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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Madley

Newcastle 3–3 Liverpool

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 4.20 fair 3.16
Draw ✓ 4.00 fair 3.90
Away 1.75 fair 2.34
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.01
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.99

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Liverpool
17 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 6
9 Fouls 17
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (132 league matches this season so far).
Result Liverpool to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.22 – 1.46
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawLiverpool
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 0–1 10% 1–2 8.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.46points / match
1.08scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 14:14
Liverpool before this match, all matches
2.62points / match
2.00scored / match
0.62conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 26:8
Newcastle all matches all matches Liverpool

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 2.00
1.08 Goals conceded 0.62
2.15 Total goals 2.62
12.08 Shots 15.38
3.62 Shots on target 6.46
14.62 Shots faced 9.62
6.15 Corners 6.31
6.15 Corners against 4.38
11.23 Fouls 11.38
2.38 Yellow cards 2.00
0.31 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

38% Wins 85%
31% Draws 8%
31% Losses 8%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
69% Over 1.5 goals 85%
38% Over 2.5 goals 54%
15% Over 3.5 goals 15%
0% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
62% Both teams scored 38%
23% Clean sheets 54%
23% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 62%
23% Draws 23%
54% Losses 15%
85% Over 0.5 goals 85%
15% Over 1.5 goals 31%
0% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Liverpool all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
1.67points / match
0.83scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:5
Liverpool before this match, away
2.67points / match
2.17scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 13:5
Newcastle at home away Liverpool

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 2.17
0.83 Goals conceded 0.83
1.67 Total goals 3.00
11.83 Shots 15.17
3.33 Shots on target 5.50
15.00 Shots faced 8.00
6.00 Corners 7.17
7.17 Corners against 2.67
13.83 Fouls 11.83
2.83 Yellow cards 2.17
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 83%
17% Draws 17%
33% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 83%
17% Over 2.5 goals 67%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 50%
33% Clean sheets 50%
33% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
0% Draws 33%
50% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
0% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Liverpool away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 1–1 (0–0) 2.903.602.30 1.80 2.00
25.11.24 Newcastle – West Ham 0–2 (0–1) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
10.11.24 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 1–3 (1–0) 2.703.302.70 1.97 1.93
02.11.24 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.751.95 1.84 2.06
27.10.24 Chelsea – Newcastle 2–1 (1–1) 1.734.334.20 1.44 2.75
19.10.24 Newcastle – Brighton 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.703.60 1.49 2.45
05.10.24 Everton – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.20 1.67 2.20
28.09.24 Newcastle – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 5.254.331.60 1.50 2.63
21.09.24 Fulham – Newcastle 3–1 (2–0) 3.003.402.40 1.67 2.20
15.09.24 Wolves – Newcastle 1–2 (1–0) 3.403.502.10 1.57 2.38

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.24 Liverpool – Man City 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.603.30 1.57 2.38
24.11.24 Southampton – Liverpool 2–3 (1–1) 11.005.751.27 1.44 2.75
09.11.24 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.425.256.50 1.44 2.75
02.11.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.405.007.50 1.40 3.00
27.10.24 Arsenal – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.252.90 1.92 1.98
20.10.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.105.00 1.40 3.00
05.10.24 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.38
28.09.24 Wolves – Liverpool 1–2 (0–1) 8.005.751.33 1.44 2.75
21.09.24 Liverpool – Bournemouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.306.259.00 1.36 3.20
14.09.24 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.24 Newcastle – West Ham 0–2 (0–1) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
02.11.24 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.751.95 1.84 2.06
19.10.24 Newcastle – Brighton 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.703.60 1.49 2.45
28.09.24 Newcastle – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 5.254.331.60 1.50 2.63
01.09.24 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–1 (1–0) 2.504.002.50 1.36 3.20
17.08.24 Newcastle – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.258.00 1.40 3.00
11.05.24 Newcastle – Brighton 1–1 (1–1) 1.574.754.75 1.33 3.40
27.04.24 Newcastle – Sheffield United 5–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
13.04.24 Newcastle – Tottenham 4–0 (2–0) 2.704.002.30 1.36 3.20
02.04.24 Newcastle – Everton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.753.50 1.67 2.20

