Luton 2–3 Aston Villa – England Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

Match facts

Luton Aston Villa

13 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 8

8 Corners 6

8 Fouls 19

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (264 league matches this season so far).

Result Aston Villa to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.48

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.91

Home / Draw / Away

32% 22% 46%

LutonDrawAston Villa

Under / Over 2.5 goals

32% 68%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

32% 68%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

3% 0

11% 1

19% 2

22% 3

19% 4

27% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 9.2% 1–2 8.8% 2–1 7.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches

0.80points / match

1.40scored / match

2.04conceded / match

5 5 15

WonDrawnLost 25 played · 35:51

Aston Villa before this match, all matches

2.00points / match

2.15scored / match

1.35conceded / match

16 4 6

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 56:35

Luton all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 2.15

2.04 Goals conceded 1.35

3.44 Total goals 3.50

12.20 Shots 14.85

3.60 Shots on target 5.65

17.12 Shots faced 10.62

5.60 Corners 6.27

5.72 Corners against 4.15

11.88 Fouls 10.58

1.92 Yellow cards 2.65

0.52 1st-half goals scored 1.04

0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

20% Wins 62%

20% Draws 15%

60% Losses 23%

100% Over 0.5 goals 96%

84% Over 1.5 goals 85%

72% Over 2.5 goals 73%

44% Over 3.5 goals 54%

24% Over 4.5 goals 27%

8% Over 5.5 goals 12%

76% Both teams scored 69%

8% Clean sheets 23%

16% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 46%

36% Draws 31%

40% Losses 23%

68% Over 0.5 goals 77%

28% Over 1.5 goals 50%

20% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches

1

2

L

1

W

3

2

W

2

3

L

1

D

4

W

4

D

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

4

L

Aston Villa all matches

2

1

W

1

D

2

3

L

3

2

W

D

1

3

L

5

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

4

2

W

Luton before this match, at home

0.85points / match

1.46scored / match

1.69conceded / match

3 2 8

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:22

Aston Villa before this match, away

1.62points / match

1.62scored / match

1.54conceded / match

6 3 4

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 21:20

Luton at home away Aston Villa

Per match

1.46 Goals scored 1.62

1.69 Goals conceded 1.54

3.15 Total goals 3.15

14.08 Shots 13.85

4.00 Shots on target 4.92

14.31 Shots faced 11.62

6.85 Corners 6.62

4.77 Corners against 4.69

11.85 Fouls 10.15

2.15 Yellow cards 2.38

0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.92

0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

23% Wins 46%

15% Draws 23%

62% Losses 31%

100% Over 0.5 goals 92%

85% Over 1.5 goals 85%

69% Over 2.5 goals 69%

31% Over 3.5 goals 38%

15% Over 4.5 goals 23%

8% Over 5.5 goals 8%

77% Both teams scored 62%

15% Clean sheets 23%

8% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 31%

31% Draws 38%

46% Losses 31%

69% Over 0.5 goals 77%

38% Over 1.5 goals 54%

23% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home

1

L

1

D

2

1

W

3

4

L

1

2

L

1

W

2

3

L

4

W

1

3

L

1

2

L

Aston Villa away

1

W

1

D

2

L

2

1

W

2

D

2

1

W

2

3

L

D

5

W

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.24	Liverpool – Luton	4–1 (0–1)	1.20	7.00	13.00	1.30	3.50
18.02.24	Luton – Man United	1–2 (1–2)	4.00	4.00	1.80	1.57	2.35
10.02.24	Luton – Sheffield United	1–3 (0–2)	1.75	3.75	4.75	1.85	2.05
03.02.24	Newcastle – Luton	4–4 (2–2)	1.44	4.75	6.50	1.57	2.35
30.01.24	Luton – Brighton	4–0 (3–0)	4.20	4.20	1.75	1.65	2.20
12.01.24	Burnley – Luton	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.60	3.60	1.99	1.91
30.12.23	Luton – Chelsea	2–3 (0–2)	6.50	4.20	1.50	1.65	2.20
26.12.23	Sheffield United – Luton	2–3 (0–1)	2.30	3.30	3.10	2.10	1.70
23.12.23	Luton – Newcastle	1–0 (1–0)	4.75	4.20	1.65	1.75	2.05
10.12.23	Luton – Man City	1–2 (1–0)	17.00	8.00	1.14	1.36	3.10

