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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Oliver

Man City 3–2 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.16 fair 1.47
Draw 8.00 fair 5.48
Away 17.00 fair 7.28
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.65
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.61

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Aston Villa
24 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 2
13 Corners 1
5 Fouls 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (370 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 2.29 – 0.93
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 10.5% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 9.2%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
2.43points / match
2.59scored / match
0.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 96:24
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
1.35scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 50:51
Man City all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

2.59 Goals scored 1.35
0.65 Goals conceded 1.38
3.24 Total goals 2.73
18.68 Shots 12.16
6.73 Shots on target 4.32
6.30 Shots faced 12.24
8.22 Corners 5.27
2.89 Corners against 5.65
8.51 Fouls 10.54
1.14 Yellow cards 2.05
1.22 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

76% Wins 35%
16% Draws 16%
8% Losses 49%
95% Over 0.5 goals 97%
76% Over 1.5 goals 78%
59% Over 2.5 goals 57%
46% Over 3.5 goals 27%
27% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 3%
38% Both teams scored 51%
57% Clean sheets 30%
11% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

59% Wins 27%
30% Draws 38%
11% Losses 35%
73% Over 0.5 goals 76%
46% Over 1.5 goals 35%
22% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Man City before this match, at home
2.44points / match
3.06scored / match
0.72conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 55:13
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.22points / match
1.17scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 21:22
Man City at home away Aston Villa

Per match

3.06 Goals scored 1.17
0.72 Goals conceded 1.22
3.78 Total goals 2.39
18.72 Shots 11.94
7.11 Shots on target 4.11
5.50 Shots faced 12.67
8.72 Corners 5.83
2.17 Corners against 5.72
8.56 Fouls 11.11
0.89 Yellow cards 2.50
1.44 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.28 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

78% Wins 39%
11% Draws 6%
11% Losses 56%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
83% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 56%
50% Over 3.5 goals 17%
44% Over 4.5 goals 6%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 44%
61% Clean sheets 33%
11% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 33%
28% Draws 28%
6% Losses 39%
78% Over 0.5 goals 78%
50% Over 1.5 goals 28%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.05.22 West Ham – Man City 2–2 (2–0) 7.505.001.40 1.53 2.50
11.05.22 Wolves – Man City 1–5 (1–3) 11.006.001.25 1.66 2.20
08.05.22 Man City – Newcastle 5–0 (2–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.50 2.62
30.04.22 Leeds – Man City 0–4 (0–1) 8.506.001.30 1.50 2.62
23.04.22 Man City – Watford 5–1 (3–1) 1.1010.0026.00 1.36 3.20
20.04.22 Man City – Brighton 3–0 (0–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.61 2.30
10.04.22 Man City – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 2.003.753.50 1.72 2.10
02.04.22 Burnley – Man City 0–2 (0–2) 15.006.501.20 1.57 2.37
14.03.22 Crystal Palace – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 10.005.001.33 1.72 2.10
06.03.22 Man City – Man United 4–1 (2–1) 1.404.757.50 1.61 2.30

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.05.22 Aston Villa – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 1.99 1.91
15.05.22 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.93 1.97
10.05.22 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–2 (1–1) 7.504.751.40 1.61 2.30
07.05.22 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.302.40 2.07 1.83
30.04.22 Aston Villa – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 1.404.509.00 1.66 2.20
23.04.22 Leicester – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.85 2.05
09.04.22 Aston Villa – Tottenham 0–4 (0–1) 3.203.402.25 1.86 2.04
02.04.22 Wolves – Aston Villa 2–1 (2–0) 3.003.102.55 2.37 1.57
19.03.22 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.302.40 1.92 1.98
13.03.22 West Ham – Aston Villa 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.303.30 2.01 1.89

