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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Harrington

Burnley 0–1 Man United

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 4.20 fair 2.43
Draw 4.20 fair 4.32
Away ✓ 1.73 fair 2.80
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 2.71
Over 2.5 1.62 fair 1.58

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Man United
12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
9 Corners 5
6 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (53 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 1.69 – 1.56
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawMan United
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.2% 2–1 8.6% 1–2 8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
0.25points / match
1.00scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:12
Man United before this match, all matches
1.20points / match
1.20scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:10
Burnley all matches all matches Man United

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.20
3.00 Goals conceded 2.00
4.00 Total goals 3.20
10.25 Shots 15.80
2.50 Shots on target 4.80
16.75 Shots faced 15.20
5.25 Corners 7.20
5.00 Corners against 5.60
12.00 Fouls 10.00
2.25 Yellow cards 2.80
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.40
1.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

0% Wins 40%
25% Draws 0%
75% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
75% Over 2.5 goals 60%
50% Over 3.5 goals 60%
25% Over 4.5 goals 20%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 60%
0% Clean sheets 20%
25% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%
0% Draws 60%
75% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 60%
75% Over 1.5 goals 40%
25% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Man United all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
0.00points / match
1.00scored / match
3.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:11
Man United before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.50scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:5
Burnley at home away Man United

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.50
3.67 Goals conceded 2.50
4.67 Total goals 3.00
10.33 Shots 16.00
2.33 Shots on target 4.00
17.67 Shots faced 17.00
5.67 Corners 4.50
5.00 Corners against 8.50
12.67 Fouls 7.50
2.00 Yellow cards 3.00
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.50
2.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 50%
67% Over 3.5 goals 50%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
0% Draws 100%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Man United away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.09.23 Nott'm Forest – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.25 1.92 1.98
02.09.23 Burnley – Tottenham 2–5 (1–2) 3.604.001.85 1.62 2.30
27.08.23 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 1.86 2.04
11.08.23 Burnley – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.501.33 1.67 2.20
08.05.23E1 Burnley – Cardiff 3–0 (2–0) 1.334.7510.00 1.67 2.20
29.04.23E1 Bristol City – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.502.00 1.98 1.88
25.04.23E1 Blackburn – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.73
22.04.23E1 Burnley – QPR 1–2 (0–0) 1.364.759.50 1.80 2.00
18.04.23E1 Rotherham – Burnley 2–2 (1–1) 5.503.801.65 2.10 1.73
15.04.23E1 Reading – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 7.004.001.53 2.10 1.73

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (0–1) 2.154.002.88 1.44 2.75
03.09.23 Arsenal – Man United 3–1 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.57 2.38
26.08.23 Man United – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–2) 1.306.008.00 1.50 2.63
19.08.23 Tottenham – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.602.38 1.57 2.38
14.08.23 Man United – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.509.00 1.62 2.30
28.05.23 Man United – Fulham 2–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.00 1.50 2.63
25.05.23 Man United – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.38
20.05.23 Bournemouth – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.751.50 1.57 2.38
13.05.23 Man United – Wolves 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.007.50 1.67 2.20
07.05.23 West Ham – Man United 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.752.05 1.73 2.10

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23 Burnley – Tottenham 2–5 (1–2) 3.604.001.85 1.62 2.30
27.08.23 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 1.86 2.04
11.08.23 Burnley – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.501.33 1.67 2.20
08.05.23E1 Burnley – Cardiff 3–0 (2–0) 1.334.7510.00 1.67 2.20
22.04.23E1 Burnley – QPR 1–2 (0–0) 1.364.759.50 1.80 2.00
10.04.23E1 Burnley – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 2.05 1.80
31.03.23E1 Burnley – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.454.337.50 1.80 2.00
11.03.23E1 Burnley – Wigan 3–0 (1–0) 1.335.258.50 2.00 1.85
25.02.23E1 Burnley – Huddersfield 4–0 (3–0) 1.364.5010.00 1.95 1.90
14.02.23E1 Burnley – Watford 1–1 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.95 1.90