Aston Villa all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.24	Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest	4–2 (3–1)	1.53	4.50	5.75	1.57	2.35
17.02.24	Fulham – Aston Villa	1–2 (0–1)	2.90	3.75	2.20	1.60	2.30
11.02.24	Aston Villa – Man United	1–2 (0–1)	2.15	3.75	3.10	1.53	2.40
03.02.24	Sheffield United – Aston Villa	0–5 (0–4)	5.25	4.20	1.62	1.62	2.25
30.01.24	Aston Villa – Newcastle	1–3 (0–2)	1.85	4.00	3.80	1.50	2.50
14.01.24	Everton – Aston Villa	0–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.50	2.45	1.73	2.08
30.12.23	Aston Villa – Burnley	3–2 (2–1)	1.36	5.25	7.50	1.57	2.35
26.12.23	Man United – Aston Villa	3–2 (0–2)	2.60	3.50	2.60	1.62	2.25
22.12.23	Aston Villa – Sheffield United	1–1 (0–0)	1.22	6.50	12.00	1.44	2.70
17.12.23	Brentford – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–0)	3.20	3.75	2.10	1.70	2.10

Luton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.24	Luton – Man United	1–2 (1–2)	4.00	4.00	1.80	1.57	2.35
10.02.24	Luton – Sheffield United	1–3 (0–2)	1.75	3.75	4.75	1.85	2.05
30.01.24	Luton – Brighton	4–0 (3–0)	4.20	4.20	1.75	1.65	2.20
30.12.23	Luton – Chelsea	2–3 (0–2)	6.50	4.20	1.50	1.65	2.20
23.12.23	Luton – Newcastle	1–0 (1–0)	4.75	4.20	1.65	1.75	2.05
10.12.23	Luton – Man City	1–2 (1–0)	17.00	8.00	1.14	1.36	3.10
05.12.23	Luton – Arsenal	3–4 (1–2)	17.00	7.00	1.18	1.65	2.20
25.11.23	Luton – Crystal Palace	2–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.30	2.10	2.15	1.67
05.11.23	Luton – Liverpool	1–1 (0–0)	12.00	6.50	1.22	1.36	3.10
07.10.23	Luton – Tottenham	0–1 (0–0)	6.00	4.75	1.45	1.53	2.40

Aston Villa away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.02.24	Fulham – Aston Villa	1–2 (0–1)	2.90	3.75	2.20	1.60	2.30
03.02.24	Sheffield United – Aston Villa	0–5 (0–4)	5.25	4.20	1.62	1.62	2.25
14.01.24	Everton – Aston Villa	0–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.50	2.45	1.73	2.08
26.12.23	Man United – Aston Villa	3–2 (0–2)	2.60	3.50	2.60	1.62	2.25
17.12.23	Brentford – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–0)	3.20	3.75	2.10	1.70	2.10
03.12.23	Bournemouth – Aston Villa	2–2 (1–1)	3.40	4.00	1.95	1.53	2.40
26.11.23	Tottenham – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–1)	2.30	3.80	2.80	1.50	2.50
05.11.23	Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa	2–0 (1–0)	4.20	3.75	1.85	1.73	2.08
08.10.23	Wolves – Aston Villa	1–1 (0–0)	3.50	3.40	2.10	1.75	2.05
24.09.23	Chelsea – Aston Villa	0–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.75	3.80	1.73	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Luton winsDrawsAston Villa wins

1matches

4.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.10.23E0	Aston Villa – Luton	3–1 (1–0)	1.25	6.50	9.50	1.48	2.60

