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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: D England

Arsenal 4–1 Leeds

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.29 fair 1.47
Draw 6.00 fair 5.74
Away 9.00 fair 6.86
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 3.17
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.46

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Arsenal Leeds
13 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 3
11 Fouls 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (271 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 2.47 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
ArsenalDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.5% 2–0 8.9% 3–1 7.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.46points / match
2.36scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 66:26
Leeds before this match, all matches
0.96points / match
1.30scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 35:44
Arsenal all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

2.36 Goals scored 1.30
0.93 Goals conceded 1.63
3.29 Total goals 2.93
16.50 Shots 12.26
5.39 Shots on target 3.78
8.29 Shots faced 13.59
6.18 Corners 5.41
3.68 Corners against 4.59
9.46 Fouls 11.93
1.39 Yellow cards 2.15
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.32 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

79% Wins 22%
11% Draws 30%
11% Losses 48%
96% Over 0.5 goals 89%
82% Over 1.5 goals 67%
64% Over 2.5 goals 56%
46% Over 3.5 goals 37%
29% Over 4.5 goals 19%
11% Over 5.5 goals 15%
54% Both teams scored 56%
43% Clean sheets 19%
7% Failed to score 37%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 15%
36% Draws 56%
14% Losses 30%
75% Over 0.5 goals 67%
46% Over 1.5 goals 41%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal all matches
Leeds all matches
Arsenal before this match, at home
2.50points / match
2.71scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 38:17
Leeds before this match, away
0.64points / match
1.21scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 17:26
Arsenal at home away Leeds

Per match

2.71 Goals scored 1.21
1.21 Goals conceded 1.86
3.93 Total goals 3.07
19.43 Shots 11.57
6.50 Shots on target 3.36
7.21 Shots faced 14.50
7.29 Corners 4.93
3.07 Corners against 5.00
9.36 Fouls 10.93
1.07 Yellow cards 2.43
0.93 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

79% Wins 14%
14% Draws 21%
7% Losses 64%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
93% Over 1.5 goals 64%
86% Over 2.5 goals 57%
71% Over 3.5 goals 36%
43% Over 4.5 goals 21%
7% Over 5.5 goals 21%
79% Both teams scored 57%
21% Clean sheets 7%
7% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 21%
43% Draws 50%
14% Losses 29%
79% Over 0.5 goals 64%
50% Over 1.5 goals 36%
7% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.03.23 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 4–1 (2–0) 1.255.5015.00 1.73 2.10
12.03.23 Fulham – Arsenal 0–3 (0–3) 6.004.001.57 1.85 2.08
04.03.23 Arsenal – Bournemouth 3–2 (0–1) 1.227.0012.00 1.57 2.38
01.03.23 Arsenal – Everton 4–0 (2–0) 1.364.7510.00 1.85 2.05
25.02.23 Leicester – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
18.02.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–4 (2–1) 4.503.601.50 2.02 1.88
15.02.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.502.35 1.88 2.02
11.02.23 Arsenal – Brentford 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.73 2.10
04.02.23 Everton – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 8.504.501.40 1.87 2.03
22.01.23 Arsenal – Man United 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.804.20 1.73 2.10

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23 Wolves – Leeds 2–4 (0–1) 2.253.203.30 2.20 1.67
11.03.23 Leeds – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 3.753.601.95 1.89 2.04
04.03.23 Chelsea – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.95 1.95
25.02.23 Leeds – Southampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.05 1.85
18.02.23 Everton – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.10 1.73
12.02.23 Leeds – Man United 0–2 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.67 2.20
08.02.23 Man United – Leeds 2–2 (0–1) 1.455.006.00 1.57 2.38
05.02.23 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.302.70 1.94 1.96
22.01.23 Leeds – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.602.88 1.67 2.20
13.01.23 Aston Villa – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00

Arsenal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.03.23 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 4–1 (2–0) 1.255.5015.00 1.73 2.10
04.03.23 Arsenal – Bournemouth 3–2 (0–1) 1.227.0012.00 1.57 2.38
01.03.23 Arsenal – Everton 4–0 (2–0) 1.364.7510.00 1.85 2.05
15.02.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.502.35 1.88 2.02
11.02.23 Arsenal – Brentford 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.73 2.10
22.01.23 Arsenal – Man United 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.804.20 1.73 2.10
03.01.23 Arsenal – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00
26.12.22 Arsenal – West Ham 3–1 (0–1) 1.504.336.50 1.73 2.10
30.10.22 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 5–0 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.50 2.62
09.10.22 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–2 (2–1) 2.503.602.62 1.57 2.37

