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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: R Jones

Tottenham 1–4 Brighton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 4.20 fair 2.42
Draw 4.33 fair 4.57
Away ✓ 1.70 fair 2.71
Under 2.5 3.40 fair 3.32
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.33 fair 1.43

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Tottenham Brighton
4 Shots 23
2 Shots on target 8
2 Corners 11
13 Fouls 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (370 league matches this season so far).
Result Tottenham to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.43
Expected goals 1.86 – 1.75
Home / Draw / Away
TottenhamDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 8.8% 2–1 8.2% 1–2 7.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Tottenham before this match, all matches
1.03points / match
1.70scored / match
1.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 63:61
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.57points / match
1.68scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 62:58
Tottenham all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 1.68
1.65 Goals conceded 1.57
3.35 Total goals 3.24
13.32 Shots 13.78
4.95 Shots on target 4.95
13.49 Shots faced 11.43
6.51 Corners 4.81
5.27 Corners against 4.92
11.70 Fouls 11.62
1.81 Yellow cards 1.92
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

30% Wins 41%
14% Draws 35%
57% Losses 24%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
81% Over 1.5 goals 89%
62% Over 2.5 goals 70%
43% Over 3.5 goals 43%
27% Over 4.5 goals 16%
11% Over 5.5 goals 8%
59% Both teams scored 70%
16% Clean sheets 22%
24% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 41%
19% Draws 30%
43% Losses 30%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
51% Over 1.5 goals 38%
27% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tottenham all matches
Brighton all matches
Tottenham before this match, at home
1.17points / match
1.89scored / match
1.72conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 34:31
Brighton before this match, away
1.44points / match
1.78scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 32:32
Tottenham at home away Brighton

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 1.78
1.72 Goals conceded 1.78
3.61 Total goals 3.56
14.72 Shots 12.22
5.44 Shots on target 4.78
12.78 Shots faced 12.11
7.44 Corners 4.83
5.28 Corners against 5.50
11.22 Fouls 11.61
1.56 Yellow cards 2.06
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.94 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

33% Wins 39%
17% Draws 28%
50% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 94%
72% Over 2.5 goals 72%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
22% Over 4.5 goals 17%
11% Over 5.5 goals 17%
72% Both teams scored 67%
11% Clean sheets 28%
17% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 39%
17% Draws 33%
44% Losses 28%
89% Over 0.5 goals 89%
56% Over 1.5 goals 39%
28% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tottenham at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Tottenham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.05.25 Aston Villa – Tottenham 2–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.20
11.05.25 Tottenham – Crystal Palace 0–2 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.53 2.50
04.05.25 West Ham – Tottenham 1–1 (1–1) 2.103.703.25 1.57 2.38
27.04.25 Liverpool – Tottenham 5–1 (3–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.33 3.40
21.04.25 Tottenham – Nott'm Forest 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.602.63 1.57 2.38
13.04.25 Wolves – Tottenham 4–2 (2–0) 2.203.603.10 1.67 2.20
06.04.25 Tottenham – Southampton 3–1 (2–0) 1.385.506.50 1.40 3.00
03.04.25 Chelsea – Tottenham 1–0 (0–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00
16.03.25 Fulham – Tottenham 2–0 (0–0) 2.003.753.60 1.57 2.38
09.03.25 Tottenham – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–1) 2.703.902.35 1.37 3.00

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.05.25 Brighton – Liverpool 3–2 (1–2) 2.603.752.45 1.44 2.75
10.05.25 Wolves – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.73 2.10
04.05.25 Brighton – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.702.30 1.53 2.50
26.04.25 Brighton – West Ham 3–2 (1–0) 1.674.204.75 1.67 2.20
19.04.25 Brentford – Brighton 4–2 (1–1) 2.403.752.63 1.57 2.38
12.04.25 Brighton – Leicester 2–2 (1–1) 1.296.0010.00 1.62 2.30
05.04.25 Crystal Palace – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 2.353.602.80 1.80 2.00
02.04.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 0–3 (0–0) 2.053.803.25 1.62 2.30
15.03.25 Man City – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 1.674.334.50 1.44 2.75
08.03.25 Brighton – Fulham 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.75 1.73 2.10

