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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Pawson

Aston Villa 2–2 Brighton

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.90 fair 2.46
Draw ✓ 3.80 fair 4.21
Away 3.60 fair 2.81
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.51
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Brighton
20 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
12 Corners 3
9 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (185 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.61
Expected goals 1.61 – 1.50
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 8.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.44scored / match
1.61conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 26:29
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.50scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 27:26
Aston Villa all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.50
1.61 Goals conceded 1.44
3.06 Total goals 2.94
12.44 Shots 14.94
4.22 Shots on target 4.94
12.11 Shots faced 11.78
6.33 Corners 5.28
4.17 Corners against 5.22
11.89 Fouls 11.56
2.22 Yellow cards 1.94
0.72 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

44% Wins 33%
22% Draws 44%
33% Losses 22%
94% Over 0.5 goals 89%
89% Over 1.5 goals 83%
72% Over 2.5 goals 67%
39% Over 3.5 goals 39%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
67% Both teams scored 78%
11% Clean sheets 22%
28% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 50%
33% Draws 17%
33% Losses 33%
78% Over 0.5 goals 83%
39% Over 1.5 goals 22%
22% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Brighton all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.67scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:10
Brighton before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.56scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:14
Aston Villa at home away Brighton

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.56
1.11 Goals conceded 1.56
2.78 Total goals 3.11
14.67 Shots 13.00
5.56 Shots on target 4.89
9.33 Shots faced 13.11
7.78 Corners 4.44
3.22 Corners against 6.22
11.78 Fouls 10.89
2.44 Yellow cards 1.78
0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

56% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
11% Losses 33%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 89%
56% Over 2.5 goals 67%
44% Over 3.5 goals 33%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
67% Both teams scored 78%
22% Clean sheets 22%
22% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 56%
33% Draws 11%
33% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 89%
33% Over 1.5 goals 11%
33% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.24 Newcastle – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.30
21.12.24 Aston Villa – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.702.10 1.57 2.38
14.12.24 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–1 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 1.90 2.00
07.12.24 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.44 2.75
04.12.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–1 (3–0) 1.803.754.33 1.57 2.38
01.12.24 Chelsea – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.704.104.50 1.53 2.50
23.11.24 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–2) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.10
09.11.24 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.425.256.50 1.44 2.75
03.11.24 Tottenham – Aston Villa 4–1 (0–1) 1.914.003.60 1.44 2.75
26.10.24 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.24 Brighton – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.334.75 1.44 2.75
21.12.24 West Ham – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.702.35 1.50 2.63
15.12.24 Brighton – Crystal Palace 1–3 (0–2) 1.853.803.90 1.73 2.10
08.12.24 Leicester – Brighton 2–2 (0–1) 4.503.801.73 1.57 2.38
05.12.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–1 (1–0) 2.353.602.88 1.62 2.30
29.11.24 Brighton – Southampton 1–1 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.44 2.75
23.11.24 Bournemouth – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.602.80 1.57 2.38
09.11.24 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 4.104.201.73 1.53 2.50
02.11.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.405.007.50 1.40 3.00
26.10.24 Brighton – Wolves 2–2 (1–0) 1.624.504.50 1.57 2.38

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24 Aston Villa – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.702.10 1.57 2.38
07.12.24 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.44 2.75
04.12.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–1 (3–0) 1.803.754.33 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–2) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.10
26.10.24 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
06.10.24 Aston Villa – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.753.00 1.53 2.50
21.09.24 Aston Villa – Wolves 3–1 (0–1) 1.574.205.25 1.57 2.38
14.09.24 Aston Villa – Everton 3–2 (1–2) 1.504.206.50 1.67 2.20
24.08.24 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.73 2.10
13.05.24 Aston Villa – Liverpool 3–3 (1–2) 4.204.331.70 1.33 3.40

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24 West Ham – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.702.35 1.50 2.63
08.12.24 Leicester – Brighton 2–2 (0–1) 4.503.801.73 1.57 2.38
05.12.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–1 (1–0) 2.353.602.88 1.62 2.30
23.11.24 Bournemouth – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.602.80 1.57 2.38
02.11.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.405.007.50 1.40 3.00
19.10.24 Newcastle – Brighton 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.703.60 1.49 2.45
28.09.24 Chelsea – Brighton 4–2 (4–2) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.63
31.08.24 Arsenal – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
17.08.24 Everton – Brighton 0–3 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 1.80 2.00
11.05.24 Newcastle – Brighton 1–1 (1–1) 1.574.754.75 1.33 3.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsBrighton wins
6matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24E0 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.752.45 1.50 2.63
30.09.23E0 Aston Villa – Brighton 6–1 (3–0) 2.553.752.55 1.44 2.75
28.05.23E0 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–1 (2–1) 2.003.603.50 1.53 2.50
13.11.22E0 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.754.20 1.96 1.94
26.02.22E0 Brighton – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.50 2.10 1.72
20.11.21E0 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.72

