Burnley 1–1 Watford – England Championship, 14 Feb 2023

Match facts

Burnley Watford

14 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 1

5 Corners 1

14 Fouls 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (366 league matches this season so far).

Result Burnley to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.97

Expected goals 1.78 – 0.94

Home / Draw / Away

57% 23% 20%

BurnleyDrawWatford

Under / Over 2.5 goals

49% 51%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

49% 51%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

24% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 11.7% 1–1 11% 2–0 10.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches

2.27points / match

2.03scored / match

0.87conceded / match

20 8 2

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 61:26

Watford before this match, all matches

1.48points / match

1.19scored / match

1.10conceded / match

12 10 9

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 37:34

Burnley all matches all matches Watford

Per match

2.03 Goals scored 1.19

0.87 Goals conceded 1.10

2.90 Total goals 2.29

12.67 Shots 11.32

4.67 Shots on target 3.90

9.00 Shots faced 11.74

5.83 Corners 5.03

4.23 Corners against 5.42

9.50 Fouls 11.71

1.90 Yellow cards 2.03

0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.52

0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

67% Wins 39%

27% Draws 32%

7% Losses 29%

100% Over 0.5 goals 90%

80% Over 1.5 goals 74%

53% Over 2.5 goals 39%

23% Over 3.5 goals 23%

17% Over 4.5 goals 3%

13% Over 5.5 goals 0%

57% Both teams scored 42%

40% Clean sheets 39%

3% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 23%

47% Draws 48%

13% Losses 29%

67% Over 0.5 goals 71%

40% Over 1.5 goals 35%

17% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches

3

W

3

W

3

1

W

3

W

1

W

2

1

W

1

W

2

1

W

3

W

3

W

Watford all matches

D

2

W

2

L

4

L

1

W

2

W

1

D

2

L

2

D

1

D

Burnley before this match, at home

2.50points / match

2.19scored / match

0.75conceded / match

12 4

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 35:12

Watford before this match, away

1.31points / match

1.00scored / match

1.25conceded / match

5 6 5

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 16:20

Burnley at home away Watford

Per match

2.19 Goals scored 1.00

0.75 Goals conceded 1.25

2.94 Total goals 2.25

14.50 Shots 10.63

5.13 Shots on target 3.38

7.06 Shots faced 12.81

7.13 Corners 5.13

3.69 Corners against 5.88

8.75 Fouls 11.75

1.56 Yellow cards 2.00

0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

75% Wins 31%

25% Draws 38%

0% Losses 31%

100% Over 0.5 goals 88%

88% Over 1.5 goals 75%

63% Over 2.5 goals 38%

25% Over 3.5 goals 25%

13% Over 4.5 goals 0%

6% Over 5.5 goals 0%

56% Both teams scored 38%

44% Clean sheets 38%

0% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 13%

63% Draws 56%

13% Losses 31%

56% Over 0.5 goals 69%

38% Over 1.5 goals 38%

13% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home

4

W

1

W

2

1

W

3

2

W

3

W

3

1

W

3

W

1

W

2

1

W

3

W

Watford away

1

3

L

3

L

1

W

2

1

W

D

2

W

4

L

1

W

2

L

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.23	Burnley – Preston	3–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.00	2.10	1.73
04.02.23	Norwich – Burnley	0–3 (0–1)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.00	1.85
20.01.23	Burnley – West Brom	2–1 (0–1)	2.25	3.10	3.50	2.30	1.62
14.01.23	Burnley – Coventry	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.80	5.00	1.93	1.93
02.01.23	Swansea – Burnley	1–2 (1–2)	3.00	3.40	2.38	2.05	1.80
30.12.22	Stoke – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.25	2.30	2.00	1.80
27.12.22	Burnley – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	1.60	3.80	6.00	2.00	1.85
17.12.22	Burnley – Middlesbrough	3–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	1.98	1.88
11.12.22	QPR – Burnley	0–3 (0–2)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.00	1.85
13.11.22	Burnley – Blackburn	3–0 (0–0)	1.72	3.60	5.25	1.98	1.88