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23 Wolves – Leeds 2–4 (0–1) 2.253.203.30 2.20 1.67
04.03.23 Chelsea – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.95 1.95
18.02.23 Everton – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.10 1.73
08.02.23 Man United – Leeds 2–2 (0–1) 1.455.006.00 1.57 2.38
05.02.23 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.302.70 1.94 1.96
13.01.23 Aston Villa – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
31.12.22 Newcastle – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.62 2.30
12.11.22 Tottenham – Leeds 4–3 (1–2) 1.654.204.75 1.61 2.30
29.10.22 Liverpool – Leeds 1–2 (1–1) 1.306.009.00 1.36 3.20
20.10.22 Leicester – Leeds 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.72 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Arsenal winsDrawsLeeds wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.22E0 Leeds – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.201.55 1.61 2.30
08.05.22E0 Arsenal – Leeds 2–1 (2–0) 1.454.507.00 1.61 2.30
18.12.21E0 Leeds – Arsenal 1–4 (0–3) 3.903.801.83 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 28 22 3 3 66 26 +40 69
2 Man City 28 20 4 4 71 26 +45 64
3 Man United 26 15 5 6 41 35 +6 50
4 Tottenham 28 15 4 9 52 40 +12 49
5 Newcastle 26 12 11 3 39 19 +20 47
6 Liverpool 27 12 6 9 48 33 +15 42
7 Brighton 25 12 6 7 46 31 +15 42
8 Brentford 27 10 12 5 43 34 +9 42
9 Fulham 27 11 6 10 38 37 +1 39
10 Chelsea 27 10 8 9 29 28 +1 38
11 Aston Villa 27 11 5 11 35 39 -4 38
12 Crystal Palace 28 6 9 13 22 38 -16 27
13 Wolves 28 7 6 15 22 41 -19 27
14 Leeds 27 6 8 13 35 44 -9 26
15 Everton 28 6 8 14 22 40 -18 26
16 Nott'm Forest 27 6 8 13 22 49 -27 26
17 Leicester 27 7 4 16 38 47 -9 25
18 West Ham 26 6 6 14 24 34 -10 24
19 Bournemouth 27 6 6 15 25 54 -29 24
20 Southampton 28 6 5 17 23 46 -23 23
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 14 12 1 1 47 14 +33 37
2 Arsenal 14 11 2 1 38 17 +21 35
3 Liverpool 13 9 3 1 34 9 +25 30
4 Man United 13 9 3 1 24 8 +16 30
5 Tottenham 14 10 0 4 29 16 +13 30
6 Brentford 14 7 6 1 28 14 +14 27
7 Newcastle 13 7 5 1 21 9 +12 26
8 Brighton 13 7 2 4 22 11 +11 23
9 Aston Villa 14 7 2 5 23 19 +4 23
10 Chelsea 13 6 4 3 16 10 +6 22
11 Fulham 14 6 4 4 21 20 +1 22
12 Nott'm Forest 14 5 5 4 18 17 +1 20
13 West Ham 13 5 3 5 17 14 +3 18
14 Leeds 13 4 5 4 18 18 0 17
15 Everton 14 5 2 7 12 16 -4 17
16 Crystal Palace 14 4 5 5 12 18 -6 17
17 Wolves 14 5 2 7 12 19 -7 17
18 Bournemouth 13 4 4 5 13 16 -3 16
19 Leicester 13 3 3 7 16 17 -1 12
20 Southampton 14 2 4 8 14 24 -10 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 11 1 2 28 9 +19 34
2 Man City 14 8 3 3 24 12 +12 27
3 Newcastle 13 5 6 2 18 10 +8 21
4 Man United 13 6 2 5 17 27 -10 20
5 Brighton 12 5 4 3 24 20 +4 19
6 Tottenham 14 5 4 5 23 24 -1 19
7 Fulham 13 5 2 6 17 17 0 17
8 Chelsea 14 4 4 6 13 18 -5 16
9 Brentford 13 3 6 4 15 20 -5 15
10 Aston Villa 13 4 3 6 12 20 -8 15
11 Leicester 14 4 1 9 22 30 -8 13
12 Southampton 14 4 1 9 9 22 -13 13
13 Liverpool 14 3 3 8 14 24 -10 12
14 Crystal Palace 14 2 4 8 10 20 -10 10
15 Wolves 14 2 4 8 10 22 -12 10
16 Leeds 14 2 3 9 17 26 -9 9
17 Everton 14 1 6 7 10 24 -14 9
18 Bournemouth 14 2 2 10 12 38 -26 8
19 West Ham 13 1 3 9 7 20 -13 6
20 Nott'm Forest 13 1 3 9 4 32 -28 6

