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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Gillett

Watford 1–5 Leicester

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2021/2022

Home 3.80 fair 3.40
Draw 3.50 fair 4.33
Away ✓ 1.95 fair 2.11
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.56
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.72 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Watford Leicester
13 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 7
7 Corners 3
4 Fouls 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (359 league matches this season so far).
Result Leicester to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.61
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.79
Home / Draw / Away
WatfordDrawLeicester
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.4% 1–2 9.3% 0–1 7.6%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches
0.64points / match
0.89scored / match
1.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 32:70
Leicester before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.49scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 52:56
Watford all matches all matches Leicester

Per match

0.89 Goals scored 1.49
1.94 Goals conceded 1.60
2.83 Total goals 3.09
10.42 Shots 11.66
3.31 Shots on target 4.43
14.69 Shots faced 14.80
4.22 Corners 5.11
6.36 Corners against 5.83
11.86 Fouls 9.51
1.58 Yellow cards 1.49
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.69
0.94 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

17% Wins 34%
14% Draws 26%
69% Losses 40%
92% Over 0.5 goals 97%
69% Over 1.5 goals 86%
53% Over 2.5 goals 63%
33% Over 3.5 goals 31%
25% Over 4.5 goals 14%
8% Over 5.5 goals 9%
47% Both teams scored 66%
11% Clean sheets 20%
50% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 23%
36% Draws 46%
50% Losses 31%
72% Over 0.5 goals 77%
42% Over 1.5 goals 51%
19% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches
Leicester all matches
Watford before this match, at home
0.44points / match
0.89scored / match
2.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 16:41
Leicester before this match, away
0.82points / match
1.29scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 22:34
Watford at home away Leicester

Per match

0.89 Goals scored 1.29
2.28 Goals conceded 2.00
3.17 Total goals 3.29
11.28 Shots 10.76
3.56 Shots on target 3.94
14.06 Shots faced 14.76
4.28 Corners 5.24
6.00 Corners against 6.18
11.72 Fouls 10.29
1.83 Yellow cards 1.76
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

11% Wins 18%
11% Draws 29%
78% Losses 53%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 65%
39% Over 3.5 goals 29%
33% Over 4.5 goals 12%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
56% Both teams scored 82%
6% Clean sheets 6%
44% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 18%
28% Draws 41%
56% Losses 41%
78% Over 0.5 goals 88%
44% Over 1.5 goals 47%
17% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home
Leicester away

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.22 Watford – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.601.83 1.94 1.96
07.05.22 Crystal Palace – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.99 1.91
30.04.22 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72
23.04.22 Man City – Watford 5–1 (3–1) 1.1010.0026.00 1.36 3.20
16.04.22 Watford – Brentford 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.302.55 2.10 1.72
09.04.22 Watford – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.72 2.10
02.04.22 Liverpool – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.129.5017.00 1.36 3.20
13.03.22 Southampton – Watford 1–2 (1–2) 1.604.205.25 1.80 2.00
10.03.22 Wolves – Watford 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.50 2.30 1.61
06.03.22 Watford – Arsenal 2–3 (1–2) 6.004.001.57 2.05 1.85

Leicester all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.22 Leicester – Norwich 3–0 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.61 2.30
08.05.22 Leicester – Everton 1–2 (1–2) 2.603.302.75 2.01 1.89
01.05.22 Tottenham – Leicester 3–1 (1–0) 1.444.757.00 1.57 2.37
23.04.22 Leicester – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.85 2.05
20.04.22 Everton – Leicester 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.25 1.92 1.98
17.04.22 Newcastle – Leicester 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 1.99 1.91
10.04.22 Leicester – Crystal Palace 2–1 (2–0) 2.373.302.90 1.99 1.91
02.04.22 Man United – Leicester 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.506.00 1.57 2.37
20.03.22 Leicester – Brentford 2–1 (2–0) 2.153.403.40 1.91 1.99
13.03.22 Arsenal – Leicester 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.506.00 1.61 2.30

Watford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.22 Watford – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.601.83 1.94 1.96
30.04.22 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72
16.04.22 Watford – Brentford 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.302.55 2.10 1.72
09.04.22 Watford – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.72 2.10
06.03.22 Watford – Arsenal 2–3 (1–2) 6.004.001.57 2.05 1.85
23.02.22 Watford – Crystal Palace 1–4 (1–2) 3.103.302.30 2.20 1.66
12.02.22 Watford – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.302.05 2.30 1.61
21.01.22 Watford – Norwich 0–3 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.94 1.96
01.01.22 Watford – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.201.61 1.72 2.10
28.12.21 Watford – West Ham 1–4 (1–2) 3.403.602.10 1.72 2.10

