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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Robinson

Arsenal 2–0 Brighton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.44 fair 1.80
Draw 5.00 fair 4.91
Away 6.00 fair 4.18
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.40 fair 3.28
Over 2.5 1.53 fair 1.44

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Arsenal Brighton
26 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 1
10 Corners 1
11 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (165 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.50
Expected goals 2.19 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
ArsenalDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.3% 1–1 8.5% 3–1 6.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.25points / match
2.06scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 33:15
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.63points / match
2.06scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 33:28
Arsenal all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

2.06 Goals scored 2.06
0.94 Goals conceded 1.75
3.00 Total goals 3.81
15.19 Shots 15.50
5.50 Shots on target 6.50
8.25 Shots faced 11.50
7.44 Corners 5.81
2.38 Corners against 3.69
9.44 Fouls 10.94
1.31 Yellow cards 2.63
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

69% Wins 44%
19% Draws 31%
13% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 100%
63% Over 2.5 goals 75%
50% Over 3.5 goals 63%
13% Over 4.5 goals 31%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
50% Both teams scored 100%
38% Clean sheets 0%
13% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 44%
44% Draws 13%
19% Losses 44%
69% Over 0.5 goals 100%
38% Over 1.5 goals 44%
6% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal all matches
Brighton all matches
Arsenal before this match, at home
2.50points / match
2.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 20:8
Brighton before this match, away
1.43points / match
2.14scored / match
2.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 15:16
Arsenal at home away Brighton

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 2.14
1.00 Goals conceded 2.29
3.50 Total goals 4.43
15.50 Shots 11.14
6.38 Shots on target 5.43
7.13 Shots faced 13.57
7.13 Corners 3.43
2.63 Corners against 4.29
9.13 Fouls 10.86
1.25 Yellow cards 3.57
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 1.29

How often Full Time

75% Wins 43%
25% Draws 14%
0% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 100%
88% Over 2.5 goals 86%
63% Over 3.5 goals 71%
13% Over 4.5 goals 57%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
75% Both teams scored 100%
25% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 43%
38% Draws 0%
13% Losses 57%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 57%
0% Over 2.5 goals 43%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.70 2.10
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
02.12.23 Arsenal – Wolves 2–1 (2–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Brentford – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 4.503.751.75 1.90 2.00
11.11.23 Arsenal – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.187.0017.00 1.48 2.60
04.11.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 1.95 1.95
28.10.23 Arsenal – Sheffield United 5–0 (1–0) 1.138.5019.00 1.36 3.10
21.10.23 Chelsea – Arsenal 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 1.98 1.92
08.10.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Bournemouth – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 5.504.501.53 1.53 2.50

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Brighton – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.35
06.12.23 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.25
03.12.23 Chelsea – Brighton 3–2 (2–1) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.40
25.11.23 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 2–3 (1–2) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
12.11.23 Brighton – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–0) 1.255.7513.00 1.40 2.88
04.11.23 Everton – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.57 2.35
29.10.23 Brighton – Fulham 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.50 2.50
21.10.23 Man City – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.36 3.10
08.10.23 Brighton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–2) 3.003.802.20 1.36 3.10
30.09.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 6–1 (3–0) 2.553.752.55 1.44 2.75

Arsenal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23 Arsenal – Wolves 2–1 (2–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.65 2.20
11.11.23 Arsenal – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.187.0017.00 1.48 2.60
28.10.23 Arsenal – Sheffield United 5–0 (1–0) 1.138.5019.00 1.36 3.10
08.10.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.75 2.05
24.09.23 Arsenal – Tottenham 2–2 (1–1) 1.674.334.33 1.50 2.63
03.09.23 Arsenal – Man United 3–1 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.57 2.38
26.08.23 Arsenal – Fulham 2–2 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
12.08.23 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.44 2.75
28.05.23 Arsenal – Wolves 5–0 (3–0) 1.365.258.00 1.44 2.75
14.05.23 Arsenal – Brighton 0–3 (0–0) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.50

