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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: D England

Brighton 3–0 Liverpool

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 3.40 fair 2.22
Draw 3.60 fair 4.35
Away 2.10 fair 3.13
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.69
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.59

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Liverpool
16 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 1
8 Fouls 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (179 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.57
Expected goals 1.78 – 1.47
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawLiverpool
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.2% 2–1 9% 1–2 7.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.59points / match
1.88scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 32:25
Liverpool before this match, all matches
1.65points / match
2.00scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 34:22
Brighton all matches all matches Liverpool

Per match

1.88 Goals scored 2.00
1.47 Goals conceded 1.29
3.35 Total goals 3.29
13.53 Shots 17.24
5.53 Shots on target 6.35
10.12 Shots faced 9.94
5.94 Corners 7.29
4.12 Corners against 3.29
10.65 Fouls 8.76
1.47 Yellow cards 0.88
0.94 1st-half goals scored 1.06
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

47% Wins 47%
18% Draws 24%
35% Losses 29%
88% Over 0.5 goals 94%
76% Over 1.5 goals 76%
65% Over 2.5 goals 71%
47% Over 3.5 goals 41%
35% Over 4.5 goals 18%
18% Over 5.5 goals 12%
65% Both teams scored 71%
24% Clean sheets 24%
24% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 35%
41% Draws 24%
24% Losses 41%
76% Over 0.5 goals 82%
53% Over 1.5 goals 53%
24% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Liverpool all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
1.38points / match
1.63scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:10
Liverpool before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.38scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:13
Brighton at home away Liverpool

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 1.38
1.25 Goals conceded 1.63
2.88 Total goals 3.00
14.63 Shots 14.88
6.13 Shots on target 6.00
8.50 Shots faced 11.50
7.88 Corners 6.63
3.13 Corners against 4.00
10.00 Fouls 9.25
1.88 Yellow cards 1.13
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

38% Wins 25%
25% Draws 25%
38% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 88%
50% Over 1.5 goals 75%
50% Over 2.5 goals 75%
38% Over 3.5 goals 50%
38% Over 4.5 goals 13%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 75%
38% Clean sheets 13%
38% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 25%
63% Draws 25%
25% Losses 50%
63% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Liverpool away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.01.23 Everton – Brighton 1–4 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 2.02 1.88
31.12.22 Brighton – Arsenal 2–4 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 1.89 2.04
26.12.22 Southampton – Brighton 1–3 (0–2) 3.303.502.15 1.94 1.96
13.11.22 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.754.20 1.96 1.94
05.11.22 Wolves – Brighton 2–3 (2–2) 3.303.302.25 2.10 1.72
29.10.22 Brighton – Chelsea 4–1 (3–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 Man City – Brighton 3–1 (2–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
18.10.22 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.72 2.10
14.10.22 Brentford – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 1.97 1.93
08.10.22 Brighton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.50 1.88 2.02

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.23 Brentford – Liverpool 3–1 (2–0) 5.504.331.55 1.57 2.38
30.12.22 Liverpool – Leicester 2–1 (2–1) 1.296.009.50 1.44 2.75
26.12.22 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
12.11.22 Liverpool – Southampton 3–1 (3–1) 1.256.5011.00 1.40 3.00
06.11.22 Tottenham – Liverpool 1–2 (0–2) 3.303.602.10 1.66 2.20
29.10.22 Liverpool – Leeds 1–2 (1–1) 1.306.009.00 1.36 3.20
22.10.22 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 1–0 (0–0) 11.006.001.25 1.50 2.62
19.10.22 Liverpool – West Ham 1–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.00 1.50 2.62
16.10.22 Liverpool – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 3.604.001.90 1.44 2.75
09.10.22 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–2 (2–1) 2.503.602.62 1.57 2.37

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.12.22 Brighton – Arsenal 2–4 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 1.89 2.04
13.11.22 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.754.20 1.96 1.94
29.10.22 Brighton – Chelsea 4–1 (3–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.72
18.10.22 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.72 2.10
08.10.22 Brighton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.50 1.88 2.02
04.09.22 Brighton – Leicester 5–2 (2–2) 1.833.504.50 2.01 1.89
27.08.22 Brighton – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.803.80 1.88 2.02
13.08.22 Brighton – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.72
22.05.22 Brighton – West Ham 3–1 (0–1) 2.373.502.90 1.72 2.10
07.05.22 Brighton – Man United 4–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.95 1.95

