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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Oliver

Man City 1–0 Chelsea

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.25 fair 1.45
Draw 6.00 fair 5.55
Away 11.00 fair 7.63
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.63 fair 2.62
Over 2.5 1.50 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Chelsea
15 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 2
12 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (366 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 2.30 – 0.90
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawChelsea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 10.8% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 9.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
2.43points / match
2.63scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 92:31
Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.23points / match
1.03scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 36:41
Man City all matches all matches Chelsea

Per match

2.63 Goals scored 1.03
0.89 Goals conceded 1.17
3.51 Total goals 2.20
15.94 Shots 12.43
6.00 Shots on target 4.06
7.11 Shots faced 11.20
6.57 Corners 5.51
2.49 Corners against 4.89
9.03 Fouls 10.66
1.20 Yellow cards 2.11
1.29 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.34 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

77% Wins 31%
11% Draws 29%
11% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
86% Over 1.5 goals 66%
71% Over 2.5 goals 43%
46% Over 3.5 goals 20%
26% Over 4.5 goals 3%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 46%
34% Clean sheets 29%
6% Failed to score 37%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 20%
31% Draws 51%
11% Losses 29%
80% Over 0.5 goals 60%
57% Over 1.5 goals 29%
23% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Chelsea all matches
Man City before this match, at home
2.72points / match
3.28scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 59:17
Chelsea before this match, away
1.12points / match
1.00scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 17:23
Man City at home away Chelsea

Per match

3.28 Goals scored 1.00
0.94 Goals conceded 1.35
4.22 Total goals 2.35
16.78 Shots 11.59
6.44 Shots on target 4.12
6.44 Shots faced 11.53
7.39 Corners 5.06
2.17 Corners against 5.18
8.89 Fouls 10.94
1.06 Yellow cards 2.12
1.67 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.39 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

89% Wins 29%
6% Draws 24%
6% Losses 47%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
100% Over 1.5 goals 71%
89% Over 2.5 goals 47%
61% Over 3.5 goals 24%
33% Over 4.5 goals 6%
22% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 53%
33% Clean sheets 24%
0% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 24%
22% Draws 41%
11% Losses 35%
94% Over 0.5 goals 76%
78% Over 1.5 goals 47%
28% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Chelsea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.05.23 Everton – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 9.004.751.36 1.67 2.20
06.05.23 Man City – Leeds 2–1 (2–0) 1.178.5015.00 1.30 3.50
03.05.23 Man City – West Ham 3–0 (0–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
30.04.23 Fulham – Man City 1–2 (1–2) 12.006.001.25 1.53 2.50
26.04.23 Man City – Arsenal 4–1 (2–0) 1.554.505.25 1.62 2.30
15.04.23 Man City – Leicester 3–1 (3–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.33 3.40
08.04.23 Southampton – Man City 1–4 (0–1) 11.006.001.25 1.62 2.30
01.04.23 Man City – Liverpool 4–1 (1–1) 1.624.205.00 1.67 2.20
11.03.23 Crystal Palace – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 9.004.751.36 1.80 2.00
04.03.23 Man City – Newcastle 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.05.23 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (0–1) 1.504.506.00 1.86 2.04
06.05.23 Bournemouth – Chelsea 1–3 (1–1) 3.303.502.15 1.99 1.91
02.05.23 Arsenal – Chelsea 3–1 (3–0) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
26.04.23 Chelsea – Brentford 0–2 (0–1) 1.704.004.75 2.00 1.90
15.04.23 Chelsea – Brighton 1–2 (1–1) 2.633.402.63 1.94 1.96
08.04.23 Wolves – Chelsea 1–0 (1–0) 4.203.501.91 2.20 1.67
04.04.23 Chelsea – Liverpool 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.25 1.95 1.95
01.04.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.97 1.93
18.03.23 Chelsea – Everton 2–2 (0–0) 1.504.207.50 2.10 1.73
11.03.23 Leicester – Chelsea 1–3 (1–2) 3.753.501.95 2.02 1.91

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.05.23 Man City – Leeds 2–1 (2–0) 1.178.5015.00 1.30 3.50
03.05.23 Man City – West Ham 3–0 (0–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
26.04.23 Man City – Arsenal 4–1 (2–0) 1.554.505.25 1.62 2.30
15.04.23 Man City – Leicester 3–1 (3–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.33 3.40
01.04.23 Man City – Liverpool 4–1 (1–1) 1.624.205.00 1.67 2.20
04.03.23 Man City – Newcastle 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
12.02.23 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
22.01.23 Man City – Wolves 3–0 (1–0) 1.208.0011.00 1.50 2.63
19.01.23 Man City – Tottenham 4–2 (0–2) 1.365.008.50 1.53 2.50
31.12.22 Man City – Everton 1–1 (1–0) 1.139.0019.00 1.36 3.20

