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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Taylor

Arsenal 3–1 Man United

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.75 fair 2.09
Draw 3.80 fair 4.28
Away 4.50 fair 3.48
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.46
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Arsenal Man United
17 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
12 Corners 3
8 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (38 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.76 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
ArsenalDrawMan United
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 8.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.33points / match
1.67scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:3
Man United before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:4
Arsenal all matches all matches Man United

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.33
1.00 Goals conceded 1.33
2.67 Total goals 2.67
16.00 Shots 18.33
7.00 Shots on target 6.00
9.33 Shots faced 16.33
8.00 Corners 8.33
2.33 Corners against 5.00
9.33 Fouls 11.67
1.00 Yellow cards 3.00
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

67% Wins 67%
33% Draws 0%
0% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 33%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 0%
33% Draws 67%
33% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 33%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal all matches
Man United all matches
Arsenal before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 4:3
Man United before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 0:2
Arsenal at home away Man United

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded 2.00
3.50 Total goals 2.00
17.00 Shots 22.00
9.00 Shots on target 6.00
7.00 Shots faced 17.00
8.00 Corners 6.00
3.00 Corners against 5.00
9.00 Fouls 8.00
1.00 Yellow cards 3.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 100%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
0% Draws 100%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 0%
50% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal at home
Man United away

Last 10 matches before this match

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.23 Arsenal – Fulham 2–2 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
21.08.23 Crystal Palace – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 5.504.001.60 1.94 1.96
12.08.23 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.44 2.75
28.05.23 Arsenal – Wolves 5–0 (3–0) 1.365.258.00 1.44 2.75
20.05.23 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 5.254.331.57 1.57 2.38
14.05.23 Arsenal – Brighton 0–3 (0–0) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.50
07.05.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.752.63 1.62 2.30
02.05.23 Arsenal – Chelsea 3–1 (3–0) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
26.04.23 Man City – Arsenal 4–1 (2–0) 1.554.505.25 1.62 2.30
21.04.23 Arsenal – Southampton 3–3 (1–2) 1.207.0013.00 1.50 2.63

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.23 Man United – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–2) 1.306.008.00 1.50 2.63
19.08.23 Tottenham – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.602.38 1.57 2.38
14.08.23 Man United – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.509.00 1.62 2.30
28.05.23 Man United – Fulham 2–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.00 1.50 2.63
25.05.23 Man United – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.38
20.05.23 Bournemouth – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.751.50 1.57 2.38
13.05.23 Man United – Wolves 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.007.50 1.67 2.20
07.05.23 West Ham – Man United 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.752.05 1.73 2.10
04.05.23 Brighton – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.503.75 1.57 2.38
30.04.23 Man United – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.904.60 1.67 2.20

Arsenal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.23 Arsenal – Fulham 2–2 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
12.08.23 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.44 2.75
28.05.23 Arsenal – Wolves 5–0 (3–0) 1.365.258.00 1.44 2.75
14.05.23 Arsenal – Brighton 0–3 (0–0) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.50
02.05.23 Arsenal – Chelsea 3–1 (3–0) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
21.04.23 Arsenal – Southampton 3–3 (1–2) 1.207.0013.00 1.50 2.63
01.04.23 Arsenal – Leeds 4–1 (1–0) 1.296.009.00 1.53 2.50
19.03.23 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 4–1 (2–0) 1.255.5015.00 1.73 2.10
04.03.23 Arsenal – Bournemouth 3–2 (0–1) 1.227.0012.00 1.57 2.38
01.03.23 Arsenal – Everton 4–0 (2–0) 1.364.7510.00 1.85 2.05

Man United away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.23 Tottenham – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.602.38 1.57 2.38
20.05.23 Bournemouth – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.751.50 1.57 2.38
07.05.23 West Ham – Man United 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.752.05 1.73 2.10
04.05.23 Brighton – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.503.75 1.57 2.38
27.04.23 Tottenham – Man United 2–2 (0–2) 2.803.602.40 1.67 2.20
16.04.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 0–2 (0–1) 5.504.001.62 1.80 2.00
02.04.23 Newcastle – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 1.95 1.95
05.03.23 Liverpool – Man United 7–0 (1–0) 2.383.602.88 1.67 2.20
12.02.23 Leeds – Man United 0–2 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.67 2.20
22.01.23 Arsenal – Man United 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.804.20 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Arsenal winsDrawsMan United wins
4matches
4.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.01.23E0 Arsenal – Man United 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.804.20 1.73 2.10
04.09.22E0 Man United – Arsenal 3–1 (1–0) 2.503.502.70 1.66 2.20
23.04.22E0 Arsenal – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 2.053.503.50 1.81 2.09
02.12.21E0 Man United – Arsenal 3–2 (1–1) 1.953.753.75 1.80 2.00