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.23 Chelsea – Brighton 3–2 (2–1) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.40
25.11.23 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 2–3 (1–2) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
04.11.23 Everton – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.57 2.35
21.10.23 Man City – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.36 3.10
30.09.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 6–1 (3–0) 2.553.752.55 1.44 2.75
16.09.23 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (0–1) 2.154.002.88 1.44 2.75
19.08.23 Wolves – Brighton 1–4 (0–1) 4.003.801.85 1.73 2.10
28.05.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–1 (2–1) 2.003.603.50 1.53 2.50
18.05.23 Newcastle – Brighton 4–1 (2–0) 2.003.803.50 1.62 2.30
14.05.23 Arsenal – Brighton 0–3 (0–0) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Arsenal winsDrawsBrighton wins
4matches
3.00goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.05.23E0 Arsenal – Brighton 0–3 (0–0) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.50
31.12.22E0 Brighton – Arsenal 2–4 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 1.89 2.04
09.04.22E0 Arsenal – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 1.613.805.75 2.04 1.86
02.10.21E0 Brighton – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 16 11 4 1 36 15 +21 37
2 Arsenal 16 11 3 2 33 15 +18 36
3 Aston Villa 16 11 2 3 35 20 +15 35
4 Man City 17 10 4 3 40 20 +20 34
5 Tottenham 17 10 3 4 35 23 +12 33
6 Newcastle 17 9 2 6 36 21 +15 29
7 Man United 16 9 0 7 18 21 -3 27
8 Brighton 16 7 5 4 33 28 +5 26
9 Everton 17 8 2 7 22 20 +2 26
10 West Ham 16 7 3 6 26 30 -4 24
11 Chelsea 17 6 4 7 28 26 +2 22
12 Fulham 17 6 3 8 26 29 -3 21
13 Brentford 16 5 4 7 23 22 +1 19
14 Wolves 16 5 4 7 21 26 -5 19
15 Bournemouth 16 5 4 7 21 30 -9 19
16 Crystal Palace 17 4 5 8 17 25 -8 17
17 Nott'm Forest 17 3 5 9 17 30 -13 14
18 Luton 16 2 3 11 17 32 -15 9
19 Burnley 17 2 2 13 16 36 -20 8
20 Sheffield United 17 2 2 13 12 43 -31 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 8 8 0 0 25 5 +20 24
2 Newcastle 9 8 0 1 22 4 +18 24
3 Liverpool 7 7 0 0 21 5 +16 21
4 Arsenal 8 6 2 0 20 8 +12 20
5 Man City 8 5 3 0 22 9 +13 18
6 Brighton 9 4 4 1 18 12 +6 16
7 Fulham 8 5 0 3 17 9 +8 15
8 Tottenham 8 5 0 3 15 11 +4 15
9 Man United 9 5 0 4 10 14 -4 15
10 Brentford 8 3 3 2 15 12 +3 12
11 Chelsea 9 3 3 3 15 13 +2 12
12 Wolves 8 3 3 2 11 13 -2 12
13 West Ham 7 3 2 2 12 10 +2 11
14 Everton 9 3 1 5 10 9 +1 10
15 Nott'm Forest 8 2 3 3 10 11 -1 9
16 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 8 12 -4 9
17 Sheffield United 9 2 1 6 8 21 -13 7
18 Luton 8 1 2 5 10 14 -4 5
19 Crystal Palace 8 1 2 5 7 12 -5 5
20 Burnley 9 1 0 8 10 22 -12 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 9 5 3 1 20 12 +8 18
2 Man City 9 5 1 3 18 11 +7 16
3 Arsenal 8 5 1 2 13 7 +6 16
4 Liverpool 9 4 4 1 15 10 +5 16
5 Everton 8 5 1 2 12 11 +1 16
6 West Ham 9 4 1 4 14 20 -6 13
7 Man United 7 4 0 3 8 7 +1 12
8 Crystal Palace 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12
9 Aston Villa 8 3 2 3 10 15 -5 11
10 Chelsea 8 3 1 4 13 13 0 10
11 Brighton 7 3 1 3 15 16 -1 10
12 Bournemouth 8 3 1 4 13 18 -5 10
13 Brentford 8 2 1 5 8 10 -2 7
14 Wolves 8 2 1 5 10 13 -3 7
15 Fulham 9 1 3 5 9 20 -11 6
16 Newcastle 8 1 2 5 14 17 -3 5
17 Burnley 8 1 2 5 6 14 -8 5
18 Nott'm Forest 9 1 2 6 7 19 -12 5
19 Luton 8 1 1 6 7 18 -11 4
20 Sheffield United 8 0 1 7 4 22 -18 1