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	27	19	6	2	64	25	+39	63
2	Man City	26	18	5	3	59	26	+33	59
3	Arsenal	26	18	4	4	62	23	+39	58
4	Aston Villa	26	16	4	6	56	35	+21	52
5	Tottenham	26	15	5	6	55	39	+16	50
6	Man United	26	14	2	10	36	36	0	44
7	West Ham	27	12	6	9	43	47	-4	42
8	Newcastle	27	12	4	11	57	45	+12	40
9	Brighton	27	10	9	8	49	44	+5	39
10	Wolves	27	11	5	11	40	43	-3	38
11	Chelsea	26	10	6	10	44	43	+1	36
12	Fulham	27	10	5	12	39	42	-3	35
13	Everton	27	8	7	12	29	37	-8	31
14	Bournemouth	25	7	7	11	33	47	-14	28
15	Crystal Palace	27	7	7	13	32	47	-15	28
16	Brentford	27	7	5	15	39	50	-11	26
17	Nott'm Forest	27	6	6	15	34	49	-15	24
18	Luton	25	5	5	15	35	51	-16	20
19	Burnley	26	3	4	19	25	58	-33	13
20	Sheffield United	26	3	4	19	22	66	-44	13

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	13	11	2	0	37	11	+26	35
2	Arsenal	13	10	2	1	34	12	+22	32
3	Aston Villa	13	10	1	2	35	15	+20	31
4	Man City	13	9	4	0	31	11	+20	31
5	Tottenham	14	10	0	4	29	19	+10	30
6	Newcastle	14	9	2	3	34	16	+18	29
7	Fulham	14	8	1	5	26	15	+11	25
8	Brighton	13	6	6	1	27	16	+11	24
9	West Ham	13	6	4	3	22	19	+3	22
10	Man United	13	7	1	5	19	20	-1	22
11	Wolves	13	6	3	4	20	20	0	21
12	Chelsea	12	5	3	4	20	18	+2	18
13	Brentford	14	4	4	6	24	29	-5	16
14	Crystal Palace	13	4	3	6	18	19	-1	15
15	Nott'm Forest	14	4	3	7	19	21	-2	15
16	Everton	14	3	4	7	15	18	-3	13
17	Bournemouth	12	3	4	5	12	18	-6	13
18	Luton	13	3	2	8	19	22	-3	11
19	Sheffield United	13	2	2	9	12	36	-24	8
20	Burnley	13	1	2	10	13	32	-19	5

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	13	9	1	3	28	15	+13	28
2	Liverpool	14	8	4	2	27	14	+13	28
3	Arsenal	13	8	2	3	28	11	+17	26
4	Man United	13	7	1	5	17	16	+1	22
5	Aston Villa	13	6	3	4	21	20	+1	21
6	Tottenham	12	5	5	2	26	20	+6	20
7	West Ham	14	6	2	6	21	28	-7	20
8	Chelsea	14	5	3	6	24	25	-1	18
9	Everton	13	5	3	5	14	19	-5	18
10	Wolves	14	5	2	7	20	23	-3	17
11	Brighton	14	4	3	7	22	28	-6	15
12	Bournemouth	13	4	3	6	21	29	-8	15
13	Crystal Palace	14	3	4	7	14	28	-14	13
14	Newcastle	13	3	2	8	23	29	-6	11
15	Brentford	13	3	1	9	15	21	-6	10
16	Fulham	13	2	4	7	13	27	-14	10
17	Luton	12	2	3	7	16	29	-13	9
18	Nott'm Forest	13	2	3	8	15	28	-13	9
19	Burnley	13	2	2	9	12	26	-14	8
20	Sheffield United	13	1	2	10	10	30	-20	5

Luton Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Tottenham	26	5	21	2.1	1.5	15	5	6	55	39	50
2	8	Newcastle	27	7	20	2.1	1.7	12	4	11	57	45	40
3	4	Aston Villa	26	7	19	2.2	1.3	16	4	6	56	35	52
4	16	Brentford	27	8	19	1.4	1.9	7	5	15	39	50	26
5	1	Liverpool	27	9	18	2.4	0.9	19	6	2	64	25	63
6	7	West Ham	27	9	18	1.6	1.7	12	6	9	43	47	42
7	9	Brighton	27	9	18	1.8	1.6	10	9	8	49	44	39
8	10	Wolves	27	9	18	1.5	1.6	11	5	11	40	43	38
9	18	Luton	25	7	18	1.4	2.0	5	5	15	35	51	20
10	3	Arsenal	26	9	17	2.4	0.9	18	4	4	62	23	58
11	6	Man United	26	9	17	1.4	1.4	14	2	10	36	36	44
12	12	Fulham	27	10	17	1.4	1.6	10	5	12	39	42	35
13	14	Bournemouth	25	8	17	1.3	1.9	7	7	11	33	47	28
14	20	Sheffield United	26	9	17	0.8	2.5	3	4	19	22	66	13
15	2	Man City	26	10	16	2.3	1.0	18	5	3	59	26	59
16	11	Chelsea	26	10	16	1.7	1.7	10	6	10	44	43	36
17	15	Crystal Palace	27	11	16	1.2	1.7	7	7	13	32	47	28
18	19	Burnley	26	10	16	1.0	2.2	3	4	19	25	58	13
19	17	Nott'm Forest	27	12	15	1.3	1.8	6	6	15	34	49	24
20	13	Everton	27	14	13	1.1	1.4	8	7	12	29	37	31

