Brighton 3–2 Liverpool – England Premier League, 19 May 2025

Match facts

Brighton Liverpool

25 Shots 18

12 Shots on target 5

3 Corners 3

9 Fouls 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (367 league matches this season so far).

Result Liverpool to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.54

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.98

Home / Draw / Away

27% 22% 51%

BrightonDrawLiverpool

Under / Over 2.5 goals

34% 66%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

35% 65%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

3% 0

12% 1

19% 2

22% 3

19% 4

25% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 9.4% 1–2 9.3% 0–1 6.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches

1.53points / match

1.64scored / match

1.56conceded / match

14 13 9

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 59:56

Liverpool before this match, all matches

2.31points / match

2.31scored / match

1.03conceded / match

25 8 3

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 83:37

Brighton all matches all matches Liverpool

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 2.31

1.56 Goals conceded 1.03

3.19 Total goals 3.33

13.47 Shots 17.11

4.75 Shots on target 6.19

11.25 Shots faced 9.83

4.86 Corners 6.64

4.97 Corners against 3.83

11.69 Fouls 11.53

1.94 Yellow cards 1.75

0.72 1st-half goals scored 1.06

0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

39% Wins 69%

36% Draws 22%

25% Losses 8%

94% Over 0.5 goals 100%

89% Over 1.5 goals 89%

69% Over 2.5 goals 64%

42% Over 3.5 goals 44%

14% Over 4.5 goals 19%

8% Over 5.5 goals 8%

69% Both teams scored 58%

22% Clean sheets 39%

14% Failed to score 3%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 50%

31% Draws 25%

28% Losses 25%

86% Over 0.5 goals 83%

36% Over 1.5 goals 42%

11% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

D

3

L

1

2

L

2

D

2

4

L

3

2

W

1

D

2

W

Liverpool all matches

2

W

2

W

3

1

W

1

W

2

3

L

2

1

W

1

W

5

1

W

1

3

L

2

D

Brighton before this match, at home

1.61points / match

1.50scored / match

1.33conceded / match

7 8 3

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 27:24

Liverpool before this match, away

2.11points / match

2.33scored / match

1.22conceded / match

11 5 2

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 42:22

Brighton at home away Liverpool

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 2.33

1.33 Goals conceded 1.22

2.83 Total goals 3.56

14.72 Shots 17.56

4.72 Shots on target 6.33

10.39 Shots faced 10.06

4.89 Corners 7.00

4.44 Corners against 3.28

11.78 Fouls 11.28

1.83 Yellow cards 1.83

0.67 1st-half goals scored 1.00

0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

39% Wins 61%

44% Draws 28%

17% Losses 11%

89% Over 0.5 goals 100%

83% Over 1.5 goals 89%

67% Over 2.5 goals 61%

33% Over 3.5 goals 50%

11% Over 4.5 goals 28%

0% Over 5.5 goals 11%

72% Both teams scored 56%

17% Clean sheets 44%

22% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 39%

28% Draws 28%

28% Losses 33%

83% Over 0.5 goals 83%

33% Over 1.5 goals 50%

6% Over 2.5 goals 28%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home

D

1

D

1

L

3

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

3

L

2

D

3

2

W

1

D

Liverpool away

5

W

1

D

2

W

2

W

2

D

2

D

2

W

2

3

L

1

W

1

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.05.25	Wolves – Brighton	0–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.50	2.50	1.73	2.10
04.05.25	Brighton – Newcastle	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.70	2.30	1.53	2.50
26.04.25	Brighton – West Ham	3–2 (1–0)	1.67	4.20	4.75	1.67	2.20
19.04.25	Brentford – Brighton	4–2 (1–1)	2.40	3.75	2.63	1.57	2.38
12.04.25	Brighton – Leicester	2–2 (1–1)	1.29	6.00	10.00	1.62	2.30
05.04.25	Crystal Palace – Brighton	2–1 (1–1)	2.35	3.60	2.80	1.80	2.00
02.04.25	Brighton – Aston Villa	0–3 (0–0)	2.05	3.80	3.25	1.62	2.30
15.03.25	Man City – Brighton	2–2 (2–1)	1.67	4.33	4.50	1.44	2.75
08.03.25	Brighton – Fulham	2–1 (1–1)	1.95	3.60	3.75	1.73	2.10
25.02.25	Brighton – Bournemouth	2–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.80	3.30	1.62	2.30

