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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Tierney

Brighton 3–1 Southampton

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.22 fair 1.53
Draw 7.00 fair 5.23
Away 11.00 fair 6.37
Under 2.5 3.00 fair 2.67
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.60

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Southampton
26 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 3
8 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (365 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 2.23 – 1.00
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawSouthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 9.9% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.66points / match
1.91scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 67:49
Southampton before this match, all matches
0.67points / match
0.86scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 31:66
Brighton all matches all matches Southampton

Per match

1.91 Goals scored 0.86
1.40 Goals conceded 1.83
3.31 Total goals 2.69
15.94 Shots 11.03
6.06 Shots on target 3.64
10.23 Shots faced 13.03
6.31 Corners 4.22
3.66 Corners against 5.42
11.03 Fouls 11.58
1.46 Yellow cards 1.89
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

49% Wins 17%
20% Draws 17%
31% Losses 67%
94% Over 0.5 goals 97%
77% Over 1.5 goals 64%
66% Over 2.5 goals 50%
46% Over 3.5 goals 31%
29% Over 4.5 goals 17%
17% Over 5.5 goals 8%
57% Both teams scored 50%
34% Clean sheets 11%
14% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 22%
54% Draws 28%
17% Losses 50%
71% Over 0.5 goals 72%
51% Over 1.5 goals 22%
20% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Southampton all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
1.76points / match
1.94scored / match
1.12conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 33:19
Southampton before this match, away
0.78points / match
0.89scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 16:33
Brighton at home away Southampton

Per match

1.94 Goals scored 0.89
1.12 Goals conceded 1.83
3.06 Total goals 2.72
17.94 Shots 10.22
7.00 Shots on target 3.39
8.71 Shots faced 13.78
7.88 Corners 3.67
2.94 Corners against 6.44
10.82 Fouls 12.28
1.65 Yellow cards 2.33
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 1.06

How often Full Time

53% Wins 22%
18% Draws 11%
29% Losses 67%
88% Over 0.5 goals 94%
53% Over 1.5 goals 56%
53% Over 2.5 goals 56%
41% Over 3.5 goals 33%
35% Over 4.5 goals 17%
29% Over 5.5 goals 11%
35% Both teams scored 44%
53% Clean sheets 17%
24% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 22%
59% Draws 17%
18% Losses 61%
59% Over 0.5 goals 83%
41% Over 1.5 goals 33%
29% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Southampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.05.23 Newcastle – Brighton 4–1 (2–0) 2.003.803.50 1.62 2.30
14.05.23 Arsenal – Brighton 0–3 (0–0) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.50
08.05.23 Brighton – Everton 1–5 (0–3) 1.335.259.00 1.57 2.38
04.05.23 Brighton – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.503.75 1.57 2.38
29.04.23 Brighton – Wolves 6–0 (4–0) 1.504.336.50 1.85 2.05
26.04.23 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 3–1 (1–1) 6.004.201.53 1.73 2.10
15.04.23 Chelsea – Brighton 1–2 (1–1) 2.633.402.63 1.94 1.96
08.04.23 Tottenham – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.70 1.85 2.05
04.04.23 Bournemouth – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.201.53 1.80 2.00
01.04.23 Brighton – Brentford 3–3 (2–2) 1.674.005.00 1.73 2.10

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.05.23 Southampton – Fulham 0–2 (0–0) 2.753.302.50 1.91 1.99
08.05.23 Nott'm Forest – Southampton 4–3 (3–1) 2.103.603.40 2.03 1.87
30.04.23 Newcastle – Southampton 3–1 (0–1) 1.305.2510.00 1.73 2.10
27.04.23 Southampton – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.03 1.87
21.04.23 Arsenal – Southampton 3–3 (1–2) 1.207.0013.00 1.50 2.63
15.04.23 Southampton – Crystal Palace 0–2 (0–0) 2.803.102.70 2.30 1.62
08.04.23 Southampton – Man City 1–4 (0–1) 11.006.001.25 1.62 2.30
02.04.23 West Ham – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.605.00 2.00 1.80
18.03.23 Southampton – Tottenham 3–3 (0–1) 4.753.601.75 2.06 1.84
15.03.23 Southampton – Brentford 0–2 (0–1) 2.883.252.50 2.10 1.73

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.05.23 Brighton – Everton 1–5 (0–3) 1.335.259.00 1.57 2.38
04.05.23 Brighton – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.503.75 1.57 2.38
29.04.23 Brighton – Wolves 6–0 (4–0) 1.504.336.50 1.85 2.05
01.04.23 Brighton – Brentford 3–3 (2–2) 1.674.005.00 1.73 2.10
15.03.23 Brighton – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.208.00 1.93 1.97
04.03.23 Brighton – West Ham 4–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.95 1.95
18.02.23 Brighton – Fulham 0–1 (0–0) 1.653.805.50 1.73 2.10
04.02.23 Brighton – Bournemouth 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.50 1.73 2.10
14.01.23 Brighton – Liverpool 3–0 (0–0) 3.403.602.10 1.57 2.38
31.12.22 Brighton – Arsenal 2–4 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 1.89 2.04

Southampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.05.23 Nott'm Forest – Southampton 4–3 (3–1) 2.103.603.40 2.03 1.87
30.04.23 Newcastle – Southampton 3–1 (0–1) 1.305.2510.00 1.73 2.10
21.04.23 Arsenal – Southampton 3–3 (1–2) 1.207.0013.00 1.50 2.63
02.04.23 West Ham – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.605.00 2.00 1.80
12.03.23 Man United – Southampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.365.009.00 1.62 2.30
25.02.23 Leeds – Southampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.05 1.85
18.02.23 Chelsea – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 1.404.758.50 1.98 1.92
04.02.23 Brentford – Southampton 3–0 (2–0) 1.853.604.20 2.04 1.86
14.01.23 Everton – Southampton 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
31.12.22 Fulham – Southampton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.603.75 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsSouthampton wins
3matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.22E0 Southampton – Brighton 1–3 (0–2) 3.303.502.15 1.94 1.96
24.04.22E0 Brighton – Southampton 2–2 (2–1) 2.103.403.60 2.02 1.88
04.12.21E0 Southampton – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 35 27 4 4 92 31 +61 85
2 Arsenal 37 25 6 6 83 43 +40 81
3 Newcastle 36 19 12 5 67 32 +35 69
4 Man United 36 21 6 9 52 41 +11 69
5 Liverpool 37 19 9 9 71 43 +28 66
6 Brighton 35 17 7 11 67 49 +18 58
7 Aston Villa 37 17 7 13 49 45 +4 58
8 Tottenham 37 17 6 14 66 62 +4 57
9 Brentford 37 14 14 9 57 46 +11 56
10 Fulham 37 15 7 15 54 51 +3 52
11 Crystal Palace 37 11 11 15 39 48 -9 44
12 Chelsea 35 11 10 14 36 41 -5 43
13 Wolves 37 11 8 18 31 53 -22 41
14 West Ham 37 11 7 19 41 53 -12 40
15 Bournemouth 37 11 6 20 37 70 -33 39
16 Nott'm Forest 37 9 10 18 37 67 -30 37
17 Everton 37 7 12 18 33 57 -24 33
18 Leeds 37 7 10 20 47 74 -27 31
19 Leicester 36 8 6 22 49 67 -18 30
20 Southampton 36 6 6 24 31 66 -35 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 18 16 1 1 59 17 +42 49
2 Liverpool 19 13 5 1 46 17 +29 44
3 Arsenal 18 13 3 2 48 25 +23 42
4 Man United 17 13 3 1 30 8 +22 42
5 Newcastle 18 11 5 2 36 14 +22 38
6 Tottenham 19 12 1 6 37 25 +12 37
7 Aston Villa 18 11 2 5 31 20 +11 35
8 Brentford 18 9 7 2 34 18 +16 34
9 Brighton 17 9 3 5 33 19 +14 30
10 Nott'm Forest 19 8 6 5 27 24 +3 30
11 Wolves 19 9 3 7 19 20 -1 30
12 Fulham 19 8 5 6 31 29 +2 29
13 West Ham 19 8 4 7 26 24 +2 28
14 Crystal Palace 18 7 6 5 20 22 -2 27
15 Chelsea 18 6 6 6 19 18 +1 24
16 Leeds 18 5 7 6 25 33 -8 22
17 Bournemouth 19 6 4 9 20 28 -8 22
18 Everton 18 5 3 10 15 27 -12 18
19 Leicester 18 4 4 10 21 26 -5 16
20 Southampton 18 2 4 12 15 33 -18 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 19 12 3 4 35 18 +17 39
2 Man City 17 11 3 3 33 14 +19 36
3 Newcastle 18 8 7 3 31 18 +13 31
4 Brighton 18 8 4 6 34 30 +4 28
5 Man United 19 8 3 8 22 33 -11 27
6 Fulham 18 7 2 9 23 22 +1 23
7 Aston Villa 19 6 5 8 18 25 -7 23
8 Liverpool 18 6 4 8 25 26 -1 22
9 Brentford 19 5 7 7 23 28 -5 22
10 Tottenham 18 5 5 8 29 37 -8 20
11 Chelsea 17 5 4 8 17 23 -6 19
12 Crystal Palace 19 4 5 10 19 26 -7 17
13 Bournemouth 18 5 2 11 17 42 -25 17
14 Everton 19 2 9 8 18 30 -12 15
15 Leicester 18 4 2 12 28 41 -13 14
16 Southampton 18 4 2 12 16 33 -17 14
17 West Ham 18 3 3 12 15 29 -14 12
18 Wolves 18 2 5 11 12 33 -21 11
19 Leeds 19 2 3 14 22 41 -19 9
20 Nott'm Forest 18 1 4 13 10 43 -33 7

