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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Bankes

Newcastle 0–1 Brighton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.95 fair 2.39
Draw 3.70 fair 4.17
Away ✓ 3.60 fair 2.93
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.45 fair 2.42
Over 2.5 1.49 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Brighton
21 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
9 Corners 4
11 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (71 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.61 – 1.43
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 2–1 8.9% 1–2 7.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.14scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:7
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.86scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 13:10
Newcastle all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.86
1.00 Goals conceded 1.43
2.14 Total goals 3.29
11.43 Shots 15.29
3.71 Shots on target 4.57
16.14 Shots faced 9.86
5.86 Corners 5.71
6.86 Corners against 3.71
10.71 Fouls 10.29
2.43 Yellow cards 2.14
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.86
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 1.14

How often Full Time

43% Wins 43%
43% Draws 43%
14% Losses 14%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 86%
43% Over 2.5 goals 71%
14% Over 3.5 goals 43%
0% Over 4.5 goals 29%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
71% Both teams scored 71%
29% Clean sheets 29%
14% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 43%
14% Draws 14%
57% Losses 43%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
14% Over 1.5 goals 43%
0% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Brighton all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
2.33points / match
1.33scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:2
Brighton before this match, away
1.33points / match
2.00scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 6:5
Newcastle at home away Brighton

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 2.00
0.67 Goals conceded 1.67
2.00 Total goals 3.67
7.67 Shots 15.67
2.67 Shots on target 4.67
18.33 Shots faced 11.67
5.00 Corners 4.67
10.00 Corners against 4.00
15.00 Fouls 7.67
3.33 Yellow cards 1.67
0.67 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.67

How often Full Time

67% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
33% Over 2.5 goals 67%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 33%
67% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 33%
0% Draws 0%
33% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Everton – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.20 1.67 2.20
28.09.24 Newcastle – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 5.254.331.60 1.50 2.63
21.09.24 Fulham – Newcastle 3–1 (2–0) 3.003.402.40 1.67 2.20
15.09.24 Wolves – Newcastle 1–2 (1–0) 3.403.502.10 1.57 2.38
01.09.24 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–1 (1–0) 2.504.002.50 1.36 3.20
25.08.24 Bournemouth – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 2.903.802.20 1.57 2.38
17.08.24 Newcastle – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.258.00 1.40 3.00
19.05.24 Brentford – Newcastle 2–4 (0–3) 2.903.902.20 1.36 3.20
15.05.24 Man United – Newcastle 3–2 (1–0) 2.754.002.30 1.33 3.40
11.05.24 Newcastle – Brighton 1–1 (1–1) 1.574.754.75 1.33 3.40

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.10.24 Brighton – Tottenham 3–2 (0–2) 2.904.002.20 1.40 3.00
28.09.24 Chelsea – Brighton 4–2 (4–2) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.63
22.09.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (2–1) 1.753.754.75 1.86 2.04
14.09.24 Brighton – Ipswich 0–0 (0–0) 1.385.007.50 1.53 2.50
31.08.24 Arsenal – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
24.08.24 Brighton – Man United 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.702.63 1.57 2.38
17.08.24 Everton – Brighton 0–3 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 1.80 2.00
19.05.24 Brighton – Man United 0–2 (0–0) 2.154.002.90 1.33 3.40
15.05.24 Brighton – Chelsea 1–2 (0–1) 3.304.001.95 1.40 3.00
11.05.24 Newcastle – Brighton 1–1 (1–1) 1.574.754.75 1.33 3.40

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24 Newcastle – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 5.254.331.60 1.50 2.63
01.09.24 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–1 (1–0) 2.504.002.50 1.36 3.20
17.08.24 Newcastle – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.258.00 1.40 3.00
11.05.24 Newcastle – Brighton 1–1 (1–1) 1.574.754.75 1.33 3.40
27.04.24 Newcastle – Sheffield United 5–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
13.04.24 Newcastle – Tottenham 4–0 (2–0) 2.704.002.30 1.36 3.20
02.04.24 Newcastle – Everton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.753.50 1.67 2.20
30.03.24 Newcastle – West Ham 4–3 (1–2) 1.834.203.80 1.50 2.50
02.03.24 Newcastle – Wolves 3–0 (2–0) 1.914.003.60 1.57 2.35
17.02.24 Newcastle – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–0) 1.834.203.75 1.48 2.60