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.23	Watford – Blackburn	1–1 (0–1)	1.91	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
04.02.23	Reading – Watford	2–2 (0–1)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.20	1.67
28.01.23	Middlesbrough – Watford	2–0 (2–0)	1.91	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
21.01.23	Watford – Rotherham	1–1 (0–1)	1.55	4.20	6.00	1.93	1.93
14.01.23	Watford – Blackpool	2–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.75	4.33	1.95	1.90
02.01.23	Norwich – Watford	0–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	3.80	1.98	1.88
30.12.22	Swansea – Watford	4–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.25	2.10	1.73
26.12.22	Watford – Millwall	0–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.75	2.20	1.67
17.12.22	Huddersfield – Watford	0–2 (0–0)	3.75	3.30	2.10	2.20	1.67
11.12.22	Watford – Hull	0–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	5.50	2.00	1.85

Burnley at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.23	Burnley – Preston	3–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.00	2.10	1.73
20.01.23	Burnley – West Brom	2–1 (0–1)	2.25	3.10	3.50	2.30	1.62
14.01.23	Burnley – Coventry	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.80	5.00	1.93	1.93
27.12.22	Burnley – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	1.60	3.80	6.00	2.00	1.85
17.12.22	Burnley – Middlesbrough	3–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	1.98	1.88
13.11.22	Burnley – Blackburn	3–0 (0–0)	1.72	3.60	5.25	1.98	1.88
02.11.22	Burnley – Rotherham	3–2 (1–1)	1.45	4.33	8.00	1.83	2.02
29.10.22	Burnley – Reading	2–1 (0–0)	1.61	4.00	5.50	1.90	1.95
25.10.22	Burnley – Norwich	1–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.50	1.90	1.95
15.10.22	Burnley – Swansea	4–0 (3–0)	1.75	3.75	4.60	1.95	1.90

Watford away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.02.23	Reading – Watford	2–2 (0–1)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.20	1.67
28.01.23	Middlesbrough – Watford	2–0 (2–0)	1.91	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
02.01.23	Norwich – Watford	0–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	3.80	1.98	1.88
30.12.22	Swansea – Watford	4–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.25	2.10	1.73
17.12.22	Huddersfield – Watford	0–2 (0–0)	3.75	3.30	2.10	2.20	1.67
12.11.22	Bristol City – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.37	2.00	1.85
02.11.22	Cardiff – Watford	1–2 (1–1)	2.90	3.20	2.50	2.10	1.72
29.10.22	Wigan – Watford	0–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.25	2.37	2.20	1.66
19.10.22	Millwall – Watford	3–0 (3–0)	2.60	3.20	2.80	2.20	1.66
08.10.22	Blackpool – Watford	3–1 (1–1)	3.20	3.40	2.25	2.10	1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 1

Burnley winsDrawsWatford wins

3matches

1.33goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.08.22E1	Watford – Burnley	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.30	3.10	2.10	1.72
30.04.22E0	Watford – Burnley	1–2 (1–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.72
05.02.22E0	Burnley – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.25	3.50	2.10	1.72

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	30	20	8	2	61	26	+35	68
2	Sheffield United	30	18	7	5	51	24	+27	61
3	Middlesbrough	31	15	6	10	50	36	+14	51
4	Luton	30	13	10	7	38	30	+8	49
5	Sunderland	31	13	9	9	46	33	+13	48
6	Millwall	30	13	7	10	36	30	+6	46
7	Watford	31	12	10	9	37	34	+3	46
8	Norwich	31	13	6	12	43	36	+7	45
9	Blackburn	30	14	3	13	32	36	-4	45
10	West Brom	30	12	8	10	39	32	+7	44
11	Coventry	31	11	9	11	33	33	0	42
12	Hull	32	11	8	13	38	47	-9	41
13	Preston	30	11	7	12	27	36	-9	40
14	Bristol City	30	10	9	11	40	39	+1	39
15	Swansea	30	10	9	11	43	45	-2	39
16	QPR	32	10	9	13	33	43	-10	39
17	Birmingham	31	10	8	13	36	40	-4	38
18	Reading	30	11	5	14	33	45	-12	38
19	Stoke	30	9	7	14	33	38	-5	34
20	Rotherham	30	7	12	11	33	40	-7	33
21	Cardiff	32	8	8	16	24	36	-12	32
22	Wigan	30	7	8	15	28	49	-21	29
23	Huddersfield	30	7	7	16	28	39	-11	28
24	Blackpool	30	6	10	14	30	45	-15	28