Chelsea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.05.23 Bournemouth – Chelsea 1–3 (1–1) 3.303.502.15 1.99 1.91
02.05.23 Arsenal – Chelsea 3–1 (3–0) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
08.04.23 Wolves – Chelsea 1–0 (1–0) 4.203.501.91 2.20 1.67
11.03.23 Leicester – Chelsea 1–3 (1–2) 3.753.501.95 2.02 1.91
26.02.23 Tottenham – Chelsea 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.90 2.08 1.82
11.02.23 West Ham – Chelsea 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.302.25 2.20 1.67
21.01.23 Liverpool – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.754.00 1.73 2.10
12.01.23 Fulham – Chelsea 2–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.87 2.03
01.01.23 Nott'm Forest – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 5.003.801.70 2.02 1.91
12.11.22 Newcastle – Chelsea 1–0 (0–0) 2.353.403.00 1.98 1.92

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsChelsea wins
3matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.01.23E0 Chelsea – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.001.67 1.80 2.00
15.01.22E0 Man City – Chelsea 1–0 (0–0) 1.654.005.00 1.85 2.05
25.09.21E0 Chelsea – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 2.623.202.75 2.10 1.72

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 35 27 4 4 92 31 +61 85
2 Arsenal 37 25 6 6 83 43 +40 81
3 Newcastle 36 19 12 5 67 32 +35 69
4 Man United 36 21 6 9 52 41 +11 69
5 Liverpool 37 19 9 9 71 43 +28 66
6 Brighton 36 18 7 11 70 50 +20 61
7 Aston Villa 37 17 7 13 49 45 +4 58
8 Tottenham 37 17 6 14 66 62 +4 57
9 Brentford 37 14 14 9 57 46 +11 56
10 Fulham 37 15 7 15 54 51 +3 52
11 Crystal Palace 37 11 11 15 39 48 -9 44
12 Chelsea 35 11 10 14 36 41 -5 43
13 Wolves 37 11 8 18 31 53 -22 41
14 West Ham 37 11 7 19 41 53 -12 40
15 Bournemouth 37 11 6 20 37 70 -33 39
16 Nott'm Forest 37 9 10 18 37 67 -30 37
17 Everton 37 7 12 18 33 57 -24 33
18 Leeds 37 7 10 20 47 74 -27 31
19 Leicester 36 8 6 22 49 67 -18 30
20 Southampton 37 6 6 25 32 69 -37 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 18 16 1 1 59 17 +42 49
2 Liverpool 19 13 5 1 46 17 +29 44
3 Arsenal 18 13 3 2 48 25 +23 42
4 Man United 17 13 3 1 30 8 +22 42
5 Newcastle 18 11 5 2 36 14 +22 38
6 Tottenham 19 12 1 6 37 25 +12 37
7 Aston Villa 18 11 2 5 31 20 +11 35
8 Brentford 18 9 7 2 34 18 +16 34
9 Brighton 18 10 3 5 36 20 +16 33
10 Nott'm Forest 19 8 6 5 27 24 +3 30
11 Wolves 19 9 3 7 19 20 -1 30
12 Fulham 19 8 5 6 31 29 +2 29
13 West Ham 19 8 4 7 26 24 +2 28
14 Crystal Palace 18 7 6 5 20 22 -2 27
15 Chelsea 18 6 6 6 19 18 +1 24
16 Leeds 18 5 7 6 25 33 -8 22
17 Bournemouth 19 6 4 9 20 28 -8 22
18 Everton 18 5 3 10 15 27 -12 18
19 Leicester 18 4 4 10 21 26 -5 16
20 Southampton 18 2 4 12 15 33 -18 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 19 12 3 4 35 18 +17 39
2 Man City 17 11 3 3 33 14 +19 36
3 Newcastle 18 8 7 3 31 18 +13 31
4 Brighton 18 8 4 6 34 30 +4 28
5 Man United 19 8 3 8 22 33 -11 27
6 Fulham 18 7 2 9 23 22 +1 23
7 Aston Villa 19 6 5 8 18 25 -7 23
8 Liverpool 18 6 4 8 25 26 -1 22
9 Brentford 19 5 7 7 23 28 -5 22
10 Tottenham 18 5 5 8 29 37 -8 20
11 Chelsea 17 5 4 8 17 23 -6 19
12 Crystal Palace 19 4 5 10 19 26 -7 17
13 Bournemouth 18 5 2 11 17 42 -25 17
14 Everton 19 2 9 8 18 30 -12 15
15 Leicester 18 4 2 12 28 41 -13 14
16 Southampton 19 4 2 13 17 36 -19 14
17 West Ham 18 3 3 12 15 29 -14 12
18 Wolves 18 2 5 11 12 33 -21 11
19 Leeds 19 2 3 14 22 41 -19 9
20 Nott'm Forest 18 1 4 13 10 43 -33 7