Liverpool away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.11.24 Southampton – Liverpool 2–3 (1–1) 11.005.751.27 1.44 2.75
27.10.24 Arsenal – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.252.90 1.92 1.98
05.10.24 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.38
28.09.24 Wolves – Liverpool 1–2 (0–1) 8.005.751.33 1.44 2.75
01.09.24 Man United – Liverpool 0–3 (0–2) 3.704.201.85 1.44 2.75
17.08.24 Ipswich – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 8.505.501.33 1.40 3.00
13.05.24 Aston Villa – Liverpool 3–3 (1–2) 4.204.331.70 1.33 3.40
27.04.24 West Ham – Liverpool 2–2 (1–0) 5.505.001.50 1.36 3.20
24.04.24 Everton – Liverpool 2–0 (1–0) 7.005.001.40 1.53 2.50
21.04.24 Fulham – Liverpool 1–3 (1–1) 5.254.501.57 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsLiverpool wins
6matches
3.17goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24E0 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–2 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.44 2.70
27.08.23E0 Newcastle – Liverpool 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.753.00 1.50 2.63
18.02.23E0 Newcastle – Liverpool 0–2 (0–2) 2.503.502.70 1.80 2.00
31.08.22E0 Liverpool – Newcastle 2–1 (0–1) 1.335.259.00 1.50 2.62
30.04.22E0 Newcastle – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.36 1.66 2.20
16.12.21E0 Liverpool – Newcastle 3–1 (2–1) 1.129.0019.00 1.33 3.40

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 13 11 1 1 26 8 +18 34
2 Arsenal 13 7 4 2 26 14 +12 25
3 Chelsea 13 7 4 2 26 14 +12 25
4 Brighton 13 6 5 2 22 17 +5 23
5 Man City 13 7 2 4 22 19 +3 23
6 Nott'm Forest 13 6 4 3 16 13 +3 22
7 Tottenham 13 6 2 5 28 14 +14 20
8 Brentford 13 6 2 5 26 23 +3 20
9 Man United 13 5 4 4 17 13 +4 19
10 Fulham 13 5 4 4 18 18 0 19
11 Newcastle 13 5 4 4 14 14 0 19
12 Aston Villa 13 5 4 4 19 22 -3 19
13 Bournemouth 13 5 3 5 20 19 +1 18
14 West Ham 14 4 3 7 18 27 -9 15
15 Leicester 14 3 4 7 19 28 -9 13
16 Crystal Palace 14 2 6 6 12 18 -6 12
17 Everton 13 2 5 6 10 21 -11 11
18 Wolves 13 2 3 8 22 32 -10 9
19 Ipswich 14 1 6 7 13 25 -12 9
20 Southampton 13 1 2 10 10 25 -15 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Brentford 7 6 1 0 22 12 +10 19
2 Liverpool 7 6 0 1 13 3 +10 18
3 Arsenal 6 4 2 0 15 6 +9 14
4 Tottenham 7 4 1 2 17 7 +10 13
5 Brighton 7 3 4 0 12 9 +3 13
6 Man United 7 4 1 2 11 8 +3 13
7 Man City 6 4 1 1 12 10 +2 13
8 Chelsea 7 3 3 1 12 8 +4 12
9 Nott'm Forest 7 3 2 2 8 6 +2 11
10 Bournemouth 6 3 1 2 9 6 +3 10
11 Newcastle 6 3 1 2 5 5 0 10
12 Fulham 6 3 1 2 10 11 -1 10
13 Aston Villa 6 2 3 1 9 8 +1 9
14 Leicester 7 2 2 3 9 10 -1 8
15 West Ham 7 2 1 4 10 15 -5 7
16 Everton 6 1 3 2 5 8 -3 6
17 Crystal Palace 7 1 3 3 4 8 -4 6
18 Southampton 6 1 1 4 6 11 -5 4
19 Ipswich 7 0 4 3 5 10 -5 4
20 Wolves 7 1 1 5 11 18 -7 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 6 5 1 0 13 5 +8 16
2 Chelsea 6 4 1 1 14 6 +8 13
3 Arsenal 7 3 2 2 11 8 +3 11
4 Nott'm Forest 6 3 2 1 8 7 +1 11
5 Brighton 6 3 1 2 10 8 +2 10
6 Man City 7 3 1 3 10 9 +1 10
7 Aston Villa 7 3 1 3 10 14 -4 10
8 Fulham 7 2 3 2 8 7 +1 9
9 Newcastle 7 2 3 2 9 9 0 9
10 Bournemouth 7 2 2 3 11 13 -2 8
11 West Ham 7 2 2 3 8 12 -4 8
12 Tottenham 6 2 1 3 11 7 +4 7
13 Man United 6 1 3 2 6 5 +1 6
14 Crystal Palace 7 1 3 3 8 10 -2 6
15 Wolves 6 1 2 3 11 14 -3 5
16 Ipswich 7 1 2 4 8 15 -7 5
17 Leicester 7 1 2 4 10 18 -8 5
18 Everton 7 1 2 4 5 13 -8 5
19 Brentford 6 0 1 5 4 11 -7 1
20 Southampton 7 0 1 6 4 14 -10 1

