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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Kavanagh

Liverpool 1–1 Arsenal

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.38 fair 2.09
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 4.22
Away 2.80 fair 3.52
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.35
Over 2.5 1.70 fair 1.74

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Liverpool Arsenal
13 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 5
13 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (176 league matches this season so far).
Result Liverpool to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.72 – 1.27
Home / Draw / Away
LiverpoolDrawArsenal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 8.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Liverpool before this match, all matches
2.24points / match
2.12scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 36:15
Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.29points / match
2.06scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 35:15
Liverpool all matches all matches Arsenal

Per match

2.12 Goals scored 2.06
0.88 Goals conceded 0.88
3.00 Total goals 2.94
18.47 Shots 15.82
6.06 Shots on target 5.71
11.71 Shots faced 8.12
6.94 Corners 7.59
4.82 Corners against 2.29
11.76 Fouls 9.53
1.76 Yellow cards 1.29
0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.35

How often Full Time

65% Wins 71%
29% Draws 18%
6% Losses 12%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
94% Over 1.5 goals 65%
65% Over 2.5 goals 59%
29% Over 3.5 goals 47%
6% Over 4.5 goals 12%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
65% Both teams scored 47%
35% Clean sheets 41%
6% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 35%
47% Draws 47%
18% Losses 18%
76% Over 0.5 goals 65%
47% Over 1.5 goals 35%
18% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool all matches
Arsenal all matches
Liverpool before this match, at home
2.75points / match
2.63scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 21:5
Arsenal before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.63scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:7
Liverpool at home away Arsenal

Per match

2.63 Goals scored 1.63
0.63 Goals conceded 0.88
3.25 Total goals 2.50
23.63 Shots 14.88
8.13 Shots on target 4.63
9.88 Shots faced 9.38
8.13 Corners 7.75
3.50 Corners against 2.13
11.00 Fouls 9.75
0.88 Yellow cards 1.38
1.25 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

88% Wins 63%
13% Draws 13%
0% Losses 25%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 38%
75% Over 2.5 goals 38%
38% Over 3.5 goals 38%
13% Over 4.5 goals 13%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
38% Both teams scored 25%
63% Clean sheets 50%
13% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 25%
50% Draws 50%
0% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 50%
63% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool at home
Arsenal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
09.12.23 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 1–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.65 2.20
06.12.23 Sheffield United – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 12.007.501.20 1.33 3.40
03.12.23 Liverpool – Fulham 4–3 (2–2) 1.256.509.00 1.40 2.88
25.11.23 Man City – Liverpool 1–1 (1–0) 1.734.204.20 1.48 2.60
12.11.23 Liverpool – Brentford 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.006.50 1.44 2.70
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
29.10.23 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.295.7511.00 1.40 2.88
21.10.23 Liverpool – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.757.50 1.40 2.88
08.10.23 Brighton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–2) 3.003.802.20 1.36 3.10

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23 Arsenal – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.40
09.12.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.70 2.10
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
02.12.23 Arsenal – Wolves 2–1 (2–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Brentford – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 4.503.751.75 1.90 2.00
11.11.23 Arsenal – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.187.0017.00 1.48 2.60
04.11.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 1.95 1.95
28.10.23 Arsenal – Sheffield United 5–0 (1–0) 1.138.5019.00 1.36 3.10
21.10.23 Chelsea – Arsenal 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 1.98 1.92
08.10.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.75 2.05

Liverpool at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
03.12.23 Liverpool – Fulham 4–3 (2–2) 1.256.509.00 1.40 2.88
12.11.23 Liverpool – Brentford 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.006.50 1.44 2.70
29.10.23 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.295.7511.00 1.40 2.88
21.10.23 Liverpool – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.757.50 1.40 2.88
24.09.23 Liverpool – West Ham 3–1 (1–1) 1.405.007.00 1.40 3.00
03.09.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00
19.08.23 Liverpool – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.33 3.40
20.05.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 1.455.006.25 1.53 2.50
06.05.23 Liverpool – Brentford 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.00 1.50 2.63

Arsenal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.70 2.10
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Brentford – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 4.503.751.75 1.90 2.00
04.11.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 1.95 1.95
21.10.23 Chelsea – Arsenal 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 1.98 1.92
30.09.23 Bournemouth – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 5.504.501.53 1.53 2.50
17.09.23 Everton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.67 2.20
21.08.23 Crystal Palace – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 5.504.001.60 1.94 1.96
20.05.23 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 5.254.331.57 1.57 2.38
07.05.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.752.63 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Liverpool winsDrawsArsenal wins
4matches
3.75goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.04.23E0 Liverpool – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.38 1.62 2.30
09.10.22E0 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–2 (2–1) 2.503.602.62 1.57 2.37
16.03.22E0 Arsenal – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 3.504.001.90 1.72 2.10
20.11.21E0 Liverpool – Arsenal 4–0 (1–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.62