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.05.22 Man City – Newcastle 5–0 (2–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.50 2.62
23.04.22 Man City – Watford 5–1 (3–1) 1.1010.0026.00 1.36 3.20
20.04.22 Man City – Brighton 3–0 (0–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.61 2.30
10.04.22 Man City – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 2.003.753.50 1.72 2.10
06.03.22 Man City – Man United 4–1 (2–1) 1.404.757.50 1.61 2.30
19.02.22 Man City – Tottenham 2–3 (1–1) 1.286.0010.00 1.57 2.37
09.02.22 Man City – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.109.5023.00 1.36 3.20
15.01.22 Man City – Chelsea 1–0 (0–0) 1.654.005.00 1.85 2.05
26.12.21 Man City – Leicester 6–3 (4–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.36 3.20
14.12.21 Man City – Leeds 7–0 (3–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.36 3.20

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.05.22 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.302.40 2.07 1.83
23.04.22 Leicester – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.85 2.05
02.04.22 Wolves – Aston Villa 2–1 (2–0) 3.003.102.55 2.37 1.57
13.03.22 West Ham – Aston Villa 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.303.30 2.01 1.89
10.03.22 Leeds – Aston Villa 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.72 2.10
26.02.22 Brighton – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.50 2.10 1.72
13.02.22 Newcastle – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.302.62 1.85 2.05
22.01.22 Everton – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.252.62 2.05 1.85
02.01.22 Brentford – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–1) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
14.12.21 Norwich – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsAston Villa wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.21E0 Aston Villa – Man City 1–2 (0–2) 9.005.251.33 1.61 2.30

England Premier League table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Man City 37 28 6 3 96 24 +72 90 WWWWWD
2 Liverpool 37 27 8 2 91 25 +66 89 WWWDWW
3 Chelsea 37 20 11 6 74 32 +42 71 WDLDWD
4 Tottenham 37 21 5 11 64 40 +24 68 LDWDWW
5 Arsenal 37 21 3 13 56 47 +9 66 WWWWLL
6 Man United 37 16 10 11 57 56 +1 58 WLLDWL
7 West Ham 37 16 8 13 59 48 +11 56 LDLLWD
8 Wolves 37 15 6 16 37 40 -3 51 LLLDLD
9 Leicester 37 13 10 14 58 58 0 49 DLLWWD
10 Brighton 37 11 15 11 39 43 -4 48 WLDWWD
11 Brentford 37 13 7 17 47 54 -7 46 WWDLWW
12 Newcastle 37 12 10 15 42 61 -19 46 WWWLLW
13 Crystal Palace 37 10 15 12 49 46 +3 45 LDWWDL
14 Aston Villa 37 13 6 18 50 51 -1 45 DWWLDD
15 Southampton 37 9 13 15 42 63 -21 40 WLDLLL
16 Everton 37 11 6 20 42 61 -19 39 LWWDLW
17 Burnley 37 7 14 16 33 51 -18 35 WWWLLD
18 Leeds 37 8 11 18 40 78 -38 35 WDLLLD
19 Watford 37 6 5 26 33 75 -42 23 LLLLDL
20 Norwich 37 5 7 25 23 79 -56 22 LLLLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 18 14 4 0 46 8 +38 46 WWWWWD
2 Man City 18 14 2 2 55 13 +42 44 LWDWWW
3 Tottenham 19 13 1 5 38 19 +19 40 WWLWWW
4 Arsenal 18 12 2 4 30 16 +14 38 WWLLWW
5 Man United 19 10 5 4 32 22 +10 35 DWDWDW
6 West Ham 19 9 5 5 33 26 +7 32 WWWDLD
7 Chelsea 18 8 7 3 35 21 +14 31 WLLWDD
8 Leicester 18 9 4 5 30 22 +8 31 WWWDLW
9 Newcastle 19 8 6 5 26 27 -1 30 WWWWLW
10 Everton 19 9 2 8 27 25 +2 29 WWDWLW
11 Crystal Palace 18 6 8 4 26 17 +9 26 LDDWDW
12 Southampton 19 6 7 6 23 24 -1 25 LLLWLL
13 Brentford 18 7 3 8 21 19 +2 24 DLWWDW
14 Wolves 19 7 3 9 20 25 -5 24 WLWLLD
15 Aston Villa 19 6 5 8 29 29 0 23 LLWLDD
16 Burnley 18 5 6 7 17 23 -6 21 LLWWWL
17 Brighton 18 4 7 7 16 22 -6 19 LLLDDW
18 Leeds 19 4 6 9 19 38 -19 18 LWDLLD
19 Norwich 18 3 3 12 12 38 -26 12 LLLWLL
20 Watford 19 2 2 15 17 46 -29 8 LLLLDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Man City 19 14 4 1 41 11 +30 46 WDWWWD
2 Liverpool 19 13 4 2 45 17 +28 43 WWDWWW
3 Chelsea 19 12 4 3 39 11 +28 40 WWWDLW
4 Brighton 19 7 8 4 23 21 +2 29 LWWLWD
5 Tottenham 18 8 4 6 26 21 +5 28 WLWWDD
6 Arsenal 19 9 1 9 26 31 -5 28 LLWWLL
7 Wolves 18 8 3 7 17 15 +2 27 LLWLLD
8 West Ham 18 7 3 8 26 22 +4 24 DLLLLW
9 Man United 18 6 5 7 25 34 -9 23 WLLLLL
10 Aston Villa 18 7 1 10 21 22 -1 22 WWLLDW
11 Brentford 19 6 4 9 26 35 -9 22 WLWWLW
12 Crystal Palace 19 4 7 8 23 29 -6 19 WLLWDL
13 Leicester 19 4 6 9 28 36 -8 18 DLDLWD
14 Leeds 18 4 5 9 21 40 -19 17 LLWWDL
15 Newcastle 18 4 4 10 16 34 -18 16 WLLLWL
16 Watford 18 4 3 11 16 29 -13 15 DLWLLL
17 Southampton 18 3 6 9 19 39 -20 15 DLDLDL
18 Burnley 19 2 8 9 16 28 -12 14 LLDWLD
19 Everton 18 2 4 12 15 36 -21 10 LLLLWD
20 Norwich 19 2 4 13 11 41 -30 10 LDLLLD

