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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Pawson

Tottenham 4–1 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 2.18
Draw 4.00 fair 4.34
Away 3.60 fair 3.22
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.65
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.61

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Tottenham Aston Villa
16 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 4
14 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (97 league matches this season so far).
Result Tottenham to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.58
Expected goals 1.78 – 1.43
Home / Draw / Away
TottenhamDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 2–1 9.1% 1–2 7.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Tottenham before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
2.00scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 18:10
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.78scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:11
Tottenham all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.78
1.11 Goals conceded 1.22
3.11 Total goals 3.00
17.33 Shots 12.44
6.44 Shots on target 4.44
9.56 Shots faced 10.44
9.33 Corners 5.44
5.11 Corners against 4.44
11.78 Fouls 12.22
2.56 Yellow cards 2.67
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

44% Wins 56%
11% Draws 33%
44% Losses 11%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
78% Over 1.5 goals 89%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
44% Over 3.5 goals 44%
22% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 78%
22% Clean sheets 11%
22% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 22%
22% Draws 56%
22% Losses 22%
89% Over 0.5 goals 67%
44% Over 1.5 goals 44%
11% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tottenham all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Tottenham before this match, at home
2.25points / match
2.75scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 11:3
Aston Villa before this match, away
2.50points / match
2.25scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 9:5
Tottenham at home away Aston Villa

Per match

2.75 Goals scored 2.25
0.75 Goals conceded 1.25
3.50 Total goals 3.50
18.25 Shots 11.50
7.25 Shots on target 4.00
8.50 Shots faced 12.00
10.25 Corners 4.50
5.00 Corners against 5.50
11.25 Fouls 14.25
2.25 Yellow cards 2.75
1.25 1st-half goals scored 1.25
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

75% Wins 75%
0% Draws 25%
25% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
75% Over 2.5 goals 100%
75% Over 3.5 goals 50%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 100%
25% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
50% Draws 50%
0% Losses 0%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tottenham at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Tottenham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.10.24 Crystal Palace – Tottenham 1–0 (1–0) 3.904.001.83 1.57 2.38
19.10.24 Tottenham – West Ham 4–1 (1–1) 1.505.005.25 1.36 3.20
06.10.24 Brighton – Tottenham 3–2 (0–2) 2.904.002.20 1.40 3.00
29.09.24 Man United – Tottenham 0–3 (0–1) 2.353.752.75 1.44 2.75
21.09.24 Tottenham – Brentford 3–1 (2–1) 1.554.505.50 1.44 2.75
15.09.24 Tottenham – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.502.30 1.57 2.38
01.09.24 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–1 (1–0) 2.504.002.50 1.36 3.20
24.08.24 Tottenham – Everton 4–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.50 2.63
19.08.24 Leicester – Tottenham 1–1 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.53 2.50
19.05.24 Sheffield United – Tottenham 0–3 (0–1) 7.006.001.33 1.22 4.33

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
19.10.24 Fulham – Aston Villa 1–3 (1–1) 2.453.502.80 1.73 2.10
06.10.24 Aston Villa – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.753.00 1.53 2.50
29.09.24 Ipswich – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–2) 4.003.751.85 1.73 2.10
21.09.24 Aston Villa – Wolves 3–1 (0–1) 1.574.205.25 1.57 2.38
14.09.24 Aston Villa – Everton 3–2 (1–2) 1.504.206.50 1.67 2.20
31.08.24 Leicester – Aston Villa 1–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.70 1.67 2.20
24.08.24 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.73 2.10
17.08.24 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.602.75 1.57 2.38
19.05.24 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 5–0 (2–0) 1.854.333.60 1.40 3.00

Tottenham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Tottenham – West Ham 4–1 (1–1) 1.505.005.25 1.36 3.20
21.09.24 Tottenham – Brentford 3–1 (2–1) 1.554.505.50 1.44 2.75
15.09.24 Tottenham – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.502.30 1.57 2.38
24.08.24 Tottenham – Everton 4–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.50 2.63
14.05.24 Tottenham – Man City 0–2 (0–0) 6.506.001.36 1.25 4.00
11.05.24 Tottenham – Burnley 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.757.00 1.25 4.00
28.04.24 Tottenham – Arsenal 2–3 (0–3) 4.204.201.75 1.50 2.63
07.04.24 Tottenham – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (1–1) 1.405.506.50 1.40 3.00
30.03.24 Tottenham – Luton 2–1 (0–1) 1.208.0011.00 1.25 4.00
02.03.24 Tottenham – Crystal Palace 3–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.53 2.40

