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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Madley

Luton 1–1 Liverpool

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 12.00 fair 3.16
Draw ✓ 6.50 fair 4.21
Away 1.22 fair 2.24
Under 2.5 ✓ 3.10 fair 2.44
Over 2.5 1.36 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Liverpool
8 Shots 24
5 Shots on target 6
4 Corners 7
7 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (108 league matches this season so far).
Result Liverpool to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.38 – 1.68
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawLiverpool
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 1–2 9.1% 0–1 7.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
0.50points / match
0.90scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 9:20
Liverpool before this match, all matches
2.30points / match
2.30scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 23:9
Luton all matches all matches Liverpool

Per match

0.90 Goals scored 2.30
2.00 Goals conceded 0.90
2.90 Total goals 3.20
12.20 Shots 17.60
2.30 Shots on target 5.40
15.90 Shots faced 13.00
5.60 Corners 6.70
5.00 Corners against 4.90
11.90 Fouls 11.60
1.70 Yellow cards 1.80
0.20 1st-half goals scored 1.10
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

10% Wins 70%
20% Draws 20%
70% Losses 10%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
70% Over 2.5 goals 80%
30% Over 3.5 goals 40%
10% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
70% Both teams scored 70%
0% Clean sheets 30%
30% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 40%
40% Draws 40%
50% Losses 20%
60% Over 0.5 goals 90%
10% Over 1.5 goals 70%
10% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Liverpool all matches
Luton before this match, at home
0.25points / match
0.75scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:6
Liverpool before this match, away
1.60points / match
1.80scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:7
Luton at home away Liverpool

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.80
1.50 Goals conceded 1.40
2.25 Total goals 3.20
16.50 Shots 12.80
2.50 Shots on target 3.80
10.25 Shots faced 16.40
7.75 Corners 4.60
4.75 Corners against 6.60
12.50 Fouls 12.60
1.75 Yellow cards 2.80
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 40%
25% Draws 40%
75% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 80%
0% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 20%
50% Draws 40%
50% Losses 40%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 60%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Liverpool away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60
21.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Luton 2–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.08 1.82
07.10.23 Luton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.751.45 1.53 2.40
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
30.09.23 Everton – Luton 1–2 (1–2) 1.573.806.50 2.05 1.85
23.09.23 Luton – Wolves 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 2.02 1.88
16.09.23 Fulham – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 1.89 2.01
01.09.23 Luton – West Ham 1–2 (0–1) 4.753.801.73 1.87 2.03
25.08.23 Chelsea – Luton 3–0 (1–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.67 2.20
12.08.23 Brighton – Luton 4–1 (1–0) 1.335.509.00 1.62 2.30

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.23 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.295.7511.00 1.40 2.88
21.10.23 Liverpool – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.757.50 1.40 2.88
08.10.23 Brighton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–2) 3.003.802.20 1.36 3.10
30.09.23 Tottenham – Liverpool 2–1 (1–1) 2.904.002.15 1.36 3.20
24.09.23 Liverpool – West Ham 3–1 (1–1) 1.405.007.00 1.40 3.00
16.09.23 Wolves – Liverpool 1–3 (1–0) 6.005.001.45 1.44 2.75
03.09.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00
27.08.23 Newcastle – Liverpool 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.753.00 1.50 2.63
19.08.23 Liverpool – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.33 3.40
13.08.23 Chelsea – Liverpool 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.402.38 1.67 2.20

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.10.23 Luton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.751.45 1.53 2.40
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
23.09.23 Luton – Wolves 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 2.02 1.88
01.09.23 Luton – West Ham 1–2 (0–1) 4.753.801.73 1.87 2.03
08.05.23E1 Luton – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.50 1.93 1.93
24.04.23E1 Luton – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 2.05 1.80
10.04.23E1 Luton – Blackpool 3–1 (1–1) 1.534.007.00 2.00 1.80
01.04.23E1 Luton – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.38 1.57
15.03.23E1 Luton – Bristol City 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.504.50 2.10 1.73
04.03.23E1 Luton – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.73

