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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Madley

Man City 2–1 Leeds

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.17 fair 1.27
Draw 8.50 fair 7.96
Away 15.00 fair 11.31
Under 2.5 3.50 fair 4.39
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.30 fair 1.29

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Leeds
18 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
10 Corners 1
3 Fouls 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (337 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 3.08 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
3–0 8.3% 3–1 8.2% 2–0 8.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
2.39points / match
2.64scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 87:30
Leeds before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
1.26scored / match
1.97conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 43:67
Man City all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

2.64 Goals scored 1.26
0.91 Goals conceded 1.97
3.55 Total goals 3.24
16.09 Shots 12.38
6.06 Shots on target 3.94
7.21 Shots faced 13.56
6.48 Corners 5.32
2.36 Corners against 4.53
9.36 Fouls 11.94
1.27 Yellow cards 2.12
1.24 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

76% Wins 21%
12% Draws 26%
12% Losses 53%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
85% Over 1.5 goals 74%
70% Over 2.5 goals 62%
48% Over 3.5 goals 41%
27% Over 4.5 goals 26%
15% Over 5.5 goals 18%
61% Both teams scored 65%
33% Clean sheets 15%
6% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 18%
33% Draws 50%
12% Losses 32%
79% Over 0.5 goals 71%
55% Over 1.5 goals 44%
24% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Leeds all matches
Man City before this match, at home
2.71points / match
3.35scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 57:16
Leeds before this match, away
0.53points / match
1.18scored / match
2.12conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 20:36
Man City at home away Leeds

Per match

3.35 Goals scored 1.18
0.94 Goals conceded 2.12
4.29 Total goals 3.29
16.71 Shots 11.41
6.47 Shots on target 3.53
6.59 Shots faced 14.12
7.24 Corners 4.94
2.24 Corners against 4.94
9.24 Fouls 11.47
1.12 Yellow cards 2.35
1.65 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

88% Wins 12%
6% Draws 18%
6% Losses 71%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
100% Over 1.5 goals 71%
88% Over 2.5 goals 65%
65% Over 3.5 goals 41%
35% Over 4.5 goals 29%
24% Over 5.5 goals 18%
65% Both teams scored 65%
35% Clean sheets 6%
0% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

65% Wins 18%
24% Draws 47%
12% Losses 35%
94% Over 0.5 goals 65%
76% Over 1.5 goals 35%
29% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.23 Man City – West Ham 3–0 (0–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
30.04.23 Fulham – Man City 1–2 (1–2) 12.006.001.25 1.53 2.50
26.04.23 Man City – Arsenal 4–1 (2–0) 1.554.505.25 1.62 2.30
15.04.23 Man City – Leicester 3–1 (3–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.33 3.40
08.04.23 Southampton – Man City 1–4 (0–1) 11.006.001.25 1.62 2.30
01.04.23 Man City – Liverpool 4–1 (1–1) 1.624.205.00 1.67 2.20
11.03.23 Crystal Palace – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 9.004.751.36 1.80 2.00
04.03.23 Man City – Newcastle 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
25.02.23 Bournemouth – Man City 1–4 (0–3) 10.005.751.29 1.57 2.38
18.02.23 Nott'm Forest – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 8.505.501.30 1.62 2.30

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.04.23 Bournemouth – Leeds 4–1 (2–1) 2.553.502.70 1.80 2.00
25.04.23 Leeds – Leicester 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
22.04.23 Fulham – Leeds 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.92 1.98
17.04.23 Leeds – Liverpool 1–6 (0–2) 4.204.201.73 1.57 2.38
09.04.23 Leeds – Crystal Palace 1–5 (1–1) 2.103.403.60 2.10 1.73
04.04.23 Leeds – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–1) 1.703.755.00 1.98 1.92
01.04.23 Arsenal – Leeds 4–1 (1–0) 1.296.009.00 1.53 2.50
18.03.23 Wolves – Leeds 2–4 (0–1) 2.253.203.30 2.20 1.67
11.03.23 Leeds – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 3.753.601.95 1.89 2.04
04.03.23 Chelsea – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.95 1.95

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.23 Man City – West Ham 3–0 (0–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
26.04.23 Man City – Arsenal 4–1 (2–0) 1.554.505.25 1.62 2.30
15.04.23 Man City – Leicester 3–1 (3–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.33 3.40
01.04.23 Man City – Liverpool 4–1 (1–1) 1.624.205.00 1.67 2.20
04.03.23 Man City – Newcastle 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
12.02.23 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
22.01.23 Man City – Wolves 3–0 (1–0) 1.208.0011.00 1.50 2.63
19.01.23 Man City – Tottenham 4–2 (0–2) 1.365.008.50 1.53 2.50
31.12.22 Man City – Everton 1–1 (1–0) 1.139.0019.00 1.36 3.20
12.11.22 Man City – Brentford 1–2 (1–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.36 3.20