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24 Chelsea – Brighton 4–2 (4–2) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.63
31.08.24 Arsenal – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
17.08.24 Everton – Brighton 0–3 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 1.80 2.00
11.05.24 Newcastle – Brighton 1–1 (1–1) 1.574.754.75 1.33 3.40
28.04.24 Bournemouth – Brighton 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.802.90 1.44 2.75
13.04.24 Burnley – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20
03.04.24 Brentford – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.802.75 1.57 2.38
31.03.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.36 3.10
02.03.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–0 (2–0) 2.553.602.63 1.62 2.25
18.02.24 Sheffield United – Brighton 0–5 (0–2) 5.004.201.62 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsBrighton wins
6matches
2.67goals / match
50%over 2.5
83%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24E0 Newcastle – Brighton 1–1 (1–1) 1.574.754.75 1.33 3.40
02.09.23E0 Brighton – Newcastle 3–1 (1–0) 2.503.802.55 1.50 2.63
18.05.23E0 Newcastle – Brighton 4–1 (2–0) 2.003.803.50 1.62 2.30
13.08.22E0 Brighton – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.72
05.03.22E0 Newcastle – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 2.753.202.62 2.30 1.61
06.11.21E0 Brighton – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 1.573.906.00 1.90 1.90

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 7 6 0 1 13 2 +11 18
2 Man City 7 5 2 0 17 8 +9 17
3 Arsenal 7 5 2 0 15 6 +9 17
4 Chelsea 7 4 2 1 16 8 +8 14
5 Aston Villa 7 4 2 1 12 9 +3 14
6 Tottenham 8 4 1 3 18 9 +9 13
7 Brighton 7 3 3 1 13 10 +3 12
8 Newcastle 7 3 3 1 8 7 +1 12
9 Fulham 7 3 2 2 10 8 +2 11
10 Nott'm Forest 7 2 4 1 7 6 +1 10
11 Brentford 7 3 1 3 13 13 0 10
12 Bournemouth 7 2 2 3 8 10 -2 8
13 Man United 7 2 2 3 5 8 -3 8
14 West Ham 8 2 2 4 11 15 -4 8
15 Leicester 7 1 3 3 9 12 -3 6
16 Everton 7 1 2 4 7 15 -8 5
17 Ipswich 7 0 4 3 6 14 -8 4
18 Crystal Palace 7 0 3 4 5 10 -5 3
19 Southampton 7 0 1 6 4 15 -11 1
20 Wolves 7 0 1 6 9 21 -12 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 4 3 1 0 10 4 +6 10
2 Brentford 4 3 1 0 11 6 +5 10
3 Man City 4 3 1 0 11 6 +5 10
4 Tottenham 4 3 0 1 11 3 +8 9
5 Brighton 4 2 2 0 7 5 +2 8
6 Fulham 3 2 1 0 6 3 +3 7
7 Newcastle 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
8 Aston Villa 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
9 Liverpool 3 2 0 1 5 1 +4 6
10 Chelsea 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
11 Leicester 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
12 Bournemouth 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4
13 Everton 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
14 West Ham 4 1 0 3 6 9 -3 3
15 Man United 3 1 0 2 1 6 -5 3
16 Nott'm Forest 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
17 Ipswich 3 0 2 1 3 5 -2 2
18 Crystal Palace 4 0 2 2 2 5 -3 2
19 Southampton 3 0 1 2 1 5 -4 1
20 Wolves 3 0 0 3 4 10 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 4 4 0 0 8 1 +7 12
2 Chelsea 3 3 0 0 10 2 +8 9
3 Nott'm Forest 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8
4 Man City 3 2 1 0 6 2 +4 7
5 Arsenal 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
6 Aston Villa 3 2 1 0 6 4 +2 7
7 Man United 4 1 2 1 4 2 +2 5
8 West Ham 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5
9 Newcastle 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 5
10 Tottenham 4 1 1 2 7 6 +1 4
11 Brighton 3 1 1 1 6 5 +1 4
12 Fulham 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
13 Bournemouth 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
14 Ipswich 4 0 2 2 3 9 -6 2
15 Crystal Palace 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1
16 Leicester 3 0 1 2 5 8 -3 1
17 Everton 3 0 1 2 3 8 -5 1
18 Wolves 4 0 1 3 5 11 -6 1
19 Brentford 3 0 0 3 2 7 -5 0
20 Southampton 4 0 0 4 3 10 -7 0