Tottenham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.25 Tottenham – Crystal Palace 0–2 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.53 2.50
21.04.25 Tottenham – Nott'm Forest 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.602.63 1.57 2.38
06.04.25 Tottenham – Southampton 3–1 (2–0) 1.385.506.50 1.40 3.00
09.03.25 Tottenham – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–1) 2.703.902.35 1.37 3.00
26.02.25 Tottenham – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 3.254.002.00 1.36 3.20
16.02.25 Tottenham – Man United 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.752.62 1.50 2.63
26.01.25 Tottenham – Leicester 1–2 (1–0) 1.455.505.50 1.33 3.40
04.01.25 Tottenham – Newcastle 1–2 (1–2) 2.883.802.25 1.33 3.40
29.12.24 Tottenham – Wolves 2–2 (2–1) 1.605.004.20 1.33 3.40
22.12.24 Tottenham – Liverpool 3–6 (1–3) 4.504.001.73 1.30 3.50

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.05.25 Wolves – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.73 2.10
19.04.25 Brentford – Brighton 4–2 (1–1) 2.403.752.63 1.57 2.38
05.04.25 Crystal Palace – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 2.353.602.80 1.80 2.00
15.03.25 Man City – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 1.674.334.50 1.44 2.75
22.02.25 Southampton – Brighton 0–4 (0–1) 6.004.101.55 1.57 2.38
01.02.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 7–0 (3–0) 2.383.502.80 1.95 1.95
19.01.25 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
16.01.25 Ipswich – Brighton 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.701.91 1.73 2.10
30.12.24 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.803.60 1.57 2.38
21.12.24 West Ham – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.702.35 1.50 2.63

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Tottenham winsDrawsBrighton wins
7matches
3.00goals / match
57%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.10.24E0 Brighton – Tottenham 3–2 (0–2) 2.904.002.20 1.40 3.00
10.02.24E0 Tottenham – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.40 2.88
28.12.23E0 Brighton – Tottenham 4–2 (2–0) 2.503.602.60 1.44 2.70
08.04.23E0 Tottenham – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.70 1.85 2.05
08.10.22E0 Brighton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.50 1.88 2.02
16.04.22E0 Tottenham – Brighton 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.006.50 1.90 2.00
16.03.22E0 Brighton – Tottenham 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.80