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 18 14 3 1 45 17 +28 45
2 Nott'm Forest 19 11 4 4 26 19 +7 37
3 Arsenal 18 10 6 2 35 16 +19 36
4 Chelsea 18 10 5 3 38 21 +17 35
5 Man City 19 9 4 6 32 26 +6 31
6 Bournemouth 19 8 6 5 29 23 +6 30
7 Newcastle 18 8 5 5 30 21 +9 29
8 Fulham 19 7 8 4 28 25 +3 29
9 Aston Villa 18 8 4 6 26 29 -3 28
10 Brighton 18 6 8 4 27 26 +1 26
11 Tottenham 19 7 3 9 41 28 +13 24
12 Brentford 18 7 3 8 32 32 0 24
13 West Ham 19 6 5 8 23 35 -12 23
14 Man United 18 6 4 8 21 24 -3 22
15 Crystal Palace 19 4 8 7 20 27 -7 20
16 Everton 18 3 8 7 15 24 -9 17
17 Wolves 19 4 4 11 31 42 -11 16
18 Leicester 19 3 5 11 22 42 -20 14
19 Ipswich 18 2 6 10 16 33 -17 12
20 Southampton 19 1 3 15 12 39 -27 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 9 7 1 1 18 6 +12 22
2 Brentford 9 7 1 1 26 16 +10 22
3 Arsenal 9 6 3 0 18 6 +12 21
4 Aston Villa 9 5 3 1 15 10 +5 18
5 Newcastle 9 5 2 2 15 8 +7 17
6 Man City 9 5 2 2 17 13 +4 17
7 Nott'm Forest 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17
8 Fulham 10 4 4 2 16 15 +1 16
9 Chelsea 9 4 3 2 15 11 +4 15
10 Bournemouth 9 4 3 2 11 7 +4 15
11 Tottenham 10 4 2 4 25 19 +6 14
12 Brighton 9 3 5 1 13 12 +1 14
13 Man United 9 4 1 4 13 14 -1 13
14 West Ham 10 3 2 5 13 22 -9 11
15 Everton 9 2 4 3 9 10 -1 10
16 Crystal Palace 10 2 4 4 9 16 -7 10
17 Leicester 10 2 3 5 11 17 -6 9
18 Wolves 9 2 1 6 14 20 -6 7
19 Ipswich 9 0 4 5 6 16 -10 4
20 Southampton 9 1 1 7 7 22 -15 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 9 7 2 0 27 11 +16 23
2 Chelsea 9 6 2 1 23 10 +13 20
3 Nott'm Forest 10 6 2 2 15 12 +3 20
4 Arsenal 9 4 3 2 17 10 +7 15
5 Bournemouth 10 4 3 3 18 16 +2 15
6 Man City 10 4 2 4 15 13 +2 14
7 Fulham 9 3 4 2 12 10 +2 13
8 Newcastle 9 3 3 3 15 13 +2 12
9 Brighton 9 3 3 3 14 14 0 12
10 West Ham 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12
11 Tottenham 9 3 1 5 16 9 +7 10
12 Crystal Palace 9 2 4 3 11 11 0 10
13 Aston Villa 9 3 1 5 11 19 -8 10
14 Man United 9 2 3 4 8 10 -2 9
15 Wolves 10 2 3 5 17 22 -5 9
16 Ipswich 9 2 2 5 10 17 -7 8
17 Everton 9 1 4 4 6 14 -8 7
18 Leicester 9 1 2 6 11 25 -14 5
19 Brentford 9 0 2 7 6 16 -10 2
20 Southampton 10 0 2 8 5 17 -12 2