Newcastle   Liverpool

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Brentford 13 3 10 2.0 1.8 6 2 5 26 23 20
2 15 Leicester 14 4 10 1.4 2.0 3 4 7 19 28 13
3 18 Wolves 13 3 10 1.7 2.5 2 3 8 22 32 9
4 4 Brighton 13 4 9 1.7 1.3 6 5 2 22 17 23
5 5 Man City 13 4 9 1.7 1.5 7 2 4 22 19 23
6 7 Tottenham 13 4 9 2.2 1.1 6 2 5 28 14 20
7 12 Aston Villa 13 4 9 1.5 1.7 5 4 4 19 22 19
8 14 West Ham 14 5 9 1.3 1.9 4 3 7 18 27 15
9 9 Man United 13 5 8 1.3 1.0 5 4 4 17 13 19
10 1 Liverpool 13 6 7 2.0 0.6 11 1 1 26 8 34
11 3 Chelsea 13 6 7 2.0 1.1 7 4 2 26 14 25
12 13 Bournemouth 13 6 7 1.5 1.5 5 3 5 20 19 18
13 2 Arsenal 13 7 6 2.0 1.1 7 4 2 26 14 25
14 10 Fulham 13 7 6 1.4 1.4 5 4 4 18 18 19
15 17 Everton 13 7 6 0.8 1.6 2 5 6 10 21 11
16 20 Southampton 13 7 6 0.8 1.9 1 2 10 10 25 5
17 6 Nott'm Forest 13 8 5 1.2 1.0 6 4 3 16 13 22
18 11 Newcastle 13 8 5 1.1 1.1 5 4 4 14 14 19
19 16 Crystal Palace 14 9 5 0.9 1.3 2 6 6 12 18 12
20 19 Ipswich 14 9 5 0.9 1.8 1 6 7 13 25 9
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Brentford 7 1 6 3.1 1.7 6 1 0 22 12 19
2 14 West Ham 7 1 6 1.4 2.1 2 1 4 10 15 7
3 18 Wolves 7 1 6 1.6 2.6 1 1 5 11 18 4
4 4 Brighton 7 2 5 1.7 1.3 3 4 0 12 9 13
5 5 Man City 6 1 5 2.0 1.7 4 1 1 12 10 13
6 7 Tottenham 7 2 5 2.4 1.0 4 1 2 17 7 13
7 9 Man United 7 2 5 1.6 1.1 4 1 2 11 8 13
8 10 Fulham 6 1 5 1.7 1.8 3 1 2 10 11 10
9 2 Arsenal 6 2 4 2.5 1.0 4 2 0 15 6 14
10 15 Leicester 7 3 4 1.3 1.4 2 2 3 9 10 8
11 1 Liverpool 7 4 3 1.9 0.4 6 0 1 13 3 18
12 3 Chelsea 7 4 3 1.7 1.1 3 3 1 12 8 12
13 12 Aston Villa 6 3 3 1.5 1.3 2 3 1 9 8 9
14 13 Bournemouth 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 3 1 2 9 6 10
15 17 Everton 6 3 3 0.8 1.3 1 3 2 5 8 6
16 20 Southampton 6 3 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 4 6 11 4
17 6 Nott'm Forest 7 5 2 1.1 0.9 3 2 2 8 6 11
18 11 Newcastle 6 5 1 0.8 0.8 3 1 2 5 5 10
19 16 Crystal Palace 7 6 1 0.6 1.1 1 3 3 4 8 6
20 19 Ipswich 7 6 1 0.7 1.4 0 4 3 5 10 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Aston Villa 7 1 6 1.4 2.0 3 1 3 10 14 10
2 15 Leicester 7 1 6 1.4 2.6 1 2 4 10 18 5
3 1 Liverpool 6 2 4 2.2 0.8 5 1 0 13 5 16
4 3 Chelsea 6 2 4 2.3 1.0 4 1 1 14 6 13
5 4 Brighton 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 3 1 2 10 8 10
6 5 Man City 7 3 4 1.4 1.3 3 1 3 10 9 10
7 7 Tottenham 6 2 4 1.8 1.2 2 1 3 11 7 7
8 8 Brentford 6 2 4 0.7 1.8 0 1 5 4 11 1
9 11 Newcastle 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 2 3 2 9 9 9
10 13 Bournemouth 7 3 4 1.6 1.9 2 2 3 11 13 8
11 16 Crystal Palace 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 1 3 3 8 10 6
12 18 Wolves 6 2 4 1.8 2.3 1 2 3 11 14 5
13 19 Ipswich 7 3 4 1.1 2.1 1 2 4 8 15 5
14 6 Nott'm Forest 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 3 2 1 8 7 11
15 9 Man United 6 3 3 1.0 0.8 1 3 2 6 5 6
16 14 West Ham 7 4 3 1.1 1.7 2 2 3 8 12 8
17 17 Everton 7 4 3 0.7 1.9 1 2 4 5 13 5
18 20 Southampton 7 4 3 0.6 2.0 0 1 6 4 14 1
19 2 Arsenal 7 5 2 1.6 1.1 3 2 2 11 8 11
20 10 Fulham 7 6 1 1.1 1.0 2 3 2 8 7 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51