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Fulham – Aston Villa 1–3 (1–1) 2.453.502.80 1.73 2.10
29.09.24 Ipswich – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–2) 4.003.751.85 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Leicester – Aston Villa 1–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.70 1.67 2.20
17.08.24 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.602.75 1.57 2.38
19.05.24 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 5–0 (2–0) 1.854.333.60 1.40 3.00
05.05.24 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.752.45 1.50 2.63
14.04.24 Arsenal – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 1.295.7510.00 1.50 2.63
03.04.24 Man City – Aston Villa 4–1 (2–1) 1.306.008.00 1.40 3.00
17.03.24 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.752.45 1.57 2.35
02.03.24 Luton – Aston Villa 2–3 (0–2) 4.334.201.73 1.44 2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Tottenham winsDrawsAston Villa wins
6matches
3.17goals / match
83%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24E0 Aston Villa – Tottenham 0–4 (0–0) 2.384.002.60 1.36 3.10
26.11.23E0 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.50 2.50
13.05.23E0 Aston Villa – Tottenham 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.602.90 1.73 2.10
01.01.23E0 Tottenham – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
09.04.22E0 Aston Villa – Tottenham 0–4 (0–1) 3.203.402.25 1.86 2.04
03.10.21E0 Tottenham – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.603.40 1.90 1.90

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 10 8 1 1 19 6 +13 25
2 Man City 10 7 2 1 21 11 +10 23
3 Nott'm Forest 10 5 4 1 14 7 +7 19
4 Arsenal 10 5 3 2 17 11 +6 18
5 Aston Villa 9 5 3 1 16 11 +5 18
6 Chelsea 9 5 2 2 19 11 +8 17
7 Brighton 10 4 4 2 17 14 +3 16
8 Bournemouth 10 4 3 3 13 12 +1 15
9 Newcastle 10 4 3 3 10 10 0 15
10 Tottenham 9 4 1 4 18 10 +8 13
11 Brentford 9 4 1 4 18 18 0 13
12 Fulham 9 3 3 3 12 12 0 12
13 Man United 9 3 2 4 8 11 -3 11
14 West Ham 10 3 2 5 13 19 -6 11
15 Leicester 10 2 4 4 14 18 -4 10
16 Everton 10 2 3 5 10 17 -7 9
17 Crystal Palace 10 1 4 5 8 13 -5 7
18 Ipswich 10 0 5 5 10 21 -11 5
19 Southampton 10 1 1 8 7 19 -12 4
20 Wolves 10 0 3 7 14 27 -13 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Brentford 5 4 1 0 15 9 +6 13
2 Man City 5 4 1 0 12 6 +6 13
3 Liverpool 5 4 0 1 9 3 +6 12
4 Arsenal 5 3 2 0 12 6 +6 11
5 Bournemouth 5 3 1 1 8 4 +4 10
6 Newcastle 5 3 1 1 5 3 +2 10
7 Tottenham 4 3 0 1 11 3 +8 9
8 Brighton 5 2 3 0 9 7 +2 9
9 Nott'm Forest 5 2 2 1 6 3 +3 8
10 Chelsea 5 2 2 1 8 7 +1 8
11 Aston Villa 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
12 Fulham 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
13 West Ham 5 2 0 3 8 10 -2 6
14 Man United 4 2 0 2 3 7 -4 6
15 Leicester 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
16 Crystal Palace 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5
17 Everton 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
18 Southampton 5 1 1 3 4 8 -4 4
19 Ipswich 5 0 3 2 4 8 -4 3
20 Wolves 5 0 1 4 7 14 -7 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 5 4 1 0 10 3 +7 13
2 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 0 8 4 +4 11
3 Aston Villa 4 3 1 0 9 5 +4 10
4 Man City 5 3 1 1 9 5 +4 10
5 Chelsea 4 3 0 1 11 4 +7 9
6 Brighton 5 2 1 2 8 7 +1 7
7 Arsenal 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
8 Man United 5 1 2 2 5 4 +1 5
9 Fulham 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
10 Leicester 5 1 2 2 9 11 -2 5
11 Newcastle 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
12 Bournemouth 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
13 West Ham 5 1 2 2 5 9 -4 5
14 Tottenham 5 1 1 3 7 7 0 4
15 Everton 5 1 1 3 5 9 -4 4
16 Crystal Palace 5 0 2 3 5 8 -3 2
17 Wolves 5 0 2 3 7 13 -6 2
18 Ipswich 5 0 2 3 6 13 -7 2
19 Brentford 4 0 0 4 3 9 -6 0
20 Southampton 5 0 0 5 3 11 -8 0