Liverpool away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.23 Brentford – Liverpool 3–1 (2–0) 5.504.331.55 1.57 2.38
26.12.22 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
06.11.22 Tottenham – Liverpool 1–2 (0–2) 3.303.602.10 1.66 2.20
22.10.22 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 1–0 (0–0) 11.006.001.25 1.50 2.62
09.10.22 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–2 (2–1) 2.503.602.62 1.57 2.37
03.09.22 Everton – Liverpool 0–0 (0–0) 7.004.751.40 1.57 2.37
22.08.22 Man United – Liverpool 2–1 (1–0) 5.254.331.60 1.50 2.62
06.08.22 Fulham – Liverpool 2–2 (1–0) 11.006.001.25 1.50 2.62
17.05.22 Southampton – Liverpool 1–2 (1–1) 7.505.501.33 1.44 2.75
10.05.22 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–2 (1–1) 7.504.751.40 1.61 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsLiverpool wins
3matches
4.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.22E0 Liverpool – Brighton 3–3 (1–2) 1.335.258.50 1.53 2.50
12.03.22E0 Brighton – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.331.50 1.72 2.10
30.10.21E0 Liverpool – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 1.226.5013.00 1.53 2.50

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 14 2 1 40 14 +26 44
2 Man City 18 12 3 3 46 18 +28 39
3 Man United 18 12 2 4 29 21 +8 38
4 Newcastle 18 9 8 1 32 11 +21 35
5 Tottenham 18 10 3 5 37 25 +12 33
6 Fulham 19 9 4 6 32 28 +4 31
7 Liverpool 17 8 4 5 34 22 +12 28
8 Brighton 17 8 3 6 32 25 +7 27
9 Brentford 18 6 8 4 30 28 +2 26
10 Chelsea 18 7 4 7 21 21 0 25
11 Aston Villa 19 7 4 8 22 27 -5 25
12 Crystal Palace 17 6 4 7 17 25 -8 22
13 Leicester 18 5 2 11 26 31 -5 17
14 Leeds 18 4 5 9 26 33 -7 17
15 Nott'm Forest 18 4 5 9 13 34 -21 17
16 Bournemouth 18 4 4 10 18 39 -21 16
17 West Ham 18 4 3 11 15 24 -9 15
18 Everton 18 3 6 9 14 24 -10 15
19 Wolves 18 3 5 10 11 27 -16 14
20 Southampton 18 3 3 12 15 33 -18 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 9 7 1 1 31 10 +21 22
2 Arsenal 8 7 1 0 22 8 +14 22
3 Man United 9 7 1 1 17 5 +12 22
4 Liverpool 9 6 2 1 23 9 +14 20
5 Newcastle 9 5 4 0 17 5 +12 19
6 Tottenham 9 6 0 3 21 13 +8 18
7 Fulham 10 5 3 2 18 15 +3 18
8 Aston Villa 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17
9 Brentford 9 4 4 1 18 10 +8 16
10 Chelsea 8 4 2 2 12 7 +5 14
11 Crystal Palace 9 4 1 4 10 15 -5 13
12 Leeds 9 3 3 3 15 14 +1 12
13 Nott'm Forest 9 3 3 3 11 12 -1 12
14 Brighton 8 3 2 3 13 10 +3 11
15 Bournemouth 9 3 2 4 9 10 -1 11
16 West Ham 9 3 1 5 9 12 -3 10
17 Leicester 9 2 2 5 9 10 -1 8
18 Everton 9 2 2 5 8 12 -4 8
19 Wolves 9 2 2 5 5 14 -9 8
20 Southampton 9 1 3 5 9 16 -7 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 9 7 1 1 18 6 +12 22
2 Man City 9 5 2 2 15 8 +7 17
3 Newcastle 9 4 4 1 15 6 +9 16
4 Brighton 9 5 1 3 19 15 +4 16
5 Man United 9 5 1 3 12 16 -4 16
6 Tottenham 9 4 3 2 16 12 +4 15
7 Fulham 9 4 1 4 14 13 +1 13
8 Chelsea 10 3 2 5 9 14 -5 11
9 Brentford 9 2 4 3 12 18 -6 10
10 Crystal Palace 8 2 3 3 7 10 -3 9
11 Leicester 9 3 0 6 17 21 -4 9
12 Liverpool 8 2 2 4 11 13 -2 8
13 Aston Villa 9 2 2 5 7 16 -9 8
14 Everton 9 1 4 4 6 12 -6 7
15 Wolves 9 1 3 5 6 13 -7 6
16 Southampton 9 2 0 7 6 17 -11 6
17 West Ham 9 1 2 6 6 12 -6 5
18 Leeds 9 1 2 6 11 19 -8 5
19 Bournemouth 9 1 2 6 9 29 -20 5
20 Nott'm Forest 9 1 2 6 2 22 -20 5

