Newcastle 4–1 Brighton – England Premier League, 18 May 2023

Match facts

Newcastle Brighton

22 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 2

6 Corners 1

17 Fouls 16

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (357 league matches this season so far).

Result Newcastle to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.67

Expected goals 1.83 – 1.26

Home / Draw / Away

51% 23% 26%

NewcastleDrawBrighton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

41% 60%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

40% 60%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

20% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.5% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches

1.89points / match

1.80scored / match

0.89conceded / match

18 12 5

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 63:31

Brighton before this match, all matches

1.71points / match

1.94scored / match

1.32conceded / match

17 7 10

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 66:45

Newcastle all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.94

0.89 Goals conceded 1.32

2.69 Total goals 3.26

14.66 Shots 16.18

5.14 Shots on target 6.18

10.17 Shots faced 9.88

7.11 Corners 6.47

4.31 Corners against 3.59

10.54 Fouls 10.88

1.51 Yellow cards 1.38

0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.88

0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

51% Wins 50%

34% Draws 21%

14% Losses 29%

83% Over 0.5 goals 94%

74% Over 1.5 goals 76%

49% Over 2.5 goals 65%

29% Over 3.5 goals 44%

20% Over 4.5 goals 26%

11% Over 5.5 goals 18%

51% Both teams scored 56%

37% Clean sheets 35%

29% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 29%

43% Draws 56%

20% Losses 15%

69% Over 0.5 goals 71%

34% Over 1.5 goals 50%

14% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches

2

1

W

2

W

5

1

W

2

1

W

3

L

6

1

W

4

1

W

3

1

W

2

L

2

D

Brighton all matches

1

W

3

D

2

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

3

L

6

W

1

W

1

5

L

3

W

Newcastle before this match, at home

2.06points / match

1.88scored / match

0.76conceded / match

10 5 2

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 32:13

Brighton before this match, away

1.65points / match

1.94scored / match

1.53conceded / match

8 4 5

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 33:26

Newcastle at home away Brighton

Per match

1.88 Goals scored 1.94

0.76 Goals conceded 1.53

2.65 Total goals 3.47

17.53 Shots 14.41

5.71 Shots on target 5.35

8.47 Shots faced 11.06

8.06 Corners 5.06

3.24 Corners against 4.24

10.71 Fouls 10.94

1.47 Yellow cards 1.12

0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.94

0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

59% Wins 47%

29% Draws 24%

12% Losses 29%

88% Over 0.5 goals 100%

71% Over 1.5 goals 100%

35% Over 2.5 goals 76%

29% Over 3.5 goals 47%

18% Over 4.5 goals 18%

18% Over 5.5 goals 6%

41% Both teams scored 76%

47% Clean sheets 18%

24% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 35%

47% Draws 53%

18% Losses 12%

59% Over 0.5 goals 82%

29% Over 1.5 goals 59%

12% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home

1

W

D

1

W

1

D

2

L

2

1

W

2

W

6

1

W

3

1

W

2

L

Brighton away

3

1

W

4

1

W

2

D

1

D

2

D

2

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

3

L

3

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.05.23	Leeds – Newcastle	2–2 (1–1)	4.33	4.20	1.70	1.62	2.30
07.05.23	Newcastle – Arsenal	0–2 (0–1)	2.45	3.75	2.63	1.62	2.30
30.04.23	Newcastle – Southampton	3–1 (0–1)	1.30	5.25	10.00	1.73	2.10
27.04.23	Everton – Newcastle	1–4 (0–1)	4.75	3.60	1.73	2.00	1.80
23.04.23	Newcastle – Tottenham	6–1 (5–0)	1.83	3.75	4.20	1.86	2.04
15.04.23	Aston Villa – Newcastle	3–0 (1–0)	3.60	3.40	2.05	2.07	1.83
08.04.23	Brentford – Newcastle	1–2 (1–0)	3.60	3.40	2.05	2.03	1.87
05.04.23	West Ham – Newcastle	1–5 (1–2)	3.60	3.25	2.15	2.10	1.73
02.04.23	Newcastle – Man United	2–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.40	2.90	1.95	1.95
17.03.23	Nott'm Forest – Newcastle	1–2 (1–1)	5.50	3.80	1.62	2.07	1.83

