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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: R Jones

Arsenal 3–1 Chelsea

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.60 fair 1.63
Draw 4.00 fair 4.80
Away 5.50 fair 5.67
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.39
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Arsenal Chelsea
16 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 2
10 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (333 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 2.03 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
ArsenalDrawChelsea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 10.1% 2–1 10% 1–0 9.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.27points / match
2.36scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 78:38
Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
0.94scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 30:35
Arsenal all matches all matches Chelsea

Per match

2.36 Goals scored 0.94
1.15 Goals conceded 1.09
3.52 Total goals 2.03
16.00 Shots 12.59
5.30 Shots on target 3.97
9.03 Shots faced 11.09
5.85 Corners 5.69
3.67 Corners against 4.75
9.64 Fouls 10.59
1.42 Yellow cards 2.06
1.03 1st-half goals scored 0.41
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

70% Wins 31%
18% Draws 28%
12% Losses 41%
97% Over 0.5 goals 88%
85% Over 1.5 goals 63%
70% Over 2.5 goals 38%
55% Over 3.5 goals 13%
33% Over 4.5 goals 3%
12% Over 5.5 goals 0%
61% Both teams scored 41%
36% Clean sheets 31%
6% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

52% Wins 22%
30% Draws 53%
18% Losses 25%
79% Over 0.5 goals 56%
52% Over 1.5 goals 25%
18% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal all matches
Chelsea all matches
Arsenal before this match, at home
2.44points / match
2.81scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 45:21
Chelsea before this match, away
1.07points / match
0.87scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 13:19
Arsenal at home away Chelsea

Per match

2.81 Goals scored 0.87
1.31 Goals conceded 1.27
4.13 Total goals 2.13
19.38 Shots 11.93
6.44 Shots on target 4.07
7.25 Shots faced 11.33
7.06 Corners 5.13
3.00 Corners against 4.93
9.50 Fouls 11.00
1.00 Yellow cards 2.07
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

75% Wins 27%
19% Draws 27%
6% Losses 47%
94% Over 0.5 goals 87%
94% Over 1.5 goals 67%
88% Over 2.5 goals 40%
75% Over 3.5 goals 13%
50% Over 4.5 goals 7%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
81% Both teams scored 47%
19% Clean sheets 27%
6% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 27%
38% Draws 40%
19% Losses 33%
81% Over 0.5 goals 73%
50% Over 1.5 goals 40%
13% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal at home
Chelsea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.23 Man City – Arsenal 4–1 (2–0) 1.554.505.25 1.62 2.30
21.04.23 Arsenal – Southampton 3–3 (1–2) 1.207.0013.00 1.50 2.63
16.04.23 West Ham – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 6.004.201.55 1.80 2.00
09.04.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.38 1.62 2.30
01.04.23 Arsenal – Leeds 4–1 (1–0) 1.296.009.00 1.53 2.50
19.03.23 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 4–1 (2–0) 1.255.5015.00 1.73 2.10
12.03.23 Fulham – Arsenal 0–3 (0–3) 6.004.001.57 1.85 2.08
04.03.23 Arsenal – Bournemouth 3–2 (0–1) 1.227.0012.00 1.57 2.38
01.03.23 Arsenal – Everton 4–0 (2–0) 1.364.7510.00 1.85 2.05
25.02.23 Leicester – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.23 Chelsea – Brentford 0–2 (0–1) 1.704.004.75 2.00 1.90
15.04.23 Chelsea – Brighton 1–2 (1–1) 2.633.402.63 1.94 1.96
08.04.23 Wolves – Chelsea 1–0 (1–0) 4.203.501.91 2.20 1.67
04.04.23 Chelsea – Liverpool 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.25 1.95 1.95
01.04.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.97 1.93
18.03.23 Chelsea – Everton 2–2 (0–0) 1.504.207.50 2.10 1.73
11.03.23 Leicester – Chelsea 1–3 (1–2) 3.753.501.95 2.02 1.91
04.03.23 Chelsea – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.95 1.95
26.02.23 Tottenham – Chelsea 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.90 2.08 1.82
18.02.23 Chelsea – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 1.404.758.50 1.98 1.92

Arsenal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.23 Arsenal – Southampton 3–3 (1–2) 1.207.0013.00 1.50 2.63
01.04.23 Arsenal – Leeds 4–1 (1–0) 1.296.009.00 1.53 2.50
19.03.23 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 4–1 (2–0) 1.255.5015.00 1.73 2.10
04.03.23 Arsenal – Bournemouth 3–2 (0–1) 1.227.0012.00 1.57 2.38
01.03.23 Arsenal – Everton 4–0 (2–0) 1.364.7510.00 1.85 2.05
15.02.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.502.35 1.88 2.02
11.02.23 Arsenal – Brentford 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.73 2.10
22.01.23 Arsenal – Man United 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.804.20 1.73 2.10
03.01.23 Arsenal – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00
26.12.22 Arsenal – West Ham 3–1 (0–1) 1.504.336.50 1.73 2.10