Brighton   Liverpool

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Fulham 19 3 16 1.7 1.5 9 4 6 32 28 31
2 2 Man City 18 6 12 2.6 1.0 12 3 3 46 18 39
3 7 Liverpool 17 5 12 2.0 1.3 8 4 5 34 22 28
4 14 Leeds 18 6 12 1.4 1.8 4 5 9 26 33 17
5 1 Arsenal 17 6 11 2.4 0.8 14 2 1 40 14 44
6 3 Man United 18 7 11 1.6 1.2 12 2 4 29 21 38
7 5 Tottenham 18 7 11 2.1 1.4 10 3 5 37 25 33
8 8 Brighton 17 6 11 1.9 1.5 8 3 6 32 25 27
9 9 Brentford 18 7 11 1.7 1.6 6 8 4 30 28 26
10 13 Leicester 18 7 11 1.4 1.7 5 2 11 26 31 17
11 11 Aston Villa 19 9 10 1.2 1.4 7 4 8 22 27 25
12 16 Bournemouth 18 8 10 1.0 2.2 4 4 10 18 39 16
13 20 Southampton 18 8 10 0.8 1.8 3 3 12 15 33 12
14 10 Chelsea 18 9 9 1.2 1.2 7 4 7 21 21 25
15 12 Crystal Palace 17 8 9 1.0 1.5 6 4 7 17 25 22
16 4 Newcastle 18 10 8 1.8 0.6 9 8 1 32 11 35
17 15 Nott'm Forest 18 11 7 0.7 1.9 4 5 9 13 34 17
18 18 Everton 18 11 7 0.8 1.3 3 6 9 14 24 15
19 19 Wolves 18 11 7 0.6 1.5 3 5 10 11 27 14
20 17 West Ham 18 13 5 0.8 1.3 4 3 11 15 24 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Fulham 10 1 9 1.8 1.5 5 3 2 18 15 18
2 2 Man City 9 1 8 3.4 1.1 7 1 1 31 10 22
3 1 Arsenal 8 1 7 2.8 1.0 7 1 0 22 8 22
4 3 Man United 9 3 6 1.9 0.6 7 1 1 17 5 22
5 5 Tottenham 9 3 6 2.3 1.4 6 0 3 21 13 18
6 7 Liverpool 9 3 6 2.6 1.0 6 2 1 23 9 20
7 12 Crystal Palace 9 3 6 1.1 1.7 4 1 4 10 15 13
8 14 Leeds 9 3 6 1.7 1.6 3 3 3 15 14 12
9 9 Brentford 9 4 5 2.0 1.1 4 4 1 18 10 16
10 11 Aston Villa 10 5 5 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17
11 20 Southampton 9 4 5 1.0 1.8 1 3 5 9 16 6
12 8 Brighton 8 4 4 1.6 1.2 3 2 3 13 10 11
13 10 Chelsea 8 4 4 1.5 0.9 4 2 2 12 7 14
14 13 Leicester 9 5 4 1.0 1.1 2 2 5 9 10 8
15 16 Bournemouth 9 5 4 1.0 1.1 3 2 4 9 10 11
16 18 Everton 9 5 4 0.9 1.3 2 2 5 8 12 8
17 4 Newcastle 9 6 3 1.9 0.6 5 4 0 17 5 19
18 15 Nott'm Forest 9 6 3 1.2 1.3 3 3 3 11 12 12
19 19 Wolves 9 6 3 0.6 1.6 2 2 5 5 14 8
20 17 West Ham 9 7 2 1.0 1.3 3 1 5 9 12 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Fulham 9 2 7 1.6 1.4 4 1 4 14 13 13
2 8 Brighton 9 2 7 2.1 1.7 5 1 3 19 15 16
3 13 Leicester 9 2 7 1.9 2.3 3 0 6 17 21 9
4 7 Liverpool 8 2 6 1.4 1.6 2 2 4 11 13 8
5 9 Brentford 9 3 6 1.3 2.0 2 4 3 12 18 10
6 14 Leeds 9 3 6 1.2 2.1 1 2 6 11 19 5
7 16 Bournemouth 9 3 6 1.0 3.2 1 2 6 9 29 5
8 3 Man United 9 4 5 1.3 1.8 5 1 3 12 16 16
9 4 Newcastle 9 4 5 1.7 0.7 4 4 1 15 6 16
10 5 Tottenham 9 4 5 1.8 1.3 4 3 2 16 12 15
11 10 Chelsea 10 5 5 0.9 1.4 3 2 5 9 14 11
12 11 Aston Villa 9 4 5 0.8 1.8 2 2 5 7 16 8
13 20 Southampton 9 4 5 0.7 1.9 2 0 7 6 17 6
14 1 Arsenal 9 5 4 2.0 0.7 7 1 1 18 6 22
15 2 Man City 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 5 2 2 15 8 17
16 15 Nott'm Forest 9 5 4 0.2 2.4 1 2 6 2 22 5
17 19 Wolves 9 5 4 0.7 1.4 1 3 5 6 13 6
18 12 Crystal Palace 8 5 3 0.9 1.2 2 3 3 7 10 9
19 17 West Ham 9 6 3 0.7 1.3 1 2 6 6 12 5
20 18 Everton 9 6 3 0.7 1.3 1 4 4 6 12 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51