Aston Villa 4–1 Newcastle – England Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

Match facts

Aston Villa Newcastle

23 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 3

7 Corners 7

9 Fouls 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (324 league matches this season so far).

Result Newcastle to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.61

Expected goals 1.51 – 1.60

Home / Draw / Away

36% 24% 40%

Aston VillaDrawNewcastle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

40% 60%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

38% 62%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

20% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.8% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 8.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches

1.69points / match

1.53scored / match

1.44conceded / match

15 9 8

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 49:46

Newcastle before this match, all matches

1.84points / match

1.91scored / match

1.25conceded / match

18 5 9

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 61:40

Aston Villa all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.91

1.44 Goals conceded 1.25

2.97 Total goals 3.16

12.94 Shots 13.44

4.50 Shots on target 4.50

12.19 Shots faced 12.66

6.44 Corners 5.47

4.28 Corners against 5.34

11.06 Fouls 10.41

1.94 Yellow cards 1.72

0.59 1st-half goals scored 1.06

0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.66

How often Full Time

47% Wins 56%

28% Draws 16%

25% Losses 28%

97% Over 0.5 goals 97%

88% Over 1.5 goals 84%

69% Over 2.5 goals 66%

34% Over 3.5 goals 38%

9% Over 4.5 goals 19%

0% Over 5.5 goals 9%

66% Both teams scored 53%

19% Clean sheets 34%

19% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 50%

41% Draws 19%

31% Losses 31%

69% Over 0.5 goals 91%

31% Over 1.5 goals 41%

16% Over 2.5 goals 28%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches

1

D

2

L

1

D

2

D

2

1

W

1

4

L

1

W

3

W

2

1

W

3

W

Newcastle all matches

3

1

W

1

2

L

4

L

4

3

W

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

3

W

4

1

W

5

W

Aston Villa before this match, at home

1.94points / match

1.69scored / match

1.19conceded / match

8 7 1

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 27:19

Newcastle before this match, away

1.69points / match

1.63scored / match

1.31conceded / match

8 3 5

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 26:21

Aston Villa at home away Newcastle

Per match

1.69 Goals scored 1.63

1.19 Goals conceded 1.31

2.88 Total goals 2.94

15.13 Shots 11.94

5.44 Shots on target 3.94

10.63 Shots faced 12.19

7.56 Corners 5.13

3.31 Corners against 5.13

10.94 Fouls 9.56

1.88 Yellow cards 1.38

0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.94

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%

44% Draws 19%

6% Losses 31%

94% Over 0.5 goals 94%

88% Over 1.5 goals 88%

63% Over 2.5 goals 63%

38% Over 3.5 goals 38%

6% Over 4.5 goals 6%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

81% Both teams scored 56%

13% Clean sheets 31%

13% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 31%

38% Draws 31%

25% Losses 38%

69% Over 0.5 goals 81%

38% Over 1.5 goals 56%

25% Over 2.5 goals 38%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home

3

1

W

1

W

2

1

W

2

D

2

1

W

1

D

1

D

2

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

Newcastle away

1

D

2

4

L

4

W

2

W

2

1

W

3

1

W

4

L

2

L

1

W

3

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.04.25	Southampton – Aston Villa	0–3 (0–0)	6.00	4.20	1.55	1.62	2.30
05.04.25	Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest	2–1 (2–0)	1.95	3.60	3.70	1.80	2.00
02.04.25	Brighton – Aston Villa	0–3 (0–0)	2.05	3.80	3.25	1.62	2.30
08.03.25	Brentford – Aston Villa	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.80	2.90	1.53	2.50
25.02.25	Crystal Palace – Aston Villa	4–1 (1–0)	2.45	3.40	2.80	1.90	2.00
22.02.25	Aston Villa – Chelsea	2–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.40	2.60	1.57	2.38
19.02.25	Aston Villa – Liverpool	2–2 (2–1)	3.90	4.00	1.83	1.57	2.38
15.02.25	Aston Villa – Ipswich	1–1 (0–0)	1.40	4.75	7.00	1.57	2.38
01.02.25	Wolves – Aston Villa	2–0 (1–0)	3.30	3.60	2.10	1.73	2.10
26.01.25	Aston Villa – West Ham	1–1 (1–0)	1.53	4.33	5.75	1.67	2.20

