Arsenal 1–0 Newcastle – England Premier League, 18 May 2025

Match facts

Arsenal Newcastle

12 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 5

10 Corners 7

9 Fouls 9

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (366 league matches this season so far).

Result Arsenal to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.68

Expected goals 1.69 – 1.31

Home / Draw / Away

46% 24% 30%

ArsenalDrawNewcastle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

42% 58%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

41% 60%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

15% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

18% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Arsenal before this match, all matches

1.89points / match

1.83scored / match

0.92conceded / match

18 14 4

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 66:33

Newcastle before this match, all matches

1.83points / match

1.89scored / match

1.25conceded / match

20 6 10

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 68:45

Arsenal all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 1.89

0.92 Goals conceded 1.25

2.75 Total goals 3.14

14.22 Shots 13.69

4.89 Shots on target 4.53

9.47 Shots faced 12.42

6.47 Corners 5.53

2.94 Corners against 5.25

10.64 Fouls 10.36

1.69 Yellow cards 1.78

0.89 1st-half goals scored 1.03

0.39 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

50% Wins 56%

39% Draws 17%

11% Losses 28%

94% Over 0.5 goals 97%

78% Over 1.5 goals 86%

44% Over 2.5 goals 64%

33% Over 3.5 goals 36%

11% Over 4.5 goals 19%

11% Over 5.5 goals 8%

58% Both teams scored 53%

33% Clean sheets 36%

14% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 50%

33% Draws 19%

14% Losses 31%

69% Over 0.5 goals 92%

28% Over 1.5 goals 39%

17% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal all matches

D

1

D

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

D

4

W

2

D

1

2

L

2

D

Newcastle all matches

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

3

W

4

1

W

5

W

1

4

L

3

W

1

D

2

W

Arsenal before this match, at home

2.00points / match

1.89scored / match

0.94conceded / match

10 6 2

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 34:17

Newcastle before this match, away

1.56points / match

1.56scored / match

1.44conceded / match

8 4 6

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 28:26

Arsenal at home away Newcastle

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 1.56

0.94 Goals conceded 1.44

2.83 Total goals 3.00

16.33 Shots 11.89

5.61 Shots on target 3.94

8.00 Shots faced 12.39

7.28 Corners 5.17

2.56 Corners against 5.00

9.83 Fouls 9.72

1.56 Yellow cards 1.44

0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.89

0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

56% Wins 44%

33% Draws 22%

11% Losses 33%

94% Over 0.5 goals 94%

78% Over 1.5 goals 89%

56% Over 2.5 goals 61%

33% Over 3.5 goals 39%

11% Over 4.5 goals 11%

11% Over 5.5 goals 6%

61% Both teams scored 61%

33% Clean sheets 28%

11% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

72% Wins 28%

22% Draws 33%

6% Losses 39%

78% Over 0.5 goals 83%

22% Over 1.5 goals 56%

17% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal at home

1

W

2

1

W

2

D

5

1

W

1

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

2

D

1

2

L

Newcastle away

4

W

2

W

2

1

W

3

1

W

4

L

2

L

1

W

3

W

1

4

L

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Arsenal all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.05.25	Liverpool – Arsenal	2–2 (2–0)	2.00	3.60	3.60	1.73	2.10
03.05.25	Arsenal – Bournemouth	1–2 (1–0)	2.05	3.70	3.40	1.87	2.03
23.04.25	Arsenal – Crystal Palace	2–2 (2–1)	1.40	4.75	7.50	1.91	1.99
20.04.25	Ipswich – Arsenal	0–4 (0–2)	8.00	4.50	1.40	1.73	2.10
12.04.25	Arsenal – Brentford	1–1 (0–0)	1.60	4.33	5.00	1.73	2.10
05.04.25	Everton – Arsenal	1–1 (0–1)	5.25	3.25	1.75	2.38	1.57
01.04.25	Arsenal – Fulham	2–1 (1–0)	1.48	4.33	7.00	2.10	1.73
16.03.25	Arsenal – Chelsea	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.86	1.92
09.03.25	Man United – Arsenal	1–1 (1–0)	5.75	3.50	1.70	2.15	1.62
26.02.25	Nott'm Forest – Arsenal	0–0 (0–0)	3.90	3.60	1.95	2.20	1.67