Brighton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.05.23	Arsenal – Brighton	0–3 (0–0)	1.73	4.20	4.20	1.53	2.50
08.05.23	Brighton – Everton	1–5 (0–3)	1.33	5.25	9.00	1.57	2.38
04.05.23	Brighton – Man United	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	3.75	1.57	2.38
29.04.23	Brighton – Wolves	6–0 (4–0)	1.50	4.33	6.50	1.85	2.05
26.04.23	Nott'm Forest – Brighton	3–1 (1–1)	6.00	4.20	1.53	1.73	2.10
15.04.23	Chelsea – Brighton	1–2 (1–1)	2.63	3.40	2.63	1.94	1.96
08.04.23	Tottenham – Brighton	2–1 (1–1)	2.55	3.50	2.70	1.85	2.05
04.04.23	Bournemouth – Brighton	0–2 (0–1)	6.00	4.20	1.53	1.80	2.00
01.04.23	Brighton – Brentford	3–3 (2–2)	1.67	4.00	5.00	1.73	2.10
15.03.23	Brighton – Crystal Palace	1–0 (1–0)	1.44	4.20	8.00	1.93	1.97

Newcastle at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.05.23	Newcastle – Arsenal	0–2 (0–1)	2.45	3.75	2.63	1.62	2.30
30.04.23	Newcastle – Southampton	3–1 (0–1)	1.30	5.25	10.00	1.73	2.10
23.04.23	Newcastle – Tottenham	6–1 (5–0)	1.83	3.75	4.20	1.86	2.04
02.04.23	Newcastle – Man United	2–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.40	2.90	1.95	1.95
12.03.23	Newcastle – Wolves	2–1 (1–0)	1.65	3.75	5.50	2.20	1.67
18.02.23	Newcastle – Liverpool	0–2 (0–2)	2.50	3.50	2.70	1.80	2.00
04.02.23	Newcastle – West Ham	1–1 (1–1)	1.60	3.80	6.00	2.00	1.80
15.01.23	Newcastle – Fulham	1–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.33	6.50	1.73	2.10
31.12.22	Newcastle – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	1.45	4.50	7.00	1.62	2.30
12.11.22	Newcastle – Chelsea	1–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.40	3.00	1.98	1.92

Brighton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.05.23	Arsenal – Brighton	0–3 (0–0)	1.73	4.20	4.20	1.53	2.50
26.04.23	Nott'm Forest – Brighton	3–1 (1–1)	6.00	4.20	1.53	1.73	2.10
15.04.23	Chelsea – Brighton	1–2 (1–1)	2.63	3.40	2.63	1.94	1.96
08.04.23	Tottenham – Brighton	2–1 (1–1)	2.55	3.50	2.70	1.85	2.05
04.04.23	Bournemouth – Brighton	0–2 (0–1)	6.00	4.20	1.53	1.80	2.00
11.03.23	Leeds – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	3.75	3.60	1.95	1.89	2.04
11.02.23	Crystal Palace – Brighton	1–1 (0–0)	3.80	3.50	2.00	2.00	1.80
21.01.23	Leicester – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.86	2.04
03.01.23	Everton – Brighton	1–4 (0–1)	3.50	3.50	2.10	2.02	1.88
26.12.22	Southampton – Brighton	1–3 (0–2)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.94	1.96

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Newcastle winsDrawsBrighton wins

3matches

1.67goals / match

33%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.08.22E0	Brighton – Newcastle	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.20	3.00	2.10	1.72
05.03.22E0	Newcastle – Brighton	2–1 (2–0)	2.75	3.20	2.62	2.30	1.61
06.11.21E0	Brighton – Newcastle	1–1 (1–0)	1.57	3.90	6.00	1.90	1.90