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Tottenham	14	2	12	2.1	1.4	10	0	4	29	19	30
2	16	Brentford	14	2	12	1.7	2.1	4	4	6	24	29	16
3	1	Liverpool	13	3	10	2.8	0.8	11	2	0	37	11	35
4	3	Arsenal	13	3	10	2.6	0.9	10	2	1	34	12	32
5	4	Aston Villa	13	3	10	2.7	1.2	10	1	2	35	15	31
6	6	Man United	13	3	10	1.5	1.5	7	1	5	19	20	22
7	8	Newcastle	14	4	10	2.4	1.1	9	2	3	34	16	29
8	20	Sheffield United	13	3	10	0.9	2.8	2	2	9	12	36	8
9	12	Fulham	14	5	9	1.9	1.1	8	1	5	26	15	25
10	18	Luton	13	4	9	1.5	1.7	3	2	8	19	22	11
11	9	Brighton	13	5	8	2.1	1.2	6	6	1	27	16	24
12	10	Wolves	13	5	8	1.5	1.5	6	3	4	20	20	21
13	15	Crystal Palace	13	5	8	1.4	1.5	4	3	6	18	19	15
14	19	Burnley	13	5	8	1.0	2.5	1	2	10	13	32	5
15	7	West Ham	13	6	7	1.7	1.5	6	4	3	22	19	22
16	13	Everton	14	7	7	1.1	1.3	3	4	7	15	18	13
17	17	Nott'm Forest	14	7	7	1.4	1.5	4	3	7	19	21	15
18	2	Man City	13	7	6	2.4	0.8	9	4	0	31	11	31
19	11	Chelsea	12	6	6	1.7	1.5	5	3	4	20	18	18
20	14	Bournemouth	12	6	6	1.0	1.5	3	4	5	12	18	13

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	West Ham	14	3	11	1.5	2.0	6	2	6	21	28	20
2	14	Bournemouth	13	2	11	1.6	2.2	4	3	6	21	29	15
3	2	Man City	13	3	10	2.2	1.2	9	1	3	28	15	28
4	8	Newcastle	13	3	10	1.8	2.2	3	2	8	23	29	11
5	9	Brighton	14	4	10	1.6	2.0	4	3	7	22	28	15
6	10	Wolves	14	4	10	1.4	1.6	5	2	7	20	23	17
7	11	Chelsea	14	4	10	1.7	1.8	5	3	6	24	25	18
8	4	Aston Villa	13	4	9	1.6	1.5	6	3	4	21	20	21
9	5	Tottenham	12	3	9	2.2	1.7	5	5	2	26	20	20
10	18	Luton	12	3	9	1.3	2.4	2	3	7	16	29	9
11	1	Liverpool	14	6	8	1.9	1.0	8	4	2	27	14	28
12	12	Fulham	13	5	8	1.0	2.1	2	4	7	13	27	10
13	15	Crystal Palace	14	6	8	1.0	2.0	3	4	7	14	28	13
14	17	Nott'm Forest	13	5	8	1.2	2.2	2	3	8	15	28	9
15	19	Burnley	13	5	8	0.9	2.0	2	2	9	12	26	8
16	3	Arsenal	13	6	7	2.2	0.8	8	2	3	28	11	26
17	6	Man United	13	6	7	1.3	1.2	7	1	5	17	16	22
18	16	Brentford	13	6	7	1.2	1.6	3	1	9	15	21	10
19	20	Sheffield United	13	6	7	0.8	2.3	1	2	10	10	30	5
20	13	Everton	13	7	6	1.1	1.5	5	3	5	14	19	18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.