Brighton   Southampton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 35 10 25 2.6 0.9 27 4 4 92 31 85
2 2 Arsenal 37 12 25 2.2 1.2 25 6 6 83 43 81
3 10 Fulham 37 13 24 1.5 1.4 15 7 15 54 51 52
4 18 Leeds 37 13 24 1.3 2.0 7 10 20 47 74 31
5 6 Brighton 35 12 23 1.9 1.4 17 7 11 67 49 58
6 19 Leicester 36 13 23 1.4 1.9 8 6 22 49 67 30
7 5 Liverpool 37 15 22 1.9 1.2 19 9 9 71 43 66
8 8 Tottenham 37 15 22 1.8 1.7 17 6 14 66 62 57
9 3 Newcastle 36 18 18 1.9 0.9 19 12 5 67 32 69
10 15 Bournemouth 37 19 18 1.0 1.9 11 6 20 37 70 39
11 20 Southampton 36 18 18 0.9 1.8 6 6 24 31 66 24
12 4 Man United 36 19 17 1.4 1.1 21 6 9 52 41 69
13 7 Aston Villa 37 20 17 1.3 1.2 17 7 13 49 45 58
14 9 Brentford 37 20 17 1.5 1.2 14 14 9 57 46 56
15 16 Nott'm Forest 37 20 17 1.0 1.8 9 10 18 37 67 37
16 17 Everton 37 21 16 0.9 1.5 7 12 18 33 57 33
17 11 Crystal Palace 37 22 15 1.1 1.3 11 11 15 39 48 44
18 12 Chelsea 35 20 15 1.0 1.2 11 10 14 36 41 43
19 13 Wolves 37 23 14 0.8 1.4 11 8 18 31 53 41
20 14 West Ham 37 23 14 1.1 1.4 11 7 19 41 53 40
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 18 2 16 3.3 0.9 16 1 1 59 17 49
2 2 Arsenal 18 2 16 2.7 1.4 13 3 2 48 25 42
3 10 Fulham 19 5 14 1.6 1.5 8 5 6 31 29 29
4 8 Tottenham 19 8 11 1.9 1.3 12 1 6 37 25 37
5 18 Leeds 18 7 11 1.4 1.8 5 7 6 25 33 22
6 19 Leicester 18 7 11 1.2 1.4 4 4 10 21 26 16
7 5 Liverpool 19 9 10 2.4 0.9 13 5 1 46 17 44
8 7 Aston Villa 18 8 10 1.7 1.1 11 2 5 31 20 35
9 4 Man United 17 8 9 1.8 0.5 13 3 1 30 8 42
10 6 Brighton 17 8 9 1.9 1.1 9 3 5 33 19 30
11 9 Brentford 18 9 9 1.9 1.0 9 7 2 34 18 34
12 15 Bournemouth 19 10 9 1.1 1.5 6 4 9 20 28 22
13 11 Crystal Palace 18 10 8 1.1 1.2 7 6 5 20 22 27
14 17 Everton 18 10 8 0.8 1.5 5 3 10 15 27 18
15 20 Southampton 18 10 8 0.8 1.8 2 4 12 15 33 10
16 3 Newcastle 18 11 7 2.0 0.8 11 5 2 36 14 38
17 12 Chelsea 18 11 7 1.1 1.0 6 6 6 19 18 24
18 14 West Ham 19 12 7 1.4 1.3 8 4 7 26 24 28
19 16 Nott'm Forest 19 12 7 1.4 1.3 8 6 5 27 24 30
20 13 Wolves 19 14 5 1.0 1.1 9 3 7 19 20 30
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Brighton 18 4 14 1.9 1.7 8 4 6 34 30 28
2 18 Leeds 19 6 13 1.2 2.2 2 3 14 22 41 9
3 5 Liverpool 18 6 12 1.4 1.4 6 4 8 25 26 22
4 19 Leicester 18 6 12 1.6 2.3 4 2 12 28 41 14
5 3 Newcastle 18 7 11 1.7 1.0 8 7 3 31 18 31
6 8 Tottenham 18 7 11 1.6 2.1 5 5 8 29 37 20
7 10 Fulham 18 8 10 1.3 1.2 7 2 9 23 22 23
8 16 Nott'm Forest 18 8 10 0.6 2.4 1 4 13 10 43 7
9 20 Southampton 18 8 10 0.9 1.8 4 2 12 16 33 14
10 1 Man City 17 8 9 1.9 0.8 11 3 3 33 14 36
11 2 Arsenal 19 10 9 1.8 0.9 12 3 4 35 18 39
12 13 Wolves 18 9 9 0.7 1.8 2 5 11 12 33 11
13 15 Bournemouth 18 9 9 0.9 2.3 5 2 11 17 42 17
14 4 Man United 19 11 8 1.2 1.7 8 3 8 22 33 27
15 9 Brentford 19 11 8 1.2 1.5 5 7 7 23 28 22
16 12 Chelsea 17 9 8 1.0 1.4 5 4 8 17 23 19
17 17 Everton 19 11 8 0.9 1.6 2 9 8 18 30 15
18 7 Aston Villa 19 12 7 0.9 1.3 6 5 8 18 25 23
19 11 Crystal Palace 19 12 7 1.0 1.4 4 5 10 19 26 17
20 14 West Ham 18 11 7 0.8 1.6 3 3 12 15 29 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51