Newcastle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.04.25	Newcastle – Crystal Palace	5–0 (4–0)	1.67	3.90	5.00	1.73	2.10
13.04.25	Newcastle – Man United	4–1 (1–1)	1.65	4.20	4.75	1.67	2.20
07.04.25	Leicester – Newcastle	0–3 (0–3)	6.50	4.20	1.48	1.62	2.30
02.04.25	Newcastle – Brentford	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	4.50	4.00	1.44	2.75
10.03.25	West Ham – Newcastle	0–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.73	2.10
26.02.25	Liverpool – Newcastle	2–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.50	5.75	1.44	2.75
23.02.25	Newcastle – Nott'm Forest	4–3 (4–1)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.67	2.20
15.02.25	Man City – Newcastle	4–0 (3–0)	1.95	4.20	3.30	1.44	2.75
01.02.25	Newcastle – Fulham	1–2 (1–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.62	2.30
25.01.25	Southampton – Newcastle	1–3 (1–2)	6.50	5.25	1.42	1.41	2.70

Aston Villa at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.04.25	Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest	2–1 (2–0)	1.95	3.60	3.70	1.80	2.00
22.02.25	Aston Villa – Chelsea	2–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.40	2.60	1.57	2.38
19.02.25	Aston Villa – Liverpool	2–2 (2–1)	3.90	4.00	1.83	1.57	2.38
15.02.25	Aston Villa – Ipswich	1–1 (0–0)	1.40	4.75	7.00	1.57	2.38
26.01.25	Aston Villa – West Ham	1–1 (1–0)	1.53	4.33	5.75	1.67	2.20
04.01.25	Aston Villa – Leicester	2–1 (0–0)	1.33	5.50	8.50	1.50	2.63
30.12.24	Aston Villa – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	1.90	3.80	3.60	1.57	2.38
21.12.24	Aston Villa – Man City	2–1 (1–0)	3.25	3.70	2.10	1.57	2.38
07.12.24	Aston Villa – Southampton	1–0 (1–0)	1.36	5.50	7.00	1.44	2.75
04.12.24	Aston Villa – Brentford	3–1 (3–0)	1.80	3.75	4.33	1.57	2.38

Newcastle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.04.25	Leicester – Newcastle	0–3 (0–3)	6.50	4.20	1.48	1.62	2.30
10.03.25	West Ham – Newcastle	0–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.73	2.10
26.02.25	Liverpool – Newcastle	2–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.50	5.75	1.44	2.75
15.02.25	Man City – Newcastle	4–0 (3–0)	1.95	4.20	3.30	1.44	2.75
25.01.25	Southampton – Newcastle	1–3 (1–2)	6.50	5.25	1.42	1.41	2.70
04.01.25	Tottenham – Newcastle	1–2 (1–2)	2.88	3.80	2.25	1.33	3.40
30.12.24	Man United – Newcastle	0–2 (0–2)	2.75	3.50	2.55	1.62	2.30
21.12.24	Ipswich – Newcastle	0–4 (0–3)	4.75	3.75	1.73	1.62	2.30
07.12.24	Brentford – Newcastle	4–2 (2–2)	2.88	3.75	2.30	1.57	2.38
30.11.24	Crystal Palace – Newcastle	1–1 (0–0)	2.90	3.60	2.30	1.80	2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 5

Aston Villa winsDrawsNewcastle wins

7matches

3.29goals / match

71%over 2.5

29%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.24E0	Newcastle – Aston Villa	3–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.80	3.75	1.62	2.30
30.01.24E0	Aston Villa – Newcastle	1–3 (0–2)	1.85	4.00	3.80	1.50	2.50
12.08.23E0	Newcastle – Aston Villa	5–1 (2–1)	1.75	3.75	4.60	1.73	2.10
15.04.23E0	Aston Villa – Newcastle	3–0 (1–0)	3.60	3.40	2.05	2.07	1.83
29.10.22E0	Newcastle – Aston Villa	4–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.75	4.50	1.94	1.96
13.02.22E0	Newcastle – Aston Villa	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.30	2.62	1.85	2.05
21.08.21E0	Aston Villa – Newcastle	2–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.75	4.33	1.72	2.10