Newcastle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.05.25	Newcastle – Chelsea	2–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.75	3.10	1.57	2.38
04.05.25	Brighton – Newcastle	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.70	2.30	1.53	2.50
26.04.25	Newcastle – Ipswich	3–0 (1–0)	1.18	7.50	13.00	1.36	3.20
19.04.25	Aston Villa – Newcastle	4–1 (1–1)	2.30	3.60	2.75	1.62	2.30
16.04.25	Newcastle – Crystal Palace	5–0 (4–0)	1.67	3.90	5.00	1.73	2.10
13.04.25	Newcastle – Man United	4–1 (1–1)	1.65	4.20	4.75	1.67	2.20
07.04.25	Leicester – Newcastle	0–3 (0–3)	6.50	4.20	1.48	1.62	2.30
02.04.25	Newcastle – Brentford	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	4.50	4.00	1.44	2.75
10.03.25	West Ham – Newcastle	0–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.73	2.10
26.02.25	Liverpool – Newcastle	2–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.50	5.75	1.44	2.75

Arsenal at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.05.25	Arsenal – Bournemouth	1–2 (1–0)	2.05	3.70	3.40	1.87	2.03
23.04.25	Arsenal – Crystal Palace	2–2 (2–1)	1.40	4.75	7.50	1.91	1.99
12.04.25	Arsenal – Brentford	1–1 (0–0)	1.60	4.33	5.00	1.73	2.10
01.04.25	Arsenal – Fulham	2–1 (1–0)	1.48	4.33	7.00	2.10	1.73
16.03.25	Arsenal – Chelsea	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.86	1.92
22.02.25	Arsenal – West Ham	0–1 (0–1)	1.27	6.00	10.00	1.67	2.20
02.02.25	Arsenal – Man City	5–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	1.73	2.10
18.01.25	Arsenal – Aston Villa	2–2 (1–0)	1.50	4.10	7.00	1.87	2.03
15.01.25	Arsenal – Tottenham	2–1 (2–1)	1.40	5.25	7.00	1.44	2.75
27.12.24	Arsenal – Ipswich	1–0 (1–0)	1.14	9.00	15.00	1.40	3.00

Newcastle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.05.25	Brighton – Newcastle	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.70	2.30	1.53	2.50
19.04.25	Aston Villa – Newcastle	4–1 (1–1)	2.30	3.60	2.75	1.62	2.30
07.04.25	Leicester – Newcastle	0–3 (0–3)	6.50	4.20	1.48	1.62	2.30
10.03.25	West Ham – Newcastle	0–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.73	2.10
26.02.25	Liverpool – Newcastle	2–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.50	5.75	1.44	2.75
15.02.25	Man City – Newcastle	4–0 (3–0)	1.95	4.20	3.30	1.44	2.75
25.01.25	Southampton – Newcastle	1–3 (1–2)	6.50	5.25	1.42	1.41	2.70
04.01.25	Tottenham – Newcastle	1–2 (1–2)	2.88	3.80	2.25	1.33	3.40
30.12.24	Man United – Newcastle	0–2 (0–2)	2.75	3.50	2.55	1.62	2.30
21.12.24	Ipswich – Newcastle	0–4 (0–3)	4.75	3.75	1.73	1.62	2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 1 3

Arsenal winsDrawsNewcastle wins

7matches

1.86goals / match

14%over 2.5

14%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.11.24E0	Newcastle – Arsenal	1–0 (1–0)	3.75	3.75	1.95	1.84	2.06
24.02.24E0	Arsenal – Newcastle	4–1 (2–0)	1.36	5.25	8.00	1.48	2.60
04.11.23E0	Newcastle – Arsenal	1–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.20	2.60	1.95	1.95
07.05.23E0	Newcastle – Arsenal	0–2 (0–1)	2.45	3.75	2.63	1.62	2.30
03.01.23E0	Arsenal – Newcastle	0–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.80	4.33	1.80	2.00
16.05.22E0	Newcastle – Arsenal	2–0 (0–0)	4.33	3.60	1.83	1.90	2.00
27.11.21E0	Arsenal – Newcastle	2–0 (0–0)	1.44	4.75	7.00	1.61	2.30