Arsenal   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Man City 17 5 12 2.4 1.2 10 4 3 40 20 34
2 5 Tottenham 17 5 12 2.1 1.4 10 3 4 35 23 33
3 8 Brighton 16 4 12 2.1 1.8 7 5 4 33 28 26
4 10 West Ham 16 4 12 1.6 1.9 7 3 6 26 30 24
5 1 Liverpool 16 5 11 2.2 0.9 11 4 1 36 15 37
6 3 Aston Villa 16 5 11 2.2 1.2 11 2 3 35 20 35
7 6 Newcastle 17 6 11 2.1 1.2 9 2 6 36 21 29
8 15 Bournemouth 16 5 11 1.3 1.9 5 4 7 21 30 19
9 18 Luton 16 5 11 1.1 2.0 2 3 11 17 32 9
10 20 Sheffield United 17 6 11 0.7 2.5 2 2 13 12 43 8
11 2 Arsenal 16 6 10 2.1 0.9 11 3 2 33 15 36
12 12 Fulham 17 7 10 1.5 1.7 6 3 8 26 29 21
13 13 Brentford 16 6 10 1.4 1.4 5 4 7 23 22 19
14 14 Wolves 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 5 4 7 21 26 19
15 19 Burnley 17 7 10 0.9 2.1 2 2 13 16 36 8
16 7 Man United 16 7 9 1.1 1.3 9 0 7 18 21 27
17 11 Chelsea 17 8 9 1.6 1.5 6 4 7 28 26 22
18 9 Everton 17 9 8 1.3 1.2 8 2 7 22 20 26
19 16 Crystal Palace 17 9 8 1.0 1.5 4 5 8 17 25 17
20 17 Nott'm Forest 17 9 8 1.0 1.8 3 5 9 17 30 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Arsenal 8 1 7 2.5 1.0 6 2 0 20 8 20
2 1 Liverpool 7 1 6 3.0 0.7 7 0 0 21 5 21
3 3 Aston Villa 8 2 6 3.1 0.6 8 0 0 25 5 24
4 5 Tottenham 8 2 6 1.9 1.4 5 0 3 15 11 15
5 7 Man United 9 3 6 1.1 1.6 5 0 4 10 14 15
6 8 Brighton 9 3 6 2.0 1.3 4 4 1 18 12 16
7 13 Brentford 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 3 3 2 15 12 12
8 19 Burnley 9 3 6 1.1 2.4 1 0 8 10 22 3
9 20 Sheffield United 9 3 6 0.9 2.3 2 1 6 8 21 7
10 4 Man City 8 3 5 2.8 1.1 5 3 0 22 9 18
11 6 Newcastle 9 4 5 2.4 0.4 8 0 1 22 4 24
12 12 Fulham 8 3 5 2.1 1.1 5 0 3 17 9 15
13 14 Wolves 8 3 5 1.4 1.6 3 3 2 11 13 12
14 18 Luton 8 3 5 1.2 1.8 1 2 5 10 14 5
15 9 Everton 9 5 4 1.1 1.0 3 1 5 10 9 10
16 10 West Ham 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 2 2 12 10 11
17 11 Chelsea 9 5 4 1.7 1.4 3 3 3 15 13 12
18 15 Bournemouth 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 3 8 12 9
19 16 Crystal Palace 8 4 4 0.9 1.5 1 2 5 7 12 5
20 17 Nott'm Forest 8 5 3 1.2 1.4 2 3 3 10 11 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 West Ham 9 1 8 1.6 2.2 4 1 4 14 20 13
2 4 Man City 9 2 7 2.0 1.2 5 1 3 18 11 16
3 15 Bournemouth 8 1 7 1.6 2.2 3 1 4 13 18 10
4 5 Tottenham 9 3 6 2.2 1.3 5 3 1 20 12 18
5 6 Newcastle 8 2 6 1.8 2.1 1 2 5 14 17 5
6 8 Brighton 7 1 6 2.1 2.3 3 1 3 15 16 10
7 18 Luton 8 2 6 0.9 2.2 1 1 6 7 18 4
8 1 Liverpool 9 4 5 1.7 1.1 4 4 1 15 10 16
9 3 Aston Villa 8 3 5 1.2 1.9 3 2 3 10 15 11
10 11 Chelsea 8 3 5 1.6 1.6 3 1 4 13 13 10
11 12 Fulham 9 4 5 1.0 2.2 1 3 5 9 20 6
12 14 Wolves 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 2 1 5 10 13 7
13 17 Nott'm Forest 9 4 5 0.8 2.1 1 2 6 7 19 5
14 20 Sheffield United 8 3 5 0.5 2.8 0 1 7 4 22 1
15 9 Everton 8 4 4 1.5 1.4 5 1 2 12 11 16
16 13 Brentford 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 2 1 5 8 10 7
17 16 Crystal Palace 9 5 4 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12
18 19 Burnley 8 4 4 0.8 1.8 1 2 5 6 14 5
19 2 Arsenal 8 5 3 1.6 0.9 5 1 2 13 7 16
20 7 Man United 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 4 0 3 8 7 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51