Chelsea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.04.23 Wolves – Chelsea 1–0 (1–0) 4.203.501.91 2.20 1.67
11.03.23 Leicester – Chelsea 1–3 (1–2) 3.753.501.95 2.02 1.91
26.02.23 Tottenham – Chelsea 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.90 2.08 1.82
11.02.23 West Ham – Chelsea 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.302.25 2.20 1.67
21.01.23 Liverpool – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.754.00 1.73 2.10
12.01.23 Fulham – Chelsea 2–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.87 2.03
01.01.23 Nott'm Forest – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 5.003.801.70 2.02 1.91
12.11.22 Newcastle – Chelsea 1–0 (0–0) 2.353.403.00 1.98 1.92
29.10.22 Brighton – Chelsea 4–1 (3–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.72
19.10.22 Brentford – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.801.72 1.88 2.02

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Arsenal winsDrawsChelsea wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.11.22E0 Chelsea – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.402.70 1.93 1.97
20.04.22E0 Chelsea – Arsenal 2–4 (2–2) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.80
22.08.21E0 Arsenal – Chelsea 0–2 (0–2) 4.753.751.72 2.10 1.72

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 32 24 4 4 84 30 +54 76
2 Arsenal 33 23 6 4 78 38 +40 75
3 Newcastle 33 18 11 4 61 27 +34 65
4 Man United 32 19 6 7 49 39 +10 63
5 Liverpool 33 16 8 9 65 42 +23 56
6 Tottenham 34 16 6 12 63 57 +6 54
7 Aston Villa 34 16 6 12 46 42 +4 54
8 Brighton 31 15 7 9 61 40 +21 52
9 Brentford 34 12 14 8 52 44 +8 50
10 Fulham 33 13 6 14 45 45 0 45
11 Crystal Palace 34 10 10 14 35 45 -10 40
12 Chelsea 32 10 9 13 30 35 -5 39
13 Bournemouth 34 11 6 17 36 64 -28 39
14 Wolves 34 10 7 17 29 50 -21 37
15 West Ham 33 9 7 17 37 47 -10 34
16 Leicester 34 8 6 20 46 59 -13 30
17 Leeds 34 7 9 18 43 67 -24 30
18 Nott'm Forest 34 7 9 18 30 62 -32 30
19 Everton 34 6 11 17 27 52 -25 29
20 Southampton 34 6 6 22 28 60 -32 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 16 14 1 1 54 16 +38 43
2 Arsenal 16 12 3 1 45 21 +24 39
3 Man United 16 12 3 1 28 8 +20 39
4 Liverpool 16 11 4 1 43 16 +27 37
5 Newcastle 16 10 5 1 32 11 +21 35
6 Tottenham 17 11 1 5 35 22 +13 34
7 Aston Villa 17 10 2 5 29 19 +10 32
8 Brentford 17 8 7 2 32 18 +14 31
9 Brighton 15 8 3 4 31 14 +17 27
10 Wolves 17 8 2 7 17 19 -2 26
11 Fulham 17 7 4 6 24 24 0 25
12 Nott'm Forest 17 6 6 5 22 21 +1 24
13 Crystal Palace 17 6 6 5 18 22 -4 24
14 Chelsea 17 6 5 6 17 16 +1 23
15 West Ham 17 6 4 7 22 23 -1 22
16 Bournemouth 17 6 4 7 19 24 -5 22
17 Leeds 17 5 6 6 23 31 -8 21
18 Everton 17 5 3 9 15 24 -9 18
19 Leicester 17 4 4 9 21 23 -2 16
20 Southampton 17 2 4 11 15 31 -16 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 11 3 3 33 17 +16 36
2 Man City 16 10 3 3 30 14 +16 33
3 Newcastle 17 8 6 3 29 16 +13 30
4 Brighton 16 7 4 5 30 26 +4 25
5 Man United 16 7 3 6 21 31 -10 24
6 Aston Villa 17 6 4 7 17 23 -6 22
7 Fulham 16 6 2 8 21 21 0 20
8 Tottenham 17 5 5 7 28 35 -7 20
9 Liverpool 17 5 4 8 22 26 -4 19
10 Brentford 17 4 7 6 20 26 -6 19
11 Bournemouth 17 5 2 10 17 40 -23 17
12 Crystal Palace 17 4 4 9 17 23 -6 16
13 Chelsea 15 4 4 7 13 19 -6 16
14 Leicester 17 4 2 11 25 36 -11 14
15 Southampton 17 4 2 11 13 29 -16 14
16 West Ham 16 3 3 10 15 24 -9 12
17 Everton 17 1 8 8 12 28 -16 11
18 Wolves 17 2 5 10 12 31 -19 11
19 Leeds 17 2 3 12 20 36 -16 9
20 Nott'm Forest 17 1 3 13 8 41 -33 6

