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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Pawson

Man City 3–1 Brighton

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.20 fair 1.55
Draw 7.00 fair 5.38
Away 13.00 fair 5.91
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 3.09
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.48

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Brighton
10 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 3
11 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (107 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.63
Expected goals 2.35 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.6% 2–0 8.5% 1–1 8.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
2.30points / match
3.30scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 33:10
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.40scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 14:11
Man City all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

3.30 Goals scored 1.40
1.00 Goals conceded 1.10
4.30 Total goals 2.50
17.70 Shots 14.20
6.80 Shots on target 5.60
7.00 Shots faced 9.30
6.70 Corners 5.90
2.20 Corners against 3.50
7.20 Fouls 10.10
0.60 Yellow cards 1.30
1.60 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

70% Wins 40%
20% Draws 30%
10% Losses 30%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
90% Over 1.5 goals 60%
70% Over 2.5 goals 40%
60% Over 3.5 goals 20%
40% Over 4.5 goals 20%
40% Over 5.5 goals 20%
40% Both teams scored 40%
50% Clean sheets 40%
10% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 30%
20% Draws 50%
20% Losses 20%
80% Over 0.5 goals 60%
70% Over 1.5 goals 30%
40% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Brighton all matches
Man City before this match, at home
3.00points / match
4.80scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 24:5
Brighton before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.60scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:8
Man City at home away Brighton

Per match

4.80 Goals scored 1.60
1.00 Goals conceded 1.60
5.80 Total goals 3.20
19.40 Shots 12.00
7.80 Shots on target 4.60
6.00 Shots faced 12.40
8.20 Corners 4.40
1.00 Corners against 5.00
7.80 Fouls 11.60
0.20 Yellow cards 0.80
2.40 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

100% Wins 40%
0% Draws 20%
0% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 60%
100% Over 3.5 goals 20%
60% Over 4.5 goals 20%
60% Over 5.5 goals 20%
40% Both teams scored 60%
60% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

80% Wins 60%
0% Draws 20%
20% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
100% Over 1.5 goals 40%
60% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.22 Liverpool – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 3.604.001.90 1.44 2.75
08.10.22 Man City – Southampton 4–0 (2–0) 1.1110.0017.00 1.25 4.00
02.10.22 Man City – Man United 6–3 (4–0) 1.335.757.50 1.44 2.75
17.09.22 Wolves – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 9.505.001.33 1.57 2.37
03.09.22 Aston Villa – Man City 1–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
31.08.22 Man City – Nott'm Forest 6–0 (3–0) 1.0613.0029.00 1.22 4.33
27.08.22 Man City – Crystal Palace 4–2 (0–2) 1.187.5013.00 1.44 2.75
21.08.22 Newcastle – Man City 3–3 (2–1) 7.505.001.36 1.66 2.20
13.08.22 Man City – Bournemouth 4–0 (3–0) 1.0613.0029.00 1.33 3.40
07.08.22 West Ham – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 8.005.001.36 1.53 2.50

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.22 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.72 2.10
14.10.22 Brentford – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 1.97 1.93
08.10.22 Brighton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.50 1.88 2.02
01.10.22 Liverpool – Brighton 3–3 (1–2) 1.335.258.50 1.53 2.50
04.09.22 Brighton – Leicester 5–2 (2–2) 1.833.504.50 2.01 1.89
30.08.22 Fulham – Brighton 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 2.01 1.89
27.08.22 Brighton – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.803.80 1.88 2.02
21.08.22 West Ham – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.99 1.91
13.08.22 Brighton – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.72
07.08.22 Man United – Brighton 1–2 (0–2) 1.604.205.25 1.92 1.98

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22 Man City – Southampton 4–0 (2–0) 1.1110.0017.00 1.25 4.00
02.10.22 Man City – Man United 6–3 (4–0) 1.335.757.50 1.44 2.75
31.08.22 Man City – Nott'm Forest 6–0 (3–0) 1.0613.0029.00 1.22 4.33
27.08.22 Man City – Crystal Palace 4–2 (0–2) 1.187.5013.00 1.44 2.75
13.08.22 Man City – Bournemouth 4–0 (3–0) 1.0613.0029.00 1.33 3.40
22.05.22 Man City – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–1) 1.168.0017.00 1.44 2.75
08.05.22 Man City – Newcastle 5–0 (2–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.50 2.62
23.04.22 Man City – Watford 5–1 (3–1) 1.1010.0026.00 1.36 3.20
20.04.22 Man City – Brighton 3–0 (0–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.61 2.30
10.04.22 Man City – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 2.003.753.50 1.72 2.10