Liverpool all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.05.25	Liverpool – Arsenal	2–2 (2–0)	2.00	3.60	3.60	1.73	2.10
04.05.25	Chelsea – Liverpool	3–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.70	3.10	1.53	2.50
27.04.25	Liverpool – Tottenham	5–1 (3–1)	1.25	6.00	11.00	1.33	3.40
20.04.25	Leicester – Liverpool	0–1 (0–0)	11.00	6.25	1.22	1.44	2.75
13.04.25	Liverpool – West Ham	2–1 (1–0)	1.30	6.00	8.00	1.53	2.50
06.04.25	Fulham – Liverpool	3–2 (3–1)	4.50	3.50	1.83	1.80	2.00
02.04.25	Liverpool – Everton	1–0 (0–0)	1.36	5.00	8.00	1.73	2.10
08.03.25	Liverpool – Southampton	3–1 (0–1)	1.10	9.00	19.00	1.29	3.75
26.02.25	Liverpool – Newcastle	2–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.50	5.75	1.44	2.75
23.02.25	Man City – Liverpool	0–2 (0–2)	2.88	3.80	2.25	1.40	3.00

Brighton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.05.25	Brighton – Newcastle	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.70	2.30	1.53	2.50
26.04.25	Brighton – West Ham	3–2 (1–0)	1.67	4.20	4.75	1.67	2.20
12.04.25	Brighton – Leicester	2–2 (1–1)	1.29	6.00	10.00	1.62	2.30
02.04.25	Brighton – Aston Villa	0–3 (0–0)	2.05	3.80	3.25	1.62	2.30
08.03.25	Brighton – Fulham	2–1 (1–1)	1.95	3.60	3.75	1.73	2.10
25.02.25	Brighton – Bournemouth	2–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.80	3.30	1.62	2.30
14.02.25	Brighton – Chelsea	3–0 (2–0)	2.70	3.60	2.45	1.57	2.38
25.01.25	Brighton – Everton	0–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.75	5.50	1.89	1.89
04.01.25	Brighton – Arsenal	1–1 (0–1)	4.33	3.75	1.80	1.73	2.10
27.12.24	Brighton – Brentford	0–0 (0–0)	1.62	4.33	4.75	1.44	2.75

Liverpool away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.05.25	Chelsea – Liverpool	3–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.70	3.10	1.53	2.50
20.04.25	Leicester – Liverpool	0–1 (0–0)	11.00	6.25	1.22	1.44	2.75
06.04.25	Fulham – Liverpool	3–2 (3–1)	4.50	3.50	1.83	1.80	2.00
23.02.25	Man City – Liverpool	0–2 (0–2)	2.88	3.80	2.25	1.40	3.00
19.02.25	Aston Villa – Liverpool	2–2 (2–1)	3.90	4.00	1.83	1.57	2.38
12.02.25	Everton – Liverpool	2–2 (1–1)	7.50	4.50	1.44	1.73	2.10
01.02.25	Bournemouth – Liverpool	0–2 (0–1)	4.50	4.33	1.67	1.44	2.75
18.01.25	Brentford – Liverpool	0–2 (0–0)	6.50	5.00	1.42	1.36	3.20
14.01.25	Nott'm Forest – Liverpool	1–1 (1–0)	5.25	4.10	1.62	1.62	2.30
29.12.24	West Ham – Liverpool	0–5 (0–3)	7.00	5.00	1.40	1.40	3.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 3 3

Brighton winsDrawsLiverpool wins

7matches

3.57goals / match

86%over 2.5

71%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.11.24E0	Liverpool – Brighton	2–1 (0–1)	1.40	5.00	7.50	1.40	3.00
31.03.24E0	Liverpool – Brighton	2–1 (1–1)	1.36	5.50	7.50	1.36	3.10
08.10.23E0	Brighton – Liverpool	2–2 (1–2)	3.00	3.80	2.20	1.36	3.10
14.01.23E0	Brighton – Liverpool	3–0 (0–0)	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.57	2.38
01.10.22E0	Liverpool – Brighton	3–3 (1–2)	1.33	5.25	8.50	1.53	2.50
12.03.22E0	Brighton – Liverpool	0–2 (0–1)	6.00	4.33	1.50	1.72	2.10
30.10.21E0	Liverpool – Brighton	2–2 (2–1)	1.22	6.50	13.00	1.53	2.50