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 37 25 8 4 85 40 +45 83
2 Arsenal 37 19 14 4 67 33 +34 71
3 Man City 37 20 8 9 70 44 +26 68
4 Newcastle 37 20 6 11 68 46 +22 66
5 Chelsea 37 19 9 9 63 43 +20 66
6 Aston Villa 37 19 9 9 58 49 +9 66
7 Nott'm Forest 37 19 8 10 58 45 +13 65
8 Brighton 37 15 13 9 62 58 +4 58
9 Brentford 37 16 7 14 65 56 +9 55
10 Fulham 37 15 9 13 54 52 +2 54
11 Bournemouth 37 14 11 12 56 46 +10 53
12 Crystal Palace 37 13 13 11 50 50 0 52
13 Everton 37 10 15 12 41 44 -3 45
14 Wolves 37 12 5 20 53 68 -15 41
15 West Ham 37 10 10 17 43 61 -18 40
16 Man United 37 10 9 18 42 54 -12 39
17 Tottenham 37 11 5 21 63 61 +2 38
18 Leicester 37 6 7 24 33 78 -45 25
19 Ipswich 37 4 10 23 35 79 -44 22
20 Southampton 37 2 6 29 25 84 -59 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 18 14 3 1 41 15 +26 45
2 Man City 19 13 3 3 43 23 +20 42
3 Chelsea 19 12 5 2 35 18 +17 41
4 Aston Villa 19 11 7 1 34 20 +14 40
5 Arsenal 19 11 6 2 35 17 +18 39
6 Newcastle 18 12 2 4 40 19 +21 38
7 Nott'm Forest 18 9 5 4 26 15 +11 32
8 Brighton 19 8 8 3 30 26 +4 32
9 Brentford 19 9 4 6 40 35 +5 31
10 Fulham 18 7 5 6 27 28 -1 26
11 Bournemouth 18 7 4 7 21 16 +5 25
12 Crystal Palace 19 6 7 6 24 26 -2 25
13 Everton 19 5 9 5 26 23 +3 24
14 Tottenham 18 6 3 9 34 31 +3 21
15 Man United 18 6 3 9 21 28 -7 21
16 Wolves 18 6 2 10 26 31 -5 20
17 West Ham 19 5 5 9 23 34 -11 20
18 Leicester 19 4 3 12 15 34 -19 15
19 Ipswich 18 1 4 13 13 41 -28 7
20 Southampton 18 1 3 14 12 45 -33 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 19 11 5 3 44 25 +19 38
2 Nott'm Forest 19 10 3 6 32 30 +2 33
3 Arsenal 18 8 8 2 32 16 +16 32
4 Bournemouth 19 7 7 5 35 30 +5 28
5 Fulham 19 8 4 7 27 24 +3 28
6 Newcastle 19 8 4 7 28 27 +1 28
7 Crystal Palace 18 7 6 5 26 24 +2 27
8 Man City 18 7 5 6 27 21 +6 26
9 Brighton 18 7 5 6 32 32 0 26
10 Aston Villa 18 8 2 8 24 29 -5 26
11 Chelsea 18 7 4 7 28 25 +3 25
12 Brentford 18 7 3 8 25 21 +4 24
13 Everton 18 5 6 7 15 21 -6 21
14 Wolves 19 6 3 10 27 37 -10 21
15 West Ham 18 5 5 8 20 27 -7 20
16 Man United 19 4 6 9 21 26 -5 18
17 Tottenham 19 5 2 12 29 30 -1 17
18 Ipswich 19 3 6 10 22 38 -16 15
19 Leicester 18 2 4 12 18 44 -26 10
20 Southampton 19 1 3 15 13 39 -26 6