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	16	12	4	0	35	12	+23	40
2	Sheffield United	15	10	3	2	33	13	+20	33
3	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	23	12	+11	29
4	Coventry	17	8	5	4	21	15	+6	29
5	Millwall	14	8	4	2	21	9	+12	28
6	Blackburn	14	9	1	4	20	13	+7	28
7	Reading	14	8	3	3	22	16	+6	27
8	Watford	15	7	4	4	21	14	+7	25
9	West Brom	15	7	4	4	21	14	+7	25
10	Luton	15	5	7	3	20	16	+4	22
11	Sunderland	15	6	4	5	20	16	+4	22
12	Bristol City	16	6	4	6	20	17	+3	22
13	Norwich	16	6	4	6	22	20	+2	22
14	Hull	16	6	3	7	18	23	-5	21
15	Rotherham	14	5	5	4	24	17	+7	20
16	Swansea	14	6	2	6	23	20	+3	20
17	Birmingham	17	5	5	7	20	20	0	20
18	QPR	16	5	4	7	18	23	-5	19
19	Huddersfield	15	5	3	7	14	15	-1	18
20	Cardiff	16	4	5	7	12	16	-4	17
21	Stoke	15	4	4	7	17	18	-1	16
22	Blackpool	15	3	5	7	16	21	-5	14
23	Preston	15	3	4	8	9	20	-11	13
24	Wigan	16	3	3	10	12	30	-18	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	14	8	4	2	26	14	+12	28
2	Sheffield United	15	8	4	3	18	11	+7	28
3	Luton	15	8	3	4	18	14	+4	27
4	Preston	15	8	3	4	18	16	+2	27
5	Sunderland	16	7	5	4	26	17	+9	26
6	Norwich	15	7	2	6	21	16	+5	23
7	Middlesbrough	16	7	1	8	27	24	+3	22
8	Watford	16	5	6	5	16	20	-4	21
9	Hull	16	5	5	6	20	24	-4	20
10	QPR	16	5	5	6	15	20	-5	20
11	West Brom	15	5	4	6	18	18	0	19
12	Swansea	16	4	7	5	20	25	-5	19
13	Birmingham	14	5	3	6	16	20	-4	18
14	Stoke	15	5	3	7	16	20	-4	18
15	Millwall	16	5	3	8	15	21	-6	18
16	Bristol City	14	4	5	5	20	22	-2	17
17	Wigan	14	4	5	5	16	19	-3	17
18	Blackburn	16	5	2	9	12	23	-11	17
19	Cardiff	16	4	3	9	12	20	-8	15
20	Blackpool	15	3	5	7	14	24	-10	14
21	Coventry	14	3	4	7	12	18	-6	13
22	Rotherham	16	2	7	7	9	23	-14	13
23	Reading	16	3	2	11	11	29	-18	11
24	Huddersfield	15	2	4	9	14	24	-10	10

Burnley Watford

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	31	12	19	1.6	1.2	15	6	10	50	36	51
2	15	Swansea	30	12	18	1.4	1.5	10	9	11	43	45	39
3	18	Reading	30	13	17	1.1	1.5	11	5	14	33	45	38
4	1	Burnley	30	14	16	2.0	0.9	20	8	2	61	26	68
5	5	Sunderland	31	15	16	1.5	1.1	13	9	9	46	33	48
6	8	Norwich	31	15	16	1.4	1.2	13	6	12	43	36	45
7	12	Hull	32	16	16	1.2	1.5	11	8	13	38	47	41
8	16	QPR	32	16	16	1.0	1.3	10	9	13	33	43	39
9	9	Blackburn	30	16	14	1.1	1.2	14	3	13	32	36	45
10	14	Bristol City	30	16	14	1.3	1.3	10	9	11	40	39	39
11	17	Birmingham	31	17	14	1.2	1.3	10	8	13	36	40	38
12	20	Rotherham	30	16	14	1.1	1.3	7	12	11	33	40	33
13	22	Wigan	30	16	14	0.9	1.6	7	8	15	28	49	29
14	24	Blackpool	30	16	14	1.0	1.5	6	10	14	30	45	28
15	2	Sheffield United	30	17	13	1.7	0.8	18	7	5	51	24	61
16	19	Stoke	30	17	13	1.1	1.3	9	7	14	33	38	34
17	7	Watford	31	19	12	1.2	1.1	12	10	9	37	34	46
18	13	Preston	30	18	12	0.9	1.2	11	7	12	27	36	40
19	23	Huddersfield	30	18	12	0.9	1.3	7	7	16	28	39	28
20	4	Luton	30	19	11	1.3	1.0	13	10	7	38	30	49
21	6	Millwall	30	19	11	1.2	1.0	13	7	10	36	30	46
22	10	West Brom	30	20	10	1.3	1.1	12	8	10	39	32	44
23	11	Coventry	31	22	9	1.1	1.1	11	9	11	33	33	42
24	21	Cardiff	32	23	9	0.8	1.1	8	8	16	24	36	32