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	36	25	8	3	83	37	+46	83
2	Arsenal	37	19	14	4	67	33	+34	71
3	Newcastle	37	20	6	11	68	46	+22	66
4	Chelsea	37	19	9	9	63	43	+20	66
5	Aston Villa	37	19	9	9	58	49	+9	66
6	Man City	36	19	8	9	67	43	+24	65
7	Nott'm Forest	37	19	8	10	58	45	+13	65
8	Brentford	37	16	7	14	65	56	+9	55
9	Brighton	36	14	13	9	59	56	+3	55
10	Fulham	37	15	9	13	54	52	+2	54
11	Bournemouth	36	14	11	11	55	43	+12	53
12	Crystal Palace	36	12	13	11	46	48	-2	49
13	Everton	37	10	15	12	41	44	-3	45
14	Wolves	36	12	5	19	51	64	-13	41
15	West Ham	37	10	10	17	43	61	-18	40
16	Man United	37	10	9	18	42	54	-12	39
17	Tottenham	37	11	5	21	63	61	+2	38
18	Leicester	37	6	7	24	33	78	-45	25
19	Ipswich	37	4	10	23	35	79	-44	22
20	Southampton	37	2	6	29	25	84	-59	12

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	18	14	3	1	41	15	+26	45
2	Chelsea	19	12	5	2	35	18	+17	41
3	Aston Villa	19	11	7	1	34	20	+14	40
4	Man City	18	12	3	3	40	22	+18	39
5	Arsenal	19	11	6	2	35	17	+18	39
6	Newcastle	18	12	2	4	40	19	+21	38
7	Nott'm Forest	18	9	5	4	26	15	+11	32
8	Brentford	19	9	4	6	40	35	+5	31
9	Brighton	18	7	8	3	27	24	+3	29
10	Fulham	18	7	5	6	27	28	-1	26
11	Bournemouth	18	7	4	7	21	16	+5	25
12	Everton	19	5	9	5	26	23	+3	24
13	Crystal Palace	18	5	7	6	20	24	-4	22
14	Tottenham	18	6	3	9	34	31	+3	21
15	Man United	18	6	3	9	21	28	-7	21
16	Wolves	18	6	2	10	26	31	-5	20
17	West Ham	19	5	5	9	23	34	-11	20
18	Leicester	19	4	3	12	15	34	-19	15
19	Ipswich	18	1	4	13	13	41	-28	7
20	Southampton	18	1	3	14	12	45	-33	6

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	18	11	5	2	42	22	+20	38
2	Nott'm Forest	19	10	3	6	32	30	+2	33
3	Arsenal	18	8	8	2	32	16	+16	32
4	Bournemouth	18	7	7	4	34	27	+7	28
5	Fulham	19	8	4	7	27	24	+3	28
6	Newcastle	19	8	4	7	28	27	+1	28
7	Crystal Palace	18	7	6	5	26	24	+2	27
8	Man City	18	7	5	6	27	21	+6	26
9	Brighton	18	7	5	6	32	32	0	26
10	Aston Villa	18	8	2	8	24	29	-5	26
11	Chelsea	18	7	4	7	28	25	+3	25
12	Brentford	18	7	3	8	25	21	+4	24
13	Everton	18	5	6	7	15	21	-6	21
14	Wolves	18	6	3	9	25	33	-8	21
15	West Ham	18	5	5	8	20	27	-7	20
16	Man United	19	4	6	9	21	26	-5	18
17	Tottenham	19	5	2	12	29	30	-1	17
18	Ipswich	19	3	6	10	22	38	-16	15
19	Leicester	18	2	4	12	18	44	-26	10
20	Southampton	19	1	3	15	13	39	-26	6

Brighton Liverpool

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Brighton	36	11	25	1.6	1.6	14	13	9	59	56	55
2	5	Aston Villa	37	13	24	1.6	1.3	19	9	9	58	49	66
3	14	Wolves	36	12	24	1.4	1.8	12	5	19	51	64	41
4	1	Liverpool	36	13	23	2.3	1.0	25	8	3	83	37	83
5	3	Newcastle	37	14	23	1.8	1.2	20	6	11	68	46	66
6	8	Brentford	37	14	23	1.8	1.5	16	7	14	65	56	55
7	17	Tottenham	37	14	23	1.7	1.6	11	5	21	63	61	38
8	18	Leicester	37	14	23	0.9	2.1	6	7	24	33	78	25
9	6	Man City	36	14	22	1.9	1.2	19	8	9	67	43	65
10	10	Fulham	37	15	22	1.5	1.4	15	9	13	54	52	54
11	20	Southampton	37	15	22	0.7	2.3	2	6	29	25	84	12
12	4	Chelsea	37	16	21	1.7	1.2	19	9	9	63	43	66
13	19	Ipswich	37	16	21	0.9	2.1	4	10	23	35	79	22
14	11	Bournemouth	36	16	20	1.5	1.2	14	11	11	55	43	53
15	7	Nott'm Forest	37	18	19	1.6	1.2	19	8	10	58	45	65
16	16	Man United	37	18	19	1.1	1.5	10	9	18	42	54	39
17	15	West Ham	37	19	18	1.2	1.6	10	10	17	43	61	40
18	2	Arsenal	37	21	16	1.8	0.9	19	14	4	67	33	71
19	12	Crystal Palace	36	20	16	1.3	1.3	12	13	11	46	48	49
20	13	Everton	37	23	14	1.1	1.2	10	15	12	41	44	45