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.10.22 Brentford – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 1.97 1.93
01.10.22 Liverpool – Brighton 3–3 (1–2) 1.335.258.50 1.53 2.50
30.08.22 Fulham – Brighton 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 2.01 1.89
21.08.22 West Ham – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.99 1.91
07.08.22 Man United – Brighton 1–2 (0–2) 1.604.205.25 1.92 1.98
15.05.22 Leeds – Brighton 1–1 (0–1) 2.623.502.62 1.84 2.06
30.04.22 Wolves – Brighton 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.202.75 2.50 1.53
20.04.22 Man City – Brighton 3–0 (0–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.61 2.30
16.04.22 Tottenham – Brighton 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.006.50 1.90 2.00
09.04.22 Arsenal – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 1.613.805.75 2.04 1.86

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsBrighton wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.22E0 Man City – Brighton 3–0 (0–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.61 2.30
23.10.21E0 Brighton – Man City 1–4 (0–3) 8.004.751.40 1.80 2.00

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 9 0 1 24 10 +14 27
2 Man City 10 7 2 1 33 10 +23 23
3 Tottenham 11 7 2 2 22 12 +10 23
4 Chelsea 10 6 2 2 15 10 +5 20
5 Man United 10 6 1 3 15 15 0 19
6 Newcastle 11 4 6 1 18 9 +9 18
7 Liverpool 11 4 4 3 22 13 +9 16
8 Brighton 10 4 3 3 14 11 +3 15
9 Fulham 11 4 3 4 19 20 -1 15
10 Brentford 11 3 5 3 18 17 +1 14
11 Crystal Palace 10 3 4 3 12 13 -1 13
12 Bournemouth 11 3 4 4 10 23 -13 13
13 West Ham 11 3 2 6 9 12 -3 11
14 Southampton 11 3 2 6 10 18 -8 11
15 Everton 11 2 4 5 8 12 -4 10
16 Leeds 10 2 3 5 11 15 -4 9
17 Aston Villa 11 2 3 6 7 16 -9 9
18 Wolves 11 2 3 6 5 14 -9 9
19 Nott'm Forest 12 2 3 7 8 23 -15 9
20 Leicester 11 2 2 7 17 24 -7 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 5 5 0 0 24 5 +19 15
2 Tottenham 5 5 0 0 15 4 +11 15
3 Arsenal 5 5 0 0 14 7 +7 15
4 Liverpool 6 4 2 0 17 5 +12 14
5 Newcastle 6 3 3 0 12 5 +7 12
6 Brentford 6 3 2 1 12 6 +6 11
7 Fulham 6 3 2 1 13 11 +2 11
8 Chelsea 4 3 1 0 9 4 +5 10
9 Man United 5 3 1 1 8 4 +4 10
10 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 9 8 +1 10
11 Leicester 6 2 2 2 9 5 +4 8
12 Brighton 5 2 2 1 6 3 +3 8
13 Leeds 5 2 2 1 6 3 +3 8
14 Bournemouth 6 2 2 2 4 5 -1 8
15 Wolves 5 2 2 1 3 4 -1 8
16 West Ham 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7
17 Aston Villa 5 2 1 2 4 5 -1 7
18 Nott'm Forest 6 2 1 3 7 9 -2 7
19 Southampton 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5
20 Everton 5 1 2 2 3 4 -1 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 5 4 0 1 10 3 +7 12
2 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 6 6 0 10
3 Man United 5 3 0 2 7 11 -4 9
4 Man City 5 2 2 1 9 5 +4 8
5 Tottenham 6 2 2 2 7 8 -1 8
6 Brighton 5 2 1 2 8 8 0 7
7 Newcastle 5 1 3 1 6 4 +2 6
8 Southampton 6 2 0 4 4 11 -7 6
9 Everton 6 1 2 3 5 8 -3 5
10 Bournemouth 5 1 2 2 6 18 -12 5
11 Fulham 5 1 1 3 6 9 -3 4
12 West Ham 6 1 1 4 3 6 -3 4
13 Crystal Palace 4 0 3 1 3 5 -2 3
14 Brentford 5 0 3 2 6 11 -5 3
15 Liverpool 5 0 2 3 5 8 -3 2
16 Aston Villa 6 0 2 4 3 11 -8 2
17 Nott'm Forest 6 0 2 4 1 14 -13 2
18 Leeds 5 0 1 4 5 12 -7 1
19 Wolves 6 0 1 5 2 10 -8 1
20 Leicester 5 0 0 5 8 19 -11 0