Liverpool away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.23 Brighton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–2) 3.003.802.20 1.36 3.10
30.09.23 Tottenham – Liverpool 2–1 (1–1) 2.904.002.15 1.36 3.20
16.09.23 Wolves – Liverpool 1–3 (1–0) 6.005.001.45 1.44 2.75
27.08.23 Newcastle – Liverpool 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.753.00 1.50 2.63
13.08.23 Chelsea – Liverpool 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.402.38 1.67 2.20
28.05.23 Southampton – Liverpool 4–4 (2–2) 6.504.751.44 1.40 3.00
15.05.23 Leicester – Liverpool 0–3 (0–2) 5.254.331.57 1.50 2.63
26.04.23 West Ham – Liverpool 1–2 (1–1) 3.903.901.85 1.67 2.20
17.04.23 Leeds – Liverpool 1–6 (0–2) 4.204.201.73 1.57 2.38
04.04.23 Chelsea – Liverpool 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.25 1.95 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 11 9 0 2 28 8 +20 27
2 Tottenham 10 8 2 0 22 9 +13 26
3 Arsenal 11 7 3 1 23 9 +14 24
4 Liverpool 10 7 2 1 23 9 +14 23
5 Aston Villa 11 7 1 3 26 16 +10 22
6 Newcastle 11 6 2 3 27 11 +16 20
7 Brighton 11 5 3 3 24 20 +4 18
8 Man United 11 6 0 5 12 16 -4 18
9 Brentford 11 4 4 3 19 14 +5 16
10 Crystal Palace 11 4 3 4 10 13 -3 15
11 West Ham 11 4 2 5 18 20 -2 14
12 Nott'm Forest 11 3 4 4 12 15 -3 13
13 Chelsea 10 3 3 4 13 11 +2 12
14 Wolves 11 3 3 5 14 19 -5 12
15 Fulham 11 3 3 5 9 17 -8 12
16 Everton 11 3 2 6 11 15 -4 11
17 Bournemouth 11 1 3 7 9 27 -18 6
18 Luton 10 1 2 7 9 20 -11 5
19 Burnley 11 1 1 9 8 27 -19 4
20 Sheffield United 11 1 1 9 9 30 -21 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 5 5 0 0 20 4 +16 15
2 Man City 5 5 0 0 16 3 +13 15
3 Liverpool 5 5 0 0 14 2 +12 15
4 Newcastle 6 5 0 1 14 3 +11 15
5 Arsenal 6 4 2 0 15 6 +9 14
6 Tottenham 4 4 0 0 8 2 +6 12
7 Brighton 6 3 2 1 14 9 +5 11
8 Nott'm Forest 5 2 3 0 8 5 +3 9
9 Brentford 6 2 3 1 12 10 +2 9
10 Man United 6 3 0 3 7 10 -3 9
11 West Ham 5 2 1 2 8 7 +1 7
12 Fulham 5 2 0 3 4 7 -3 6
13 Chelsea 6 1 2 3 6 7 -1 5
14 Crystal Palace 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
15 Wolves 5 1 2 2 7 11 -4 5
16 Bournemouth 6 1 2 3 4 10 -6 5
17 Everton 6 1 1 4 5 6 -1 4
18 Sheffield United 6 1 1 4 6 16 -10 4
19 Luton 4 0 1 3 3 6 -3 1
20 Burnley 6 0 0 6 4 18 -14 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 6 4 2 0 14 7 +7 14
2 Man City 6 4 0 2 12 5 +7 12
3 Arsenal 5 3 1 1 8 3 +5 10
4 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 6 8 -2 10
5 Man United 5 3 0 2 5 6 -1 9
6 Liverpool 5 2 2 1 9 7 +2 8
7 Brentford 5 2 1 2 7 4 +3 7
8 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
9 Brighton 5 2 1 2 10 11 -1 7
10 Wolves 6 2 1 3 7 8 -1 7
11 West Ham 6 2 1 3 10 13 -3 7
12 Everton 5 2 1 2 6 9 -3 7
13 Aston Villa 6 2 1 3 6 12 -6 7
14 Fulham 6 1 3 2 5 10 -5 6
15 Newcastle 5 1 2 2 13 8 +5 5
16 Burnley 5 1 1 3 4 9 -5 4
17 Nott'm Forest 6 1 1 4 4 10 -6 4
18 Luton 6 1 1 4 6 14 -8 4
19 Bournemouth 5 0 1 4 5 17 -12 1
20 Sheffield United 5 0 0 5 3 14 -11 0