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	35	27	4	4	92	31	+61	85
2	Arsenal	36	25	6	5	83	42	+41	81
3	Newcastle	35	18	12	5	63	31	+32	66
4	Man United	35	20	6	9	51	41	+10	66
5	Liverpool	36	19	8	9	70	42	+28	65
6	Brighton	34	17	7	10	66	45	+21	58
7	Tottenham	36	17	6	13	65	59	+6	57
8	Aston Villa	36	17	6	13	48	44	+4	57
9	Brentford	36	13	14	9	54	45	+9	53
10	Fulham	36	15	6	15	52	49	+3	51
11	Chelsea	35	11	10	14	36	41	-5	43
12	Crystal Palace	36	11	10	15	37	46	-9	43
13	Wolves	36	11	7	18	30	52	-22	40
14	Bournemouth	36	11	6	19	37	69	-32	39
15	West Ham	36	10	7	19	38	52	-14	37
16	Nott'm Forest	36	8	10	18	36	67	-31	34
17	Everton	36	7	11	18	32	56	-24	32
18	Leeds	36	7	10	19	46	71	-25	31
19	Leicester	36	8	6	22	49	67	-18	30
20	Southampton	36	6	6	24	31	66	-35	24

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	18	16	1	1	59	17	+42	49
2	Liverpool	18	13	4	1	45	16	+29	43
3	Arsenal	18	13	3	2	48	25	+23	42
4	Man United	17	13	3	1	30	8	+22	42
5	Tottenham	18	12	1	5	36	22	+14	37
6	Newcastle	17	10	5	2	32	13	+19	35
7	Aston Villa	18	11	2	5	31	20	+11	35
8	Brentford	18	9	7	2	34	18	+16	34
9	Brighton	17	9	3	5	33	19	+14	30
10	Wolves	18	9	2	7	18	19	-1	29
11	Fulham	18	8	4	6	29	27	+2	28
12	Nott'm Forest	18	7	6	5	26	24	+2	27
13	Crystal Palace	18	7	6	5	20	22	-2	27
14	West Ham	18	7	4	7	23	23	0	25
15	Chelsea	18	6	6	6	19	18	+1	24
16	Bournemouth	18	6	4	8	20	27	-7	22
17	Leeds	18	5	7	6	25	33	-8	22
18	Everton	18	5	3	10	15	27	-12	18
19	Leicester	18	4	4	10	21	26	-5	16
20	Southampton	18	2	4	12	15	33	-18	10

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	18	12	3	3	35	17	+18	39
2	Man City	17	11	3	3	33	14	+19	36
3	Newcastle	18	8	7	3	31	18	+13	31
4	Brighton	17	8	4	5	33	26	+7	28
5	Man United	18	7	3	8	21	33	-12	24
6	Fulham	18	7	2	9	23	22	+1	23
7	Liverpool	18	6	4	8	25	26	-1	22
8	Aston Villa	18	6	4	8	17	24	-7	22
9	Tottenham	18	5	5	8	29	37	-8	20
10	Chelsea	17	5	4	8	17	23	-6	19
11	Brentford	18	4	7	7	20	27	-7	19
12	Bournemouth	18	5	2	11	17	42	-25	17
13	Crystal Palace	18	4	4	10	17	24	-7	16
14	Everton	18	2	8	8	17	29	-12	14
15	Leicester	18	4	2	12	28	41	-13	14
16	Southampton	18	4	2	12	16	33	-17	14
17	West Ham	18	3	3	12	15	29	-14	12
18	Wolves	18	2	5	11	12	33	-21	11
19	Leeds	18	2	3	13	21	38	-17	9
20	Nott'm Forest	18	1	4	13	10	43	-33	7

Newcastle Brighton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Man City	35	10	25	2.6	0.9	27	4	4	92	31	85
2	2	Arsenal	36	11	25	2.3	1.2	25	6	5	83	42	81
3	10	Fulham	36	13	23	1.4	1.4	15	6	15	52	49	51
4	18	Leeds	36	13	23	1.3	2.0	7	10	19	46	71	31
5	19	Leicester	36	13	23	1.4	1.9	8	6	22	49	67	30
6	5	Liverpool	36	14	22	1.9	1.2	19	8	9	70	42	65
7	6	Brighton	34	12	22	1.9	1.3	17	7	10	66	45	58
8	7	Tottenham	36	15	21	1.8	1.6	17	6	13	65	59	57
9	14	Bournemouth	36	18	18	1.0	1.9	11	6	19	37	69	39
10	20	Southampton	36	18	18	0.9	1.8	6	6	24	31	66	24
11	3	Newcastle	35	18	17	1.8	0.9	18	12	5	63	31	66
12	4	Man United	35	18	17	1.5	1.2	20	6	9	51	41	66
13	8	Aston Villa	36	19	17	1.3	1.2	17	6	13	48	44	57
14	16	Nott'm Forest	36	19	17	1.0	1.9	8	10	18	36	67	34
15	9	Brentford	36	20	16	1.5	1.2	13	14	9	54	45	53
16	17	Everton	36	20	16	0.9	1.6	7	11	18	32	56	32
17	11	Chelsea	35	20	15	1.0	1.2	11	10	14	36	41	43
18	12	Crystal Palace	36	22	14	1.0	1.3	11	10	15	37	46	43
19	13	Wolves	36	22	14	0.8	1.4	11	7	18	30	52	40
20	15	West Ham	36	23	13	1.1	1.4	10	7	19	38	52	37