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	32	23	7	2	74	31	+43	76
2	Arsenal	32	17	12	3	57	27	+30	63
3	Newcastle	32	18	5	9	61	40	+21	59
4	Man City	33	17	7	9	64	42	+22	58
5	Nott'm Forest	32	17	6	9	51	38	+13	57
6	Chelsea	32	15	9	8	56	39	+17	54
7	Aston Villa	32	15	9	8	49	46	+3	54
8	Bournemouth	33	13	10	10	52	40	+12	49
9	Fulham	32	13	9	10	47	43	+4	48
10	Brighton	33	12	12	9	53	53	0	48
11	Brentford	33	13	7	13	56	50	+6	46
12	Crystal Palace	33	11	11	11	41	45	-4	44
13	Everton	33	8	14	11	34	40	-6	38
14	Man United	32	10	8	14	38	45	-7	38
15	Tottenham	32	11	4	17	60	49	+11	37
16	West Ham	33	9	9	15	37	55	-18	36
17	Wolves	32	10	5	17	47	61	-14	35
18	Ipswich	32	4	9	19	33	67	-34	21
19	Leicester	32	4	6	22	27	72	-45	18
20	Southampton	33	2	5	26	24	78	-54	11

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	16	13	2	1	34	12	+22	41
2	Arsenal	16	10	5	1	31	13	+18	35
3	Man City	16	10	3	3	37	21	+16	33
4	Newcastle	16	10	2	4	35	19	+16	32
5	Chelsea	16	9	5	2	30	17	+13	32
6	Nott'm Forest	16	9	4	3	24	11	+13	31
7	Aston Villa	16	8	7	1	27	19	+8	31
8	Brentford	17	8	4	5	34	29	+5	28
9	Fulham	16	7	5	4	25	23	+2	26
10	Brighton	16	6	7	3	23	21	+2	25
11	Bournemouth	16	7	3	6	20	14	+6	24
12	Tottenham	16	6	3	7	33	27	+6	21
13	Man United	16	6	3	7	21	25	-4	21
14	Crystal Palace	17	5	6	6	19	23	-4	21
15	Everton	17	4	8	5	22	21	+1	20
16	West Ham	17	5	4	8	21	31	-10	19
17	Wolves	16	5	2	9	23	29	-6	17
18	Leicester	16	2	3	11	11	33	-22	9
19	Ipswich	16	1	4	11	13	36	-23	7
20	Southampton	16	1	2	13	11	43	-32	5

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	16	10	5	1	40	19	+21	35
2	Arsenal	16	7	7	2	26	14	+12	28
3	Newcastle	16	8	3	5	26	21	+5	27
4	Nott'm Forest	16	8	2	6	27	27	0	26
5	Bournemouth	17	6	7	4	32	26	+6	25
6	Man City	17	7	4	6	27	21	+6	25
7	Crystal Palace	16	6	5	5	22	22	0	23
8	Brighton	17	6	5	6	30	32	-2	23
9	Aston Villa	16	7	2	7	22	27	-5	23
10	Chelsea	16	6	4	6	26	22	+4	22
11	Fulham	16	6	4	6	22	20	+2	22
12	Brentford	16	5	3	8	22	21	+1	18
13	Everton	16	4	6	6	12	19	-7	18
14	Wolves	16	5	3	8	24	32	-8	18
15	Man United	16	4	5	7	17	20	-3	17
16	West Ham	16	4	5	7	16	24	-8	17
17	Tottenham	16	5	1	10	27	22	+5	16
18	Ipswich	16	3	5	8	20	31	-11	14
19	Leicester	16	2	3	11	16	39	-23	9
20	Southampton	17	1	3	13	13	35	-22	6

Aston Villa Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Brighton	33	9	24	1.6	1.6	12	12	9	53	53	48
2	17	Wolves	32	9	23	1.5	1.9	10	5	17	47	61	35
3	7	Aston Villa	32	10	22	1.5	1.4	15	9	8	49	46	54
4	3	Newcastle	32	11	21	1.9	1.2	18	5	9	61	40	59
5	4	Man City	33	12	21	1.9	1.3	17	7	9	64	42	58
6	11	Brentford	33	12	21	1.7	1.5	13	7	13	56	50	46
7	15	Tottenham	32	11	21	1.9	1.5	11	4	17	60	49	37
8	19	Leicester	32	11	21	0.8	2.2	4	6	22	27	72	18
9	20	Southampton	33	12	21	0.7	2.4	2	5	26	24	78	11
10	1	Liverpool	32	12	20	2.3	1.0	23	7	2	74	31	76
11	6	Chelsea	32	13	19	1.8	1.2	15	9	8	56	39	54
12	8	Bournemouth	33	14	19	1.6	1.2	13	10	10	52	40	49
13	9	Fulham	32	14	18	1.5	1.3	13	9	10	47	43	48
14	14	Man United	32	14	18	1.2	1.4	10	8	14	38	45	38
15	18	Ipswich	32	14	18	1.0	2.1	4	9	19	33	67	21
16	5	Nott'm Forest	32	16	16	1.6	1.2	17	6	9	51	38	57
17	16	West Ham	33	17	16	1.1	1.7	9	9	15	37	55	36
18	12	Crystal Palace	33	18	15	1.2	1.4	11	11	11	41	45	44
19	2	Arsenal	32	20	12	1.8	0.8	17	12	3	57	27	63
20	13	Everton	33	21	12	1.0	1.2	8	14	11	34	40	38