Man United away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.09.23 Arsenal – Man United 3–1 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.57 2.38
19.08.23 Tottenham – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.602.38 1.57 2.38
20.05.23 Bournemouth – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.751.50 1.57 2.38
07.05.23 West Ham – Man United 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.752.05 1.73 2.10
04.05.23 Brighton – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.503.75 1.57 2.38
27.04.23 Tottenham – Man United 2–2 (0–2) 2.803.602.40 1.67 2.20
16.04.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 0–2 (0–1) 5.504.001.62 1.80 2.00
02.04.23 Newcastle – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 1.95 1.95
05.03.23 Liverpool – Man United 7–0 (1–0) 2.383.602.88 1.67 2.20
12.02.23 Leeds – Man United 0–2 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley winsDrawsMan United wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.22E0 Burnley – Man United 1–1 (0–1) 5.504.001.61 1.85 2.05
30.12.21E0 Man United – Burnley 3–1 (3–1) 1.365.009.00 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 6 6 0 0 16 3 +13 18
2 Tottenham 5 4 1 0 13 5 +8 13
3 Liverpool 5 4 1 0 12 4 +8 13
4 Arsenal 5 4 1 0 9 4 +5 13
5 Brighton 5 4 0 1 15 7 +8 12
6 West Ham 5 3 1 1 10 7 +3 10
7 Aston Villa 5 3 0 2 11 10 +1 9
8 Crystal Palace 6 2 2 2 6 7 -1 8
9 Fulham 6 2 2 2 5 10 -5 8
10 Nott'm Forest 6 2 1 3 7 9 -2 7
11 Newcastle 5 2 0 3 8 7 +1 6
12 Brentford 6 1 3 2 9 9 0 6
13 Man United 5 2 0 3 6 10 -4 6
14 Chelsea 5 1 2 2 5 5 0 5
15 Everton 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4
16 Wolves 6 1 1 4 6 12 -6 4
17 Bournemouth 5 0 3 2 4 8 -4 3
18 Sheffield United 5 0 1 4 5 9 -4 1
19 Burnley 4 0 1 3 4 12 -8 1
20 Luton 5 0 1 4 3 11 -8 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 3 3 0 0 8 1 +7 9
2 Arsenal 3 2 1 0 7 4 +3 7
3 Aston Villa 2 2 0 0 7 1 +6 6
4 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 6 1 +5 6
5 Newcastle 3 2 0 1 7 3 +4 6
6 Brighton 3 2 0 1 8 5 +3 6
7 Tottenham 2 2 0 0 4 1 +3 6
8 Man United 3 2 0 1 5 5 0 6
9 Chelsea 3 1 1 1 4 2 +2 4
10 Nott'm Forest 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
11 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
12 West Ham 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
13 Brentford 4 0 3 1 6 8 -2 3
14 Fulham 2 1 0 1 1 3 -2 3
15 Bournemouth 3 0 2 1 1 3 -2 2
16 Luton 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
17 Sheffield United 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1
18 Everton 3 0 0 3 0 3 -3 0
19 Wolves 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0
20 Burnley 3 0 0 3 3 11 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 3 3 0 0 8 2 +6 9
2 Tottenham 3 2 1 0 9 4 +5 7
3 Liverpool 3 2 1 0 6 3 +3 7
4 West Ham 3 2 1 0 6 3 +3 7
5 Brighton 2 2 0 0 7 2 +5 6
6 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6
7 Fulham 4 1 2 1 4 7 -3 5
8 Wolves 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
9 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
10 Everton 3 1 1 1 5 7 -2 4
11 Brentford 2 1 0 1 3 1 +2 3
12 Nott'm Forest 4 1 0 3 4 7 -3 3
13 Aston Villa 3 1 0 2 4 9 -5 3
14 Burnley 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
15 Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 3 5 -2 1
16 Chelsea 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
17 Sheffield United 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
18 Newcastle 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
19 Man United 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
20 Luton 3 0 0 3 1 8 -7 0