Man City   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 Leeds 37 13 24 1.1 2.1 8 11 18 40 78 35 OUOOOU
2 2 Liverpool 37 14 23 2.5 0.7 27 8 2 91 25 89 OUUUOO
3 9 Leicester 37 14 23 1.6 1.6 13 10 14 58 58 49 UOOOOU
4 1 Man City 37 15 22 2.6 0.6 28 6 3 96 24 90 OOOOOO
5 20 Norwich 37 15 22 0.6 2.1 5 7 25 23 79 22 OOUOOU
6 4 Tottenham 37 16 21 1.7 1.1 21 5 11 64 40 68 UUOUOU
7 5 Arsenal 37 16 21 1.5 1.3 21 3 13 56 47 66 OOOOOU
8 7 West Ham 37 16 21 1.6 1.3 16 8 13 59 48 56 UUUOOO
9 11 Brentford 37 16 21 1.3 1.5 13 7 17 47 54 46 UOUOOO
10 14 Aston Villa 37 16 21 1.4 1.4 13 6 18 50 51 45 UUOOUU
11 15 Southampton 37 16 21 1.1 1.7 9 13 15 42 63 40 UUOOOO
12 16 Everton 37 17 20 1.1 1.6 11 6 20 42 61 39 UUOUOO
13 19 Watford 37 17 20 0.9 2.0 6 5 26 33 75 23 OOOUUO
14 3 Chelsea 37 18 19 2.0 0.9 20 11 6 74 32 71 UUUOOU
15 6 Man United 37 18 19 1.5 1.5 16 10 11 57 56 58 OOOUOO
16 13 Crystal Palace 37 18 19 1.3 1.2 10 15 12 49 46 45 UUOUUO
17 12 Newcastle 37 20 17 1.1 1.6 12 10 15 42 61 46 OUOUOU
18 8 Wolves 37 24 13 1.0 1.1 15 6 16 37 40 51 UUOOOU
19 17 Burnley 37 24 13 0.9 1.4 7 14 16 33 51 35 UUOOUU
20 10 Brighton 37 25 12 1.1 1.2 11 15 11 39 43 48 UOOOOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Tottenham 19 6 13 2.0 1.0 13 1 5 38 19 40 OOUOOU
2 19 Watford 19 6 13 0.9 2.4 2 2 15 17 46 8 OOOOUO
3 1 Man City 18 6 12 3.1 0.7 14 2 2 55 13 44 OOOOOO
4 7 West Ham 19 7 12 1.7 1.4 9 5 5 33 26 32 UOOUOO
5 18 Leeds 19 7 12 1.0 2.0 4 6 9 19 38 18 OOUOOU
6 20 Norwich 18 6 12 0.7 2.1 3 3 12 12 38 12 OOOUOO
7 9 Leicester 18 7 11 1.7 1.2 9 4 5 30 22 31 UOOUOO
8 14 Aston Villa 19 8 11 1.5 1.5 6 5 8 29 29 23 UOUOUU
9 2 Liverpool 18 8 10 2.6 0.4 14 4 0 46 8 46 OUUOUU
10 5 Arsenal 18 8 10 1.7 0.9 12 2 4 30 16 38 OUUOOO