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 4 4 0 0 11 2 +9 12
2 Tottenham 4 3 1 0 11 4 +7 10
3 Liverpool 4 3 1 0 9 3 +6 10
4 West Ham 4 3 1 0 9 4 +5 10
5 Brighton 4 3 0 1 12 6 +6 9
6 Arsenal 3 2 1 0 5 3 +2 7
7 Crystal Palace 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
8 Brentford 4 1 3 0 8 5 +3 6
9 Nott'm Forest 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6
10 Man United 3 2 0 1 4 4 0 6
11 Aston Villa 4 2 0 2 8 9 -1 6
12 Chelsea 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4
13 Fulham 4 1 1 2 4 10 -6 4
14 Newcastle 4 1 0 3 7 7 0 3
15 Wolves 4 1 0 3 4 8 -4 3
16 Bournemouth 4 0 2 2 4 8 -4 2
17 Sheffield United 4 0 1 3 4 7 -3 1
18 Everton 4 0 1 3 2 8 -6 1
19 Luton 3 0 0 3 2 9 -7 0
20 Burnley 3 0 0 3 3 11 -8 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 6 1 +5 6
2 Man City 2 2 0 0 6 1 +5 6
3 Brighton 3 2 0 1 8 5 +3 6
4 Man United 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
5 Chelsea 3 1 1 1 4 2 +2 4
6 Arsenal 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
7 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 4 0 +4 3
8 Newcastle 2 1 0 1 6 3 +3 3
9 West Ham 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
10 Tottenham 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
11 Nott'm Forest 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
12 Brentford 3 0 3 0 5 5 0 3
13 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
14 Sheffield United 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1
15 Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
16 Luton 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
17 Everton 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 0
18 Wolves 1 0 0 1 1 4 -3 0
19 Fulham 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
20 Burnley 3 0 0 3 3 11 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 3 2 1 0 9 4 +5 7
2 West Ham 3 2 1 0 6 3 +3 7
3 Man City 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
4 Liverpool 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
5 Crystal Palace 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
6 Fulham 3 1 1 1 4 7 -3 4
7 Brighton 1 1 0 0 4 1 +3 3
8 Brentford 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
9 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
10 Nott'm Forest 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
11 Wolves 3 1 0 2 3 4 -1 3
12 Aston Villa 3 1 0 2 4 9 -5 3
13 Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 3 5 -2 1
14 Everton 2 0 1 1 2 6 -4 1
15 Burnley 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
17 Chelsea 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
18 Man United 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
19 Newcastle 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
20 Luton 2 0 0 2 1 7 -6 0

Arsenal   Man United

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Brighton 4 0 4 3.0 1.5 3 0 1 12 6 9
2 11 Aston Villa 4 0 4 2.0 2.2 2 0 2 8 9 6
3 1 Man City 4 1 3 2.8 0.5 4 0 0 11 2 12
4 3 Liverpool 4 1 3 2.2 0.8 3 1 0 9 3 10
5 4 West Ham 4 1 3 2.2 1.0 3 1 0 9 4 10
6 8 Brentford 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 1 3 0 8 5 6
7 9 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6
8 13 Fulham 4 1 3 1.0 2.5 1 1 2 4 10 4
9 14 Newcastle 4 1 3 1.8 1.8 1 0 3 7 7 3
10 17 Sheffield United 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 0 1 3 4 7 1
11 19 Luton 3 0 3 0.7 3.0 0 0 3 2 9 0
12 20 Burnley 3 0 3 1.0 3.7 0 0 3 3 11 0
13 2 Tottenham 4 2 2 2.8 1.0 3 1 0 11 4 10
14 6 Arsenal 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 1 0 5 3 7
15 12 Chelsea 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4
16 15 Wolves 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 1 0 3 4 8 3
17 16 Bournemouth 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 0 2 2 4 8 2
18 18 Everton 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 0 1 3 2 8 1
19 7 Crystal Palace 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
20 10 Man United 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 2 0 1 4 4 6
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Brighton 3 0 3 2.7 1.7 2 0 1 8 5 6
2 20 Burnley 3 0 3 1.0 3.7 0 0 3 3 11 0
3 3 Liverpool 2 0 2 3.0 0.5 2 0 0 6 1 6
4 6 Arsenal 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
5 8 Brentford 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 0 3 0 5 5 3
6 14 Newcastle 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 0 1 6 3 3
7 17 Sheffield United 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 0 1 2 3 5 1
8 1 Man City 2 1 1 3.0 0.5 2 0 0 6 1 6
9 4 West Ham 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
10 7 Crystal Palace 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
11 9 Nott'm Forest 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
12 10 Man United 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
13 11 Aston Villa 1 0 1 4.0 0.0 1 0 0 4 0 3
14 12 Chelsea 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 1 1 1 4 2 4
15 13 Fulham 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
16 15 Wolves 1 0 1 1.0 4.0 0 0 1 1 4 0
17 19 Luton 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
18 2 Tottenham 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
19 16 Bournemouth 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
20 18 Everton 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 2 0 2 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Aston Villa 3 0 3 1.3 3.0 1 0 2 4 9 3
2 1 Man City 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
3 2 Tottenham 3 1 2 3.0 1.3 2 1 0 9 4 7
4 4 West Ham 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 0 6 3 7
5 9 Nott'm Forest 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
6 13 Fulham 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 1 1 1 4 7 4
7 16 Bournemouth 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 1 1 3 5 1
8 18 Everton 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 1 1 2 6 1
9 19 Luton 2 0 2 0.5 3.5 0 0 2 1 7 0
10 3 Liverpool 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
11 5 Brighton 1 0 1 4.0 1.0 1 0 0 4 1 3
12 8 Brentford 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
13 12 Chelsea 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
14 14 Newcastle 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
15 15 Wolves 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 0 2 3 4 3
16 17 Sheffield United 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
17 6 Arsenal 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
18 7 Crystal Palace 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
19 10 Man United 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
20 20 Burnley 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06