Man City   Chelsea

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 35 10 25 2.6 0.9 27 4 4 92 31 85
2 2 Arsenal 37 12 25 2.2 1.2 25 6 6 83 43 81
3 6 Brighton 36 12 24 1.9 1.4 18 7 11 70 50 61
4 10 Fulham 37 13 24 1.5 1.4 15 7 15 54 51 52
5 18 Leeds 37 13 24 1.3 2.0 7 10 20 47 74 31
6 19 Leicester 36 13 23 1.4 1.9 8 6 22 49 67 30
7 5 Liverpool 37 15 22 1.9 1.2 19 9 9 71 43 66
8 8 Tottenham 37 15 22 1.8 1.7 17 6 14 66 62 57
9 20 Southampton 37 18 19 0.9 1.9 6 6 25 32 69 24
10 3 Newcastle 36 18 18 1.9 0.9 19 12 5 67 32 69
11 15 Bournemouth 37 19 18 1.0 1.9 11 6 20 37 70 39
12 4 Man United 36 19 17 1.4 1.1 21 6 9 52 41 69
13 7 Aston Villa 37 20 17 1.3 1.2 17 7 13 49 45 58
14 9 Brentford 37 20 17 1.5 1.2 14 14 9 57 46 56
15 16 Nott'm Forest 37 20 17 1.0 1.8 9 10 18 37 67 37
16 17 Everton 37 21 16 0.9 1.5 7 12 18 33 57 33
17 11 Crystal Palace 37 22 15 1.1 1.3 11 11 15 39 48 44
18 12 Chelsea 35 20 15 1.0 1.2 11 10 14 36 41 43
19 13 Wolves 37 23 14 0.8 1.4 11 8 18 31 53 41
20 14 West Ham 37 23 14 1.1 1.4 11 7 19 41 53 40
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 18 2 16 3.3 0.9 16 1 1 59 17 49
2 2 Arsenal 18 2 16 2.7 1.4 13 3 2 48 25 42
3 10 Fulham 19 5 14 1.6 1.5 8 5 6 31 29 29
4 8 Tottenham 19 8 11 1.9 1.3 12 1 6 37 25 37
5 18 Leeds 18 7 11 1.4 1.8 5 7 6 25 33 22
6 19 Leicester 18 7 11 1.2 1.4 4 4 10 21 26 16
7 5 Liverpool 19 9 10 2.4 0.9 13 5 1 46 17 44
8 6 Brighton 18 8 10 2.0 1.1 10 3 5 36 20 33
9 7 Aston Villa 18 8 10 1.7 1.1 11 2 5 31 20 35
10 4 Man United 17 8 9 1.8 0.5 13 3 1 30 8 42
11 9 Brentford 18 9 9 1.9 1.0 9 7 2 34 18 34
12 15 Bournemouth 19 10 9 1.1 1.5 6 4 9 20 28 22
13 11 Crystal Palace 18 10 8 1.1 1.2 7 6 5 20 22 27
14 17 Everton 18 10 8 0.8 1.5 5 3 10 15 27 18
15 20 Southampton 18 10 8 0.8 1.8 2 4 12 15 33 10
16 3 Newcastle 18 11 7 2.0 0.8 11 5 2 36 14 38
17 12 Chelsea 18 11 7 1.1 1.0 6 6 6 19 18 24
18 14 West Ham 19 12 7 1.4 1.3 8 4 7 26 24 28
19 16 Nott'm Forest 19 12 7 1.4 1.3 8 6 5 27 24 30
20 13 Wolves 19 14 5 1.0 1.1 9 3 7 19 20 30
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Brighton 18 4 14 1.9 1.7 8 4 6 34 30 28
2 18 Leeds 19 6 13 1.2 2.2 2 3 14 22 41 9
3 5 Liverpool 18 6 12 1.4 1.4 6 4 8 25 26 22
4 19 Leicester 18 6 12 1.6 2.3 4 2 12 28 41 14
5 3 Newcastle 18 7 11 1.7 1.0 8 7 3 31 18 31
6 8 Tottenham 18 7 11 1.6 2.1 5 5 8 29 37 20
7 20 Southampton 19 8 11 0.9 1.9 4 2 13 17 36 14
8 10 Fulham 18 8 10 1.3 1.2 7 2 9 23 22 23
9 16 Nott'm Forest 18 8 10 0.6 2.4 1 4 13 10 43 7
10 1 Man City 17 8 9 1.9 0.8 11 3 3 33 14 36
11 2 Arsenal 19 10 9 1.8 0.9 12 3 4 35 18 39
12 13 Wolves 18 9 9 0.7 1.8 2 5 11 12 33 11
13 15 Bournemouth 18 9 9 0.9 2.3 5 2 11 17 42 17
14 4 Man United 19 11 8 1.2 1.7 8 3 8 22 33 27
15 9 Brentford 19 11 8 1.2 1.5 5 7 7 23 28 22
16 12 Chelsea 17 9 8 1.0 1.4 5 4 8 17 23 19
17 17 Everton 19 11 8 0.9 1.6 2 9 8 18 30 15
18 7 Aston Villa 19 12 7 0.9 1.3 6 5 8 18 25 23
19 11 Crystal Palace 19 12 7 1.0 1.4 4 5 10 19 26 17
20 14 West Ham 18 11 7 0.8 1.6 3 3 12 15 29 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06