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Burnley	16	6	10	2.2	0.8	12	4	0	35	12	40
2	16	QPR	16	6	10	1.1	1.4	5	4	7	18	23	19
3	2	Sheffield United	15	6	9	2.2	0.9	10	3	2	33	13	33
4	15	Swansea	14	5	9	1.6	1.4	6	2	6	23	20	20
5	18	Reading	14	5	9	1.6	1.1	8	3	3	22	16	27
6	5	Sunderland	15	7	8	1.3	1.1	6	4	5	20	16	22
7	8	Norwich	16	8	8	1.4	1.2	6	4	6	22	20	22
8	12	Hull	16	8	8	1.1	1.4	6	3	7	18	23	21
9	17	Birmingham	17	9	8	1.2	1.2	5	5	7	20	20	20
10	20	Rotherham	14	6	8	1.7	1.2	5	5	4	24	17	20
11	3	Middlesbrough	15	8	7	1.5	0.8	8	5	2	23	12	29
12	9	Blackburn	14	7	7	1.4	0.9	9	1	4	20	13	28
13	22	Wigan	16	9	7	0.8	1.9	3	3	10	12	30	12
14	24	Blackpool	15	8	7	1.1	1.4	3	5	7	16	21	14
15	4	Luton	15	9	6	1.3	1.1	5	7	3	20	16	22
16	7	Watford	15	9	6	1.4	0.9	7	4	4	21	14	25
17	14	Bristol City	16	10	6	1.2	1.1	6	4	6	20	17	22
18	19	Stoke	15	9	6	1.1	1.2	4	4	7	17	18	16
19	6	Millwall	14	9	5	1.5	0.6	8	4	2	21	9	28
20	13	Preston	15	10	5	0.6	1.3	3	4	8	9	20	13
21	10	West Brom	15	11	4	1.4	0.9	7	4	4	21	14	25
22	11	Coventry	17	13	4	1.2	0.9	8	5	4	21	15	29
23	21	Cardiff	16	12	4	0.8	1.0	4	5	7	12	16	17
24	23	Huddersfield	15	11	4	0.9	1.0	5	3	7	14	15	18

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	16	4	12	1.7	1.5	7	1	8	27	24	22
2	15	Swansea	16	7	9	1.2	1.6	4	7	5	20	25	19
3	5	Sunderland	16	8	8	1.6	1.1	7	5	4	26	17	26
4	8	Norwich	15	7	8	1.4	1.1	7	2	6	21	16	23
5	12	Hull	16	8	8	1.2	1.5	5	5	6	20	24	20
6	14	Bristol City	14	6	8	1.4	1.6	4	5	5	20	22	17
7	18	Reading	16	8	8	0.7	1.8	3	2	11	11	29	11
8	23	Huddersfield	15	7	8	0.9	1.6	2	4	9	14	24	10
9	9	Blackburn	16	9	7	0.8	1.4	5	2	9	12	23	17
10	13	Preston	15	8	7	1.2	1.1	8	3	4	18	16	27
11	19	Stoke	15	8	7	1.1	1.3	5	3	7	16	20	18
12	22	Wigan	14	7	7	1.1	1.4	4	5	5	16	19	17
13	24	Blackpool	15	8	7	0.9	1.6	3	5	7	14	24	14
14	1	Burnley	14	8	6	1.9	1.0	8	4	2	26	14	28
15	6	Millwall	16	10	6	0.9	1.3	5	3	8	15	21	18
16	7	Watford	16	10	6	1.0	1.2	5	6	5	16	20	21
17	10	West Brom	15	9	6	1.2	1.2	5	4	6	18	18	19
18	16	QPR	16	10	6	0.9	1.2	5	5	6	15	20	20
19	17	Birmingham	14	8	6	1.1	1.4	5	3	6	16	20	18
20	20	Rotherham	16	10	6	0.6	1.4	2	7	7	9	23	13
21	4	Luton	15	10	5	1.2	0.9	8	3	4	18	14	27
22	11	Coventry	14	9	5	0.9	1.3	3	4	7	12	18	13
23	21	Cardiff	16	11	5	0.8	1.2	4	3	9	12	20	15
24	2	Sheffield United	15	11	4	1.2	0.7	8	4	3	18	11	28

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.