Tottenham   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Brighton 37 11 26 1.7 1.6 15 13 9 62 58 58
2 14 Wolves 37 12 25 1.4 1.8 12 5 20 53 68 41
3 1 Liverpool 37 13 24 2.3 1.1 25 8 4 85 40 83
4 6 Aston Villa 37 13 24 1.6 1.3 19 9 9 58 49 66
5 3 Man City 37 14 23 1.9 1.2 20 8 9 70 44 68
6 4 Newcastle 37 14 23 1.8 1.2 20 6 11 68 46 66
7 9 Brentford 37 14 23 1.8 1.5 16 7 14 65 56 55
8 17 Tottenham 37 14 23 1.7 1.6 11 5 21 63 61 38
9 18 Leicester 37 14 23 0.9 2.1 6 7 24 33 78 25
10 10 Fulham 37 15 22 1.5 1.4 15 9 13 54 52 54
11 20 Southampton 37 15 22 0.7 2.3 2 6 29 25 84 12
12 5 Chelsea 37 16 21 1.7 1.2 19 9 9 63 43 66
13 11 Bournemouth 37 16 21 1.5 1.2 14 11 12 56 46 53
14 19 Ipswich 37 16 21 0.9 2.1 4 10 23 35 79 22
15 7 Nott'm Forest 37 18 19 1.6 1.2 19 8 10 58 45 65
16 16 Man United 37 18 19 1.1 1.5 10 9 18 42 54 39
17 15 West Ham 37 19 18 1.2 1.6 10 10 17 43 61 40
18 12 Crystal Palace 37 20 17 1.4 1.4 13 13 11 50 50 52
19 2 Arsenal 37 21 16 1.8 0.9 19 14 4 67 33 71
20 13 Everton 37 23 14 1.1 1.2 10 15 12 41 44 45
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Man City 19 5 14 2.3 1.2 13 3 3 43 23 42
2 8 Brighton 19 6 13 1.6 1.4 8 8 3 30 26 32
3 17 Tottenham 18 5 13 1.9 1.7 6 3 9 34 31 21
4 1 Liverpool 18 6 12 2.3 0.8 14 3 1 41 15 45
5 4 Newcastle 18 6 12 2.2 1.1 12 2 4 40 19 38
6 9 Brentford 19 7 12 2.1 1.8 9 4 6 40 35 31
7 10 Fulham 18 6 12 1.5 1.6 7 5 6 27 28 26
8 20 Southampton 18 6 12 0.7 2.5 1 3 14 12 45 6
9 5 Chelsea 19 8 11 1.8 0.9 12 5 2 35 18 41
10 6 Aston Villa 19 8 11 1.8 1.1 11 7 1 34 20 40
11 14 Wolves 18 7 11 1.4 1.7 6 2 10 26 31 20
12 15 West Ham 19 8 11 1.2 1.8 5 5 9 23 34 20
13 2 Arsenal 19 9 10 1.8 0.9 11 6 2 35 17 39
14 16 Man United 18 8 10 1.2 1.6 6 3 9 21 28 21
15 12 Crystal Palace 19 10 9 1.3 1.4 6 7 6 24 26 25
16 13 Everton 19 10 9 1.4 1.2 5 9 5 26 23 24
17 18 Leicester 19 10 9 0.8 1.8 4 3 12 15 34 15
18 19 Ipswich 18 9 9 0.7 2.3 1 4 13 13 41 7
19 7 Nott'm Forest 18 12 6 1.4 0.8 9 5 4 26 15 32
20 11 Bournemouth 18 12 6 1.2 0.9 7 4 7 21 16 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Bournemouth 19 4 15 1.8 1.6 7 7 5 35 30 28
2 14 Wolves 19 5 14 1.4 1.9 6 3 10 27 37 21
3 18 Leicester 18 4 14 1.0 2.4 2 4 12 18 44 10
4 6 Aston Villa 18 5 13 1.3 1.6 8 2 8 24 29 26
5 7 Nott'm Forest 19 6 13 1.7 1.6 10 3 6 32 30 33
6 8 Brighton 18 5 13 1.8 1.8 7 5 6 32 32 26
7 1 Liverpool 19 7 12 2.3 1.3 11 5 3 44 25 38
8 19 Ipswich 19 7 12 1.2 2.0 3 6 10 22 38 15
9 4 Newcastle 19 8 11 1.5 1.4 8 4 7 28 27 28
10 9 Brentford 18 7 11 1.4 1.2 7 3 8 25 21 24
11 5 Chelsea 18 8 10 1.6 1.4 7 4 7 28 25 25
12 10 Fulham 19 9 10 1.4 1.3 8 4 7 27 24 28
13 17 Tottenham 19 9 10 1.5 1.6 5 2 12 29 30 17
14 20 Southampton 19 9 10 0.7 2.1 1 3 15 13 39 6
15 3 Man City 18 9 9 1.5 1.2 7 5 6 27 21 26
16 16 Man United 19 10 9 1.1 1.4 4 6 9 21 26 18
17 12 Crystal Palace 18 10 8 1.4 1.3 7 6 5 26 24 27
18 15 West Ham 18 11 7 1.1 1.5 5 5 8 20 27 20
19 2 Arsenal 18 12 6 1.8 0.9 8 8 2 32 16 32
20 13 Everton 18 13 5 0.8 1.2 5 6 7 15 21 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38