Luton   Liverpool

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Brighton 11 2 9 2.2 1.8 5 3 3 24 20 18
2 20 Sheffield United 11 2 9 0.8 2.7 1 1 9 9 30 4
3 1 Man City 11 3 8 2.5 0.7 9 0 2 28 8 27
4 4 Liverpool 10 2 8 2.3 0.9 7 2 1 23 9 23
5 5 Aston Villa 11 3 8 2.4 1.5 7 1 3 26 16 22
6 11 West Ham 11 3 8 1.6 1.8 4 2 5 18 20 14
7 17 Bournemouth 11 3 8 0.8 2.5 1 3 7 9 27 6
8 3 Arsenal 11 4 7 2.1 0.8 7 3 1 23 9 24
9 6 Newcastle 11 4 7 2.5 1.0 6 2 3 27 11 20
10 9 Brentford 11 4 7 1.7 1.3 4 4 3 19 14 16
11 14 Wolves 11 4 7 1.3 1.7 3 3 5 14 19 12
12 18 Luton 10 3 7 0.9 2.0 1 2 7 9 20 5
13 19 Burnley 11 4 7 0.7 2.5 1 1 9 8 27 4
14 2 Tottenham 10 4 6 2.2 0.9 8 2 0 22 9 26
15 8 Man United 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 6 0 5 12 16 18
16 12 Nott'm Forest 11 6 5 1.1 1.4 3 4 4 12 15 13
17 16 Everton 11 6 5 1.0 1.4 3 2 6 11 15 11
18 10 Crystal Palace 11 7 4 0.9 1.2 4 3 4 10 13 15
19 13 Chelsea 10 6 4 1.3 1.1 3 3 4 13 11 12
20 15 Fulham 11 7 4 0.8 1.5 3 3 5 9 17 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Arsenal 6 1 5 2.5 1.0 4 2 0 15 6 14
2 5 Aston Villa 5 0 5 4.0 0.8 5 0 0 20 4 15
3 7 Brighton 6 1 5 2.3 1.5 3 2 1 14 9 11
4 9 Brentford 6 1 5 2.0 1.7 2 3 1 12 10 9
5 20 Sheffield United 6 1 5 1.0 2.7 1 1 4 6 16 4
6 4 Liverpool 5 1 4 2.8 0.4 5 0 0 14 2 15
7 8 Man United 6 2 4 1.2 1.7 3 0 3 7 10 9
8 14 Wolves 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 2 2 7 11 5
9 19 Burnley 6 2 4 0.7 3.0 0 0 6 4 18 0
10 1 Man City 5 2 3 3.2 0.6 5 0 0 16 3 15
11 6 Newcastle 6 3 3 2.3 0.5 5 0 1 14 3 15
12 11 West Ham 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 1 2 8 7 7
13 17 Bournemouth 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 1 2 3 4 10 5
14 2 Tottenham 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 4 0 0 8 2 12
15 10 Crystal Palace 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
16 12 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 2 3 0 8 5 9
17 13 Chelsea 6 4 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 3 6 7 5
18 15 Fulham 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 2 0 3 4 7 6
19 16 Everton 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 1 1 4 5 6 4
20 18 Luton 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 1 3 3 6 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 6 1 5 2.0 0.8 4 0 2 12 5 12
2 11 West Ham 6 1 5 1.7 2.2 2 1 3 10 13 7
3 17 Bournemouth 5 0 5 1.0 3.4 0 1 4 5 17 1
4 18 Luton 6 1 5 1.0 2.3 1 1 4 6 14 4
5 2 Tottenham 6 2 4 2.3 1.2 4 2 0 14 7 14
6 4 Liverpool 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 2 2 1 9 7 8
7 6 Newcastle 5 1 4 2.6 1.6 1 2 2 13 8 5
8 7 Brighton 5 1 4 2.0 2.2 2 1 2 10 11 7
9 20 Sheffield United 5 1 4 0.6 2.8 0 0 5 3 14 0
10 5 Aston Villa 6 3 3 1.0 2.0 2 1 3 6 12 7
11 12 Nott'm Forest 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 1 1 4 4 10 4
12 14 Wolves 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 2 1 3 7 8 7
13 16 Everton 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 2 1 2 6 9 7
14 19 Burnley 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 3 4 9 4
15 3 Arsenal 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 3 1 1 8 3 10
16 8 Man United 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 3 0 2 5 6 9
17 9 Brentford 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 1 2 7 4 7
18 10 Crystal Palace 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 3 1 2 6 8 10
19 13 Chelsea 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
20 15 Fulham 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 1 3 2 5 10 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51