Leicester away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.05.22 Tottenham – Leicester 3–1 (1–0) 1.444.757.00 1.57 2.37
20.04.22 Everton – Leicester 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.25 1.92 1.98
17.04.22 Newcastle – Leicester 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 1.99 1.91
02.04.22 Man United – Leicester 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.506.00 1.57 2.37
13.03.22 Arsenal – Leicester 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.506.00 1.61 2.30
01.03.22 Burnley – Leicester 0–2 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 2.02 1.88
20.02.22 Wolves – Leicester 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 2.10 1.72
10.02.22 Liverpool – Leicester 2–0 (1–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.33 3.40
26.12.21 Man City – Leicester 6–3 (4–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.36 3.20
05.12.21 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–1 (1–1) 2.373.403.00 1.90 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Watford winsDrawsLeicester wins
1matches
6.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.21E0 Leicester – Watford 4–2 (3–1) 1.614.005.50 1.66 2.20

England Premier League table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 36 28 5 3 94 22 +72 89
2 Liverpool 36 26 8 2 89 24 +65 86
3 Chelsea 36 20 10 6 73 31 +42 70
4 Tottenham 37 21 5 11 64 40 +24 68
5 Arsenal 36 21 3 12 56 45 +11 66
6 Man United 37 16 10 11 57 56 +1 58
7 West Ham 36 16 7 13 57 46 +11 55
8 Wolves 36 15 5 16 36 39 -3 50
9 Brighton 36 11 14 11 38 42 -4 47
10 Leicester 35 12 9 14 52 56 -4 45
11 Crystal Palace 35 10 14 11 46 42 +4 44
12 Aston Villa 35 13 4 18 48 49 -1 43
13 Brentford 36 12 7 17 44 52 -8 43
14 Newcastle 36 11 10 15 40 61 -21 43
15 Southampton 36 9 13 14 41 61 -20 40
16 Everton 35 10 6 19 37 56 -19 36
17 Burnley 36 7 13 16 32 50 -18 34
18 Leeds 36 8 10 18 39 77 -38 34
19 Watford 36 6 5 25 32 70 -38 23
20 Norwich 36 5 6 25 22 78 -56 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 18 14 4 0 46 8 +38 46
2 Man City 18 14 2 2 55 13 +42 44
3 Tottenham 19 13 1 5 38 19 +19 40
4 Arsenal 18 12 2 4 30 16 +14 38
5 Man United 19 10 5 4 32 22 +10 35
6 Leicester 18 9 4 5 30 22 +8 31
7 West Ham 18 9 4 5 31 24 +7 31
8 Chelsea 17 8 6 3 34 20 +14 30
9 Newcastle 18 7 6 5 24 27 -3 27
10 Crystal Palace 18 6 8 4 26 17 +9 26
11 Everton 17 8 2 7 22 20 +2 26
12 Southampton 18 6 7 5 22 22 0 25
13 Brentford 18 7 3 8 21 19 +2 24
14 Wolves 18 7 2 9 19 24 -5 23
15 Aston Villa 17 6 3 8 27 27 0 21
16 Burnley 18 5 6 7 17 23 -6 21
17 Brighton 18 4 7 7 16 22 -6 19
18 Leeds 18 4 5 9 18 37 -19 17
19 Norwich 18 3 3 12 12 38 -26 12
20 Watford 18 2 2 14 16 41 -25 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 18 14 3 1 39 9 +30 45
2 Chelsea 19 12 4 3 39 11 +28 40
3 Liverpool 18 12 4 2 43 16 +27 40
4 Tottenham 18 8 4 6 26 21 +5 28
5 Brighton 18 7 7 4 22 20 +2 28
6 Arsenal 18 9 1 8 26 29 -3 28
7 Wolves 18 8 3 7 17 15 +2 27
8 West Ham 18 7 3 8 26 22 +4 24
9 Man United 18 6 5 7 25 34 -9 23
10 Aston Villa 18 7 1 10 21 22 -1 22
11 Brentford 18 5 4 9 23 33 -10 19
12 Crystal Palace 17 4 6 7 20 25 -5 18
13 Leeds 18 4 5 9 21 40 -19 17
14 Newcastle 18 4 4 10 16 34 -18 16
15 Watford 18 4 3 11 16 29 -13 15
16 Southampton 18 3 6 9 19 39 -20 15
17 Leicester 17 3 5 9 22 34 -12 14
18 Burnley 18 2 7 9 15 27 -12 13
19 Everton 18 2 4 12 15 36 -21 10
20 Norwich 18 2 3 13 10 40 -30 9

