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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Barrott

Southampton 1–3 Newcastle

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 6.50 fair 5.15
Draw 5.25 fair 4.83
Away ✓ 1.42 fair 1.67
Under 2.5 2.70 fair 2.62
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.41 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Southampton Newcastle
12 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 9
3 Corners 8
10 Fouls 5
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (219 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.10 – 2.08
Home / Draw / Away
SouthamptonDrawNewcastle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 9.9% 1–1 9.5% 0–2 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches
0.27points / match
0.68scored / match
2.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 15:50
Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.73points / match
1.73scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 38:26
Southampton all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

0.68 Goals scored 1.73
2.27 Goals conceded 1.18
2.95 Total goals 2.91
9.55 Shots 14.09
3.05 Shots on target 4.55
18.41 Shots faced 13.18
4.50 Corners 5.82
6.59 Corners against 5.36
12.45 Fouls 10.50
2.95 Yellow cards 2.00
0.32 1st-half goals scored 0.82
1.14 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

5% Wins 50%
14% Draws 23%
82% Losses 27%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
68% Over 1.5 goals 82%
55% Over 2.5 goals 59%
45% Over 3.5 goals 32%
27% Over 4.5 goals 14%
5% Over 5.5 goals 9%
50% Both teams scored 55%
9% Clean sheets 36%
45% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 45%
32% Draws 18%
55% Losses 36%
77% Over 0.5 goals 91%
36% Over 1.5 goals 32%
18% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches
Newcastle all matches
Southampton before this match, at home
0.40points / match
0.70scored / match
2.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 7:27
Newcastle before this match, away
1.64points / match
1.73scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 19:14
Southampton at home away Newcastle

Per match

0.70 Goals scored 1.73
2.70 Goals conceded 1.27
3.40 Total goals 3.00
9.30 Shots 13.00
3.50 Shots on target 4.09
19.70 Shots faced 13.09
3.30 Corners 5.64
6.50 Corners against 4.82
11.60 Fouls 9.09
2.50 Yellow cards 1.73
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.91
1.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

10% Wins 45%
10% Draws 27%
80% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
70% Over 1.5 goals 91%
60% Over 2.5 goals 64%
50% Over 3.5 goals 36%
50% Over 4.5 goals 9%
10% Over 5.5 goals 9%
40% Both teams scored 73%
10% Clean sheets 27%
50% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 27%
40% Draws 36%
40% Losses 36%
70% Over 0.5 goals 82%
50% Over 1.5 goals 55%
20% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home
Newcastle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.25 Nott'm Forest – Southampton 3–2 (3–0) 1.384.758.00 1.73 2.10
16.01.25 Man United – Southampton 3–1 (0–1) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.50
04.01.25 Southampton – Brentford 0–5 (0–1) 3.003.402.40 1.67 2.20
29.12.24 Crystal Palace – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 1.573.905.50 1.73 2.10
26.12.24 Southampton – West Ham 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.502.20 1.67 2.20
22.12.24 Fulham – Southampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.424.757.00 1.57 2.38
15.12.24 Southampton – Tottenham 0–5 (0–5) 4.334.501.67 1.30 3.50
07.12.24 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.44 2.75
04.12.24 Southampton – Chelsea 1–5 (1–3) 8.505.251.33 1.44 2.75
29.11.24 Brighton – Southampton 1–1 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.44 2.75

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.25 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–4 (1–2) 1.624.205.00 1.53 2.50
15.01.25 Newcastle – Wolves 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.508.00 1.44 2.75
04.01.25 Tottenham – Newcastle 1–2 (1–2) 2.883.802.25 1.33 3.40
30.12.24 Man United – Newcastle 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.502.55 1.62 2.30
26.12.24 Newcastle – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.30
21.12.24 Ipswich – Newcastle 0–4 (0–3) 4.753.751.73 1.62 2.30
14.12.24 Newcastle – Leicester 4–0 (1–0) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
07.12.24 Brentford – Newcastle 4–2 (2–2) 2.883.752.30 1.57 2.38
04.12.24 Newcastle – Liverpool 3–3 (1–0) 4.204.001.75 1.57 2.38
30.11.24 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 1–1 (0–0) 2.903.602.30 1.80 2.00

Southampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25 Southampton – Brentford 0–5 (0–1) 3.003.402.40 1.67 2.20
26.12.24 Southampton – West Ham 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.502.20 1.67 2.20
15.12.24 Southampton – Tottenham 0–5 (0–5) 4.334.501.67 1.30 3.50
04.12.24 Southampton – Chelsea 1–5 (1–3) 8.505.251.33 1.44 2.75
24.11.24 Southampton – Liverpool 2–3 (1–1) 11.005.751.27 1.44 2.75
02.11.24 Southampton – Everton 1–0 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 1.84 2.06
19.10.24 Southampton – Leicester 2–3 (2–0) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
21.09.24 Southampton – Ipswich 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.503.20 1.80 2.00
14.09.24 Southampton – Man United 0–3 (0–2) 4.504.001.70 1.62 2.30
24.08.24 Southampton – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.302.80 2.01 1.89

Newcastle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25 Tottenham – Newcastle 1–2 (1–2) 2.883.802.25 1.33 3.40
30.12.24 Man United – Newcastle 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.502.55 1.62 2.30
21.12.24 Ipswich – Newcastle 0–4 (0–3) 4.753.751.73 1.62 2.30
07.12.24 Brentford – Newcastle 4–2 (2–2) 2.883.752.30 1.57 2.38
30.11.24 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 1–1 (0–0) 2.903.602.30 1.80 2.00
10.11.24 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 1–3 (1–0) 2.703.302.70 1.97 1.93
27.10.24 Chelsea – Newcastle 2–1 (1–1) 1.734.334.20 1.44 2.75
05.10.24 Everton – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.20 1.67 2.20
21.09.24 Fulham – Newcastle 3–1 (2–0) 3.003.402.40 1.67 2.20
15.09.24 Wolves – Newcastle 1–2 (1–0) 3.403.502.10 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Southampton winsDrawsNewcastle wins
5matches
3.40goals / match
80%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.08.24E0 Newcastle – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.258.00 1.40 3.00
30.04.23E0 Newcastle – Southampton 3–1 (0–1) 1.305.2510.00 1.73 2.10
06.11.22E0 Southampton – Newcastle 1–4 (0–1) 4.003.601.90 1.95 1.95
10.03.22E0 Southampton – Newcastle 1–2 (1–1) 2.003.753.50 1.80 2.00
28.08.21E0 Newcastle – Southampton 2–2 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 1.85 2.05