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.04.23 Bournemouth – Leeds 4–1 (2–1) 2.553.502.70 1.80 2.00
22.04.23 Fulham – Leeds 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.92 1.98
01.04.23 Arsenal – Leeds 4–1 (1–0) 1.296.009.00 1.53 2.50
18.03.23 Wolves – Leeds 2–4 (0–1) 2.253.203.30 2.20 1.67
04.03.23 Chelsea – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.95 1.95
18.02.23 Everton – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.10 1.73
08.02.23 Man United – Leeds 2–2 (0–1) 1.455.006.00 1.57 2.38
05.02.23 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.302.70 1.94 1.96
13.01.23 Aston Villa – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
31.12.22 Newcastle – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsLeeds wins
3matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.12.22E0 Leeds – Man City 1–3 (0–1) 9.506.001.29 1.44 2.75
30.04.22E0 Leeds – Man City 0–4 (0–1) 8.506.001.30 1.50 2.62
14.12.21E0 Man City – Leeds 7–0 (3–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.36 3.20

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 33 25 4 4 87 30 +57 79
2 Arsenal 34 24 6 4 81 39 +42 78
3 Newcastle 33 18 11 4 61 27 +34 65
4 Man United 33 19 6 8 49 40 +9 63
5 Liverpool 34 17 8 9 66 42 +24 59
6 Brighton 32 16 7 9 62 40 +22 55
7 Tottenham 34 16 6 12 63 57 +6 54
8 Aston Villa 34 16 6 12 46 42 +4 54
9 Brentford 34 12 14 8 52 44 +8 50
10 Fulham 34 13 6 15 45 46 -1 45
11 Crystal Palace 34 10 10 14 35 45 -10 40
12 Chelsea 33 10 9 14 31 38 -7 39
13 Bournemouth 34 11 6 17 36 64 -28 39
14 Wolves 34 10 7 17 29 50 -21 37
15 West Ham 34 9 7 18 37 50 -13 34
16 Leicester 34 8 6 20 46 59 -13 30
17 Leeds 34 7 9 18 43 67 -24 30
18 Nott'm Forest 34 7 9 18 30 62 -32 30
19 Everton 34 6 11 17 27 52 -25 29
20 Southampton 34 6 6 22 28 60 -32 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 17 15 1 1 57 16 +41 46
2 Arsenal 17 13 3 1 48 22 +26 42
3 Liverpool 17 12 4 1 44 16 +28 40
4 Man United 16 12 3 1 28 8 +20 39
5 Newcastle 16 10 5 1 32 11 +21 35
6 Tottenham 17 11 1 5 35 22 +13 34
7 Aston Villa 17 10 2 5 29 19 +10 32
8 Brentford 17 8 7 2 32 18 +14 31
9 Brighton 16 9 3 4 32 14 +18 30
10 Wolves 17 8 2 7 17 19 -2 26
11 Fulham 17 7 4 6 24 24 0 25
12 Nott'm Forest 17 6 6 5 22 21 +1 24
13 Crystal Palace 17 6 6 5 18 22 -4 24
14 Chelsea 17 6 5 6 17 16 +1 23
15 West Ham 17 6 4 7 22 23 -1 22
16 Bournemouth 17 6 4 7 19 24 -5 22
17 Leeds 17 5 6 6 23 31 -8 21
18 Everton 17 5 3 9 15 24 -9 18
19 Leicester 17 4 4 9 21 23 -2 16
20 Southampton 17 2 4 11 15 31 -16 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 11 3 3 33 17 +16 36
2 Man City 16 10 3 3 30 14 +16 33
3 Newcastle 17 8 6 3 29 16 +13 30
4 Brighton 16 7 4 5 30 26 +4 25
5 Man United 17 7 3 7 21 32 -11 24
6 Aston Villa 17 6 4 7 17 23 -6 22
7 Fulham 17 6 2 9 21 22 -1 20
8 Tottenham 17 5 5 7 28 35 -7 20
9 Liverpool 17 5 4 8 22 26 -4 19
10 Brentford 17 4 7 6 20 26 -6 19
11 Bournemouth 17 5 2 10 17 40 -23 17
12 Crystal Palace 17 4 4 9 17 23 -6 16
13 Chelsea 16 4 4 8 14 22 -8 16
14 Leicester 17 4 2 11 25 36 -11 14
15 Southampton 17 4 2 11 13 29 -16 14
16 West Ham 17 3 3 11 15 27 -12 12
17 Everton 17 1 8 8 12 28 -16 11
18 Wolves 17 2 5 10 12 31 -19 11
19 Leeds 17 2 3 12 20 36 -16 9
20 Nott'm Forest 17 1 3 13 8 41 -33 6

