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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Attwell

Newcastle 1–4 Bournemouth

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.62 fair 2.23
Draw 4.20 fair 4.15
Away ✓ 5.00 fair 3.22
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.33
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Bournemouth
13 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 10
7 Corners 6
7 Fouls 18
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (209 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.68
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.33
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawBournemouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.81points / match
1.76scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 37:22
Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.62points / match
1.52scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 32:25
Newcastle all matches all matches Bournemouth

Per match

1.76 Goals scored 1.52
1.05 Goals conceded 1.19
2.81 Total goals 2.71
14.14 Shots 16.14
4.52 Shots on target 5.57
12.90 Shots faced 13.57
5.76 Corners 6.48
5.33 Corners against 5.24
10.67 Fouls 12.90
2.05 Yellow cards 2.43
0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

52% Wins 43%
24% Draws 33%
24% Losses 24%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
81% Over 1.5 goals 76%
57% Over 2.5 goals 52%
29% Over 3.5 goals 29%
10% Over 4.5 goals 14%
10% Over 5.5 goals 5%
52% Both teams scored 62%
38% Clean sheets 24%
14% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

48% Wins 29%
19% Draws 38%
33% Losses 33%
90% Over 0.5 goals 67%
29% Over 1.5 goals 19%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Bournemouth all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.80scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 18:8
Bournemouth before this match, away
1.45points / match
1.82scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 20:18
Newcastle at home away Bournemouth

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.82
0.80 Goals conceded 1.64
2.60 Total goals 3.45
15.40 Shots 14.45
5.00 Shots on target 5.09
12.70 Shots faced 15.91
5.90 Corners 6.09
5.90 Corners against 5.45
12.40 Fouls 12.00
2.40 Yellow cards 2.73
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.91

How often Full Time

60% Wins 36%
20% Draws 36%
20% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 91%
50% Over 2.5 goals 73%
20% Over 3.5 goals 45%
10% Over 4.5 goals 27%
10% Over 5.5 goals 9%
30% Both teams scored 73%
50% Clean sheets 9%
20% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

70% Wins 18%
0% Draws 27%
30% Losses 55%
100% Over 0.5 goals 82%
0% Over 1.5 goals 27%
0% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Bournemouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.01.25 Newcastle – Wolves 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.508.00 1.44 2.75
04.01.25 Tottenham – Newcastle 1–2 (1–2) 2.883.802.25 1.33 3.40
30.12.24 Man United – Newcastle 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.502.55 1.62 2.30
26.12.24 Newcastle – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.30
21.12.24 Ipswich – Newcastle 0–4 (0–3) 4.753.751.73 1.62 2.30
14.12.24 Newcastle – Leicester 4–0 (1–0) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
07.12.24 Brentford – Newcastle 4–2 (2–2) 2.883.752.30 1.57 2.38
04.12.24 Newcastle – Liverpool 3–3 (1–0) 4.204.001.75 1.57 2.38
30.11.24 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 1–1 (0–0) 2.903.602.30 1.80 2.00
25.11.24 Newcastle – West Ham 0–2 (0–1) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 1.484.756.00 1.40 3.00
04.01.25 Bournemouth – Everton 1–0 (0–0) 1.733.754.75 1.91 1.99
29.12.24 Fulham – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.303.602.88 1.67 2.20
26.12.24 Bournemouth – Crystal Palace 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.803.80 1.73 2.10
22.12.24 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.57 2.38
16.12.24 Bournemouth – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 1.704.004.75 1.53 2.50
08.12.24 Ipswich – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–0) 3.503.752.00 1.73 2.10
05.12.24 Bournemouth – Tottenham 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.752.45 1.44 2.75
30.11.24 Wolves – Bournemouth 2–4 (1–3) 2.803.602.40 1.67 2.20
23.11.24 Bournemouth – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.602.80 1.57 2.38

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.01.25 Newcastle – Wolves 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.508.00 1.44 2.75
26.12.24 Newcastle – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.30
14.12.24 Newcastle – Leicester 4–0 (1–0) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
04.12.24 Newcastle – Liverpool 3–3 (1–0) 4.204.001.75 1.57 2.38
25.11.24 Newcastle – West Ham 0–2 (0–1) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
02.11.24 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.751.95 1.84 2.06
19.10.24 Newcastle – Brighton 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.703.60 1.49 2.45
28.09.24 Newcastle – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 5.254.331.60 1.50 2.63
01.09.24 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–1 (1–0) 2.504.002.50 1.36 3.20
17.08.24 Newcastle – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.258.00 1.40 3.00

Bournemouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 1.484.756.00 1.40 3.00
29.12.24 Fulham – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.303.602.88 1.67 2.20
22.12.24 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.57 2.38
08.12.24 Ipswich – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–0) 3.503.752.00 1.73 2.10
30.11.24 Wolves – Bournemouth 2–4 (1–3) 2.803.602.40 1.67 2.20
09.11.24 Brentford – Bournemouth 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.502.70 1.62 2.30
26.10.24 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
05.10.24 Leicester – Bournemouth 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.752.15 1.67 2.20
21.09.24 Liverpool – Bournemouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.306.259.00 1.36 3.20
31.08.24 Everton – Bournemouth 2–3 (0–0) 2.753.402.55 1.92 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsBournemouth wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
20%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.08.24E0 Bournemouth – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 2.903.802.20 1.57 2.38
17.02.24E0 Newcastle – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–0) 1.834.203.75 1.48 2.60
11.11.23E0 Bournemouth – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.73 1.70 2.10
11.02.23E0 Bournemouth – Newcastle 1–1 (1–1) 6.504.001.53 2.04 1.86
17.09.22E0 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.407.50 1.87 2.03

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 20 14 5 1 48 20 +28 47
2 Arsenal 21 12 7 2 41 19 +22 43
3 Nott'm Forest 21 12 5 4 30 20 +10 41
4 Newcastle 21 11 5 5 37 22 +15 38
5 Chelsea 21 10 7 4 41 26 +15 37
6 Man City 21 10 5 6 38 29 +9 35
7 Aston Villa 21 10 5 6 31 32 -1 35
8 Bournemouth 21 9 7 5 32 25 +7 34
9 Brighton 21 7 10 4 32 29 +3 31
10 Fulham 21 7 9 5 32 30 +2 30
11 Brentford 21 8 4 9 40 37 +3 28
12 Man United 21 7 5 9 26 29 -3 26
13 West Ham 21 7 5 9 27 41 -14 26
14 Tottenham 21 7 3 11 43 32 +11 24
15 Crystal Palace 21 5 9 7 23 28 -5 24
16 Everton 20 3 8 9 15 26 -11 17
17 Wolves 21 4 4 13 31 48 -17 16
18 Ipswich 21 3 7 11 20 37 -17 16
19 Leicester 21 3 5 13 23 46 -23 14
20 Southampton 21 1 3 17 13 47 -34 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 7 3 0 20 7 +13 24
2 Liverpool 10 7 2 1 20 8 +12 23
3 Brentford 11 7 2 2 29 21 +8 23
4 Aston Villa 11 6 4 1 19 13 +6 22
5 Newcastle 10 6 2 2 18 8 +10 20
6 Man City 10 6 2 2 21 14 +7 20
7 Bournemouth 10 5 3 2 12 7 +5 18
8 Nott'm Forest 10 5 3 2 12 8 +4 18
9 Fulham 11 4 5 2 18 17 +1 17
10 Chelsea 10 4 4 2 17 13 +4 16
11 Man United 11 5 1 5 16 17 -1 16
12 Brighton 10 3 6 1 14 13 +1 15
13 Tottenham 11 4 2 5 26 21 +5 14
14 West Ham 11 4 2 5 16 24 -8 14
15 Crystal Palace 11 2 5 4 10 17 -7 11
16 Everton 10 2 4 4 9 11 -2 10
17 Leicester 11 2 3 6 11 19 -8 9
18 Wolves 10 2 1 7 14 23 -9 7
19 Ipswich 11 1 4 6 8 18 -10 7
20 Southampton 10 1 1 8 7 27 -20 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 10 7 3 0 28 12 +16 24
2 Nott'm Forest 11 7 2 2 18 12 +6 23
3 Chelsea 11 6 3 2 24 13 +11 21
4 Arsenal 11 5 4 2 21 12 +9 19
5 Newcastle 11 5 3 3 19 14 +5 18
6 Bournemouth 11 4 4 3 20 18 +2 16
7 Brighton 11 4 4 3 18 16 +2 16
8 Man City 11 4 3 4 17 15 +2 15
9 Crystal Palace 10 3 4 3 13 11 +2 13
10 Fulham 10 3 4 3 14 13 +1 13
11 Aston Villa 10 4 1 5 12 19 -7 13
12 West Ham 10 3 3 4 11 17 -6 12
13 Tottenham 10 3 1 6 17 11 +6 10
14 Man United 10 2 4 4 10 12 -2 10
15 Ipswich 10 2 3 5 12 19 -7 9
16 Wolves 11 2 3 6 17 25 -8 9
17 Everton 10 1 4 5 6 15 -9 7
18 Brentford 10 1 2 7 11 16 -5 5
19 Leicester 10 1 2 7 12 27 -15 5
20 Southampton 11 0 2 9 6 20 -14 2