Arsenal   Chelsea

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Arsenal 33 10 23 2.4 1.2 23 6 4 78 38 75
2 1 Man City 32 10 22 2.6 0.9 24 4 4 84 30 76
3 10 Fulham 33 11 22 1.4 1.4 13 6 14 45 45 45
4 5 Liverpool 33 12 21 2.0 1.3 16 8 9 65 42 56
5 16 Leicester 34 13 21 1.4 1.7 8 6 20 46 59 30
6 17 Leeds 34 13 21 1.3 2.0 7 9 18 43 67 30
7 6 Tottenham 34 14 20 1.9 1.7 16 6 12 63 57 54
8 8 Brighton 31 11 20 2.0 1.3 15 7 9 61 40 52
9 4 Man United 32 15 17 1.5 1.2 19 6 7 49 39 63
10 13 Bournemouth 34 17 17 1.1 1.9 11 6 17 36 64 39
11 20 Southampton 34 17 17 0.8 1.8 6 6 22 28 60 24
12 3 Newcastle 33 17 16 1.8 0.8 18 11 4 61 27 65
13 7 Aston Villa 34 18 16 1.4 1.2 16 6 12 46 42 54
14 9 Brentford 34 18 16 1.5 1.3 12 14 8 52 44 50
15 18 Nott'm Forest 34 19 15 0.9 1.8 7 9 18 30 62 30
16 11 Crystal Palace 34 20 14 1.0 1.3 10 10 14 35 45 40
17 14 Wolves 34 20 14 0.9 1.5 10 7 17 29 50 37
18 19 Everton 34 20 14 0.8 1.5 6 11 17 27 52 29
19 12 Chelsea 32 20 12 0.9 1.1 10 9 13 30 35 39
20 15 West Ham 33 21 12 1.1 1.4 9 7 17 37 47 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 16 2 14 3.4 1.0 14 1 1 54 16 43
2 2 Arsenal 16 2 14 2.8 1.3 12 3 1 45 21 39
3 10 Fulham 17 5 12 1.4 1.4 7 4 6 24 24 25
4 5 Liverpool 16 6 10 2.7 1.0 11 4 1 43 16 37
5 6 Tottenham 17 7 10 2.1 1.3 11 1 5 35 22 34
6 16 Leicester 17 7 10 1.2 1.4 4 4 9 21 23 16
7 17 Leeds 17 7 10 1.4 1.8 5 6 6 23 31 21
8 4 Man United 16 7 9 1.8 0.5 12 3 1 28 8 39
9 7 Aston Villa 17 8 9 1.7 1.1 10 2 5 29 19 32
10 9 Brentford 17 8 9 1.9 1.1 8 7 2 32 18 31
11 8 Brighton 15 7 8 2.1 0.9 8 3 4 31 14 27
12 11 Crystal Palace 17 9 8 1.1 1.3 6 6 5 18 22 24
13 13 Bournemouth 17 9 8 1.1 1.4 6 4 7 19 24 22
14 20 Southampton 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 2 4 11 15 31 10
15 19 Everton 17 10 7 0.9 1.4 5 3 9 15 24 18
16 3 Newcastle 16 10 6 2.0 0.7 10 5 1 32 11 35
17 12 Chelsea 17 11 6 1.0 0.9 6 5 6 17 16 23
18 15 West Ham 17 11 6 1.3 1.4 6 4 7 22 23 22
19 18 Nott'm Forest 17 11 6 1.3 1.2 6 6 5 22 21 24
20 14 Wolves 17 12 5 1.0 1.1 8 2 7 17 19 26
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Brighton 16 4 12 1.9 1.6 7 4 5 30 26 25
2 5 Liverpool 17 6 11 1.3 1.5 5 4 8 22 26 19
3 16 Leicester 17 6 11 1.5 2.1 4 2 11 25 36 14
4 17 Leeds 17 6 11 1.2 2.1 2 3 12 20 36 9
5 3 Newcastle 17 7 10 1.7 0.9 8 6 3 29 16 30
6 6 Tottenham 17 7 10 1.6 2.1 5 5 7 28 35 20
7 10 Fulham 16 6 10 1.3 1.3 6 2 8 21 21 20
8 2 Arsenal 17 8 9 1.9 1.0 11 3 3 33 17 36
9 13 Bournemouth 17 8 9 1.0 2.4 5 2 10 17 40 17
10 14 Wolves 17 8 9 0.7 1.8 2 5 10 12 31 11
11 18 Nott'm Forest 17 8 9 0.5 2.4 1 3 13 8 41 6
12 20 Southampton 17 8 9 0.8 1.7 4 2 11 13 29 14
13 1 Man City 16 8 8 1.9 0.9 10 3 3 30 14 33
14 4 Man United 16 8 8 1.3 1.9 7 3 6 21 31 24
15 7 Aston Villa 17 10 7 1.0 1.4 6 4 7 17 23 22
16 9 Brentford 17 10 7 1.2 1.5 4 7 6 20 26 19
17 19 Everton 17 10 7 0.7 1.6 1 8 8 12 28 11
18 11 Crystal Palace 17 11 6 1.0 1.4 4 4 9 17 23 16
19 12 Chelsea 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 4 4 7 13 19 16
20 15 West Ham 16 10 6 0.9 1.5 3 3 10 15 24 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44