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Man City	18	5	13	2.2	1.2	12	3	3	40	22	39
2	17	Tottenham	18	5	13	1.9	1.7	6	3	9	34	31	21
3	1	Liverpool	18	6	12	2.3	0.8	14	3	1	41	15	45
4	3	Newcastle	18	6	12	2.2	1.1	12	2	4	40	19	38
5	8	Brentford	19	7	12	2.1	1.8	9	4	6	40	35	31
6	9	Brighton	18	6	12	1.5	1.3	7	8	3	27	24	29
7	10	Fulham	18	6	12	1.5	1.6	7	5	6	27	28	26
8	20	Southampton	18	6	12	0.7	2.5	1	3	14	12	45	6
9	4	Chelsea	19	8	11	1.8	0.9	12	5	2	35	18	41
10	5	Aston Villa	19	8	11	1.8	1.1	11	7	1	34	20	40
11	14	Wolves	18	7	11	1.4	1.7	6	2	10	26	31	20
12	15	West Ham	19	8	11	1.2	1.8	5	5	9	23	34	20
13	2	Arsenal	19	9	10	1.8	0.9	11	6	2	35	17	39
14	16	Man United	18	8	10	1.2	1.6	6	3	9	21	28	21
15	13	Everton	19	10	9	1.4	1.2	5	9	5	26	23	24
16	18	Leicester	19	10	9	0.8	1.8	4	3	12	15	34	15
17	19	Ipswich	18	9	9	0.7	2.3	1	4	13	13	41	7
18	12	Crystal Palace	18	10	8	1.1	1.3	5	7	6	20	24	22
19	7	Nott'm Forest	18	12	6	1.4	0.8	9	5	4	26	15	32
20	11	Bournemouth	18	12	6	1.2	0.9	7	4	7	21	16	25

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	11	Bournemouth	18	4	14	1.9	1.5	7	7	4	34	27	28
2	18	Leicester	18	4	14	1.0	2.4	2	4	12	18	44	10
3	5	Aston Villa	18	5	13	1.3	1.6	8	2	8	24	29	26
4	7	Nott'm Forest	19	6	13	1.7	1.6	10	3	6	32	30	33
5	9	Brighton	18	5	13	1.8	1.8	7	5	6	32	32	26
6	14	Wolves	18	5	13	1.4	1.8	6	3	9	25	33	21
7	19	Ipswich	19	7	12	1.2	2.0	3	6	10	22	38	15
8	1	Liverpool	18	7	11	2.3	1.2	11	5	2	42	22	38
9	3	Newcastle	19	8	11	1.5	1.4	8	4	7	28	27	28
10	8	Brentford	18	7	11	1.4	1.2	7	3	8	25	21	24
11	4	Chelsea	18	8	10	1.6	1.4	7	4	7	28	25	25
12	10	Fulham	19	9	10	1.4	1.3	8	4	7	27	24	28
13	17	Tottenham	19	9	10	1.5	1.6	5	2	12	29	30	17
14	20	Southampton	19	9	10	0.7	2.1	1	3	15	13	39	6
15	6	Man City	18	9	9	1.5	1.2	7	5	6	27	21	26
16	16	Man United	19	10	9	1.1	1.4	4	6	9	21	26	18
17	12	Crystal Palace	18	10	8	1.4	1.3	7	6	5	26	24	27
18	15	West Ham	18	11	7	1.1	1.5	5	5	8	20	27	20
19	2	Arsenal	18	12	6	1.8	0.9	8	8	2	32	16	32
20	13	Everton	18	13	5	0.8	1.2	5	6	7	15	21	21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.