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 12 3 2 35 15 +20 39
2 Aston Villa 18 12 3 3 38 22 +16 39
3 Liverpool 17 11 5 1 36 15 +21 38
4 Tottenham 18 11 3 4 37 24 +13 36
5 Man City 17 10 4 3 40 20 +20 34
6 West Ham 18 9 3 6 31 30 +1 30
7 Newcastle 18 9 2 7 36 22 +14 29
8 Man United 18 9 1 8 18 23 -5 28
9 Brighton 18 7 6 5 34 31 +3 27
10 Everton 18 8 2 8 23 22 +1 26
11 Chelsea 17 6 4 7 28 26 +2 22
12 Bournemouth 17 6 4 7 24 32 -8 22
13 Fulham 18 6 3 9 26 31 -5 21
14 Brentford 17 5 4 8 24 24 0 19
15 Wolves 17 5 4 8 21 29 -8 19
16 Crystal Palace 18 4 6 8 18 26 -8 18
17 Nott'm Forest 18 3 5 10 19 33 -14 14
18 Luton 17 3 3 11 18 32 -14 12
19 Burnley 18 3 2 13 18 36 -18 11
20 Sheffield United 18 2 3 13 13 44 -31 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 9 8 1 0 26 6 +20 25
2 Newcastle 9 8 0 1 22 4 +18 24
3 Arsenal 9 7 2 0 22 8 +14 23
4 Liverpool 8 7 1 0 21 5 +16 22
5 Man City 8 5 3 0 22 9 +13 18
6 Tottenham 9 6 0 3 17 12 +5 18
7 West Ham 9 5 2 2 17 10 +7 17
8 Brighton 9 4 4 1 18 12 +6 16
9 Fulham 9 5 0 4 17 11 +6 15
10 Man United 9 5 0 4 10 14 -4 15
11 Brentford 9 3 3 3 16 14 +2 12
12 Chelsea 9 3 3 3 15 13 +2 12
13 Wolves 8 3 3 2 11 13 -2 12
14 Everton 9 3 1 5 10 9 +1 10
15 Nott'm Forest 9 2 3 4 12 14 -2 9
16 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 8 12 -4 9
17 Luton 9 2 2 5 11 14 -3 8
18 Sheffield United 9 2 1 6 8 21 -13 7
19 Crystal Palace 9 1 3 5 8 13 -5 6
20 Burnley 9 1 0 8 10 22 -12 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 9 5 3 1 20 12 +8 18
2 Man City 9 5 1 3 18 11 +7 16
3 Arsenal 8 5 1 2 13 7 +6 16
4 Liverpool 9 4 4 1 15 10 +5 16
5 Everton 9 5 1 3 13 13 0 16
6 Aston Villa 9 4 2 3 12 16 -4 14
7 Man United 9 4 1 4 8 9 -1 13
8 Bournemouth 9 4 1 4 16 20 -4 13
9 West Ham 9 4 1 4 14 20 -6 13
10 Crystal Palace 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12
11 Brighton 9 3 2 4 16 19 -3 11
12 Chelsea 8 3 1 4 13 13 0 10
13 Burnley 9 2 2 5 8 14 -6 8
14 Brentford 8 2 1 5 8 10 -2 7
15 Wolves 9 2 1 6 10 16 -6 7
16 Fulham 9 1 3 5 9 20 -11 6
17 Newcastle 9 1 2 6 14 18 -4 5
18 Nott'm Forest 9 1 2 6 7 19 -12 5
19 Luton 8 1 1 6 7 18 -11 4
20 Sheffield United 9 0 2 7 5 23 -18 2

