 16 7 9 0.6 2.2 2 3 11 10 35 9
12 4 Tottenham 16 8 8 1.6 1.2 8 2 6 25 20 26
13 7 West Ham 16 8 8 1.4 1.3 6 3 7 22 21 21
14 14 Crystal Palace 16 8 8 1.1 1.5 3 6 7 18 24 15
15 2 Man City 16 9 7 1.9 0.5 12 3 1 30 8 39
16 11 Newcastle 16 10 6 0.8 1.8 3 4 9 13 29 13
17 18 Burnley 16 10 6 0.8 1.6 1 7 8 13 25 10
18 19 Watford 16 10 6 0.9 1.4 4 3 9 15 23 15
19 10 Brighton 16 11 5 1.2 1.1 6 7 3 19 17 25
20 8 Wolves 16 13 3 0.9 0.8 8 2 6 15 12 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51