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Man City	16	4	12	2.3	1.3	10	3	3	37	21	33
2	15	Tottenham	16	4	12	2.1	1.7	6	3	7	33	27	21
3	3	Newcastle	16	5	11	2.2	1.2	10	2	4	35	19	32
4	10	Brighton	16	5	11	1.4	1.3	6	7	3	23	21	25
5	20	Southampton	16	5	11	0.7	2.7	1	2	13	11	43	5
6	1	Liverpool	16	6	10	2.1	0.8	13	2	1	34	12	41
7	6	Chelsea	16	6	10	1.9	1.1	9	5	2	30	17	32
8	7	Aston Villa	16	6	10	1.7	1.2	8	7	1	27	19	31
9	9	Fulham	16	6	10	1.6	1.4	7	5	4	25	23	26
10	11	Brentford	17	7	10	2.0	1.7	8	4	5	34	29	28
11	14	Man United	16	6	10	1.3	1.6	6	3	7	21	25	21
12	16	West Ham	17	7	10	1.2	1.8	5	4	8	21	31	19
13	17	Wolves	16	6	10	1.4	1.8	5	2	9	23	29	17
14	19	Leicester	16	7	9	0.7	2.1	2	3	11	11	33	9
15	2	Arsenal	16	8	8	1.9	0.8	10	5	1	31	13	35
16	12	Crystal Palace	17	9	8	1.1	1.4	5	6	6	19	23	21
17	13	Everton	17	9	8	1.3	1.2	4	8	5	22	21	20
18	18	Ipswich	16	8	8	0.8	2.2	1	4	11	13	36	7
19	8	Bournemouth	16	10	6	1.2	0.9	7	3	6	20	14	24
20	5	Nott'm Forest	16	11	5	1.5	0.7	9	4	3	24	11	31

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Bournemouth	17	4	13	1.9	1.5	6	7	4	32	26	25
2	10	Brighton	17	4	13	1.8	1.9	6	5	6	30	32	23
3	17	Wolves	16	3	13	1.5	2.0	5	3	8	24	32	18
4	7	Aston Villa	16	4	12	1.4	1.7	7	2	7	22	27	23
5	19	Leicester	16	4	12	1.0	2.4	2	3	11	16	39	9
6	5	Nott'm Forest	16	5	11	1.7	1.7	8	2	6	27	27	26
7	11	Brentford	16	5	11	1.4	1.3	5	3	8	22	21	18
8	1	Liverpool	16	6	10	2.5	1.2	10	5	1	40	19	35
9	3	Newcastle	16	6	10	1.6	1.3	8	3	5	26	21	27
10	18	Ipswich	16	6	10	1.2	1.9	3	5	8	20	31	14
11	20	Southampton	17	7	10	0.8	2.1	1	3	13	13	35	6
12	4	Man City	17	8	9	1.6	1.2	7	4	6	27	21	25
13	6	Chelsea	16	7	9	1.6	1.4	6	4	6	26	22	22
14	15	Tottenham	16	7	9	1.7	1.4	5	1	10	27	22	16
15	9	Fulham	16	8	8	1.4	1.2	6	4	6	22	20	22
16	14	Man United	16	8	8	1.1	1.2	4	5	7	17	20	17
17	12	Crystal Palace	16	9	7	1.4	1.4	6	5	5	22	22	23
18	16	West Ham	16	10	6	1.0	1.5	4	5	7	16	24	17
19	2	Arsenal	16	12	4	1.6	0.9	7	7	2	26	14	28
20	13	Everton	16	12	4	0.8	1.2	4	6	6	12	19	18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.