Man City   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Arsenal 34 10 24 2.4 1.1 24 6 4 81 39 78
2 1 Man City 33 10 23 2.6 0.9 25 4 4 87 30 79
3 10 Fulham 34 12 22 1.3 1.4 13 6 15 45 46 45
4 5 Liverpool 34 13 21 1.9 1.2 17 8 9 66 42 59
5 16 Leicester 34 13 21 1.4 1.7 8 6 20 46 59 30
6 17 Leeds 34 13 21 1.3 2.0 7 9 18 43 67 30
7 6 Brighton 32 12 20 1.9 1.2 16 7 9 62 40 55
8 7 Tottenham 34 14 20 1.9 1.7 16 6 12 63 57 54
9 4 Man United 33 16 17 1.5 1.2 19 6 8 49 40 63
10 13 Bournemouth 34 17 17 1.1 1.9 11 6 17 36 64 39
11 20 Southampton 34 17 17 0.8 1.8 6 6 22 28 60 24
12 3 Newcastle 33 17 16 1.8 0.8 18 11 4 61 27 65
13 8 Aston Villa 34 18 16 1.4 1.2 16 6 12 46 42 54
14 9 Brentford 34 18 16 1.5 1.3 12 14 8 52 44 50
15 18 Nott'm Forest 34 19 15 0.9 1.8 7 9 18 30 62 30
16 11 Crystal Palace 34 20 14 1.0 1.3 10 10 14 35 45 40
17 14 Wolves 34 20 14 0.9 1.5 10 7 17 29 50 37
18 19 Everton 34 20 14 0.8 1.5 6 11 17 27 52 29
19 12 Chelsea 33 20 13 0.9 1.2 10 9 14 31 38 39
20 15 West Ham 34 21 13 1.1 1.5 9 7 18 37 50 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 17 2 15 3.4 0.9 15 1 1 57 16 46
2 2 Arsenal 17 2 15 2.8 1.3 13 3 1 48 22 42
3 10 Fulham 17 5 12 1.4 1.4 7 4 6 24 24 25
4 5 Liverpool 17 7 10 2.6 0.9 12 4 1 44 16 40
5 7 Tottenham 17 7 10 2.1 1.3 11 1 5 35 22 34
6 16 Leicester 17 7 10 1.2 1.4 4 4 9 21 23 16
7 17 Leeds 17 7 10 1.4 1.8 5 6 6 23 31 21
8 4 Man United 16 7 9 1.8 0.5 12 3 1 28 8 39
9 8 Aston Villa 17 8 9 1.7 1.1 10 2 5 29 19 32
10 9 Brentford 17 8 9 1.9 1.1 8 7 2 32 18 31
11 6 Brighton 16 8 8 2.0 0.9 9 3 4 32 14 30
12 11 Crystal Palace 17 9 8 1.1 1.3 6 6 5 18 22 24
13 13 Bournemouth 17 9 8 1.1 1.4 6 4 7 19 24 22
14 20 Southampton 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 2 4 11 15 31 10
15 19 Everton 17 10 7 0.9 1.4 5 3 9 15 24 18
16 3 Newcastle 16 10 6 2.0 0.7 10 5 1 32 11 35
17 12 Chelsea 17 11 6 1.0 0.9 6 5 6 17 16 23
18 15 West Ham 17 11 6 1.3 1.4 6 4 7 22 23 22
19 18 Nott'm Forest 17 11 6 1.3 1.2 6 6 5 22 21 24
20 14 Wolves 17 12 5 1.0 1.1 8 2 7 17 19 26
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Brighton 16 4 12 1.9 1.6 7 4 5 30 26 25
2 5 Liverpool 17 6 11 1.3 1.5 5 4 8 22 26 19
3 16 Leicester 17 6 11 1.5 2.1 4 2 11 25 36 14
4 17 Leeds 17 6 11 1.2 2.1 2 3 12 20 36 9
5 3 Newcastle 17 7 10 1.7 0.9 8 6 3 29 16 30
6 7 Tottenham 17 7 10 1.6 2.1 5 5 7 28 35 20
7 10 Fulham 17 7 10 1.2 1.3 6 2 9 21 22 20
8 2 Arsenal 17 8 9 1.9 1.0 11 3 3 33 17 36
9 13 Bournemouth 17 8 9 1.0 2.4 5 2 10 17 40 17
10 14 Wolves 17 8 9 0.7 1.8 2 5 10 12 31 11
11 18 Nott'm Forest 17 8 9 0.5 2.4 1 3 13 8 41 6
12 20 Southampton 17 8 9 0.8 1.7 4 2 11 13 29 14
13 1 Man City 16 8 8 1.9 0.9 10 3 3 30 14 33
14 4 Man United 17 9 8 1.2 1.9 7 3 7 21 32 24
15 8 Aston Villa 17 10 7 1.0 1.4 6 4 7 17 23 22
16 9 Brentford 17 10 7 1.2 1.5 4 7 6 20 26 19
17 12 Chelsea 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 4 4 8 14 22 16
18 15 West Ham 17 10 7 0.9 1.6 3 3 11 15 27 12
19 19 Everton 17 10 7 0.7 1.6 1 8 8 12 28 11
20 11 Crystal Palace 17 11 6 1.0 1.4 4 4 9 17 23 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44