Aston Villa   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Wolves 19 4 15 1.6 2.2 4 4 11 31 42 16
2 18 Leicester 19 5 14 1.2 2.2 3 5 11 22 42 14
3 5 Man City 19 6 13 1.7 1.4 9 4 6 32 26 31
4 9 Aston Villa 18 5 13 1.4 1.6 8 4 6 26 29 28
5 11 Tottenham 19 6 13 2.2 1.5 7 3 9 41 28 24
6 12 Brentford 18 5 13 1.8 1.8 7 3 8 32 32 24
7 1 Liverpool 18 6 12 2.5 0.9 14 3 1 45 17 45
8 10 Brighton 18 6 12 1.5 1.4 6 8 4 27 26 26
9 4 Chelsea 18 7 11 2.1 1.2 10 5 3 38 21 35
10 13 West Ham 19 8 11 1.2 1.8 6 5 8 23 35 23
11 14 Man United 18 7 11 1.2 1.3 6 4 8 21 24 22
12 6 Bournemouth 19 9 10 1.5 1.2 8 6 5 29 23 30
13 7 Newcastle 18 8 10 1.7 1.2 8 5 5 30 21 29
14 8 Fulham 19 9 10 1.5 1.3 7 8 4 28 25 29
15 15 Crystal Palace 19 10 9 1.1 1.4 4 8 7 20 27 20
16 20 Southampton 19 10 9 0.6 2.1 1 3 15 12 39 6
17 2 Nott'm Forest 19 11 8 1.4 1.0 11 4 4 26 19 37
18 19 Ipswich 18 10 8 0.9 1.8 2 6 10 16 33 12
19 3 Arsenal 18 11 7 1.9 0.9 10 6 2 35 16 36
20 16 Everton 18 11 7 0.8 1.3 3 8 7 15 24 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Tottenham 10 2 8 2.5 1.9 4 2 4 25 19 14
2 13 West Ham 10 2 8 1.3 2.2 3 2 5 13 22 11
3 5 Man City 9 2 7 1.9 1.4 5 2 2 17 13 17
4 8 Fulham 10 3 7 1.6 1.5 4 4 2 16 15 16
5 12 Brentford 9 2 7 2.9 1.8 7 1 1 26 16 22
6 14 Man United 9 2 7 1.4 1.6 4 1 4 13 14 13
7 17 Wolves 9 2 7 1.6 2.2 2 1 6 14 20 7
8 10 Brighton 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 3 5 1 13 12 14
9 18 Leicester 10 4 6 1.1 1.7 2 3 5 11 17 9
10 1 Liverpool 9 4 5 2.0 0.7 7 1 1 18 6 22
11 4 Chelsea 9 4 5 1.7 1.2 4 3 2 15 11 15
12 9 Aston Villa 9 4 5 1.7 1.1 5 3 1 15 10 18
13 20 Southampton 9 4 5 0.8 2.4 1 1 7 7 22 4
14 3 Arsenal 9 5 4 2.0 0.7 6 3 0 18 6 21
15 7 Newcastle 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 5 2 2 15 8 17
16 15 Crystal Palace 10 6 4 0.9 1.6 2 4 4 9 16 10
17 16 Everton 9 5 4 1.0 1.1 2 4 3 9 10 10
18 2 Nott'm Forest 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17
19 6 Bournemouth 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 4 3 2 11 7 15
20 19 Ipswich 9 6 3 0.7 1.8 0 4 5 6 16 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Aston Villa 9 1 8 1.2 2.1 3 1 5 11 19 10
2 17 Wolves 10 2 8 1.7 2.2 2 3 5 17 22 9
3 18 Leicester 9 1 8 1.2 2.8 1 2 6 11 25 5
4 1 Liverpool 9 2 7 3.0 1.2 7 2 0 27 11 23
5 6 Bournemouth 10 3 7 1.8 1.6 4 3 3 18 16 15
6 4 Chelsea 9 3 6 2.6 1.1 6 2 1 23 10 20
7 5 Man City 10 4 6 1.5 1.3 4 2 4 15 13 14
8 7 Newcastle 9 3 6 1.7 1.4 3 3 3 15 13 12
9 10 Brighton 9 3 6 1.6 1.6 3 3 3 14 14 12
10 12 Brentford 9 3 6 0.7 1.8 0 2 7 6 16 2
11 2 Nott'm Forest 10 5 5 1.5 1.2 6 2 2 15 12 20
12 11 Tottenham 9 4 5 1.8 1.0 3 1 5 16 9 10
13 15 Crystal Palace 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 4 3 11 11 10
14 19 Ipswich 9 4 5 1.1 1.9 2 2 5 10 17 8
15 14 Man United 9 5 4 0.9 1.1 2 3 4 8 10 9
16 20 Southampton 10 6 4 0.5 1.7 0 2 8 5 17 2
17 3 Arsenal 9 6 3 1.9 1.1 4 3 2 17 10 15
18 8 Fulham 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 3 4 2 12 10 13
19 13 West Ham 9 6 3 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12
20 16 Everton 9 6 3 0.7 1.6 1 4 4 6 14 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51