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	36	25	8	3	83	37	+46	83
2	Arsenal	36	18	14	4	66	33	+33	68
3	Newcastle	36	20	6	10	68	45	+23	66
4	Chelsea	37	19	9	9	63	43	+20	66
5	Aston Villa	37	19	9	9	58	49	+9	66
6	Man City	36	19	8	9	67	43	+24	65
7	Nott'm Forest	37	19	8	10	58	45	+13	65
8	Brentford	37	16	7	14	65	56	+9	55
9	Brighton	36	14	13	9	59	56	+3	55
10	Fulham	37	15	9	13	54	52	+2	54
11	Bournemouth	36	14	11	11	55	43	+12	53
12	Crystal Palace	36	12	13	11	46	48	-2	49
13	Everton	37	10	15	12	41	44	-3	45
14	Wolves	36	12	5	19	51	64	-13	41
15	West Ham	37	10	10	17	43	61	-18	40
16	Man United	37	10	9	18	42	54	-12	39
17	Tottenham	37	11	5	21	63	61	+2	38
18	Leicester	37	6	7	24	33	78	-45	25
19	Ipswich	37	4	10	23	35	79	-44	22
20	Southampton	37	2	6	29	25	84	-59	12

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	18	14	3	1	41	15	+26	45
2	Chelsea	19	12	5	2	35	18	+17	41
3	Aston Villa	19	11	7	1	34	20	+14	40
4	Man City	18	12	3	3	40	22	+18	39
5	Newcastle	18	12	2	4	40	19	+21	38
6	Arsenal	18	10	6	2	34	17	+17	36
7	Nott'm Forest	18	9	5	4	26	15	+11	32
8	Brentford	19	9	4	6	40	35	+5	31
9	Brighton	18	7	8	3	27	24	+3	29
10	Fulham	18	7	5	6	27	28	-1	26
11	Bournemouth	18	7	4	7	21	16	+5	25
12	Everton	19	5	9	5	26	23	+3	24
13	Crystal Palace	18	5	7	6	20	24	-4	22
14	Tottenham	18	6	3	9	34	31	+3	21
15	Man United	18	6	3	9	21	28	-7	21
16	Wolves	18	6	2	10	26	31	-5	20
17	West Ham	19	5	5	9	23	34	-11	20
18	Leicester	19	4	3	12	15	34	-19	15
19	Ipswich	18	1	4	13	13	41	-28	7
20	Southampton	18	1	3	14	12	45	-33	6

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	18	11	5	2	42	22	+20	38
2	Nott'm Forest	19	10	3	6	32	30	+2	33
3	Arsenal	18	8	8	2	32	16	+16	32
4	Bournemouth	18	7	7	4	34	27	+7	28
5	Fulham	19	8	4	7	27	24	+3	28
6	Newcastle	18	8	4	6	28	26	+2	28
7	Crystal Palace	18	7	6	5	26	24	+2	27
8	Man City	18	7	5	6	27	21	+6	26
9	Brighton	18	7	5	6	32	32	0	26
10	Aston Villa	18	8	2	8	24	29	-5	26
11	Chelsea	18	7	4	7	28	25	+3	25
12	Brentford	18	7	3	8	25	21	+4	24
13	Everton	18	5	6	7	15	21	-6	21
14	Wolves	18	6	3	9	25	33	-8	21
15	West Ham	18	5	5	8	20	27	-7	20
16	Man United	19	4	6	9	21	26	-5	18
17	Tottenham	19	5	2	12	29	30	-1	17
18	Ipswich	19	3	6	10	22	38	-16	15
19	Leicester	18	2	4	12	18	44	-26	10
20	Southampton	19	1	3	15	13	39	-26	6

Arsenal Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Brighton	36	11	25	1.6	1.6	14	13	9	59	56	55
2	5	Aston Villa	37	13	24	1.6	1.3	19	9	9	58	49	66
3	14	Wolves	36	12	24	1.4	1.8	12	5	19	51	64	41
4	1	Liverpool	36	13	23	2.3	1.0	25	8	3	83	37	83
5	3	Newcastle	36	13	23	1.9	1.2	20	6	10	68	45	66
6	8	Brentford	37	14	23	1.8	1.5	16	7	14	65	56	55
7	17	Tottenham	37	14	23	1.7	1.6	11	5	21	63	61	38
8	18	Leicester	37	14	23	0.9	2.1	6	7	24	33	78	25
9	6	Man City	36	14	22	1.9	1.2	19	8	9	67	43	65
10	10	Fulham	37	15	22	1.5	1.4	15	9	13	54	52	54
11	20	Southampton	37	15	22	0.7	2.3	2	6	29	25	84	12
12	4	Chelsea	37	16	21	1.7	1.2	19	9	9	63	43	66
13	19	Ipswich	37	16	21	0.9	2.1	4	10	23	35	79	22
14	11	Bournemouth	36	16	20	1.5	1.2	14	11	11	55	43	53
15	7	Nott'm Forest	37	18	19	1.6	1.2	19	8	10	58	45	65
16	16	Man United	37	18	19	1.1	1.5	10	9	18	42	54	39
17	15	West Ham	37	19	18	1.2	1.6	10	10	17	43	61	40
18	2	Arsenal	36	20	16	1.8	0.9	18	14	4	66	33	68
19	12	Crystal Palace	36	20	16	1.3	1.3	12	13	11	46	48	49
20	13	Everton	37	23	14	1.1	1.2	10	15	12	41	44	45