11 3 Chelsea 18 9 9 1.9 1.2 8 7 3 35 21 31 UOOUOU
12 8 Wolves 19 10 9 1.1 1.3 7 3 9 20 25 24 OOOOOU
13 12 Newcastle 19 10 9 1.4 1.4 8 6 5 26 27 30 OUOUUU
14 13 Crystal Palace 18 9 9 1.4 0.9 6 8 4 26 17 26 UUUOUU
15 16 Everton 19 10 9 1.4 1.3 9 2 8 27 25 29 UUUUOO
16 6 Man United 19 11 8 1.7 1.2 10 5 4 32 22 35 UOUOUO
17 11 Brentford 18 10 8 1.2 1.1 7 3 8 21 19 24 UUUUUO
18 15 Southampton 19 11 8 1.2 1.3 6 7 6 23 24 25 OOOUOO
19 17 Burnley 18 12 6 0.9 1.3 5 6 7 17 23 21 OUOUUO
20 10 Brighton 18 13 5 0.9 1.2 4 7 7 16 22 19 UUUUOO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Liverpool 19 6 13 2.4 0.9 13 4 2 45 17 43 UUOUOO
2 11 Brentford 19 6 13 1.4 1.8 6 4 9 26 35 22 OOOOOO
3 15 Southampton 18 5 13 1.1 2.2 3 6 9 19 39 15 UOUUOO
4 9 Leicester 19 7 12 1.5 1.9 4 6 9 28 36 18 UOUOOU
5 18 Leeds 18 6 12 1.2 2.2 4 5 9 21 40 17 OUOOUO
6 5 Arsenal 19 8 11 1.4 1.6 9 1 9 26 31 28 OUOOOU
7 6 Man United 18 7 11 1.4 1.9 6 5 7 25 34 23 OOUOOO
8 16 Everton 18 7 11 0.8 2.0 2 4 12 15 36 10 OOOUOU
9 1 Man City 19 9 10 2.2 0.6 14 4 1 41 11 46 UUUOOO
10 3 Chelsea 19 9 10 2.1 0.6 12 4 3 39 11 40 OOOUUO
11 13 Crystal Palace 19 9 10 1.2 1.5 4 7 8 23 29 19 UOUOUO
12 14 Aston Villa 18 8 10 1.2 1.2 7 1 10 21 22 22 UOOOUO
13 20 Norwich 19 9 10 0.6 2.2 2 4 13 11 41 10 OUOUOU
14 7 West Ham 18 9 9 1.4 1.2 7 3 8 26 22 24 OUOUUO
15 4 Tottenham 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 8 4 6 26 21 28 OOUOUU
16 12 Newcastle 18 10 8 0.9 1.9 4 4 10 16 34 16 OUUOOO
17 10 Brighton 19 12 7 1.2 1.1 7 8 4 23 21 29 OOUOOU
18 17 Burnley 19 12 7 0.8 1.5 2 8 9 16 28 14 UUUOUU
19 19 Watford 18 11 7 0.9 1.6 4 3 11 16 29 15 UOOUOU
20 8 Wolves 18 14 4 0.9 0.8 8 3 7 17 15 27 OUUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11