Man City   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Fulham 11 1 10 1.7 1.8 4 3 4 19 20 15
2 1 Arsenal 10 2 8 2.4 1.0 9 0 1 24 10 27
3 20 Leicester 11 3 8 1.5 2.2 2 2 7 17 24 8
4 2 Man City 10 3 7 3.3 1.0 7 2 1 33 10 23
5 4 Chelsea 10 3 7 1.5 1.0 6 2 2 15 10 20
6 5 Man United 10 4 6 1.5 1.5 6 1 3 15 15 19
7 7 Liverpool 11 5 6 2.0 1.2 4 4 3 22 13 16
8 10 Brentford 11 5 6 1.6 1.5 3 5 3 18 17 14
9 12 Bournemouth 11 5 6 0.9 2.1 3 4 4 10 23 13
10 14 Southampton 11 5 6 0.9 1.6 3 2 6 10 18 11
11 3 Tottenham 11 6 5 2.0 1.1 7 2 2 22 12 23
12 11 Crystal Palace 10 5 5 1.2 1.3 3 4 3 12 13 13
13 16 Leeds 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 2 3 5 11 15 9
14 6 Newcastle 11 7 4 1.6 0.8 4 6 1 18 9 18
15 8 Brighton 10 6 4 1.4 1.1 4 3 3 14 11 15
16 17 Aston Villa 11 7 4 0.6 1.5 2 3 6 7 16 9
17 18 Wolves 11 7 4 0.5 1.3 2 3 6 5 14 9
18 19 Nott'm Forest 12 8 4 0.7 1.9 2 3 7 8 23 9
19 15 Everton 11 8 3 0.7 1.1 2 4 5 8 12 10
20 13 West Ham 11 9 2 0.8 1.1 3 2 6 9 12 11
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Fulham 6 0 6 2.2 1.8 3 2 1 13 11 11
2 1 Arsenal 5 0 5 2.8 1.4 5 0 0 14 7 15
3 2 Man City 5 0 5 4.8 1.0 5 0 0 24 5 15
4 4 Chelsea 4 0 4 2.2 1.0 3 1 0 9 4 10
5 11 Crystal Palace 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 3 1 2 9 8 10
6 3 Tottenham 5 2 3 3.0 0.8 5 0 0 15 4 15
7 5 Man United 5 2 3 1.6 0.8 3 1 1 8 4 10
8 7 Liverpool 6 3 3 2.8 0.8 4 2 0 17 5 14
9 10 Brentford 6 3 3 2.0 1.0 3 2 1 12 6 11
10 14 Southampton 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 2 2 6 7 5
11 20 Leicester 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 2 2 2 9 5 8
12 6 Newcastle 6 4 2 2.0 0.8 3 3 0 12 5 12
13 12 Bournemouth 6 4 2 0.7 0.8 2 2 2 4 5 8
14 16 Leeds 5 3 2 1.2 0.6 2 2 1 6 3 8
15 19 Nott'm Forest 6 4 2 1.2 1.5 2 1 3 7 9 7
16 8 Brighton 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 2 2 1 6 3 8
17 13 West Ham 5 4 1 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7
18 15 Everton 5 4 1 0.6 0.8 1 2 2 3 4 5
19 17 Aston Villa 5 4 1 0.8 1.0 2 1 2 4 5 7
20 18 Wolves 5 4 1 0.6 0.8 2 2 1 3 4 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Leicester 5 0 5 1.6 3.8 0 0 5 8 19 0
2 9 Fulham 5 1 4 1.2 1.8 1 1 3 6 9 4
3 12 Bournemouth 5 1 4 1.2 3.6 1 2 2 6 18 5
4 1 Arsenal 5 2 3 2.0 0.6 4 0 1 10 3 12
5 4 Chelsea 6 3 3 1.0 1.0 3 1 2 6 6 10
6 5 Man United 5 2 3 1.4 2.2 3 0 2 7 11 9
7 7 Liverpool 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 0 2 3 5 8 2
8 8 Brighton 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 2 1 2 8 8 7
9 10 Brentford 5 2 3 1.2 2.2 0 3 2 6 11 3
10 14 Southampton 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 2 0 4 4 11 6
11 16 Leeds 5 2 3 1.0 2.4 0 1 4 5 12 1
12 17 Aston Villa 6 3 3 0.5 1.8 0 2 4 3 11 2
13 18 Wolves 6 3 3 0.3 1.7 0 1 5 2 10 1
14 2 Man City 5 3 2 1.8 1.0 2 2 1 9 5 8
15 3 Tottenham 6 4 2 1.2 1.3 2 2 2 7 8 8
16 6 Newcastle 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 1 3 1 6 4 6
17 15 Everton 6 4 2 0.8 1.3 1 2 3 5 8 5
18 19 Nott'm Forest 6 4 2 0.2 2.3 0 2 4 1 14 2
19 11 Crystal Palace 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 3 1 3 5 3
20 13 West Ham 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 1 1 4 3 6 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51