Tottenham   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Wolves 10 2 8 1.4 2.7 0 3 7 14 27 3
2 2 Man City 10 3 7 2.1 1.1 7 2 1 21 11 23
3 7 Brighton 10 3 7 1.7 1.4 4 4 2 17 14 16
4 11 Brentford 9 2 7 2.0 2.0 4 1 4 18 18 13
5 14 West Ham 10 3 7 1.3 1.9 3 2 5 13 19 11
6 1 Liverpool 10 4 6 1.9 0.6 8 1 1 19 6 25
7 5 Aston Villa 9 3 6 1.8 1.2 5 3 1 16 11 18
8 10 Tottenham 9 3 6 2.0 1.1 4 1 4 18 10 13
9 13 Man United 9 3 6 0.9 1.2 3 2 4 8 11 11
10 15 Leicester 10 4 6 1.4 1.8 2 4 4 14 18 10
11 6 Chelsea 9 4 5 2.1 1.2 5 2 2 19 11 17
12 16 Everton 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 3 5 10 17 9
13 19 Southampton 10 5 5 0.7 1.9 1 1 8 7 19 4
14 4 Arsenal 10 6 4 1.7 1.1 5 3 2 17 11 18
15 8 Bournemouth 10 6 4 1.3 1.2 4 3 3 13 12 15
16 9 Newcastle 10 6 4 1.0 1.0 4 3 3 10 10 15
17 12 Fulham 9 5 4 1.3 1.3 3 3 3 12 12 12
18 17 Crystal Palace 10 6 4 0.8 1.3 1 4 5 8 13 7
19 18 Ipswich 10 6 4 1.0 2.1 0 5 5 10 21 5
20 3 Nott'm Forest 10 7 3 1.4 0.7 5 4 1 14 7 19
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 West Ham 5 0 5 1.6 2.0 2 0 3 8 10 6
2 20 Wolves 5 0 5 1.4 2.8 0 1 4 7 14 1
3 2 Man City 5 1 4 2.4 1.2 4 1 0 12 6 13
4 7 Brighton 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 2 3 0 9 7 9
5 11 Brentford 5 1 4 3.0 1.8 4 1 0 15 9 13
6 1 Liverpool 5 2 3 1.8 0.6 4 0 1 9 3 12
7 4 Arsenal 5 2 3 2.4 1.2 3 2 0 12 6 11
8 10 Tottenham 4 1 3 2.8 0.8 3 0 1 11 3 9
9 12 Fulham 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
10 13 Man United 4 1 3 0.8 1.8 2 0 2 3 7 6
11 16 Everton 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
12 5 Aston Villa 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
13 6 Chelsea 5 3 2 1.6 1.4 2 2 1 8 7 8
14 8 Bournemouth 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 1 1 8 4 10
15 15 Leicester 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
16 19 Southampton 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 1 1 3 4 8 4
17 3 Nott'm Forest 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 2 2 1 6 3 8
18 9 Newcastle 5 4 1 1.0 0.6 3 1 1 5 3 10
19 17 Crystal Palace 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5
20 18 Ipswich 5 4 1 0.8 1.6 0 3 2 4 8 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Aston Villa 4 0 4 2.2 1.2 3 1 0 9 5 10
2 15 Leicester 5 1 4 1.8 2.2 1 2 2 9 11 5
3 1 Liverpool 5 2 3 2.0 0.6 4 1 0 10 3 13
4 2 Man City 5 2 3 1.8 1.0 3 1 1 9 5 10
5 6 Chelsea 4 1 3 2.8 1.0 3 0 1 11 4 9
6 7 Brighton 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 1 2 8 7 7
7 9 Newcastle 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
8 10 Tottenham 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 1 1 3 7 7 4
9 11 Brentford 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 0 4 3 9 0
10 13 Man United 5 2 3 1.0 0.8 1 2 2 5 4 5
11 17 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 0 2 3 5 8 2
12 18 Ipswich 5 2 3 1.2 2.6 0 2 3 6 13 2
13 19 Southampton 5 2 3 0.6 2.2 0 0 5 3 11 0
14 20 Wolves 5 2 3 1.4 2.6 0 2 3 7 13 2
15 3 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 2 0 8 4 11
16 8 Bournemouth 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
17 14 West Ham 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 2 5 9 5
18 16 Everton 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 1 1 3 5 9 4
19 4 Arsenal 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7
20 12 Fulham 5 4 1 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51