Newcastle   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Tottenham 8 2 6 2.2 1.1 4 1 3 18 9 13
2 2 Man City 7 2 5 2.4 1.1 5 2 0 17 8 17
3 5 Aston Villa 7 2 5 1.7 1.3 4 2 1 12 9 14
4 7 Brighton 7 2 5 1.9 1.4 3 3 1 13 10 12
5 11 Brentford 7 2 5 1.9 1.9 3 1 3 13 13 10
6 14 West Ham 8 3 5 1.4 1.9 2 2 4 11 15 8
7 16 Everton 7 2 5 1.0 2.1 1 2 4 7 15 5
8 20 Wolves 7 2 5 1.3 3.0 0 1 6 9 21 1
9 13 Man United 7 3 4 0.7 1.1 2 2 3 5 8 8
10 15 Leicester 7 3 4 1.3 1.7 1 3 3 9 12 6
11 19 Southampton 7 3 4 0.6 2.1 0 1 6 4 15 1
12 1 Liverpool 7 4 3 1.9 0.3 6 0 1 13 2 18
13 3 Arsenal 7 4 3 2.1 0.9 5 2 0 15 6 17
14 4 Chelsea 7 4 3 2.3 1.1 4 2 1 16 8 14
15 8 Newcastle 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 3 3 1 8 7 12
16 9 Fulham 7 4 3 1.4 1.1 3 2 2 10 8 11
17 12 Bournemouth 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 2 2 3 8 10 8
18 17 Ipswich 7 4 3 0.9 2.0 0 4 3 6 14 4
19 18 Crystal Palace 7 4 3 0.7 1.4 0 3 4 5 10 3
20 10 Nott'm Forest 7 6 1 1.0 0.9 2 4 1 7 6 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 4 0 4 2.8 1.5 3 1 0 11 6 10
2 14 West Ham 4 0 4 1.5 2.2 1 0 3 6 9 3
3 6 Tottenham 4 1 3 2.8 0.8 3 0 1 11 3 9
4 7 Brighton 4 1 3 1.8 1.2 2 2 0 7 5 8
5 11 Brentford 4 1 3 2.8 1.5 3 1 0 11 6 10
6 16 Everton 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
7 20 Wolves 3 0 3 1.3 3.3 0 0 3 4 10 0
8 3 Arsenal 4 2 2 2.5 1.0 3 1 0 10 4 10
9 5 Aston Villa 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7
10 9 Fulham 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 0 6 3 7
11 13 Man United 3 1 2 0.3 2.0 1 0 2 1 6 3
12 1 Liverpool 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 2 0 1 5 1 6
13 4 Chelsea 4 3 1 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
14 8 Newcastle 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
15 12 Bournemouth 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4
16 15 Leicester 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
17 17 Ipswich 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 0 2 1 3 5 2
18 18 Crystal Palace 4 3 1 0.5 1.2 0 2 2 2 5 2
19 19 Southampton 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 0 1 2 1 5 1
20 10 Nott'm Forest 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Aston Villa 3 0 3 2.0 1.3 2 1 0 6 4 7
2 6 Tottenham 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 1 1 2 7 6 4
3 15 Leicester 3 0 3 1.7 2.7 0 1 2 5 8 1
4 19 Southampton 4 1 3 0.8 2.5 0 0 4 3 10 0
5 1 Liverpool 4 2 2 2.0 0.2 4 0 0 8 1 12
6 4 Chelsea 3 1 2 3.3 0.7 3 0 0 10 2 9
7 7 Brighton 3 1 2 2.0 1.7 1 1 1 6 5 4
8 8 Newcastle 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 1 4 5 5
9 11 Brentford 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 0 3 2 7 0
10 12 Bournemouth 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
11 13 Man United 4 2 2 1.0 0.5 1 2 1 4 2 5
12 16 Everton 3 1 2 1.0 2.7 0 1 2 3 8 1
13 17 Ipswich 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 0 2 2 3 9 2
14 18 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 0 1 2 3 5 1
15 20 Wolves 4 2 2 1.2 2.8 0 1 3 5 11 1
16 2 Man City 3 2 1 2.0 0.7 2 1 0 6 2 7
17 3 Arsenal 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
18 9 Fulham 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
19 10 Nott'm Forest 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8
20 14 West Ham 4 3 1 1.2 1.5 1 2 1 5 6 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51