Arsenal   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 28 10 18 2.4 0.9 22 3 3 66 26 69
2 2 Man City 28 10 18 2.5 0.9 20 4 4 71 26 64
3 9 Fulham 27 9 18 1.4 1.4 11 6 10 38 37 39
4 3 Man United 26 10 16 1.6 1.3 15 5 6 41 35 50
5 6 Liverpool 27 11 16 1.8 1.2 12 6 9 48 33 42
6 17 Leicester 27 11 16 1.4 1.7 7 4 16 38 47 25
7 4 Tottenham 28 13 15 1.9 1.4 15 4 9 52 40 49
8 7 Brighton 25 10 15 1.8 1.2 12 6 7 46 31 42
9 14 Leeds 27 12 15 1.3 1.6 6 8 13 35 44 26
10 11 Aston Villa 27 13 14 1.3 1.4 11 5 11 35 39 38
11 20 Southampton 28 14 14 0.8 1.6 6 5 17 23 46 23
12 8 Brentford 27 14 13 1.6 1.3 10 12 5 43 34 42
13 19 Bournemouth 27 14 13 0.9 2.0 6 6 15 25 54 24
14 13 Wolves 28 16 12 0.8 1.5 7 6 15 22 41 27
15 10 Chelsea 27 16 11 1.1 1.0 10 8 9 29 28 38
16 12 Crystal Palace 28 17 11 0.8 1.4 6 9 13 22 38 27
17 15 Everton 28 17 11 0.8 1.4 6 8 14 22 40 26
18 16 Nott'm Forest 27 16 11 0.8 1.8 6 8 13 22 49 26
19 5 Newcastle 26 16 10 1.5 0.7 12 11 3 39 19 47
20 18 West Ham 26 19 7 0.9 1.3 6 6 14 24 34 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 14 2 12 2.7 1.2 11 2 1 38 17 35
2 2 Man City 14 2 12 3.4 1.0 12 1 1 47 14 37
3 9 Fulham 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 6 4 4 21 20 22
4 3 Man United 13 4 9 1.8 0.6 9 3 1 24 8 30
5 11 Aston Villa 14 6 8 1.6 1.4 7 2 5 23 19 23
6 4 Tottenham 14 7 7 2.1 1.1 10 0 4 29 16 30
7 6 Liverpool 13 6 7 2.6 0.7 9 3 1 34 9 30
8 8 Brentford 14 7 7 2.0 1.0 7 6 1 28 14 27
9 14 Leeds 13 6 7 1.4 1.4 4 5 4 18 18 17
10 17 Leicester 13 6 7 1.2 1.3 3 3 7 16 17 12
11 20 Southampton 14 7 7 1.0 1.7 2 4 8 14 24 10
12 7 Brighton 13 7 6 1.7 0.8 7 2 4 22 11 23
13 12 Crystal Palace 14 8 6 0.9 1.3 4 5 5 12 18 17
14 10 Chelsea 13 8 5 1.2 0.8 6 4 3 16 10 22
15 13 Wolves 14 9 5 0.9 1.4 5 2 7 12 19 17
16 15 Everton 14 9 5 0.9 1.1 5 2 7 12 16 17
17 16 Nott'm Forest 14 9 5 1.3 1.2 5 5 4 18 17 20
18 19 Bournemouth 13 8 5 1.0 1.2 4 4 5 13 16 16
19 5 Newcastle 13 9 4 1.6 0.7 7 5 1 21 9 26
20 18 West Ham 13 10 3 1.3 1.1 5 3 5 17 14 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Liverpool 14 5 9 1.0 1.7 3 3 8 14 24 12
2 7 Brighton 12 3 9 2.0 1.7 5 4 3 24 20 19
3 17 Leicester 14 5 9 1.6 2.1 4 1 9 22 30 13
4 4 Tottenham 14 6 8 1.6 1.7 5 4 5 23 24 19
5 9 Fulham 13 5 8 1.3 1.3 5 2 6 17 17 17
6 14 Leeds 14 6 8 1.2 1.9 2 3 9 17 26 9
7 19 Bournemouth 14 6 8 0.9 2.7 2 2 10 12 38 8
8 3 Man United 13 6 7 1.3 2.1 6 2 5 17 27 20
9 13 Wolves 14 7 7 0.7 1.6 2 4 8 10 22 10
10 20 Southampton 14 7 7 0.6 1.6 4 1 9 9 22 13
11 1 Arsenal 14 8 6 2.0 0.6 11 1 2 28 9 34
12 2 Man City 14 8 6 1.7 0.9 8 3 3 24 12 27
13 5 Newcastle 13 7 6 1.4 0.8 5 6 2 18 10 21
14 8 Brentford 13 7 6 1.2 1.5 3 6 4 15 20 15
15 10 Chelsea 14 8 6 0.9 1.3 4 4 6 13 18 16
16 11 Aston Villa 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 4 3 6 12 20 15
17 15 Everton 14 8 6 0.7 1.7 1 6 7 10 24 9
18 16 Nott'm Forest 13 7 6 0.3 2.5 1 3 9 4 32 6
19 12 Crystal Palace 14 9 5 0.7 1.4 2 4 8 10 20 10
20 18 West Ham 13 9 4 0.5 1.5 1 3 9 7 20 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51