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Man City	18	5	13	2.2	1.2	12	3	3	40	22	39
2	17	Tottenham	18	5	13	1.9	1.7	6	3	9	34	31	21
3	1	Liverpool	18	6	12	2.3	0.8	14	3	1	41	15	45
4	3	Newcastle	18	6	12	2.2	1.1	12	2	4	40	19	38
5	8	Brentford	19	7	12	2.1	1.8	9	4	6	40	35	31
6	9	Brighton	18	6	12	1.5	1.3	7	8	3	27	24	29
7	10	Fulham	18	6	12	1.5	1.6	7	5	6	27	28	26
8	20	Southampton	18	6	12	0.7	2.5	1	3	14	12	45	6
9	4	Chelsea	19	8	11	1.8	0.9	12	5	2	35	18	41
10	5	Aston Villa	19	8	11	1.8	1.1	11	7	1	34	20	40
11	14	Wolves	18	7	11	1.4	1.7	6	2	10	26	31	20
12	15	West Ham	19	8	11	1.2	1.8	5	5	9	23	34	20
13	2	Arsenal	18	8	10	1.9	0.9	10	6	2	34	17	36
14	16	Man United	18	8	10	1.2	1.6	6	3	9	21	28	21
15	13	Everton	19	10	9	1.4	1.2	5	9	5	26	23	24
16	18	Leicester	19	10	9	0.8	1.8	4	3	12	15	34	15
17	19	Ipswich	18	9	9	0.7	2.3	1	4	13	13	41	7
18	12	Crystal Palace	18	10	8	1.1	1.3	5	7	6	20	24	22
19	7	Nott'm Forest	18	12	6	1.4	0.8	9	5	4	26	15	32
20	11	Bournemouth	18	12	6	1.2	0.9	7	4	7	21	16	25

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	11	Bournemouth	18	4	14	1.9	1.5	7	7	4	34	27	28
2	18	Leicester	18	4	14	1.0	2.4	2	4	12	18	44	10
3	5	Aston Villa	18	5	13	1.3	1.6	8	2	8	24	29	26
4	7	Nott'm Forest	19	6	13	1.7	1.6	10	3	6	32	30	33
5	9	Brighton	18	5	13	1.8	1.8	7	5	6	32	32	26
6	14	Wolves	18	5	13	1.4	1.8	6	3	9	25	33	21
7	19	Ipswich	19	7	12	1.2	2.0	3	6	10	22	38	15
8	1	Liverpool	18	7	11	2.3	1.2	11	5	2	42	22	38
9	3	Newcastle	18	7	11	1.6	1.4	8	4	6	28	26	28
10	8	Brentford	18	7	11	1.4	1.2	7	3	8	25	21	24
11	4	Chelsea	18	8	10	1.6	1.4	7	4	7	28	25	25
12	10	Fulham	19	9	10	1.4	1.3	8	4	7	27	24	28
13	17	Tottenham	19	9	10	1.5	1.6	5	2	12	29	30	17
14	20	Southampton	19	9	10	0.7	2.1	1	3	15	13	39	6
15	6	Man City	18	9	9	1.5	1.2	7	5	6	27	21	26
16	16	Man United	19	10	9	1.1	1.4	4	6	9	21	26	18
17	12	Crystal Palace	18	10	8	1.4	1.3	7	6	5	26	24	27
18	15	West Ham	18	11	7	1.1	1.5	5	5	8	20	27	20
19	2	Arsenal	18	12	6	1.8	0.9	8	8	2	32	16	32
20	13	Everton	18	13	5	0.8	1.2	5	6	7	15	21	21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.