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 21 15 5 1 50 20 +30 50
2 Arsenal 22 12 8 2 43 21 +22 44
3 Nott'm Forest 22 13 5 4 33 22 +11 44
4 Chelsea 22 11 7 4 44 27 +17 40
5 Man City 22 11 5 6 44 29 +15 38
6 Newcastle 22 11 5 6 38 26 +12 38
7 Bournemouth 22 10 7 5 36 26 +10 37
8 Aston Villa 22 10 6 6 33 34 -1 36
9 Brighton 22 8 10 4 35 30 +5 34
10 Fulham 22 8 9 5 34 30 +4 33
11 Brentford 22 8 4 10 40 39 +1 28
12 Crystal Palace 22 6 9 7 25 28 -3 27
13 Man United 22 7 5 10 27 32 -5 26
14 West Ham 22 7 5 10 27 43 -16 26
15 Tottenham 22 7 3 12 45 35 +10 24
16 Everton 21 4 8 9 18 28 -10 20
17 Wolves 22 4 4 14 32 51 -19 16
18 Ipswich 22 3 7 12 20 43 -23 16
19 Leicester 22 3 5 14 23 48 -25 14
20 Southampton 22 1 3 18 15 50 -35 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 7 4 0 22 9 +13 25
2 Liverpool 10 7 2 1 20 8 +12 23
3 Brentford 12 7 2 3 29 23 +6 23
4 Aston Villa 11 6 4 1 19 13 +6 22
5 Nott'm Forest 11 6 3 2 15 10 +5 21
6 Man City 10 6 2 2 21 14 +7 20
7 Newcastle 11 6 2 3 19 12 +7 20
8 Chelsea 11 5 4 2 20 14 +6 19
9 Bournemouth 10 5 3 2 12 7 +5 18
10 Fulham 11 4 5 2 18 17 +1 17
11 Man United 12 5 1 6 17 20 -3 16
12 Brighton 10 3 6 1 14 13 +1 15
13 Tottenham 11 4 2 5 26 21 +5 14
14 West Ham 12 4 2 6 16 26 -10 14
15 Everton 11 3 4 4 12 13 -1 13
16 Crystal Palace 11 2 5 4 10 17 -7 11
17 Leicester 12 2 3 7 11 21 -10 9
18 Wolves 10 2 1 7 14 23 -9 7
19 Ipswich 12 1 4 7 8 24 -16 7
20 Southampton 10 1 1 8 7 27 -20 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 11 8 3 0 30 12 +18 27
2 Nott'm Forest 11 7 2 2 18 12 +6 23
3 Chelsea 11 6 3 2 24 13 +11 21
4 Arsenal 11 5 4 2 21 12 +9 19
5 Bournemouth 12 5 4 3 24 19 +5 19
6 Brighton 12 5 4 3 21 17 +4 19
7 Man City 12 5 3 4 23 15 +8 18
8 Newcastle 11 5 3 3 19 14 +5 18
9 Crystal Palace 11 4 4 3 15 11 +4 16
10 Fulham 11 4 4 3 16 13 +3 16
11 Aston Villa 11 4 2 5 14 21 -7 14
12 West Ham 10 3 3 4 11 17 -6 12
13 Tottenham 11 3 1 7 19 14 +5 10
14 Man United 10 2 4 4 10 12 -2 10
15 Ipswich 10 2 3 5 12 19 -7 9
16 Wolves 12 2 3 7 18 28 -10 9
17 Everton 10 1 4 5 6 15 -9 7
18 Brentford 10 1 2 7 11 16 -5 5
19 Leicester 10 1 2 7 12 27 -15 5
20 Southampton 12 0 2 10 8 23 -15 2