Watford   Leicester

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Leeds 36 12 24 1.1 2.1 8 10 18 39 77 34
2 2 Liverpool 36 14 22 2.5 0.7 26 8 2 89 24 86
3 10 Leicester 35 13 22 1.5 1.6 12 9 14 52 56 45
4 20 Norwich 36 14 22 0.6 2.2 5 6 25 22 78 21
5 1 Man City 36 15 21 2.6 0.6 28 5 3 94 22 89
6 4 Tottenham 37 16 21 1.7 1.1 21 5 11 64 40 68
7 5 Arsenal 36 15 21 1.6 1.2 21 3 12 56 45 66
8 12 Aston Villa 35 14 21 1.4 1.4 13 4 18 48 49 43
9 7 West Ham 36 16 20 1.6 1.3 16 7 13 57 46 55
10 13 Brentford 36 16 20 1.2 1.4 12 7 17 44 52 43
11 15 Southampton 36 16 20 1.1 1.7 9 13 14 41 61 40
12 3 Chelsea 36 17 19 2.0 0.9 20 10 6 73 31 70
13 6 Man United 37 18 19 1.5 1.5 16 10 11 57 56 58
14 19 Watford 36 17 19 0.9 1.9 6 5 25 32 70 23
15 11 Crystal Palace 35 17 18 1.3 1.2 10 14 11 46 42 44
16 16 Everton 35 17 18 1.1 1.6 10 6 19 37 56 36
17 14 Newcastle 36 19 17 1.1 1.7 11 10 15 40 61 43
18 8 Wolves 36 23 13 1.0 1.1 15 5 16 36 39 50
19 17 Burnley 36 23 13 0.9 1.4 7 13 16 32 50 34
20 9 Brighton 36 24 12 1.1 1.2 11 14 11 38 42 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Tottenham 19 6 13 2.0 1.0 13 1 5 38 19 40
2 1 Man City 18 6 12 3.1 0.7 14 2 2 55 13 44
3 18 Leeds 18 6 12 1.0 2.1 4 5 9 18 37 17
4 19 Watford 18 6 12 0.9 2.3 2 2 14 16 41 8
5 20 Norwich 18 6 12 0.7 2.1 3 3 12 12 38 12
6 7 West Ham 18 7 11 1.7 1.3 9 4 5 31 24 31
7 10 Leicester 18 7 11 1.7 1.2 9 4 5 30 22 31
8 12 Aston Villa 17 6 11 1.6 1.6 6 3 8 27 27 21
9 2 Liverpool 18 8 10 2.6 0.4 14 4 0 46 8 46
10 5 Arsenal 18 8 10 1.7 0.9 12 2 4 30 16 38
11 3 Chelsea 17 8 9 2.0 1.2 8 6 3 34 20 30
12 8 Wolves 18 9 9 1.1 1.3 7 2 9 19 24 23
13 11 Crystal Palace 18 9 9 1.4 0.9 6 8 4 26 17 26
14 14 Newcastle 18 9 9 1.3 1.5 7 6 5 24 27 27
15 6 Man United 19 11 8 1.7 1.2 10 5 4 32 22 35
16 13 Brentford 18 10 8 1.2 1.1 7 3 8 21 19 24
17 15 Southampton 18 11 7 1.2 1.2 6 7 5 22 22 25
18 16 Everton 17 10 7 1.3 1.2 8 2 7 22 20 26
19 17 Burnley 18 12 6 0.9 1.3 5 6 7 17 23 21
20 9 Brighton 18 13 5 0.9 1.2 4 7 7 16 22 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Southampton 18 5 13 1.1 2.2 3 6 9 19 39 15
2 2 Liverpool 18 6 12 2.4 0.9 12 4 2 43 16 40
3 13 Brentford 18 6 12 1.3 1.8 5 4 9 23 33 19
4 18 Leeds 18 6 12 1.2 2.2 4 5 9 21 40 17
5 5 Arsenal 18 7 11 1.4 1.6 9 1 8 26 29 28
6 6 Man United 18 7 11 1.4 1.9 6 5 7 25 34 23
7 10 Leicester 17 6 11 1.3 2.0 3 5 9 22 34 14
8 16 Everton 18 7 11 0.8 2.0 2 4 12 15 36 10
9 3 Chelsea 19 9 10 2.1 0.6 12 4 3 39 11 40
10 12 Aston Villa 18 8 10 1.2 1.2 7 1 10 21 22 22
11 20 Norwich 18 8 10 0.6 2.2 2 3 13 10 40 9
12 1 Man City 18 9 9 2.2 0.5 14 3 1 39 9 45
13 7 West Ham 18 9 9 1.4 1.2 7 3 8 26 22 24
14 11 Crystal Palace 17 8 9 1.2 1.5 4 6 7 20 25 18
15 4 Tottenham 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 8 4 6 26 21 28
16 14 Newcastle 18 10 8 0.9 1.9 4 4 10 16 34 16
17 9 Brighton 18 11 7 1.2 1.1 7 7 4 22 20 28
18 17 Burnley 18 11 7 0.8 1.5 2 7 9 15 27 13
19 19 Watford 18 11 7 0.9 1.6 4 3 11 16 29 15
20 8 Wolves 18 14 4 0.9 0.8 8 3 7 17 15 27

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44