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Man City	18	2	16	3.3	0.9	16	1	1	59	17	49
2	2	Arsenal	18	2	16	2.7	1.4	13	3	2	48	25	42
3	10	Fulham	18	5	13	1.6	1.5	8	4	6	29	27	28
4	18	Leeds	18	7	11	1.4	1.8	5	7	6	25	33	22
5	19	Leicester	18	7	11	1.2	1.4	4	4	10	21	26	16
6	5	Liverpool	18	8	10	2.5	0.9	13	4	1	45	16	43
7	7	Tottenham	18	8	10	2.0	1.2	12	1	5	36	22	37
8	8	Aston Villa	18	8	10	1.7	1.1	11	2	5	31	20	35
9	4	Man United	17	8	9	1.8	0.5	13	3	1	30	8	42
10	6	Brighton	17	8	9	1.9	1.1	9	3	5	33	19	30
11	9	Brentford	18	9	9	1.9	1.0	9	7	2	34	18	34
12	14	Bournemouth	18	9	9	1.1	1.5	6	4	8	20	27	22
13	12	Crystal Palace	18	10	8	1.1	1.2	7	6	5	20	22	27
14	17	Everton	18	10	8	0.8	1.5	5	3	10	15	27	18
15	20	Southampton	18	10	8	0.8	1.8	2	4	12	15	33	10
16	11	Chelsea	18	11	7	1.1	1.0	6	6	6	19	18	24
17	16	Nott'm Forest	18	11	7	1.4	1.3	7	6	5	26	24	27
18	3	Newcastle	17	11	6	1.9	0.8	10	5	2	32	13	35
19	15	West Ham	18	12	6	1.3	1.3	7	4	7	23	23	25
20	13	Wolves	18	13	5	1.0	1.1	9	2	7	18	19	29

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Brighton	17	4	13	1.9	1.5	8	4	5	33	26	28
2	5	Liverpool	18	6	12	1.4	1.4	6	4	8	25	26	22
3	18	Leeds	18	6	12	1.2	2.1	2	3	13	21	38	9
4	19	Leicester	18	6	12	1.6	2.3	4	2	12	28	41	14
5	3	Newcastle	18	7	11	1.7	1.0	8	7	3	31	18	31
6	7	Tottenham	18	7	11	1.6	2.1	5	5	8	29	37	20
7	10	Fulham	18	8	10	1.3	1.2	7	2	9	23	22	23
8	16	Nott'm Forest	18	8	10	0.6	2.4	1	4	13	10	43	7
9	20	Southampton	18	8	10	0.9	1.8	4	2	12	16	33	14
10	1	Man City	17	8	9	1.9	0.8	11	3	3	33	14	36
11	2	Arsenal	18	9	9	1.9	0.9	12	3	3	35	17	39
12	13	Wolves	18	9	9	0.7	1.8	2	5	11	12	33	11
13	14	Bournemouth	18	9	9	0.9	2.3	5	2	11	17	42	17
14	4	Man United	18	10	8	1.2	1.8	7	3	8	21	33	24
15	11	Chelsea	17	9	8	1.0	1.4	5	4	8	17	23	19
16	17	Everton	18	10	8	0.9	1.6	2	8	8	17	29	14
17	8	Aston Villa	18	11	7	0.9	1.3	6	4	8	17	24	22
18	9	Brentford	18	11	7	1.1	1.5	4	7	7	20	27	19
19	15	West Ham	18	11	7	0.8	1.6	3	3	12	15	29	12
20	12	Crystal Palace	18	12	6	0.9	1.3	4	4	10	17	24	16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.