Southampton   Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Wolves 22 4 18 1.5 2.3 4 4 14 32 51 16
2 5 Man City 22 6 16 2.0 1.3 11 5 6 44 29 38
3 8 Aston Villa 22 6 16 1.5 1.5 10 6 6 33 34 36
4 11 Brentford 22 6 16 1.8 1.8 8 4 10 40 39 28
5 15 Tottenham 22 6 16 2.0 1.6 7 3 12 45 35 24
6 19 Leicester 22 7 15 1.0 2.2 3 5 14 23 48 14
7 9 Brighton 22 8 14 1.6 1.4 8 10 4 35 30 34
8 13 Man United 22 8 14 1.2 1.5 7 5 10 27 32 26
9 1 Liverpool 21 8 13 2.4 1.0 15 5 1 50 20 50
10 4 Chelsea 22 9 13 2.0 1.2 11 7 4 44 27 40
11 6 Newcastle 22 9 13 1.7 1.2 11 5 6 38 26 38
12 14 West Ham 22 9 13 1.2 2.0 7 5 10 27 43 26
13 7 Bournemouth 22 10 12 1.6 1.2 10 7 5 36 26 37
14 10 Fulham 22 10 12 1.5 1.4 8 9 5 34 30 33
15 20 Southampton 22 10 12 0.7 2.3 1 3 18 15 50 6
16 2 Arsenal 22 12 10 2.0 1.0 12 8 2 43 21 44
17 3 Nott'm Forest 22 12 10 1.5 1.0 13 5 4 33 22 44
18 18 Ipswich 22 12 10 0.9 2.0 3 7 12 20 43 16
19 12 Crystal Palace 22 13 9 1.1 1.3 6 9 7 25 28 27
20 16 Everton 21 13 8 0.9 1.3 4 8 9 18 28 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Brentford 12 3 9 2.4 1.9 7 2 3 29 23 23
2 13 Man United 12 3 9 1.4 1.7 5 1 6 17 20 16
3 14 West Ham 12 3 9 1.3 2.2 4 2 6 16 26 14
4 15 Tottenham 11 2 9 2.4 1.9 4 2 5 26 21 14
5 5 Man City 10 2 8 2.1 1.4 6 2 2 21 14 20
6 10 Fulham 11 3 8 1.6 1.5 4 5 2 18 17 17
7 17 Wolves 10 2 8 1.4 2.3 2 1 7 14 23 7
8 4 Chelsea 11 4 7 1.8 1.3 5 4 2 20 14 19
9 8 Aston Villa 11 4 7 1.7 1.2 6 4 1 19 13 22
10 1 Liverpool 10 4 6 2.0 0.8 7 2 1 20 8 23
11 2 Arsenal 11 5 6 2.0 0.8 7 4 0 22 9 25
12 6 Newcastle 11 5 6 1.7 1.1 6 2 3 19 12 20
13 9 Brighton 10 4 6 1.4 1.3 3 6 1 14 13 15
14 19 Leicester 12 6 6 0.9 1.8 2 3 7 11 21 9
15 20 Southampton 10 4 6 0.7 2.7 1 1 8 7 27 4
16 16 Everton 11 6 5 1.1 1.2 3 4 4 12 13 13
17 3 Nott'm Forest 11 7 4 1.4 0.9 6 3 2 15 10 21
18 12 Crystal Palace 11 7 4 0.9 1.5 2 5 4 10 17 11
19 18 Ipswich 12 8 4 0.7 2.0 1 4 7 8 24 7
20 7 Bournemouth 10 7 3 1.2 0.7 5 3 2 12 7 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Wolves 12 2 10 1.5 2.3 2 3 7 18 28 9
2 7 Bournemouth 12 3 9 2.0 1.6 5 4 3 24 19 19
3 8 Aston Villa 11 2 9 1.3 1.9 4 2 5 14 21 14
4 19 Leicester 10 1 9 1.2 2.7 1 2 7 12 27 5
5 5 Man City 12 4 8 1.9 1.2 5 3 4 23 15 18
6 9 Brighton 12 4 8 1.8 1.4 5 4 3 21 17 19
7 1 Liverpool 11 4 7 2.7 1.1 8 3 0 30 12 27
8 6 Newcastle 11 4 7 1.7 1.3 5 3 3 19 14 18
9 11 Brentford 10 3 7 1.1 1.6 1 2 7 11 16 5
10 15 Tottenham 11 4 7 1.7 1.3 3 1 7 19 14 10
11 3 Nott'm Forest 11 5 6 1.6 1.1 7 2 2 18 12 23
12 4 Chelsea 11 5 6 2.2 1.2 6 3 2 24 13 21
13 18 Ipswich 10 4 6 1.2 1.9 2 3 5 12 19 9
14 20 Southampton 12 6 6 0.7 1.9 0 2 10 8 23 2
15 12 Crystal Palace 11 6 5 1.4 1.0 4 4 3 15 11 16
16 13 Man United 10 5 5 1.0 1.2 2 4 4 10 12 10
17 2 Arsenal 11 7 4 1.9 1.1 5 4 2 21 12 19
18 10 Fulham 11 7 4 1.5 1.2 4 4 3 16 13 16
19 14 West Ham 10 6 4 1.1 1.7 3 3 4 11 17 12
20 16 Everton 10 7 3 0.6 1.5 1 4 5 6 15 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51