Burnley   Man United

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Brighton 5 0 5 3.0 1.4 4 0 1 15 7 12
2 7 Aston Villa 5 0 5 2.2 2.0 3 0 2 11 10 9
3 1 Man City 6 2 4 2.7 0.5 6 0 0 16 3 18
4 3 Liverpool 5 1 4 2.4 0.8 4 1 0 12 4 13
5 6 West Ham 5 1 4 2.0 1.4 3 1 1 10 7 10
6 12 Brentford 6 2 4 1.5 1.5 1 3 2 9 9 6
7 18 Sheffield United 5 1 4 1.0 1.8 0 1 4 5 9 1
8 2 Tottenham 5 2 3 2.6 1.0 4 1 0 13 5 13
9 4 Arsenal 5 2 3 1.8 0.8 4 1 0 9 4 13
10 9 Fulham 6 3 3 0.8 1.7 2 2 2 5 10 8
11 10 Nott'm Forest 6 3 3 1.2 1.5 2 1 3 7 9 7
12 11 Newcastle 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 0 3 8 7 6
13 13 Man United 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 2 0 3 6 10 6
14 15 Everton 6 3 3 0.8 1.7 1 1 4 5 10 4
15 16 Wolves 6 3 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 4 6 12 4
16 19 Burnley 4 1 3 1.0 3.0 0 1 3 4 12 1
17 20 Luton 5 2 3 0.6 2.2 0 1 4 3 11 1
18 8 Crystal Palace 6 4 2 1.0 1.2 2 2 2 6 7 8
19 14 Chelsea 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 2 5 5 5
20 17 Bournemouth 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 0 3 2 4 8 3
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Arsenal 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 2 1 0 7 4 7
2 5 Brighton 3 0 3 2.7 1.7 2 0 1 8 5 6
3 12 Brentford 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 0 3 1 6 8 3
4 19 Burnley 3 0 3 1.0 3.7 0 0 3 3 11 0
5 3 Liverpool 2 0 2 3.0 0.5 2 0 0 6 1 6
6 6 West Ham 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3
7 7 Aston Villa 2 0 2 3.5 0.5 2 0 0 7 1 6
8 11 Newcastle 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 2 0 1 7 3 6
9 13 Man United 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 2 0 1 5 5 6
10 16 Wolves 2 0 2 1.0 3.5 0 0 2 2 7 0
11 18 Sheffield United 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 0 1 2 3 5 1
12 1 Man City 3 2 1 2.7 0.3 3 0 0 8 1 9
13 2 Tottenham 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 2 0 0 4 1 6
14 8 Crystal Palace 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
15 9 Fulham 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 1 0 1 1 3 3
16 10 Nott'm Forest 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
17 14 Chelsea 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 1 1 1 4 2 4
18 20 Luton 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
19 15 Everton 3 3 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 3 0 3 0
20 17 Bournemouth 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 2 1 1 3 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 3 0 3 2.7 0.7 3 0 0 8 2 9
2 7 Aston Villa 3 0 3 1.3 3.0 1 0 2 4 9 3
3 15 Everton 3 0 3 1.7 2.3 1 1 1 5 7 4
4 2 Tottenham 3 1 2 3.0 1.3 2 1 0 9 4 7
5 3 Liverpool 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 0 6 3 7
6 5 Brighton 2 0 2 3.5 1.0 2 0 0 7 2 6
7 6 West Ham 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 0 6 3 7
8 9 Fulham 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 1 4 7 5
9 10 Nott'm Forest 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 0 3 4 7 3
10 17 Bournemouth 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 1 1 3 5 1
11 18 Sheffield United 2 0 2 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
12 20 Luton 3 1 2 0.3 2.7 0 0 3 1 8 0
13 8 Crystal Palace 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
14 11 Newcastle 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
15 12 Brentford 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 0 1 3 1 3
16 13 Man United 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
17 14 Chelsea 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
18 16 Wolves 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
19 4 Arsenal 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 2 0 6
20 19 Burnley 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06