Newcastle   Bournemouth

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Wolves 21 4 17 1.5 2.3 4 4 13 31 48 16
2 11 Brentford 21 5 16 1.9 1.8 8 4 9 40 37 28
3 6 Man City 21 6 15 1.8 1.4 10 5 6 38 29 35
4 7 Aston Villa 21 6 15 1.5 1.5 10 5 6 31 32 35
5 14 Tottenham 21 6 15 2.0 1.5 7 3 11 43 32 24
6 19 Leicester 21 6 15 1.1 2.2 3 5 13 23 46 14
7 1 Liverpool 20 7 13 2.4 1.0 14 5 1 48 20 47
8 9 Brighton 21 8 13 1.5 1.4 7 10 4 32 29 31
9 12 Man United 21 8 13 1.2 1.4 7 5 9 26 29 26
10 13 West Ham 21 8 13 1.3 2.0 7 5 9 27 41 26
11 4 Newcastle 21 9 12 1.8 1.0 11 5 5 37 22 38
12 5 Chelsea 21 9 12 2.0 1.2 10 7 4 41 26 37
13 10 Fulham 21 9 12 1.5 1.4 7 9 5 32 30 30
14 8 Bournemouth 21 10 11 1.5 1.2 9 7 5 32 25 34
15 20 Southampton 21 10 11 0.6 2.2 1 3 17 13 47 6
16 2 Arsenal 21 12 9 2.0 0.9 12 7 2 41 19 43
17 3 Nott'm Forest 21 12 9 1.4 1.0 12 5 4 30 20 41
18 15 Crystal Palace 21 12 9 1.1 1.3 5 9 7 23 28 24
19 18 Ipswich 21 12 9 1.0 1.8 3 7 11 20 37 16
20 16 Everton 20 13 7 0.8 1.3 3 8 9 15 26 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Brentford 11 2 9 2.6 1.9 7 2 2 29 21 23
2 13 West Ham 11 2 9 1.5 2.2 4 2 5 16 24 14
3 14 Tottenham 11 2 9 2.4 1.9 4 2 5 26 21 14
4 6 Man City 10 2 8 2.1 1.4 6 2 2 21 14 20
5 10 Fulham 11 3 8 1.6 1.5 4 5 2 18 17 17
6 12 Man United 11 3 8 1.5 1.5 5 1 5 16 17 16
7 17 Wolves 10 2 8 1.4 2.3 2 1 7 14 23 7
8 7 Aston Villa 11 4 7 1.7 1.2 6 4 1 19 13 22
9 1 Liverpool 10 4 6 2.0 0.8 7 2 1 20 8 23
10 5 Chelsea 10 4 6 1.7 1.3 4 4 2 17 13 16
11 9 Brighton 10 4 6 1.4 1.3 3 6 1 14 13 15
12 19 Leicester 11 5 6 1.0 1.7 2 3 6 11 19 9
13 20 Southampton 10 4 6 0.7 2.7 1 1 8 7 27 4
14 2 Arsenal 10 5 5 2.0 0.7 7 3 0 20 7 24
15 4 Newcastle 10 5 5 1.8 0.8 6 2 2 18 8 20
16 15 Crystal Palace 11 7 4 0.9 1.5 2 5 4 10 17 11
17 16 Everton 10 6 4 0.9 1.1 2 4 4 9 11 10
18 3 Nott'm Forest 10 7 3 1.2 0.8 5 3 2 12 8 18
19 8 Bournemouth 10 7 3 1.2 0.7 5 3 2 12 7 18
20 18 Ipswich 11 8 3 0.7 1.6 1 4 6 8 18 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Wolves 11 2 9 1.5 2.3 2 3 6 17 25 9
2 19 Leicester 10 1 9 1.2 2.7 1 2 7 12 27 5
3 7 Aston Villa 10 2 8 1.2 1.9 4 1 5 12 19 13
4 8 Bournemouth 11 3 8 1.8 1.6 4 4 3 20 18 16
5 1 Liverpool 10 3 7 2.8 1.2 7 3 0 28 12 24
6 4 Newcastle 11 4 7 1.7 1.3 5 3 3 19 14 18
7 6 Man City 11 4 7 1.5 1.4 4 3 4 17 15 15
8 9 Brighton 11 4 7 1.6 1.5 4 4 3 18 16 16
9 11 Brentford 10 3 7 1.1 1.6 1 2 7 11 16 5
10 3 Nott'm Forest 11 5 6 1.6 1.1 7 2 2 18 12 23
11 5 Chelsea 11 5 6 2.2 1.2 6 3 2 24 13 21
12 14 Tottenham 10 4 6 1.7 1.1 3 1 6 17 11 10
13 18 Ipswich 10 4 6 1.2 1.9 2 3 5 12 19 9
14 12 Man United 10 5 5 1.0 1.2 2 4 4 10 12 10
15 15 Crystal Palace 10 5 5 1.3 1.1 3 4 3 13 11 13
16 20 Southampton 11 6 5 0.5 1.8 0 2 9 6 20 2
17 2 Arsenal 11 7 4 1.9 1.1 5 4 2 21 12 19
18 10 Fulham 10 6 4 1.4 1.3 3 4 3 14 13 13
19 13 West Ham 10 6 4 1.1 1.7 3 3 4 11 17 12
20 16 Everton 10 7 3 0.6 1.5 1 4 5 6 15 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40