Liverpool   Arsenal

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Tottenham 18 5 13 2.1 1.3 11 3 4 37 24 36
2 6 West Ham 18 5 13 1.7 1.7 9 3 6 31 30 30
3 2 Aston Villa 18 6 12 2.1 1.2 12 3 3 38 22 39
4 5 Man City 17 5 12 2.4 1.2 10 4 3 40 20 34
5 9 Brighton 18 6 12 1.9 1.7 7 6 5 34 31 27
6 12 Bournemouth 17 5 12 1.4 1.9 6 4 7 24 32 22
7 3 Liverpool 17 6 11 2.1 0.9 11 5 1 36 15 38
8 7 Newcastle 18 7 11 2.0 1.2 9 2 7 36 22 29
9 14 Brentford 17 6 11 1.4 1.4 5 4 8 24 24 19
10 15 Wolves 17 6 11 1.2 1.7 5 4 8 21 29 19
11 18 Luton 17 6 11 1.1 1.9 3 3 11 18 32 12
12 20 Sheffield United 18 7 11 0.7 2.4 2 3 13 13 44 9
13 1 Arsenal 17 7 10 2.1 0.9 12 3 2 35 15 39
14 13 Fulham 18 8 10 1.4 1.7 6 3 9 26 31 21
15 19 Burnley 18 8 10 1.0 2.0 3 2 13 18 36 11
16 8 Man United 18 9 9 1.0 1.3 9 1 8 18 23 28
17 10 Everton 18 9 9 1.3 1.2 8 2 8 23 22 26
18 11 Chelsea 17 8 9 1.6 1.5 6 4 7 28 26 22
19 17 Nott'm Forest 18 9 9 1.1 1.8 3 5 10 19 33 14
20 16 Crystal Palace 18 10 8 1.0 1.4 4 6 8 18 26 18
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 9 2 7 2.4 0.9 7 2 0 22 8 23
2 4 Tottenham 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 6 0 3 17 12 18
3 14 Brentford 9 2 7 1.8 1.6 3 3 3 16 14 12
4 2 Aston Villa 9 3 6 2.9 0.7 8 1 0 26 6 25
5 3 Liverpool 8 2 6 2.6 0.6 7 1 0 21 5 22
6 8 Man United 9 3 6 1.1 1.6 5 0 4 10 14 15
7 9 Brighton 9 3 6 2.0 1.3 4 4 1 18 12 16
8 19 Burnley 9 3 6 1.1 2.4 1 0 8 10 22 3
9 20 Sheffield United 9 3 6 0.9 2.3 2 1 6 8 21 7
10 5 Man City 8 3 5 2.8 1.1 5 3 0 22 9 18
11 6 West Ham 9 4 5 1.9 1.1 5 2 2 17 10 17
12 7 Newcastle 9 4 5 2.4 0.4 8 0 1 22 4 24
13 13 Fulham 9 4 5 1.9 1.2 5 0 4 17 11 15
14 15 Wolves 8 3 5 1.4 1.6 3 3 2 11 13 12
15 18 Luton 9 4 5 1.2 1.6 2 2 5 11 14 8
16 10 Everton 9 5 4 1.1 1.0 3 1 5 10 9 10
17 11 Chelsea 9 5 4 1.7 1.4 3 3 3 15 13 12
18 12 Bournemouth 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 3 8 12 9
19 16 Crystal Palace 9 5 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 5 8 13 6
20 17 Nott'm Forest 9 5 4 1.3 1.6 2 3 4 12 14 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 West Ham 9 1 8 1.6 2.2 4 1 4 14 20 13
2 12 Bournemouth 9 1 8 1.8 2.2 4 1 4 16 20 13
3 5 Man City 9 2 7 2.0 1.2 5 1 3 18 11 16
4 2 Aston Villa 9 3 6 1.3 1.8 4 2 3 12 16 14
5 4 Tottenham 9 3 6 2.2 1.3 5 3 1 20 12 18
6 7 Newcastle 9 3 6 1.6 2.0 1 2 6 14 18 5
7 9 Brighton 9 3 6 1.8 2.1 3 2 4 16 19 11
8 15 Wolves 9 3 6 1.1 1.8 2 1 6 10 16 7
9 18 Luton 8 2 6 0.9 2.2 1 1 6 7 18 4
10 3 Liverpool 9 4 5 1.7 1.1 4 4 1 15 10 16
11 10 Everton 9 4 5 1.4 1.4 5 1 3 13 13 16
12 11 Chelsea 8 3 5 1.6 1.6 3 1 4 13 13 10
13 13 Fulham 9 4 5 1.0 2.2 1 3 5 9 20 6
14 17 Nott'm Forest 9 4 5 0.8 2.1 1 2 6 7 19 5
15 20 Sheffield United 9 4 5 0.6 2.6 0 2 7 5 23 2
16 14 Brentford 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 2 1 5 8 10 7
17 16 Crystal Palace 9 5 4 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12
18 19 Burnley 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 2 2 5 8 14 8
19 1 Arsenal 8 5 3 1.6 0.9 5 1 2 13 7 16
20 8 Man United 9 6 3 0.9 1.0 4 1 4 8 9 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44